Section 3- Module 10 MEASURING THE ECONOMY’S PERFORMANCE BY J. A. SACCO MODULE 10 The Simple Circular Flow National Income Accounting Three Main Methods of Measuring GDP MEASURING THE ECONOMY’S PERFORMANCE National Income Accounting : To measure a nations income and its components. To measure an aggregate performance. This module deals with the methods of measuring an economy's performance and economic activity First need to look at the flow of goods and services from businesses to consumers and payments from consumers to businesses that constitutes economic activity. THE CIRCULAR FLOW DIAGRAM Two Markets Product Market Households are the buyers Businesses are the sellers Households buy consumers goods/services Pay money to businesses for those goods/services Households create the demand Businesses are the suppliers Total Output- Total Monetary value of all goods and services Resource Market Businesses are the buyers Households are the sellers Households sell their resources such as labor, land, capital, and entrepreneurship. Businesses are the buyers of these resources. These expenditures (payments) become income for households Total Income- wages, rents, interest, profits. The cost of producing entire output of goods and services THE CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND PRODUCT Businesses Households THE CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND PRODUCT Businesses Households THE CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND PRODUCT Businesses Households THE CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND PRODUCT Businesses Households THE CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND PRODUCT Businesses Households THE SIMPLE CIRCULAR FLOW Two Observations 1) In every economic exchange, the seller receives exactly the same amount that the buyer spends 2) Goods and services flow in one direction and money payments flow in the other. Total Income = Total Output THE SIMPLE CIRCULAR FLOW Product Markets Businesses Households Transactions in which households buy goods THE SIMPLE CIRCULAR FLOW Final Goods and Services Businesses Households Goods and services that are at their final stage of production and will not be transformed into yet other goods or services THE SIMPLE CIRCULAR FLOW Factor Markets Businesses Households Transactions in which business buy resources THE SIMPLE CIRCULAR FLOW Total Income Businesses Households The yearly amount earned by the nation’s factors of production THE SIMPLE CIRCULAR FLOW Question Businesses Households Why must total income be identical to the dollar value of total output? WHY THE DOLLAR VALUE OF OUTPUT MUST ALWAYS EQUAL TOTAL INCOME? Problem: Total output (Product Market) = $1,000 Total income (Resource Market)- wages, rents, interest for that output = $900 Why the discrepancy? Profit Always the residual item that makes Total output = Total Income GDP- THREE METHODS Method 2Expenditure Approach Method 3Income Approach Method 1- Value Added Approach 18 NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING Gross Domestic Product (GDP) The total market value of all final goods and services produced by factors of production located within a nation’s borders during a given period . GDP measures the dollar value of output GDP measures the dollar value of final goods and services GDP is a Flow! The key to calculating GDP is in determining what is counted and what is not counted. 19 NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING Stress of Final Output What is a final good? Wheat? Steel? Oil? Bread? Automobile? Gasoline? NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING Intermediate Goods not counted! Goods used up entirely in the production of final goods Only final goods are counted in GDP. If you count intermediate goods you are guilty of double counting We must look at the value added (METHOD 1) The amount of dollars contributed to a product at each stage of development, not the dollar value of each sale. GDP- VALUE ADDED APPROACH Value Added Approach SALES VALUE AND VALUE ADDED AT EACH STAGE OF DONUT PRODUCTION Stage of Production Dollar Value of Sales Value Added $.01 Stage 1: Fertilizer and Seed $.01 Stage 2: Growing .02 Stage 3: Milling .04 Stage 4: Baking .10 Stage 5: Retailing .15 Total dollar value of all sales $.32 $.01 $.02 $.06 $.05 Total value added $.15 Value added is what must be calculated! NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING NOT INCLUDED – NOTHING BEING PRODUCED! Financial Transactions 1) Securities Stocks and bonds 2) Government Transfer Payments Social security Unemployment compensation 3) Private Transfer Payments Individual gifts Corporate gifts NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING Transfer of Secondhand Goods Why not count the sale of a used car, stereo, or snowboard as part of GDP? Other Excluded Transactions Household production Legal underground transactions Illegal underground transactions What Should Be Included in GDP? A painter purchases new paintbrushes for his business. The services of an accountant. A purchase of a new automobile. A Social Security check paid to a retired worker. The sale of a new home. An increase in business inventories. The government’s purchase of a new fighter jet. Unemployment paid to a laid-off worker. The wood the carpenter purchases to build a cabinet. The money you get from your parents for cutting the lawn. GDP-EXPENDITURE APPROACH Method 2Expenditure Approach 27 EXPENDITURE APPROACH Expenditure Approach A way of computing national income by adding up the dollar value at current market prices of all final goods and services. 