The Nuclear Renaissance: A Resurgence of Nuclear Energy Jim Reinsch President, Bechtel Nuclear Power Board of Directors, Nuclear Energy Institute President-Elect, American Nuclear Society 6987-2/05-Michigan-1 Acknowlegements Steve L. Stamm, P.E. Nuclear Business Manager Stone & Webster Power Division 6987-2/05-Michigan-2 Outline ANS representation: Massachusetts Institute of Technology Shaw Stone & Webster Framatome ANP Seabrook Station University of Massachusetts, Lowell Resurgence of Nuclear Energy Role of American Nuclear Society 6987-2/05-Michigan-3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Ranked 5th by U.S. News and World Report 10,000 students 900 faculty 32 majors 5 schools Milestones: Penicillin Vitamin A 6987-2/05-Michigan-4 Shaw Stone & Webster Shaw Group formed in 1987 One of Fortune's Top 500 companies Stone & Webster founded in 1889 18,000 employees Provides multi-services Engineering Design Construction Maintenance 6987-2/05-Michigan-5 Seabrook Station Majority owner— Florida Power and Light (FPL) C.O.— August 1990 1,161 MW Largest reactor in New England Provides about 7 % of region’s electricity 6987-2/05-Michigan-6 University of Massachusetts, Lowell Founded in 1894 12,000 students Member of the University of Massachusetts system, 1991 $300 million in annual research One of the 50 best universities in the world by Times of London 6987-2/05-Michigan-7 Framatome ANP Jointly-owned subsidiary with AREVA and Siemens World leader in: Engineering design and construction of nuclear power plants and research reactors Modernization, maintenance and repair services Component manufacturing Supply of nuclear fuel Manufacturing facilities in over 40 countries 6987-2/05-Michigan-8 Resurgence of Nuclear Energy 6987-2/05-Michigan-9 Worldwide Perspective NASA 6987-2/05-Michigan-10 World View Global electricity demand to increase 50% by 2025 1.6%/yr for industrial world 3.6%/yr for developing world Demand Trillion kWh 1850 1950 1990 2000 2050 2100 Year 6987-2/05-Michigan-11 Environment Global Average Temperature 58 °F Cause of Disruption Emissions from CO2 from fossil fuel Fossil fuel 57 °F 56 °F 1880 1894 1964 1978 1992 1999 5-year surface annual mean Source: NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies 1908 1922 1936 1950 Global Emissions and Atmospheric Concentration of CO2 3000 Atmospheric concentrations derived from ice cores 350 300 1000 1790 1815 1840 1865 400 Emissions 1890 1915 1940 1975 1990 Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center 250 Atmospheric Concentration (ppm) 5000 Atmospheric concentrations measured directly 80% of world’s energy 80% of new capacity brought on line in 2003 EPRI 7000 Emissions (MMTC) Nuclear Limits greenhouse gas emissions 6987-2/05-Michigan-12 Environment 2 x CO2 of Existing Levels 4 x CO2 of Existing Levels 2030 2100 EPRI Temperature Rise -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 6987-2/05-Michigan-13 Nuclear Drivers Why Nuclear: Safe Proven performance Affordable Energy security/energy independence Emission free Abundant fuel and stable prices 6987-2/05-Michigan-14 World View World nuclear generation sets record in 2004 383,629 MW 2,696 MMWh 3.7% increase Led by: Record setting performance • U.S. • Sweden Restart of units in: • Japan • Canada Commissioning of new units • South Korea • Ukraine 6987-2/05-Michigan-15 World View 440 nuclear power plants 16% of world’s electricity Displaces 2 billion metric tons of CO2 6987-2/05-Michigan-16 The Renaissance Begins 5 Other 3 30 Projects Underway in 2004 Russia 3 China 3 Japan 8 Korea 8 Europe 6987-2/05-Michigan-17 Nuclear Overview: Pacific Basin 6987-2/05-Michigan-18 Pacific Basin Asia fastest growing market East and South Asia 100 plants in operation 20 under construction 40 to 60 planned Represents 36% of the world’s new capacity growth 6987-2/05-Michigan-19 Pacific Basin Greatest growth China Japan Pacific Ocean South Korea India Indian Ocean 6987-2/05-Michigan-20 China Perspective 6987-2/05-Michigan-21 Quick Facts World’s largest population China = 1.3 billion U.S. = 0.3 billion Second largest energy consumer U.S. = 25% of world total China = 10% of world total 