Basic Business Statistics Chapter 1:Introduction and Data Collection Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Learning Objectives In this chapter you will learn 2 How Statistics is used in business The sources of data used in business The types of data used in business The basics of Microsoft Excel The basics of Minitab Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Why Learn Statistics? Chap 1-3 So you are able to make better sense of the ubiquitous use of numbers: Business memos Business research Technical reports Technical journals Newspaper articles Magazine articles Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı What is statistics? Chap 1-4 A branch of mathematics taking and transforming numbers into useful information for decision makers Methods for processing & analyzing numbers Methods for helping reduce the uncertainty inherent in decision making Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Why Study Statistics? Chap 1-5 Decision Makers Use Statistics To: Present and describe business data and information properly Draw conclusions about large groups of individuals or items, using information collected from subsets of the individuals or items. Make reliable forecasts about a business activity Improve business processes Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Types of Statistics Chap 1-6 Statistics The branch of mathematics that transforms data into useful information for decision makers. Descriptive Statistics Collecting, summarizing, and describing data Inferential Statistics Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions concerning a population based only on sample data Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Descriptive Statistics Chap 1-7 Collect data e.g., Present data e.g., Survey Tables and graphs Characterize data e.g., Sample mean = X i n Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Inferential Statistics Chap 1-8 Estimation e.g., Estimate the population mean weight using the sample mean weight Hypothesis testing e.g., Test the claim that the population mean weight is 120 pounds Drawing conclusions about a large group of individuals based on a subset of the large group. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Basic Vocabulary of Statistics Chap 1-9 VARIABLE A variable is a characteristic of an item or individual. DATA Data are the different values associated with a variable. OPERATIONAL DEFINITIONS Data values are meaningless unless their variables have operational definitions, universally accepted meanings that are clear to all associated with an analysis. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Basic Vocabulary of Statistics Chap 110 POPULATION A population consists of all the items or individuals about which you want to draw a conclusion. SAMPLE A sample is the portion of a population selected for analysis. PARAMETER A parameter is a numerical measure that describes a characteristic of a population. STATISTIC A statistic is a numerical measure that describes a characteristic of a sample. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Why Collect Data? Chap 111 Examples Of Business Objectives: A marketing research analyst needs to assess the effectiveness of a new television advertisement. A pharmaceutical manufacturer needs to determine whether a new drug is more effective than those currently in use. An operations manager wants to monitor a manufacturing process to find out whether the quality of the product being manufactured is conforming to company standards. An auditor wants to review the financial transactions of a company in order to determine whether the company is in compliance with generally accepted accounting principles. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Collecting Data Correctly Is A Critical Task Chap 112 Need to avoid data flawed by biases, ambiguities, or other types of errors. Results from flawed data will be suspect or in error. Even the most sophisticated statistical methods are not very useful when the data is flawed. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Sources of Data Chap 113 Primary Sources: The data collector is the one using the data for analysis Data from a political survey Data collected from an experiment Observed data Secondary Sources: The person performing data analysis is not the data collector Analyzing census data Examining data from print journals or data published on the internet. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Sources of data fall into five categories Chap 114 Data distributed by an organization or an individual The outcomes of a designed experiment The responses from a survey The results of conducting an observational study Data collected by ongoing business activities Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Examples Of Data Distributed By Organizations or Individuals Chap 115 Financial data on a company provided by investment services. Industry or market data from market research firms and trade associations. Stock prices, weather conditions, and sports statistics in daily newspapers. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Examples of Data From A Designed Experiment Chap 116 Consumer testing of different versions of a product to help determine which product should be pursued further. Material testing to determine which supplier’s material should be used in a product. Market testing on alternative product promotions to determine which promotion to use more broadly. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Examples of Survey Data Chap 117 A survey asking people which laundry detergent has the best stain-removing abilities Political polls of registered voters during political campaigns. People being surveyed to determine their satisfaction with a recent product or service experience. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Examples of Data Collected From Observational Studies Chap 118 Market researchers utilizing focus groups to elicit unstructured responses to open-ended questions. Measuring the time it takes for customers to be served in a fast food establishment. Measuring the volume of traffic through an intersection to determine if some form of advertising at the intersection is justified. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Examples of Data Collected From Ongoing Business Activities Chap 119 A bank studies years of financial transactions to help them identify patterns of fraud. Economists utilize data on searches done via Google to help forecast future economic conditions. Marketing companies use tracking data to evaluate the effectiveness of a web site. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Population vs. Sample Chap 120 Population Measures used to describe the population are called parameters Sample Measures computed from sample data are called statistics Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Types of Variables Chap 121 Categorical (qualitative) variables have values that can only be placed into categories, such as “yes” and “no.” Numerical (quantitative) variables have values that represent quantities. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Types of Data Chap 122 Data Categorical Numerical Examples: Marital Status Political Party Eye Color (Defined categories) Discrete Examples: Number of Children Defects per hour (Counted items) Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Continuous Examples: Weight Voltage (Measured characteristics) Levels of Measurement Chap 123 A nominal scale classifies data into distinct categories in which no ranking is implied. Categorical Variables Categories Personal Computer Ownership Yes / No Type of Stocks Owned Growth Value Other Internet Provider Microsoft Network / AOL/ Other Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Levels of Measurement Chap 124 An ordinal scale classifies data into distinct categories in which ranking is implied Categorical Variable Ordered Categories Student class designation Freshman, Sophomore, Junior, Senior Product satisfaction Satisfied, Neutral, Unsatisfied Faculty rank Professor, Associate Professor, Assistant Professor, Instructor Standard & Poor’s bond ratings AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, B, CCC, CC, C, DDD, DD, D Student Grades A, B, C, D, F Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Levels of Measurement Chap 125 An interval scale is an ordered scale in which the difference between measurements is a meaningful quantity but the measurements do not have a true zero point. A ratio scale is an ordered scale in which the difference between the measurements is a meaningful quantity and the measurements have a true zero point. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Interval and Ratio Scales Chap 126 Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Personal Computer Programs Used For Statistics Chap 127 Minitab Microsoft Excel A statistical package to perform statistical analysis Designed to perform analysis as accurately as possible A multi-functional data analysis tool Can perform many functions but none as well as programs that are dedicated to a single function. Both Minitab and Excel use worksheets to store data Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Minitab & Microsoft Excel Terms Chap 128 When you use Minitab or Microsoft Excel, you place the data you have collected in worksheets. The intersections of the columns and rows of worksheets form boxes called cells. If you want to refer to a group of cells that forms a contiguous rectangular area, you can use a cell range. Worksheets exist inside a workbook in Excel and inside a Project in Minitab. Both worksheets and projects can contain both data, summaries, and charts. Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı You are using programs properly if you can Chap 129 Understand how to operate the program Understand the underlying statistical concepts Understand how to organize and present information Know how to review results for errors Make secure and clearly named backups of your work Basic Business Statistics, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mustafa Yüzükırmızı Summary Chart In this chapter we have: Reviewed why a manager needs to know statistics Introduced key definitions: Population vs. Sample, Primary vs. Secondary data types, Categorical vs. Numerical data Examined descriptive vs. Inferential statistics Reviewed data types and measurement levels Discussed Minitab and Microsoft Excel terms