28 EXPENDITURE APPROACH Businesses Expenditure Approach Households 29 EXPENDITURE APPROACH Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach Consumption Expenditure (C) Durables Life span of more than three years Nondurables Life span of less than three years Services Intangible commodities 30 TWO MAIN METHODS OF MEASURING GDP Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach Gross Private Domestic Investment What (I) producers do to add to productive capacity The creation of capital goods, such as factories and machines, that can yield production and hence consumption in the future 31 TWO MAIN METHODS OF MEASURING GDP Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach Gross Private Domestic Investment Fixed (I) Investment- Producer durables/capital goods Inventory Investment- Final product that is held in inventory waiting to be sold. Hold inventories of their product to meet future expected orders. Inventories include all finished goods on hand, goods in process, and raw materials. Counted towards present GDP but subtracted when sold. New Residential Structures are part of I, not part of C. 32 TWO MAIN METHODS OF MEASURING GDP Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach Government State, Expenditures local, and federal Valued at cost (G) 33 EXPENDITURE APPROACH Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach Net Exports (Foreign Expenditures) (X-M) Net exports ( X ) total exports - total imports THE COMPONENTS OF GDP Repetez: GDP is total spending. (Expenditure) Four components: Consumption (C) Investment (I) Government Purchases (G) Net Exports (X-M) These components add up to GDP (denoted Y): Y = C + I + G + (X-M) MEASURING U.S. GDP The Expenditure Approach Measures GDP by using data on consumption expenditure, investment, government expenditure on goods and services, and net exports. 36 GDP AND ITS COMPONENTS GDP BY THE INCOME APPROACH Called GDI (Gross Domestic Income) We have looked at GDP through the “product market” of the Circular Flow Diagram. Now look at the Resource (Factor) Market or the Income Approach to determine national accounting of the macroeconomy. GDI=GDP 38 TWO MAIN METHODS OF MEASURING GDP Income Approach A way of measuring national income by adding up income received by all factors of production 39 GDP BY THE INCOME APPROACH Income Approach Businesses Households GDP- INCOME APPROACH Method 3Income Approach GDP BY THE INCOME APPROACH Gross Domestic Income (GDI) 1) Wages- All wages, salaries, incentive payments, social security taxes of both employer/employee 2) Interest (Net Interest) Interest Received ─── Interest Paid • Savings accounts Interest on mortgages • CD’s Credit Cards • Interest Bearing Acc’ts Loans GDP BY THE INCOME APPROACH 3) Rent- All income earned by individuals for the use of their assets • Farms, Houses, Stores, royalties from copyrights/patents, oil wells 4) Profits- Total Gross Corporate Profits plus proprietor’s income or unincorporated businesses such as sole proprietorships, partnerships, and producer’s cooperatives. GDP BY THE INCOME APPROACH W+I+R+P Actual factor payments made to owners of the factors of production. GDP AND GDI Regardless: GDP = (Expenditure) GDI (Income) GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS DOMESTIC INCOME, 1998 (IN BILLIONS OF 1998 DOLLARS PER YEAR) Expenditure Point of View--Product Flow Expenditures by Different Sectors: Household sector Personal consumption expenses $5,659.4 Government sector Purchase of goods and services 1,466.4 Business sector Gross private domestic investment (including depreciation) 1,329.8 Foreign sector Net exports of goods and services -123.4 Gross Domestic Product $8,332.2 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS DOMESTIC INCOME, 1998 (IN BILLIONS OF 1998 DOLLARS PER YEAR) Income Point of View--Cost Flow Domestic Income (at Factor Cost): Wages All wages, salaries, and supplemental employee compensation Rent All rental income of individuals plus implicit rent on owner-occupied dwellings Interest Net interest paid by business Profit Proprietorial income Corporate profits before taxes deducted Nonincome expense items Indirect business taxes and other adjustments Depreciation Statistical discrepancy Gross Domestic Product $4,901.4 142.8 464.7 519.7 701.3 730.8 951.3 -79.8 $8,332.2