Latino Profile of Los Angeles City
and County, California, and the
United States
Prepared for the Angelinos for a Better Future Initiative of
Southwest Voter Registration Education Project
by the William C. Velasquez Institute Presentation
Antonio Gonzalez
President
William C. Velasquez Institute and Southwest Voter Registration
Education Project
2914 N. Main St
Los Angeles, CA 91723
Phone: 323-222-2217 (WCVI)
Phone: 323-343-9299 (SVREP)
Email: agonzalez@wcvi.org
Email: agonzalez@svrep.org
Los Angeles City and County
Detailed Information
Los Angeles County – Population
by Majority Race/Ethnicity
Los Angeles County – Latino
Registration Percentage
Los Angeles City – Population by
Majority Race/Ethnicity
Los Angeles City – Latino
Registration Percentage
Registration by Los Angeles County, City, and City
Council District
Los Angeles
Region
Total Reg
Latino Reg
Latino Reg
%
County
3,948,813
1,026,189
25.99%
City
1,436,351
338,570
23.57%
CD 1
51,796
28,133
54.32%
CD 2
113,987
17,944
15.74%
CD 3
115,949
15,569
13.43%
CD 4
112,410
13,080
11.64%
CD 5
152,275
7,036
4.62%
CD 6
64,329
29,820
46.36%
CD 7
65,397
35,885
54.87%
CD 8
101,935
18,477
18.13%
CD 9
63,868
24,269
38.00%
CD 10
85,530
17,707
20.70%
CD 11
143,155
13,364
9.34%
CD 12
123,547
17,618
14.26%
CD 13
70,226
24,633
35.08%
CD 14
80,990
44,649
55.13%
CD 15
90,957
30,386
33.41%
Data Source: William C. Velasquez Institute; Registration Current as of January 2008
Selected 2001 and 2005 Election Results for Los
Angeles City by City Council District
2005 Mayor
Villaraigosa
2005 Villaraigosa
%
2005
Mayor Hahn
City
289,116
58.63%
203,968
264,611
46.47%
304,791
284,337
52.39%
258,428
CD 1
15,564
75.18%
5,137
16,193
73.28%
5,905
14,496
69.07%
6,490
CD 2
19,917
54.50%
16,627
17,091
45.22%
20,705
20,032
55.00%
16,390
CD 3
20,545
52.69%
18,449
16,802
37.74%
27,717
20,440
47.71%
22,401
CD 4
19,421
57.62%
14,286
20,557
51.89%
19,062
16,066
42.73%
21,529
CD 5
25,516
53.95%
21,777
24,473
45.12%
29,769
16,294
31.04%
36,201
CD 6
15,343
67.71%
7,316
23,128
45.84%
27,323
22,070
46.09%
25,811
CD 7
16,792
70.49%
7,029
17,268
66.24%
8,799
17,868
71.49%
7,127
CD 8
20,333
60.43%
13,316
9,622
24.98%
28,896
23,364
64.94%
12,615
CD 9
12,558
67.37%
6,083
10,100
45.98%
11,864
14,327
70.18%
6,087
CD 10
18,598
60.56%
12,114
12,497
37.80%
20,563
19,150
61.67%
11,902
CD 11
30,627
56.97%
23,129
23,038
43.31%
30,152
19,536
38.46%
31,262
CD 12
20,963
48.88%
21,921
16,686
32.58%
34,531
24,438
49.60%
24,836
CD 13
16,099
66.29%
8,188
18,947
63.03%
11,111
15,194
53.49%
13,211
CD 14
25,090
73.62%
8,991
23,330
71.27%
9,405
21,906
69.61%
9,565
CD 15
11,750
37.47%
19,605
14,879
43.93%
18,989
19,156
59.57%
13,001
Los
Angeles
Region
2001
Mayor Villaraigosa
2001
Villaraigosa
%
2001
Mayor Hahn
2001 City
Atty Delgadillo
2001
Delgadillo
%
Data Source: Los Angeles City Clerk. Note: 2001 and 2005 City Council Districts Different. Major Differences between CD 6 (new Latino
Seat), 2, 5, and 11. All others similar.
