Jeopardy Binom Geom/ Expect Norm Q $100 Q $100 Q $100 Q $100 Q $200 Q $200 Q $200 Q $200 Q $200 Q $300 Q $300 Q $300 Q $300 Q $300 Q $300 Q $400 Q $400 Q $400 Q $400 Q $400 Q $400 Q $500 Q $500 Q $500 Q $500 Q $500 Q $500 Prob. Dist. Linear Comb Density Curves Q $100 Q $100 Q $200 Final Jeopardy $100 Question from Prob. Dist What is the probability when x=3? x P(x) 0 1 2 0.28 0.14 0.13 3 4 0.24 $100 Answer from Prob Dist 1 - (.28+.14+.13+.24) 1 - .79 .21 $200 Question from Prob Dist x P(x) 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.04 0.06 0.22 0.28 0.24 0.16 What is the P(x > 2)? $200 Answer from Prob Dist P(x > 2) = P(3) + P(4) +P(5) = .28 + .24 + .16 = 0.68 $300 Question from Prob Dist x P(x) 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.04 0.06 0.22 0.28 0.24 0.16 Find the mean & standard deviation $300 Answer from Prob Dist Mean x p( x ) Mean 3.1 St . Dev x St . Dev 1.3 2 p( x ) $400 Question from Prob Dist x P(x) 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.03 0.07 0.23 0.33 0.24 0.1 Find the probability that x is within 2 deviations of the mean. $400 Answer from Prob Dist Mean = 2.98 St. Dev. = 1.19 Mean±2Dev 2.98 ± 2(1.19) 0.6 to 5.36 Answer: 0.97 $500 Question from Prob Dist x P(x) 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.33 0.27 0.18 0.12 0.06 0.04 The distribution above represents the number of broken eggs in a carton. What is the probability that I randomly choose two cartons and exactly the both have exactly ten unbroken eggs? $500 Answer from Prob Dist Ten unbroken = 2 broken P(X=2 and x=2) = 0.18 * 0.18 = 0.0324 $100 Question from Linear Comb Mean St. Dev A 14 3 B 22 4 Find: 3 x 4 y 5 $100 Answer from Linear Comb 3(14)+4(22)+5 = 135 $200 Question from Lin Comb Mean St. Dev A 14 3 B 22 4 Find: 2 x 3 y 8 $200 Answer from H2 Answer: 2 3 3 4 2 2 180 3.416 $300 Question from Lin Comb The following are the mean times and standard deviations for the runners on a relay race team. Find the mean time for the race and the standard deviation. Ed Mary Ted Julie Mean 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.3 St. Dev 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.15 $300 Answer from Lin Comb Answer: Mean 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.3 5.3 St . Dev .2 .3 .1 .15 0.1625 0.403 2 2 2 2 $400 Question from Lin Comb The following represents the number of hours of work per doll and number of dolls that Mary makes. She gets paid $4 per hour and $20 per doll and there is a flat cost of $50 for supplies. Find the average amount of money that Mary makes and the standard deviation. x = #hours 2 4 6 8 10 P(x) 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.25 0.21 y = #dolls P(y) 4 0.12 7 0.14 10 0.28 12 0.32 15 0.14 $400 Answer from Lin Comb Mean: 4(6.42)+20(10.2) – 50 = $179.68 St. Dev: 4 2.673 20 3.212 2 2 4241.096 65.124 $500 Question from Lin Comb The mean annual salary of employees at a company is $36,000 with a variance of $15,202,201. At the end of the year, each employee receives a $2000 bonus and a 4% raise (based on salary). What is the mean and standard deviation of the new salaries? $500 Answer from H2 Mean: 1.04(36000 ) 2000 $39 , 440 St. Dev: 1.04 3899 2 16442700.6 $4054.96 $100 Question from Density 2 Find P(x < 6) 18 $100 Answer from Density A=bh 1=16h 0.0625=h A = 0.0625 * 4 A = 0.25 $200 Question from Density 16 Find the height. $200 Answer from H3 A=1/2 bh 1=1/2 ( 16)h 1=8h 0.125 = h $300 Question from Density 20 Find P(X < 6) $300 Answer from Density 1=.5(20)H 1=10H 0.1 = H 14 h 20 0.1 20h 1.4 h 0.07 1 A 1 14 0.07 2 A 1 0.49 A 0.51 $400 Question from Density 40 Find P(x < 7) $400 Answer from Density 1 1 40 H 2 1 20 H 0.05 H 7 h 20 0.05 20h 0.35 h 0.0175 1 A 7 0.0175 2 A 0.06125 $500 Question from Density 20 Find P(x < 18) $500 Answer from Density 1 1 20 H 2 1 10 H 0. 1 H 2 h 10 0.1 10h 0.2 1 A 1 2 0.02 2 A 1 .02 A 0.98 h 0.02 $100 Question from Binomial In a recent survey they found that 25% of U.S. adults prefer texting because “it’s great for flirting.” In a sample of 50, what is the mean & standard deviation of the number who prefer texting due to the ease of flirting $100 Answer from Binomial Mean: St. Dev: 50( 0.25) 12.5 50(.25)(.75) 9.375 3.06 $200 Question from Binomial A survey found that 41% of women in the U.S. consider reading their favorite leisure-time activity. If I randomly select 12 women, find the probability that exactly 7 consider reading their favorite leisure-time activity. (Use formula) $200 Answer from Binomial 12 7 5 P( x 7 ) 0.41 .59 0.1103 7 $300 Question from Binomial A survey found that 72% of people in the U.S. prefer having a dog as a pet than a cat. What is the probability that in a sample of 82 people, less than 57 prefer a dog? (Use calculator) $300 Answer from Binomial P(x < 57) = binomcdf (82, 0.72, 56) = 0.2626 $400 Question from Binom A survey found that 72% of people in the U.S. prefer having a dog as a pet than a cat. What is the probability that in a sample of 59 people at least 40 prefer a dog? (Use calculator) $400 Answer from Binom P(x 40) = 1 – binomcdf (59, 0.72, 39) = 1 – 0.1923 = 0.8077 $500 Question from Binom Suppose we have a random variable X where the probability associated with the value k is 12 k 12 k .22 .78 k For k = 0, 1, 2,….12. What is the mean of X? $500 Answer from Binomial Mean = 12 (0.22) = 2.64 $100 Question from Geometric The probability that a student passes the written test for a private pilot’s license is 0.68. what is the probability that a student will not pass until the third attempt? $100 Answer from Geometric P(x=3) = 0.322 *0.68 = 0.0696 $200 Question from Geometric 29% of American teens say that they would break up with their boyfriend/girlfriend for $10,000. What is the probability that while interviewing teens, you find one that agrees within the first three asked? $200 Answer from Geometric P(x 3) = .29 + (.71*.29) + (.712*.29) = .29 + .2059 + 0.1462 = 0.6421 $300 Question from Geometric A glass manufacturer finds that 1 in every 500 glass items produced is warped. Find the probability that the first warped glass item is in the first four checked. $300 Answer from Geometric P(x 4) = .002 + (.998*.002)+(.9982 *.002) + (.9983*.002) = .002 + .001996 + .001992 + .00199 = 0.00798 $400 Question from Geometric A basketball player has a 74% chance of making a free throw. Find the probability that the first free throw shot he makes is on the third or fourth attempt. $400 Answer from Geometric P(x=3 or x=4) = (.262*.74) + (.263*.74) = 0.0500 + 0.0130 = 0.0630 $500 Question from Geometric Two dice are rolled. If you roll a sum of 12 you can win $100. You can win $50 for a sum of 10 or $5 for a sum of 8. If it costs $10 to play this game, find the expectation of the game. $500 Answer from H5 1 3 5 E ( x ) 100 50 5 10 36 36 36 100 150 25 10 36 36 36 275 10 36 7.64 10 2.36 $100 Question from Normal The mean annual consumption of peanuts are normally distributed with a mean of 5.9 pounds per person and a standard deviation of 1.8 pounds per person. What percent of people annually consume less than 4.5 pounds of peanuts per person? $100 Answer from Normal P ( x 4.5) 4 . 5 5 .9 P z P z 0.78 0.2177 1 .8 $200 Question from Normal The thicknesses of washers produced by a machine are normally distributed, with a mean of 0.425 inch and a standard deviation of 0.005 inch. A washer is selected at random, find the probability that the washer is between 0.423 and 0.426 inch thick? $200 Answer from Normal P(0.423 x 0.426) 0.426 0.425 0.423 0.425 P z 0.005 0.005 P 0 . 4 z 0 .2 0.5793 0.3446 0.2347 $300 Question from Normal The braking distances of a sample of Nissan Altimas are normally distributed with a mean of 129 feet and a standard deviation of 5.18 ft. What is the longest braking distance one of these Nissan Altimas could have and still be in the bottom 5%? $300 Answer from Normal x 129 1.645 5.18 x 129 8.52 x 120.48 $400 Question from H6 The average time spent sleeping (in hours) for medical residents is normally distributed with a mean of 6.1 hours and a standard deviation of 1.02 hours. Between what two values does the middle 40% of the sleep times lie? $400 Answer from Normal x 6. 1 0.52 1.02 x 6.1 .5304 x 6.1 0.52 1.02 x 6.1 .5304 x 5.5696 x 6.6304 $500 Question from Normal The mean of a standardized test is 100. If the 85th percentile score is 110, find the standard deviation of the test. $500 Answer from Normal 110 100 1.04 s 1.04 s 10 x 9.615 Final Jeopardy What are the major differences between binomial and normal distributions? Final Jeopardy Answer Binomial – discrete with fixed number of trials with two possibilities Normal – continuous data