6987-2/05-Michigan-22 Quick Facts 2003 10% increase in generation capacity 17% increase in demand 15,000 MW shortage 2004 9% increase in generation capacity 16% increase in demand 30,000 MW shortage 6987-2/05-Michigan-23 Energy Portfolio 2% Nuclear Total Electrical Generation Hydro Coal Fuel Coal Hydro Nuclear Percent 80 18 2 6987-2/05-Michigan-24 China’s Plan Harbin WaFangDian 6x1000MW PWR Beijing HaiYang 6x1000MW PWR TianWan 6x1000MW VVER Qinshan I 1x300MW PWR Chengdu Shanghai Qinshan II 2x600MW PWR Qinshan III 2x665MW HWR Qinshan IV 2x1000MW PWR Sanmen 6x1000MW PWR Fuzhou Shenzhen HuiAn 6x1000MW PWR Operation Daya Bay 2x944MW PWR LingAo 2x950MW PWR Under Construction Hong Kong LingDong 2x1000MW PWR Planning YangJiang 6x1000MW PWR 6987-2/05-Michigan-25 Near-Term Plan PWR technology selected National Nuclear Steering Committee formed National Development and Reforming Commission (NDRC) has significant role 6987-2/05-Michigan-26 Path Forward Nuclear power to be expanded 6,600 MW to 40,000 MW by 2020 Near-term construction 4 replication units 4 Generation III+ units • 2 at Sanmen • 2 at Yangjiang 6987-2/05-Michigan-27 Current Invitation to Bid (ITB) Heilongjiang Sea of Japan RUSSIA Jilin JAPAN Liaoning NORTH KOREA Beijing MONGOLIA SOUTH KOREA Shandong Inner Mongolia Jiangsu Xinjiang Henan China Yellow Sea Shanghai Anhui Zhejiang Sanmen Nuclear Plant Hubei Qinghai Jiangxi Fujian Sichuan Tibet Taiwan Hunan Guangdong Guizhou Guangxi NEPAL Hong Kong Yunnan BHUTAN VIETNAM INDIA Yangjiang Nuclear Plant BURMA Hainan LAOS South China Sea 6987-2/05-Michigan-28 Status of ITB ITB issued September 28, 2004 PWR technology Westinghouse AREVA Atomstroyexport Construction award December 2005 6987-2/05-Michigan-29 Westinghouse – AP 1000 Passive safety systems permit simplification and improve safety Modularization reduces construction to 36 months NRC design certification provides regulatory certainty: AP 600 — December 1999 AP 1000 — August 2005 Westinghouse 6987-2/05-Michigan-30 AREVA/Framatome ANP — EPR Four loop RCS design Four train safety systems In-containment borated water storage RCS depressurization system Separate buildings for safety trains Advanced “cockpit” control room 48 months from first concrete to CO 6987-2/05-Michigan-31 Atomstroyexport (Russian) VVER-1000 “Evolutionary” design incorporating safety improvements Standardization based on components that performed well on earlier plants (VVER-440) Four loop RCS design Horizontal steam generators Redesigned fuel assemblies 6987-2/05-Michigan-32 World Reactor Technologies Gen III+ Gen IV Today’s Designs Future Designs 6987-2/05-Michigan-33 6926-1/05-Purdue-33 Future Designs Generation IV advanced nuclear reactors (ARS) Six candidates: • Very High Temperature Reactor (VHTR) December 2002 • Gas-cooled Fast Reactor (GFR) • Lead-cooled Fast Reactor (LFR) • Sodium-cooled Fast Reactor (SFR) • Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) • Supercritical Water-cooled Reactor (SCWR) http://nuclear.gov/nerac/ FinalRoadmapforNERACReview.pdf 6987-2/05-Michigan-34 Future Designs — Generation IV - ARS Technology Top priority Next Generation Nuclear Plant • • • • • • High temperature Passive safety Improved economics Demonstrates hydrogen production High efficiency direct-cycle electricity production Nonproliferation Technology suppliers • PBMR (Pty) Ltd. Pebble Bed (PBMR) • AREVA/Framatome ANP ANTARES • General Atomics GT-MHR 6987-2/05-Michigan-35 Future Designs — Next Generation Nuclear Plant (NGNP) PBMR (Pty) Ltd. — Pebble Bed Modular Reactor High temperature (900 °C) helium-cooled reactor TRISO-coated particle fuel in spherical fuel elements On-line refueling Direct cycle gas turbine Inherent passive safety design 6987-2/05-Michigan-36 Future Designs — NGNP AREVA/Framatome ANP — ANTARES design Prismatic core • Low cost • Maximum core design flexibility • Minimum core design uncertainty Indirect cycle • Simplified design Innovative CCGT-based power generation system • Developed with MHI and confirmed by EdF • Maximizes use of existing technology • Combined Brayton and Rankine cycles give high efficiency Readily adaptable to H 2 production 6987-2/05-Michigan-37 Future Designs — NGNP General Atomics — Gas Turbine — Modular Helium Reactor (GT-MHR) Helium cooled reactor • Nonradioactive • High heat capacity Gas turbine • Brayton cycle vs. steam cycle • High efficiency ~ 50% • Modern gas turbine technology Ceramic fuel particles – – – – High temperature capability > 1600 °C Stable graphite core/moderator High fuel burnup capability High proliferation resistance 6987-2/05-Michigan-38 Today’s Design — Generation III+ Advanced Light Water Reactors (ALWRs) Simplified design Standardized designs based on modularization producing shorter construction schedules Enhanced resistance to proliferation Passive systems to enhance safety and reduce cost 6987-2/05-Michigan-39 Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR General Electric ESBWR ABWR+ BNFL/ Westinghouse AP 1000 Atomic Energy Canada Limited ACR-700 (AECL) AREVA/ Framatome EPR SWR 1000 6987-2/05-Michigan-40 6900-12/04-40 Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR General Electric — ESBWR Simplified the design • Less equipment and buildings • Shorter construction times • Reduced operation and maintenance costs Improved plant performance and safety • Gives operational flexibility • Easier to get regulatory approval Designed to U.S. and European requirements 6987-2/05-Michigan-41 Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR Westinghouse — AP 1000 Passive safety systems permit simplification and improve safety Modularization reduces construction to 36 months NRC design certification provides regulatory certainty: • AP 600 — December 1999 • AP 1000 — August 2005 Westinghouse 6987-2/05-Michigan-42 Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR Atomic Energy Canada Limited (AECL) — ACR-700 Evolution of CANDU 6 design (Qinshan) Safe, economical design 40 months from first concrete to fuel load for 1st unit Currently in NRC pre-application review 6987-2/05-Michigan-43 Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR AREVA/Framatome ANP — EPR Four loop RCS design Four train safety systems In-containment borated water storage RCS depressurization system Separate buildings for safety trains Advanced “cockpit” control room 48 months from first concrete to CO 6987-2/05-Michigan-44 Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR AREVA/Framatome ANP — SWR 1000 Improved safety margin Improved availability Uses existing technology Reduced construction time 60-year service life European utility involvement 6987-2/05-Michigan-45 United States Perspective 6987-2/05-Michigan-46 U.S. Nuclear Energy Quick facts 103 nuclear plants 20% of the nation’s electricity Displaces 680 million metric tons of CO2 Equivalent to 131 million passenger cars 6987-2/05-Michigan-47 U.S. Nuclear Drivers Safe Proven nuclear plant performance Cost effective Affordable Energy security/energy independence Provides base load generation/grid stability Emission free 6987-2/05-Michigan-48 Proven Performance 95 90.7% 90 Capacity Factor (%) 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 Source: Energy Information Administration/Nuclear Regulatory Commission 6987-2/05-Michigan-49 Affordable ($ per MWh) Nuclear Coal Gas No assistance $45-$71 $33-$41 $35-$45 Engineering costs paid $31-$46 $33-$41 $35-$45 Limited production, investment tax credit $25-$45 $33-$41 $35-$45 Source: University of Chicago 6987-2/05-Michigan-50 Cost Effective (in constant cents/kWh) 11 Oil 5.53 10 9 Gas 5.77 8 Coal 1.8 7 Nuclear 1.72 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 Source: Federal Energy Regulatory Commission /EUCG 6987-2/05-Michigan-51 Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival Congress Energy Policy Act Supports nuclear energy as a major component of national energy policy Supports • Uprates/license renewals • Licensing of new plants DOE Nuclear Power 2010 program Utilities Deploys at least one new advanced nuclear plant by 2010 Three utility-led consortiums formed to develop COL applications for new U.S. reactors 6987-2/05-Michigan-52 Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival Increasing Public Support Important for our energy future 80% Favor use of nuclear energy 67% Keep the option to build nuclear plants Definitely build nuclear plants in future Accept new reactors at nearest plant 71% 60% 62% Source: Bisconti Research Inc. 6987-2/05-Michigan-53 Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival — License Renewals 32 30 Granted 25 Renewal Application Renewal Intent 16 Not Announced Renewal Application Renewal Application Renewal Application In NRC Review Renewal Application 6987-2/05-Michigan-54 Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival Browns Ferry #1 restart Tennessee Valley Authority • 1,280 MWe • Applied for 20year license renewal • Ahead of schedule • Under budget 6987-2/05-Michigan-55 Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival Utility consortiums formed in response to DOE’s NP-2010 solicitation NuStart Energy Development, LLC Dominion-led TVA-led 6987-2/05-Michigan-56 New U.S. Licensing Process Early site approval 1 2 Design certification 3 Combined license for construction and operation (COL) 6987-2/05-Michigan-57 Early Site Permits 1 Site approval obtained before company decides to build Company “banks” site up to 20 years Decision made, design chosen later Greater certainty in moving forward 6987-2/05-Michigan-58 Design Certification 2 Advance NRC approval for design Lengthy delays avoided before site preparation, construction Four designs approved to date 6987-2/05-Michigan-59 Combined Construction and Operating License 3 One license for operating/ building plant Early focus of public comment Greater regulatory certainty 6987-2/05-Michigan-60 Old Licensing Process 15 years Construction Permit Application Construction Public Comment Opportunity Operating License Application Operating License Issued Operations 6987-2/05-Michigan-61 New Licensing Process 7 years Early Site Permit Combined License Construction Construction Acceptance Criteria Operation Design Certification Public Comment Opportunity 6987-2/05-Michigan-62 What Needs To Be Done Spent Fuel Management Financials Public and Bipartisan Support Build New Nuclear Plants Regulatory Certainty Infrastructure Proven Technology 6987-2/05-Michigan-63 What Needs To Be Done — New Nuclear Plants Proven Technology Financials Finalize a competitive approved design Ensure designs met new capacity needs Create advantageous business conditions Acceptable financials return Financial incentives Regulatory Certainty Resolve uncertainties in licensing and regulations 6987-2/05-Michigan-64 What Needs To Be Done — New Nuclear Plants Spent Fuel Management Completion of Yucca Mountain Long-term solution Re-establishment of the nuclear infrastructure Infrastructure Utilities Vendors Labor Public and Bipartisan Support Universities Government Investors Renew public confidence Need to maintain high-performance standards Need national energy policy 6987-2/05-Michigan-65 Role of American Nuclear Society 6987-2/05-Michigan-66 6926-1/05-Purdue-66 Role of American Nuclear Society Provides professional home for pioneers leading the industry Promotes members’ contributions in the expansion of nuclear technology 6987-2/05-Michigan-67 Role of American Nuclear Society Provides forum to develop and apply technology to benefit all humanity Serves as credible voice for exchange of nuclear information 6987-2/05-Michigan-68 Role of American Nuclear Society Through ANS professional divisions Members demonstrate the peaceful power of the atom Members push the science forward at topical meetings and workshops Through ANS public policy and federal affairs Members assist: • Government in developing sound policies • Renewal of public confidence 6987-2/05-Michigan-69 Tomorrow’s Vision Coming into Focus U.S.S. Nautilus EBR-1 Reactor Periodic table 40 nuclear plants New Build Consortiums NuStart TVA Dominion 1960 Gen III+ 1900 Space 2004 Medical Isotopes X-rays Pioneer 10 2050 Gen IV NP 2010 Initiative Cathode rays Medical The Faces of Tomorrow 6987-2/05-Michigan-70 Questions Answers 6987-2/05-Michigan-71 The Nuclear Renaissance: A Resurgence of Nuclear Energy Jim Reinsch President, Bechtel Nuclear Power Board of Directors, Nuclear Energy Institute President-Elect, American Nuclear Society 6987-2/05-Michigan-72