2001 City
Atty Feuer
Upcoming Election
Information
Super Tuesday Latino Vote in
Democratic Presidential Primary
Latino Vote by Selected State and Candidate Percentage
Estimated
Latino
Respondents**
Latino
Respondent
Margin of Error
%***
Clinton %
Obama %
State
Total State
Respondents
Latino % of
Total State
Respondents
Arizona
1218
18%
219
6.62%
55%
41%
California
1879
29%
545
4.20%
69%
29%
Connecticut
1178
6%
71
11.63%
43%
53%
Illinois
1181
17%
201
6.92%
49%
50%
Massachusetts
1365
5%
68
11.86%
56%
36%
Nevada*
1098
15%
165
7.64%
64%
26%
New Jersey
1298
10%
130
8.60%
73%
26%
New Mexico
1181
34%
402
4.89%
56%
36%
New York
1393
12%
167
7.58%
68%
30%
*Note: Nevada Results of an Entrance Poll
**Latino N Estimate Based on Percentage of Total Respondents
***Margin of Error Based on Estimated Latino Respondent Size
Original Data Source: CNN Exit Poll.
Percentages may not add up to 100% when all categories or candidates are not shown. Numbers based on preliminary exit poll results.
How the poll was conducted: The National Election Pool Exit Poll was conducted by Edison/Mitofsky. Members of the pool are ABC, AP, CBS,
CNN, Fox and NBC. The polling places are a stratified probability sample of the state. In addition, absentee and/or early voters were
interviewed in a pre-election telephone poll; results from the phone poll were combined with results from the exit poll. The combination reflects
approximately the correct proportion of absentee voters and election day voters.
Latino Vote in Democratic
Presidential Primary
California Total and Latino Votes Cast in 2000, 2004, and
2008 Presidential Primaries
California Total and Latino Votes Cast in 2000, 2004, and 2008 Presidential Primaries
March 2000
Primary
Total Votes Cast for Democratic
Presidential Candidates
Latino Votes Cast for Democratic
Presidential Candidates
Total Votes Cast for Republican
Presidential Candidates
Latino Votes Cast for Republican
Presidential Candidates
March 2004
Primary
February
2008
Primary*
Total Change
from 20042008
Percentage
Change from
2004-2008
3,272,029
3,107,629
4,259,031
1,151,402
+37%
556,245
(17% of Total
Dem)
498,474
(16% of Total
Dem)
1,235,119
(29% of Total
Dem)
736,645
+148%
4,153,702
2,216,351
2,443,153
226,802
+10%
332,296
(8 % of Total Rep)
127,662
(5.8% of Total
Rep)
317,610
(13% of Total
Rep)
189,948
+149%
Data Sources: Total Votes Cast for Democrats and Republicans taken from California Secretary of State website. Latino Votes cast for President calculated
by applying various exit poll figures from CNN (2008), NY Times (2000, 2004), and WCVI (2004) to the Secretary of State totals. *2008 Total Votes Cast
current as of Monday, February 11, 2008. 2008 Latino Vote calculated from Media Exit Poll percentages applied to California Secretary of State Totals.
California Latino Voter Polling Trends for
Democratic Presidential Primary
California Latino Voter Polling Trends for Democratic Presidential Primary, in
Chronological Order
Poll (Date- Author)
Clinton %
Obama %
4/13/2007 - Field Poll
59%
18%
8/17/2007 - Field Poll
63%
14%
10/26/07 - Field Poll
52%
16%
1/13/2008 - Los Angeles Times/CNN/Politico
61%
19%
1/22/2008 - Field Poll
59%
19%
1/26/2008 - Los Angeles Times/CNN/Politico
59%
19%
2/5/08-Exit Poll
69%
29%
2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Battleground States
2008 U.S. Senate Races - Close
Congressional Quarterly Ratings
2004 Registration, Turnout, and Latino Potential
by Close Senate Race
2004
Latino
Share
of Reg
%
2004
Latino
Turnout
%
2004
Latino
Share
of Total
Turnout
Potential
Unregistered
Latino
Voters in
2004
Potential
Unregistered
Latino
Voters in
2004 %
2004 Total
Reg
2004 Total
Turnout
2004
Total
Turnout
%
Colorado
2,307,000
2,097,000
90.90%
204,000
165,000
8.8%
80.9%
7.9%
157,000
43.49%
Louisiana
2,413,000
2,067,000
85.66%
19,000
16,000
0.8%
84.2%
0.8%
11,000
36.67%
824,000
736,000
89.32%
7,000
7,000
0.8%
100.0%
1.0%
2,000
22.22%
Minnesota
3,080,000
2,887,000
93.73%
53,000
49,000
1.7%
92.5%
1.7%
20,000
27.40%
New
Hampshire
716,000
677,000
94.55%
5,000
5,000
0.7%
100.0%
0.7%
4,000
44.44%
4,292,000
3,639,000
84.79%
44,000
27,000
1.0%
61.4%
0.7%
65,000
59.63%
425,000
378,000
88.94%
4,000
4,000
0.9%
100.0%
1.1%
2,000
33.33%
Texas
9,681,000
7,950,000
