Toward A Communicative Theory of Government Performance Alfred Tat-Kei Ho Associate Professor School of Public Affairs and Administration University of Kansas and Jungho Park Doctoral Candidate School of Graduate School of Public and International Affairs University of Pittsburgh Paper presented at the Korea Association of Public Administration June, 2012 Abstract Citizen survey is an important tool for government officials to receive citizen feedback and evaluate citizen satisfaction with public programs. However, it has an implicit assumption: Citizens are well informed about the effort and accomplishments of public services and can make a reasonable judgment on the service results. Using the citizen survey data from the City of Tulsa in the U.S., we show that there is indeed a significant relationship between the perception of being informed by the government and citizens’ satisfaction with public service performance, and the communication effect is especially important for services that have greater publicness and transaction cost challenges. Based on the results, we discuss the importance of public reporting in performance management and suggest how public communication strategies may tailor toward different citizen profiles and needs. Toward A Communicative Theory of Government Performance Introduction In recent years, how to engage the public and structure programs and policies to tailor better to the public needs and priorities have been one of the core questions and challenges in public administration (Thomas, 1995; Berman, 1997; Lukensmeyer and Torres 2006). In engaging the public, user and citizen survey has become a common tool used by government officials. The use of this tool is nothing new. In the 1970s, professional organizations such as the International City Management Association and the Urban Institute already advocated its use to solicit citizen feedback and prioritize program needs (Webb and Hatry, 1973). In recent decades, the tool has gained even more importance because of the rise of customer-oriented management in the public sector (Osborne and Gaebler, 1992), and the counter response to new public management by emphasizing the need to have greater public engagement (Frederickson, 1992; Denhardt, et al., 2009; Kelly 2005). National and regional professional organizations in the U.S. have also contributed to the growing usage of citizen and customer surveys by providing more user-friendly guidelines, standardized citizen survey tools, and benchmarking services so that jurisdictions and departments can compare citizen satisfaction results with peers more easily and conveniently (Nayyar-Stone and Hatry 2010; National League of Cities, 2012). As citizen or user surveys become more institutionalized in program evaluation and policymaking, more questions have been raised about how citizens actually process information and come to their evaluative judgment on public program performance and satisfaction with their government. Many past studies have already pointed out different factors that may influence citizens’ satisfaction ratings. For example, the wording and structure of the survey questions may influence significantly the responses of citizens (Miller and Miller 1991). Also, the sampling methodology and the way a survey is conducted may affect the response rate and the representativeness of the results (Miller and Miller, 1992). Furthermore, many socio-economic and demographic factors, such as income, race, and neighborhood characteristics, may influence citizens’ expectation and perception of service results (Campbell, et al. 1976; Lineberry, 1977; McDougall and Bunce, 1984; Miller and Miller, 1991; Kusow, Wilson and Martin, 1997; Van Ryzin, 2004, 2006; Licari, et al. 2005). Prior experiences and contacts with government officials may also shape 1 their views about the trustworthiness and performance of the government (Kelly and Swindell, 2002a, 2002b; Brown, 2007). As a result, the same program performance can be perceived very differently by citizens, leading to very different satisfaction ratings of the services. Hence, policymakers and program managers have been warned about the subjective nature of citizen opinions and satisfaction ratings (Kelly 2005). It is perception-based and is influenced heavily by many socio-economic and demographic factors that can be unrelated to the actual program performance and are outside the control of public managers. However, there is one factor that public managers can have some degree of influence but have been overlooked by many past studies – how to keep the public informed and educated about program priorities, challenges, and results. Public managers tend to be skeptical about the public’s understanding of the complexity and constraints of government administration (Berman, 1997; Milbrath, 1981; Melkers and Thomas, 1998; Bok, 2001). Even though there is an understanding that effective communication with the public is important to help reduce public cynicism toward the government and should be a critical component of public administration (Garnett, 1992; Wheeler, 1994), public reporting has remained a peripheral exercise and is often viewed as mundane paperwork by many governments. In today’s fiscal environment, public communication and reporting is often the first target of budget cut when there are so many competing needs for growingly scarce resources. The purpose of this paper is to reexamine the importance of information and public communication in the context of performance management and explore whether information availability, or at least the perception of information availability and communication effectiveness, may change the public’s satisfaction with governmental services. Citizen or user surveys assume implicitly that citizens are well informed about the efforts and accomplishments of a service and can make a reasonable judgment of the service results (Swindell and Kelly, 2000). If that is not the case, either because citizens do not have personal experience of the services, or citizens are poorly informed about the service results, then their satisfaction ratings may indeed be biased and unhelpful to program management and planning since they may be driven primarily by subjective feelings, prior beliefs, or ideological factors that are unrelated to the actual characteristics of the delivery or the performance of the services (Stipak, 1977; Melkers and Thomas, 1998; Kelly and Swindell, 2002b). In this paper, we propose a “communicative theory” of government performance 2 by suggesting that information plays a critical link between government performance and citizen satisfaction. We hypothesize that this relationship is especially important for public services that have diffused social impact, are less frequently used by citizens, and have greater problems of measurability by ordinary citizens. Using a structural equation model and a citizen survey data from a U.S. southern city, we confirm our hypothesis by showing that more informed citizens tend to have more positive ratings of government services after controlling for their demographic and socio-economic background, neighborhood factors, and their participation in community affairs. Such relationship is especially obvious among services that demonstrate greater publicness, such as city image building and public safety. Based on our findings, we discuss the importance of public communication in today’s political and media environment and the implications for future performance management and citizen engagement research. Government Performance, Satisfaction, and Information – an Extended Logic Model In recent years, both professional and academic communities in public administration have begun to pay more attention to the roles of the public in evaluating government performance (Ho and Coates 2004; GASB, 2005; Hawn and Siegel, 2006). Whether one believes in the logic of new public management, which views citizens as customers and advocates the need for the government to partner more closely with the public (Osborne and Gaebler, 1992), or in the principle of democratic governance, which emphasizes the roles of citizens not just as customers but also as the owners of the government (King et al., 1998), citizens certainly have a legitimate role to play to ensure the public accountability of the govenrment. In the process of engaging citizens, citizen or user survey is a common tool used by government officials to solicit citizen feedback. However, citizen opinions and their perception of government performance do not happen in a political, social and cultural vacuum. For example, past studies have shown that minority residents, lower income householders, and residents in poorer neighborhoods tend to have lower satisfaction with public services than others (Campbell, et al., 1976; McDougall and Bunce, 1984; Lineberry, 1977; Miller and Miller 1991; Kusow, Wilson and Martin, 1997; Swindell and Kelly 2002a; Licari, et al. 2005). This may be caused by the fact that these residents tend to have lower quality of life and so they may associate that with the quality of public services received. It is also possible that these residents may indeed receive poorer public services because the ruling regime may incentivize 3 government leaders to pay less attention to their needs (Stone, 1980). In addition, citizens’ satisfaction with public services may be impacted by the service context and their interactions with government officials. For example, Brown(2007) differentiates public services by the degree of “captivity” and shows that citizen satisfaction varies by types of services. In general, citizens are more likely to rate “captive services,” such as police stops, or “monopolized client services,” such as citizen call center, poorly if they have bad personal experiences in interacting with the service provider. For services that are freely selected by customer choices, such as parks and recreational programs, the finding is the opposite and reflects a positive bias if citizens have good interactions with the service provider. However, what many past studies have not explored much is the role of information. All citizen surveys implicit assume that citizens have a sufficient level of understanding and information about the quality of public services. However, in reality, this may not be the case. Information problems and lack of understanding about the services they receive can be especially challenging in public administration because the operations and impact of many public services are complex, not easily observable from the perspective of ordinary citizens, and may be highly remote to their daily experiences. For example, city planning, code inspection and enforcement, and infrastructure planning and maintenance are technical in nature and the benefits of these services are jointly consumed, non-excludable, and extended over a long period of time. As a result, even though citizens benefit from these services daily, they may not fully appreciate the value and challenges of these services and how these services contribute to their quality of life. Moreover, some public services are impersonal or may not be used by citizens frequently. For example, many citizens may not have called the emergency response number to ask for help from the police or fire department. So unless citizens receive good information about the efforts and accomplishments of these services, citizen ratings of these services, such as responsiveness, professionalism, and courtesy, will have to base mostly on their subjective perception, which is often influenced by citizens’ socio-economic and demographic background and the information from the mass media. Based on the above understanding, figure 1 provides an extended logic model of government performance. In the traditional logic model, government managers examine the relationships between input, output, and outcome and try to use 4 performance measurement and business process improvement tools to enhance the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of services (Poister, 2003; Hatry, 2006). However, this model can be extended to examine how service outcomes are linked to citizen perception and satisfaction, and how the logical link is influenced by prior experiences and expectations, interactions with government officials, and the availability and quality of public information and communication. The link between citizen satisfaction and program outcomes is important because this is where the technical, administrative world of performance management meets with the messy, chaotic world of politics, and where performance measurement and management may get the attention of elected officials. Figure 1. An Extended Logic Model of Government Performance Input Output Outcome Prior expectations and experiences Interaction with officials Socio-economic, demographic, and neighborhood characteristics Citizen satisfaction Being informed Service Nature In this study, we hypothesize that citizens who are better informed are more likely to rate public services positively. Also, we hypothesize that this relationship varies according to the nature of public services. H1: Controlling for other factors, citizens who are more informed are more likely to rate public services satisfactorily. H2: The impact of information on citizen satisfaction is stronger in public services that are less observable, have greater publicness, and have more impersonal or diffused impact than in services that have less publicness and more direct personal impact. 5 The positive relationship between information effectiveness and service satisfaction can be caused by several factors. First, being more informed may simply overcome some of the information costs and uncertainty faced by citizens. As the public understand the service value, priorities, challenges, and results better, they may feel less uncertain about how their tax money is used and what value they are getting. As a result, they may become less cynical about the government and more positive about various services (Berman, 1997). Second, the positive relationship can be caused by the “framing” effect (Iyengar, 1991). As citizens consume more information provided by the government about government policies and program results, they may consciously or unconsciously adopt the governmental perspective to frame the political, social, and administrative “facts”. Since government-provided information is likely to be less critical of the departments’ performance and may purposively highlight certain outcomes and results to win public support (De Vries, 2004), citizens who are more informed by the government media and information sources may be more likely to be co-opted by the government and, as a result, feel more positive about the performance of various public services. Third, being more informed may simply be a reflection of the social and political influence certain residents may enjoy. For example, wealthier residents may be more able to afford time to learn about social and political events, find out more about program performance related to their residential neighborhood, and have more access to different sources of information. They may also participate more actively in community affairs and have greater networking capacity to get more information. As a result, these residents who are more informed may have greater access to the political elite and have more influence over community decision-making. So they may indeed receive more privileged access to public services and are more satisfied with their outcomes. This is why our analysis in the later part of the paper has to control for residents’ socio-economic status and their activeness in community participation so that we can truly measure the information impact. We hypothesize that this impact of information on citizen satisfaction should be especially important for public services that are more technical and less observable by ordinary citizens, and for services that have more diffused social impact and less direct, personal benefits (see Figure 2). These services tend to have greater transaction cost problems. So unless citizens can somehow overcome the 6 information barriers and lack of understanding about these services, they may appreciate less their challenges and value and under-rate their performance. Figure 2. The Importance of Information and Service Types Measurability/observability Low Publicness Low Service Results Low Personal Experience with High High High ♦crime investigation and control ♦ City image building/ beautification ♦ Code enforcement ♦ fire & EMS Importance of information increases ♦Sewage & ♦ Traffic management flood control ♦ Parks & Rec. ♦Water supply and quality control ♦ Street & sidewalk ♦Trash collection maintenance ♦ Customer service / complaint center services Note: The measurability of different services is largely based on the transaction cost framework suggested by Levin and Tadelis (2010). Methodology and Data We use the citizen survey results of the City of Tulsa, Oklahoma, to the test the above hypotheses. The City of Tulsa is a mid-sized city in the U.S, with a population of about 392,000. In 2010, the per-capita income was about $26,069, which was about the same as the U.S. average ($27,334). A citizen survey was conducted in December 2010-January 2011, which asked citizens to rate their satisfaction with various public services. A total of 1,803 responses were received, representing a response rate of 35.9 percent.1 Table 1 provides a summary of the respondent characteristics. Compared to the 2010 U.S. Census data, the sample has higher ratios of female, white, older, and wealthier respondents. Since the proportion of older respondents is significantly greater than that of the population, which is not too surprisingly for a mail survey, a sample weight based on age is used to adjust for the survey statistics. 1 The survey was conducted by Shapard Research for the City of Tulsa. survey results, please refer to Shapard Research (2011). 7 For more details of the Table 1. Characteristics of the Tulsa Survey Respondents Unweighed Sample Weighed Sample The 2010 Census Sample size or Population 1,803 1,800* 391,906 Female 60.7% 61.0% 51.3% White 75.7% 68.5% 62.6% Black 13.5% 15.4% 15.9% Age older than 55 41.1% 32.5% 32.9% 76.9% 69.6% 54.4% among the adult population (older than 20 years old) Homeownership rate Note: * Three observations have no sample weights since the age information was missing in the responses. Based on the addresses of the respondents, all responses were also geo-coded by geographical information system, and then merged with the 2010 census block group data. Figure 3 is a map of the respondent geographic locations and their neighborhood clusters. In addition, we use the census block group data to cluster the demographic and housing characteristics of the respondents’ neighborhoods into three classes of neighborhoods, which is used as a control variable for neighborhood characteristics and, possibly, a control variable for any service quality differences due to the socio-economic characters of neighborhoods.2 2 The neighborhood demographic and housing characteristics used in the cluster analysis include the percentage of vacant housing, the percentage of renters in the household population, the number of crimes per 1,000 residents, the number of assaults to police officers per 1,000 residents, the number of serious assault cases per 1,000 residents, the number of sex offense cases per 1,000 residents, the number of homicide, the number of burglary during daytime per 1,000 residents, the number of burglary at night per 1,000 residents, and the number of property crimes per 1,000 residents. 8 Figure 3. Geographical Locations of the Survey Respondents and their Neighborhood Clusters Table 4 summarizes the citizen perception of the quality of life, and their satisfaction with different services. Over 70 percent of the Tulsa survey respondents (over 70%) were satisfied or very satisfied with their quality of life and with the city as a place to live. The majority were also satisfied with the city as a place to work and with most city services. However, they were less satisfied with the city’s policy direction. A possible contribution to the dissatisfaction was with the city’s traffic flow management – only one third of the respondents were satisfied or very satisfied due to significant road construction and traffic re-routing issues during the time of the survey. Also, relative to other city services, the respondents were less satisfied with the City’s public communication effectiveness and its efforts to keep citizens informed. 9 Table 4. Summary Statistics of the Citizen Ratings of Selected Services Very dissatisfied dissatisfied Neutral / don’t know 20.4% 13.4% Quality of life 3.4% 6.2% The City as a place to 3.7% 5.8% live The city as a place to 7.1% 10.0% 18.7% work The City moving 11.1% 13.2% 27.1% toward a right direction Overall quality of city 5.3% 10.2% 12.7% services Public safety 8.5% 12.3% 13.6% Police response time 12.0% 8.5% 25.7% Fire department 1.2% 2.3% 13.8% Parks and recreation 5.4% 10.6% 19.8% Traffic flow of major 25.7% 25.9% 13.4% streets Trash collection 3.9% 4.4% 5.2% Street cleanliness 7.3% 16.8% 16.6% Sewage 2.3% 3.7% 16.7% Water services 3.2% 3.9% 7.5% City communication 11.9% 17.2% 25.6% with the public City keeping citizens 9.4% 17.0% 21.5% informed Note: Sample size = 1800. All frequencies are weighted by age. Satisfied Very Satisfied 51.5% 49.1% 18.4% 28.2% 46.9% 17.3% 36.3% 12.3% 53.3% 18.5% 40.8% 27.1% 35.7% 38.5% 28.3% 24.8% 26.7% 47.0% 25.7% 6.7% 31.8% 44.1% 35.5% 36.5% 34.5% 54.7% 15.1% 41.8% 48.9% 11.0% 38.2% 13.9% A structural equation model (SEM) is used to examine whether public information and communication effectiveness influences significantly the respondents’ satisfaction with various services (see Figure 4). SEM allows us to understand not only the relative significance of information to different services, but also how different socio-economic and demographic characteristics of the respondents and their neighborhood profiles influence the respondents’ feeling of being informed and their service ratings, respectively. Past studies have already shown that the socio-economic and demographic background of respondents may reflect their prior expectations of various services and should therefore be controlled for since expectation may significantly influence respondents’ satisfaction with services (Van Ryzin, 2004, 2006). Respondents’ prior contacts with the police department and the activeness of the respondents in participating in community affairs are also included 10 in the SEM to control for their prior contact experiences with the City.3 Figure 4. The Structural Equation Model to Test the Information Effect Because there are too many questions that can be used to evaluate the effectiveness and quality of different services, principal component analysis is used to combine and standardize various service ratings. Table 5 explains the service elements included in each of the principal components and their statistical validity. Results 3 The activeness of community participation is a principal component of the following variables: whether the respondents have contacted any departments besides the police, have contacted the mayor’s office or the city council members, read the major local newspaper regularly, have visited the City’s website, and have visited the city council website. 11 Because of the complexity of the model, the results of the SEM model are presented in parts below. The Satorra-Bentler (S-B) scaled statistics is used to examine the goodness of fit due to the violation of the multivariate normality (Satorra and Bentler, 1988, 1994). The chi-square statistics (χ2(df=184)=369.48) confirms that there is a significant difference between the observed and model covariance matrices. Because our sample size is over 200, which tends to make the chi-square statistics always significant, we also use a combination of other model fit indexes (CFI=0.970, RMSEA=0.024, SRMR=0.019, TLI=0.928) to re-confirm that the hypothesized conceptual model for this study fits well with the observed data (Hu & Bentler, 1999). Table 6 shows the impact of the perception of being informed on respondents’ ratings of various services. All coefficients of the SEM are standardized for the ease of comparison. In general, the pattern of impact follows our expectation – services that are of lower measurability, less direct personal experiences, and higher publicness, such as public safety and city image building, tend to have stronger information impact than services that allow for more personal experiences and higher observability, such as customer service, trash collection, and water services. Table 7 examines what factors influence the respondents’ perception of being informed. The results show that residents with more education tend to feel less informed, indicating that highly educated residents may have higher expectation of the City to engage and inform them and therefore tend to be less satisfied if insufficient information is provided. Also, the perception of being informed increases with age, implying that the younger generation needs more attention by the government, or that older citizens can afford finding more time and ways to keep them stay informed. Also, people who were contacted by the police tend to feel less informed. We hypothesize that people who violated certain rules and legal obligations are more likely to blame the government for failing to inform them effectively about the legal requirements. As a result, they tend to feel less informed. Controlling for other factors, we also find that hispanic residents feel less informed, probably because of the language barriers. However, one should notice that the impact of the age and racial factors is only marginally significant at the 10-percent level. Education and police contact remain the most important driver of feeling informed. Other factors, such as income, neighborhood status, and years of residency, are not statistically significant. The implications of these findings on city communication and engagement strategies are discussed later in the paper. 12 Table 5. Summary Statistics of the Principal Components of Public Services Principal component Citizen Rating Variables (Respective Eigenvectors) of Service Quality Public safety Satisfaction with public safety (0.59) Police quality as a top three concern: yes = 1, no = 0 (-0.40) Satisfaction with neighborhood police response time (0.56) Satisfaction with traffic law enforcement (0.41) Feeling safe Feeling safe in neighborhood during daytime (0.58) Feeling safe in neighborhood at night (0.64) Feeling safe in downtown at night (0.50) Fire and emergency Satisfaction with the fire department services (0.39) medical services Satisfaction with the fire department’s response time (0.48) (EMS) Satisfaction with the assistance provided by EMS staff (0.56) Satisfaction with the EMS response time (0.56) Parks and recreation Satisfaction with parks and recreation services (0.43) Satisfaction with outdoor field facilities (0.49) Satisfaction with parks grounds (0.54) Satisfaction with parks indoor facilities (0.53) Trash collection and Satisfaction with trash collection (0.35) cleanliness Satisfaction with street cleanliness (0.71) Public area cleanliness as a priority concern: yes = 1, no = 0 (-0.62) Neighborhood Satisfaction with cleaning up properties in neighborhood (0.54) clean-up issues Satisfaction with mowing the lawn in abandoned properties (0.54) Cleaning up properties as a priority concern: yes = 1, no = 0 (-0.45) Mowing in neighborhood as a priority: yes = 1, no = 0 concern (0.54) Traffic management Satisfaction with traffic law enforcement (0.46) Satisfaction with traffic flow in major streets (0.69) Traffic flow as a top three concern: yes = 1, no = 0 (-0.56) 13 Eigenvalue (proportion of variation explained) 1.90 (0.48) 1.81 (0.60) 2.40 (0.60) 2.56 (0.51) 1.33 (0.44) 2.26 (0.56) 1.29 (0.43) Street conditions Satisfaction with major street conditions (0.56) Satisfaction with neighborhood street conditions (0.49) Satisfaction with street repair progress (0.40) Street maintenance as a top three concern (-0.23) Improving major street conditions as a priority concern: yes = 1, no = 0 (-0.34) Improving neighborhood street condition as a priority concern: yes = 1, no = 0 (-0.35) Water and sewage Satisfaction with water services (0.70) services Satisfaction with sewage services (0.69) Water services as a top three concern: yes = 1, no = 0 (-0.20) Feeling informed Quality of the City’s communication (0.43) Effectiveness of keeping citizens informed (0.59) Satisfaction with information availability to the public (0.58) Satisfaction with the City’s public TV channel (0.36) Customer service Customer service as a one of top three concern (0.71) concerns Dissatisfaction with city staff courtesy: yes = 1, no = 0 (0.71) Non-police Contact Dissatisfaction with city staff responses: yes = 1, no = 0 (0.42) concerns Dissatisfaction with the contacts with the public works staff: yes = 1, no = 0 (0.52) Dissatisfaction with the contacts with the permit office staff: yes = 1, no = 0 (0.53) Dissatisfaction with the contacts with the code enforcement staff: yes = 1, no = 0 (0.53) City image Satisfaction with the city appearance (0.71) Satisfaction with the city image (0.71) 14 2.01 (0.33) 1.64 (0.55) 2.14 (0.53) 1.31 (0.66) 3.26 (0.82) 1.60 (0.80) Table 6. Impact of Communication Effectiveness on Service Ratings Standardized Coefficient IV: Feeling Informed DV: Service Rating Index Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value City image (DV) 0.496 0.030 16.614 0.000 Parks & Rec. (DV) 0.458 0.031 14.559 0.000 Public Safety (DV) 0.419 0.031 13.329 0.000 Street conditions (DV) 0.346 0.031 11.313 0.000 Fire & EMS (DV) 0.324 0.032 10.072 0.000 0.289 0.031 9.316 0.000 Water & sewage (DV) 0.289 Mowing and code enforcement (DV) 0.271 Trash collection (DV) 0.263 0.032 9.160 0.000 0.031 8.748 0.000 0.033 7.915 0.000 Feeling safe Traffic management (DV) (DV) 0.239 0.032 7.404 0.000 Non-police contact concerns (DV) -0.092 0.031 -3.006 0.003 Customer service concerns (DV) -0.209 0.035 -6.039 0.000 Table 7. Factors Influencing the Perception of Being Informed DV: Feeling Informed Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value Female 0.011 0.030 0.373 0.709 AGE 0.056 0.033 1.714 0.086 EDUCATION -0.097 0.033 -2.933 0.003 INCOME 0.007 0.034 0.199 0.842 RESIDENCE YEAR -0.040 0.031 -1.296 0.195 NEIGHBORHODD -0.029 0.029 -0.994 0.320 HOUSE OWNER -0.032 0.034 -0.941 0.346 BLACK -0.048 0.033 -1.445 0.149 HISPANIC -0.052 0.030 -1.738 0.082 CONTACT POLICE -0.005 0.035 -0.152 0.879 CONTACTBYPOLICE -0.098 0.033 -2.982 0.003 15 Tables 8A-8L show the impact of different demographic and socio-economic factors on the satisfaction of various services, after controlling for the information effect. Our results show that residents in nicer neighborhoods tend to have lower rating of the police; females tend to feel less safe and have lower satisfaction with parks and recreational services, mowing and neighborhood code enforcement issues; but African Americans tend to have a significantly stronger feeling of safety in the city. These findings may reflect different expectations of city services and are consistent with previous studies. A major positive factor on city service ratings, besides the information factor, is education. It is positively related to most service ratings, including public safety, traffic flow, street conditions, water and sewage services, city cleanliness, parks and recreation. This may reflect that more educated citizens tend to appreciate the challenges and value of public services more. Our model also controls for activeness in community participation. To our surprise, it shows negative impact on a few services. It increases significantly the concerns of customer service and the concerns of non-police departmental contacts with citizens. It also reduces the satisfaction of neighborhood mowing and clean-up issues. The only exception is fire and emergency medical services, which is positively related to participatory activeness. These findings may reflect the fact that active citizens who read the local newspaper more, visit with their elected officials, and actively seek out information on the governmental website are more likely to have issues with some governmental services. As a result, they are less satisfied, especially with neighborhood issues and customer services. 16 Table 8A. Factors Influencing Public Safety Satisfaction Standardized Coefficient DV: Public safety satisfaction index Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value Feeling informed 0.419 0.031 13.329 0.000 Participatory activeness 0.052 0.043 1.207 0.228 FEMALE 0.011 0.023 0.479 0.632 AGE 0.058 0.025 2.322 0.020 EDUCATION 0.065 0.026 2.538 0.011 INCOME -0.006 0.026 -0.231 0.817 YEARS OF RESIDENCE 0.033 0.024 1.350 0.177 NEIGHBORHOOD -0.040 0.023 -1.720 0.085 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.030 0.026 1.162 0.245 BLACK -0.020 0.026 -0.788 0.430 HISPANIC 0.012 0.023 0.517 0.605 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE -0.053 0.031 -1.717 0.086 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.101 0.028 -3.622 0.000 Table 8B. Factors Influencing Traffic Management Satisfaction Standardized Coefficient DV: Traffic satisfaction index management Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.289 0.031 9.316 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS 0.002 0.039 0.042 0.967 FEMALE -0.040 0.023 -1.714 0.087 AGE -0.049 0.026 -1.889 0.059 EDUCATION 0.060 0.027 2.238 0.025 INCOME 0.002 0.027 0.062 0.951 YEARS OF RESIDENCE -0.015 0.025 -0.620 0.535 NEIGHBORHOOD -0.038 0.024 -1.622 0.105 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.011 0.026 0.432 0.666 BLACK 0.118 0.022 5.281 0.000 HISPANIC 0.047 0.022 2.128 0.033 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE 0.014 0.030 0.458 0.647 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.011 0.027 -0.420 0.675 17 Table 8C. Factors Influencing Street Condition Satisfaction Standardized Coefficient DV: Street condition satisfaction Estimate index S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.346 0.031 11.313 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS -0.036 0.036 -0.982 0.326 FEMALE -0.017 0.023 -0.724 0.469 AGE -0.002 0.025 -0.065 0.948 EDUCATION 0.062 0.026 2.343 0.019 INCOME 0.009 0.027 0.348 0.728 YEARS OF RESIDENCE -0.018 0.025 -0.705 0.481 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.010 0.024 0.440 0.660 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.027 0.027 0.997 0.319 BLACK 0.001 0.026 0.052 0.959 HISPANIC 0.059 0.020 2.922 0.003 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE 0.016 0.027 0.595 0.552 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.065 0.026 -2.475 0.013 Table 8D. Factors Influencing Satisfaction of Fire and EMS Services Standardized Coefficient DV: fire & EMS satisfaction index Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.324 0.032 10.072 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS 0.123 0.045 2.763 0.006 FEMALE -0.014 0.023 -0.598 0.550 AGE 0.066 0.026 2.575 0.010 EDUCATION -0.003 0.027 -0.112 0.911 INCOME -0.082 0.027 -2.987 0.003 YEARS OF RESIDENCE 0.113 0.025 4.503 0.000 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.019 0.023 0.814 0.415 HOUSE OWNERSHIP -0.032 0.027 -1.173 0.241 BLACK -0.016 0.024 -0.672 0.502 HISPANIC -0.059 0.023 -2.493 0.013 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE -0.052 0.031 -1.649 0.099 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE 0.028 0.028 1.016 0.309 18 Table 8E. Factors Influencing Satisfaction of Water and Sewage Services Standardized Coefficient DV: water & sewage satisfaction Estimate index S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.289 0.032 9.160 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS -0.014 0.042 -0.339 0.735 FEMALE 0.016 0.024 0.690 0.490 AGE -0.048 0.026 -1.837 0.066 EDUCATION 0.066 0.027 2.439 0.015 INCOME 0.108 0.025 4.223 0.000 YEARS OF RESIDENCE 0.052 0.026 2.031 0.042 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.036 0.024 1.520 0.129 HOUSE OWNERSHIP -0.006 0.027 -0.220 0.826 BLACK -0.064 0.026 -2.470 0.014 HISPANIC -0.045 0.022 -1.991 0.046 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE -0.017 0.028 -0.599 0.549 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE 0.011 0.027 0.406 0.684 Table 8F. Factors Influencing Satisfaction of Trash collection and city cleanliness Standardized Coefficient DV: Cleanliness satisfaction index Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.263 0.033 7.915 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS 0.024 0.039 0.607 0.544 FEMALE 0.006 0.024 0.259 0.796 AGE -0.010 0.027 -0.391 0.696 EDUCATION 0.049 0.027 1.854 0.064 INCOME -0.015 0.027 -0.569 0.569 YEARS OF RESIDENCE -0.020 0.023 -0.841 0.400 NEIGHBORHOOD -0.009 0.023 -0.382 0.702 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.002 0.028 0.080 0.936 BLACK -0.036 0.026 -1.419 0.156 HISPANIC -0.026 0.022 -1.209 0.227 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE 0.009 0.027 0.329 0.742 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.048 0.027 -1.797 0.072 19 Table 8G. Factors Influencing Satisfaction of Parks and Recreation Services Standardized Coefficient DV: Parks & Recreation satisfaction Estimate index S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.458 0.031 14.559 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS 0.076 0.047 1.621 0.105 FEMALE -0.052 0.022 -2.339 0.019 AGE -0.020 0.025 -0.802 0.422 EDUCATION 0.071 0.026 2.742 0.006 INCOME 0.019 0.028 0.686 0.493 YEARS OF RESIDENCE -0.012 0.023 -0.541 0.588 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.005 0.024 0.193 0.847 HOUSE OWNERSHIP -0.012 0.027 -0.459 0.647 BLACK -0.081 0.027 -3.025 0.002 HISPANIC -0.050 0.022 -2.235 0.025 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE -0.005 0.030 -0.166 0.868 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.038 0.028 -1.369 0.171 Table 8H. Factors Influencing Satisfaction with City Image Standardized Coefficient DV: City image satisfaction Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.496 0.030 16.614 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS -0.031 0.042 -0.738 0.461 FEMALE 0.010 0.022 0.448 0.654 AGE -0.006 0.026 -0.218 0.828 EDUCATION 0.036 0.025 1.413 0.158 INCOME -0.019 0.027 -0.718 0.472 YEARS OF RESIDENCE -0.026 0.024 -1.087 0.277 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.004 0.022 0.185 0.853 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.010 0.026 0.371 0.711 BLACK -0.035 0.024 -1.446 0.148 HISPANIC 0.015 0.018 0.809 0.419 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE 0.026 0.029 0.896 0.370 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.081 0.026 -3.107 0.002 20 21 Table 8I. Factors Influencing Public Feeling of Safety Standardized Coefficient DV: Index of Feeling Safe Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.239 0.032 7.404 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS 0.045 0.041 1.102 0.271 FEMALE -0.208 0.022 -9.533 0.000 AGE -0.090 0.025 -3.561 0.000 EDUCATION 0.102 0.026 3.967 0.000 INCOME 0.193 0.025 7.668 0.000 YEARS OF RESIDENCE -0.007 0.024 -0.290 0.772 NEIGHBORHOOD -0.010 0.024 -0.413 0.679 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.025 0.026 0.979 0.328 BLACK 0.072 0.025 2.855 0.004 HISPANIC 0.012 0.026 0.462 0.644 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE -0.058 0.027 -2.132 0.033 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.068 0.026 -2.641 0.008 Table 8J. Factors Influencing Customer Service Concerns Standardized Coefficient DV: Index of customer service Estimate concerns S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED -0.209 0.035 -6.039 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS 0.140 0.050 2.788 0.005 FEMALE -0.005 0.023 -0.210 0.834 AGE 0.011 0.027 0.417 0.677 EDUCATION -0.037 0.026 -1.408 0.159 INCOME -0.005 0.027 -0.184 0.854 YEARS OF RESIDENCE 0.013 0.024 0.529 0.597 NEIGHBORHOOD -0.022 0.022 -1.033 0.302 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.003 0.026 0.111 0.912 BLACK 0.048 0.026 1.822 0.068 HISPANIC -0.002 0.021 -0.100 0.920 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE 0.059 0.040 1.483 0.138 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.009 0.027 -0.340 0.734 22 23 Table 8K. Factors Influencing Non-Police Contact Concerns Standardized Coefficient DV: Index of non-police contact Estimate concerns S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED -0.092 0.031 -3.006 0.003 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS 0.249 0.063 3.923 0.000 FEMALE -0.032 0.024 -1.333 0.183 AGE -0.014 0.024 -0.571 0.568 EDUCATION -0.032 0.027 -1.189 0.234 INCOME 0.016 0.025 0.660 0.509 YEARS OF RESIDENCE 0.000 0.025 0.008 0.993 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.007 0.022 0.322 0.748 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.016 0.023 0.717 0.474 BLACK 0.009 0.022 0.405 0.686 HISPANIC 0.002 0.019 0.113 0.910 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE 0.051 0.048 1.060 0.289 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE 0.039 0.029 1.313 0.189 Table 8L. Factors Influencing Satisfaction with Neighborhood Mowing and Code Enforcement Standardized Coefficient DV: Index of non-police contact Estimate concerns S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEELING INFORMED 0.271 0.031 8.748 0.000 PARTICIPATORY ACTIVENESS -0.066 0.038 -1.738 0.082 FEMALE -0.055 0.023 -2.376 0.017 AGE -0.061 0.026 -2.388 0.017 EDUCATION 0.014 0.027 0.534 0.594 INCOME 0.029 0.027 1.075 0.282 YEARS OF RESIDENCE -0.068 0.025 -2.677 0.007 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.040 0.024 1.711 0.087 HOUSE OWNERSHIP -0.045 0.026 -1.715 0.086 BLACK -0.027 0.025 -1.075 0.282 HISPANIC 0.001 0.021 0.036 0.971 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE -0.021 0.027 -0.779 0.436 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE -0.020 0.026 -0.748 0.454 24 25 Finally, we examine the factors that influence the respondents’ activeness in community participation. The results in Table 9 show that people who are more educated, have higher income, live in nicer neighborhood, or own a house are more likely to be active participants. The findings are consistent with studies of urban regime theories, which show that lower income residents face more socio-economic constraints in public affairs involvement while residents of higher socio-economic status tend to have greater voice in local policy decision-making (Stone, 1980). Interestingly, the results also show that if residents have contacted the police or have been contacted by the police, they are more likely to be engaged in public affairs. Again, this confirms the fact that citizens who have issues with the government are more likely to voice their concerns and participate in community affairs, and these citizens tend to be less satisfied with government services, unless they are more informed by the government. Table 9. Factors Influencing Activeness in Community Participation Standardized Coefficient DV: Index of activeness in Estmate S.E. Est./S.E. P-Value FEMALE -0.047 0.028 -1.682 0.092 AGE 0.044 0.030 1.458 0.145 EDUCATION 0.118 0.031 3.775 0.000 INCOME 0.101 0.031 3.239 0.001 YEARS OF RESIDENCE 0.051 0.026 1.961 0.050 NEIGHBORHOOD 0.060 0.027 2.251 0.024 HOUSE OWNERSHIP 0.079 0.026 2.987 0.003 BLACK 0.020 0.027 0.744 0.457 HISPANIC 0.004 0.015 0.261 0.794 CONTACTED POLICE BEFORE 0.353 0.051 6.992 0.000 CONTACTED BY POLICE BEFORE 0.176 0.033 5.424 0.000 community participation Discussion The findings above confirm our communicative theory of government performance. The positive impact of information on citizen satisfaction is 26 significant across all services. When compared with other socio-economic and demographic factors, the impact is usually the most important positive factor that can mitigate other negative factors, such as the impact of police contacts. We also find that the information impact is particularly strong in services that have greater publicness and transaction cost problems. The best examples are city image building and public safety. This finding is understandable because in services like these, city officials need to engage the public more proactively, explaining the logics behind their policy actions, and showing what they have done and accomplished. It may also be necessary to explain to the public what challenges they face in delivering these services and how the City has tried to overcome these challenges through governmental actions and public-private partnerships. Otherwise, citizens may not appreciate fully what government officials have done for them and how the tax money is used since the results of these services are not highly measurable and obvious to the general public, and there are many external factors that may influence the outcomes of these services. Our findings also show another interesting dimension of public communication and engagement – in general, residents who have been contacted by the police tend to feel that they are less informed. Also, they are not only more negative about public safety, but also negative about the city image, street conditions, and cleanliness. It is interesting to notice that these services tend to have greater measurability problems and publicness. As a result, citizens may rely more heavily on their own subjective perception to judge the performance of these services. The findings reflect that there is a certain degree of negative “spill-over” feeling of the police actions on other programs and departments. If a resident is contacted by the police because of some personal problems or law enforcement issues, he or she is likely to view the city government as a whole more negatively, and this negative feeling is not limited only to the police department but is likely to spread over other services and programs. These findings have significant implications for local officials today. First, the need to think about information and communication effectiveness is particularly relevant and significant in today’s political and media environment. Citizens do not lack information about public policies and the roles of the government. However, the problem of information overload, the fragmentation of the mass media, and the ideological biases in many media channels may actually hurt the public feeling that they are truly informed about government performance. In response to these problems, it is important for the government to take a proactive stand and communicate with the public more. Otherwise, many citizens may receive only 27 biased or fragmented opinions from the mass media or through the internet, and may not fully appreciate what various public services have done for the community. In today’s fiscal environment, in which many government agencies have to cut back many program spending, including public communication and reporting, the findings here may deserve special attention of budgeters and policymakers. Furthermore, our findings indicate that government officials need to be more sensitive about the differences in informational needs among various profiles of residents. For example, while the more educated tend to have more positive views of public services, they also have higher expectations of being informed, and if the latter is done poorly, the negative impact of poor communication may outweigh the positive impact of education on various service satisfaction ratings. We also find that residents who are younger or are Hispanic are more likely to feel less informed. This may be because they face more time constraints because of work, or they may be less interested in the traditional media commonly used by the government. Some Hispanic residents may also have language barriers in understanding government policies and public information. Fortunately, the social media and mobile communication technologies may offer new possibilities of communication with these groups more cost-effectively and conveniently. So how to use different media platform to engage different profiles of citizens may be a management challenge that government officials should pay more attention to in the 21st century. Finally, it is interesting to notice that prior contacts with the police and being contacted by the police tend to have a significantly negative impact on citizens’ ratings of customer services and neighborhood code enforcement issues. These residents are also more likely to participate in community affairs, such as contacting the offices of elected officials and seeking governmental information more actively. At the same time, those who have been contacted by the police are more likely to blame the government and feel that they are less informed. All these findings suggest that government officials need to think more creatively about how to communicate with the residents who have been contacted by the police and to channel their anger, disappointment, and grievances more positively. The police department plays a key role in the public relations of a city government. They are indeed the “public face” of the city and get the public and media attention most frequently. If the police-citizen contacts are managed poorly, there may be potentially negative spillover effects on other departments’ performance. 28 Conclusion In the new era of communication and social media, in which the public is bombed by many confusing, conflicting, unfair, and inaccurate information about government policies and program results, government officials should no longer stay passive and ignore the importance of communication with the public. Using a citizen survey data from the City of Tulsa, this paper shows that effective public communication has a direct and significant impact on citizen satisfaction with many public services, even after controlling for their socio-economic, demographic, and neighborhood background that may influence the public’s expectation and access to services. The impact of communication effectiveness is especially strong for services that have high publicness, more diffused personal impact, and less measurability. For these services, the government needs to pay even more attention to not just what they do and deliver, but also to what they say and how they let the public know about what they have done. From this perspective, performance management today should be more than just managing the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of services. If policymakers want to connect service outcomes with citizen satisfaction, and if program managers want to make performance measurement more relevant in the political process, how to communicate more effectively with the public about service outcomes and how to manage the public’s expectations and satisfaction are also important tasks, especially in the era of information revolution we face today. While this paper has proven the critical but often overlooked linkage between communication effectiveness and perceived government performance, many questions about the relationship between communication, performance management, and citizen satisfaction remain. 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