82.12%
2,170,000
1,533,000
22.4%
70.6%
19.3%
1,518,000
41.16%
TOTAL
23,738,000
20,431,000
86.07%
2,506,000
1,806,000
10.56%
72.07%
8.40%
1,779,000
41.52%
State
Maine
North
Carolina
South
Dakota
2004
Latino
Reg
2004
Latino
Turnout
2006 U.S. House Election Results
Party by Margin of Victory - All
2006 U.S. House Election Results
Party by Margin of Victory – Close Elections
Close Margins of Victory in 2006
Less Than 5%
•
Democrats
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
Connecticut 2 - Joe Courtney - 0.0%
Georgia 12 - John Barrow - 0.6%
Pennsylvania 8 - Patrick J. Murphy - 0.6%
Georgia 8 - Jim Marshall - 1.0%
Florida 16 - Tim Mahoney - 1.8%
Wisconsin 8 - Steve Kagen - 2.1%
Kentucky 3 - John Yarmuth - 2.4%
New York 19 - John Hall - 2.4%
New Hampshire 1 - Carol Shea-Porter - 2.7%
Iowa 2 - Dave Loebsack - 2.8%
Kansas 2 - Nancy Boyda - 3.5%
Florida 22 - Ron Klein - 3.8%
Pennsylvania 4 - Jason Altmire - 3.8%
Arizona 5 - Harry E. Mitchell - 4.0%
Indiana 9 - Baron P. Hill - 4.5%
•
Republicans
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
Florida 13 - Vern Buchanan - 0.2%
North Carolina 8 - Robin Hayes - 0.2%
New Mexico 1 - Heather A. Wilson - 0.4%
Ohio 15 - Deborah Pryce - 0.5%
Wyoming AL - Barbara Cubin - 0.5%
Ohio 2 - Jean Schmidt - 1.1%
New Jersey 7 - Mike Ferguson - 1.4%
Pennsylvania 6 - Jim Gerlach - 1.4%
New York 25 - James T. Walsh - 1.6%
Nevada 3 - Jon Porter - 1.9%
Colorado 4 - Marilyn Musgrave - 2.5%
Illinois 6 - Peter Roskam - 2.8%
Virginia 2 - Thelma Drake - 2.8%
New York 29 - John R. "Randy" Kuhl Jr. 3.0%
Washington 8 - Dave Reichert - 3.0%
California 4 - John T. Doolittle - 3.1%
Connecticut 4 - Christopher Shays - 3.4%
Michigan 7 - Tim Walberg - 3.9%
New York 26 - Thomas M. Reynolds - 4.0%
Ohio 1 - Steve Chabot - 4.4%
2010 Gubernatorial Elections
2010 U.S. Senate Elections
California Demographic
Trends
California Population Comparison by Ethnic Group, 2000-2050
60, 000, 000
50, 000, 000
40, 000, 000
T OT A L
A NGLO
HI SP A NI C
30, 000, 000
A SI A N/ P A CI FI C I SLA NDE R
B LA CK
M ULT I RA CE
A M E RI CA N I NDI A N
20, 000, 000
10, 000, 000
0
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California
and Its Counties 2000-2050, Sacramento, California, May 2004.
Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity
and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive.
Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations.
Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
California Population Shares by Ethnic Group, 2000-2050
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
W H I T E N O N - L A T I N O SH A R E
B L A C K SH A R E
H I SP A N I C SH A R E
30.0%
A P I SH A R E
A M E R I C A N I N D I A N SH A R E
M U L T I R A C E SH A R E
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California
and Its Counties 2000-2050, Sacramento, California, May 2004.
Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity
and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive.
Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations.
Due to aggregation of Hispanic figures, percentages do not equal 100%.
Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
Growth of Total California Population by Ethnic Group, (2000-2050)
20, 000, 000
15, 000, 000
10, 000, 000
2040-2050
2030-2040
2020-2030
2010-2020
5, 000, 000
2000-2010
0
LA T I N O
GROWT H
A SI A N / P A C I F I C B L A C K G R O W T H
AM ERICAN
M U LT I R A C E
I SL A N D E R
INDIAN
GROWT H
GROWT H
GROWT H
WHI T E GROWT H
-5, 000, 000
Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California
and Its Counties 2000-2050, Sacramento, California, May 2004.
Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity
and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive.
Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations.
Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
Composition of Total population of California by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050, May 2004
80. 0%
70. 0%
60. 0%
50. 0%
40. 0%
30. 0%
20. 0%
10. 0%
0. 0%
2000
2010
2020
M I NORI T Y
2030
2040
2050
W H I T E / M U LT I R A C E
Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California
and Its Counties 2000-2050, Sacramento, California, May 2004.
Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity
and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive.
Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations.
Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
California Total and Latino Registration
Comparison by Assembly District 2004-2007
Select National Latino
Demographic and Election
Information
Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population Total
NL White
NL
White
%
202,266,112
66.43%
.California
16,327,354
.Texas
Hispanic or
Latino
Origin
Latino
%
Combined
Minority
45,018,772
14.79%
102,213,011
33.57%
304,479,123
43.64%
13,261,796
35.45%
21,086,660
56.36%
37,414,014
11,548,254
48.53%
8,438,918
35.46%
12,247,073
51.47%
23,795,327
.Florida
11,250,590
61.37%
3,689,256
20.12%
7,081,594
38.63%
18,332,184
.New York
11,834,704
60.35%
3,214,581
16.39%
7,776,499
39.65%
19,611,203
.Illinois
8,484,786
65.35%
1,904,819
14.67%
4,497,905
34.65%
12,982,691
.Arizona
3,751,781
59.80%
1,825,481
29.10%
2,521,603
40.20%
6,273,384
.New Jersey
5,528,714
62.51%
1,388,767
15.70%
3,315,326
37.49%
8,844,040
.Colorado
3,475,201
71.70%
950,895
19.62%
1,371,417
28.30%
4,846,618
857,001
43.11%
870,007
43.76%
1,131,157
56.89%
1,988,158
5,598,308
59.07%
713,829
7.53%
3,878,965
40.93%
9,477,273
Geographic Area
United States
.New Mexico
.Georgia
Combined
Minority %
TOTAL
Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United
States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date:
May 17, 2007. (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups
adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race.
Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population
Percent
NL White
%
Hispanic or
Latino
Origin
Latino %
202,266,112
66.43%
45,018,772
14.79%
102,213,011
33.57%
304,479,123
857,001
43.11%
870,007
43.76%
1,131,157
56.89%
1,988,158
.Texas
11,548,254
48.53%
8,438,918
35.46%
12,247,073
51.47%
23,795,327
.California
16,327,354
43.64%
13,261,796
35.45%
21,086,660
56.36%
37,414,014
.Arizona
3,751,781
59.80%
1,825,481
29.10%
2,521,603
40.20%
6,273,384
.Nevada
1,516,134
59.11%
620,385
24.19%
1,048,724
40.89%
2,564,858
.Florida
11,250,590
61.37%
3,689,256
20.12%
7,081,594
38.63%
18,332,184
.Colorado
3,475,201
71.70%
950,895
19.62%
1,371,417
28.30%
4,846,618
.New York
11,834,704
60.35%
3,214,581
16.39%
7,776,499
39.65%
19,611,203
.New Jersey
5,528,714
62.51%
1,388,767
15.70%
3,315,326
37.49%
8,844,040
.Illinois
8,484,786
65.35%
1,904,819
14.67%
4,497,905
34.65%
12,982,691
Geographic Area
United States
.New Mexico
NL White
Combined
Minority
Combined
Minority %
TOTAL
Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United
States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date:
May 17, 2007. (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups
adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race.
2006 United States Latino Population by State
Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the
United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May
17, 2007.
2006 United States Latino Population Percent by State
Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the
United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May
17, 2007.
2004 United States Latino Unregistered Citizen Voting Age
Population by State
Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to
1972.
2004 United States Latino Registration Percent by State
Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to
1972.
Latino Voter Registration,
National Elections, 1972-2004 +2008
Projection
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
-2,000,000
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
Latino VR
Latino VR Change
Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.
Latino Votes Cast,
National Elections, 1972-2004 +2008
Projection
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
-2,000,000
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
Latino VC
Latino VC Change
Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.
Latino Elected Officials by State:
Largest Latino States – Gains Since 1996
State
Texas
1996
2007
Change
1,687
2,170
+28.6%
California
693
1,163
+67.8%
New Mexico
623
657
+5.5%
Arizona
298
354
+18.8%
Colorado
161
160
-0.6%
Florida
72
131
+81.9%
New Jersey
33
103
+212.1%
Illinois
41
97
+136.5%
New York
40
64
+60%
Other States
95
230
+142.1%
3,786
5,129
+37%
TOTAL
Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund
Latino Elected Officials by Level of
Office in 2007
Federal: 26
Statewide Officials: 6
State Legislators: 238
County Officials: 512
Municipal Officials: 1,640
Judicial/Law Enforcement Officials: 685
School Board/Education Officials: 1,847
Special District Officials: 175
Latino Elected Officials by State:
Largest Latino States
Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund
Latino Elected Officials by State: New Latino Gains Since 1996
Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund