T-tests Inference When the Population Standard Deviation Is Not Known. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 1 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 2 Correlation between prostate cancer (PCa) incidence expressed as age standardised per 100 000 persons and percentage of contraceptive use in women aged 15–49, in individual nations: worldwide (A), in Europe (B), and by continent (C). As shown in figure 1A–C, OC use was significantly correlated with prostate cancer incidence in the individual nations worldwide (figure 1A; r=0.61, p<0.05), in Europe (figure 1B; r=0.545, p<0.05), and by continent (figure 1C; r=0.522, p<0.05). Margel D , Fleshner N E BMJ Open 2011;1:e000311 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods ©2011 by British Medical Journal Publishing Group 3 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 4 Time to get real Z scores assume that we know the standard deviation of the population. Which is usually not the case. Improve accuracy and power by using Tdistributions for small samples Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 5 Music Trivia Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 6 Music Trivia Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 7 Hypothesis test for music trivia data Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 8 t distribution Table C There is a different t distribution for each sample size. t same formula as Z but uses a different table of values Degrees of freedom determined by sample size tells which t distribution to use. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 9 t distributions similar in shape to the normal curve the spread is greater because using s to estimate the pop standard deviation introduces more variation. As the degrees of freedom increase the curve approaches the normal curve. Table c when n= 1000 T is nearly equal to Z Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 10 Estimating One sample t-statistic standard deviation is estimated from the data standard error of the statistic M t S/ N Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 11 T Distributions Different for different sample sizes Select appropriate distribution by determining degrees of freedom (n-1) Critical value is different for different sample sizes. Critical value similar to Z in large samples Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 12 The t Distributions Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 13 Using Table B.2 Table B.2 on page 633 gives critical values having upper tail probability p. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 14 One-Sample t Confidence Interval Take an SRS of size n from a population with unknown mean and unknown standard deviation s. A level C confidence interval for is: M t s n where t* is the critical value for confidence level C from the t density curve with n – 1 degrees of freedom. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 15 Confidence intervals with t distribution Calculation similar to using Z. Substitute the sample standard deviation for the population deviation Look up the critical value in table B.2 M t s n Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 16 Excel User friendly manipulate data make charts limited data analysis Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 17 SPSS Powerful statistical package Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 18 T-test to two sample Data Compare urban and rural nursing homes for patient days. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 19 Analyze Data Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ < 0 µ > 0 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 20 Nursing home data t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances Non-rural Rural Mean Total Days 322.1111 257.9706 Variance 9031.634 16449.97 Observations 18 34 Hypothesized Mean Difference 0 df 44 t Stat 2.043086 P(T<=t) one-tail 0.023531 t Critical one-tail 1.68023 P(T<=t) two-tail 0.047062 t Critical two-tail 2.015367 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 21 SPSS output Group Statistics Total Days Location2 1 2 N Mean 322.11 257.97 18 34 Std. Deviation 95.035 128.257 Std. Error Mean 22.400 21.996 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F Total Days Equal variances assumed Equal variances not assumed .446 Sig. .507 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 1.865 50 .068 64.141 34.401 -4.955 133.236 2.043 44.349 .047 64.141 31.394 .884 127.397 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 22 T-test for Paired data Women in the workforce Alternative hypothesis there is some change direction not assumed Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 23 Paired data City Year_68 Year_72 N.Y. 0.42 0.45 L.A. 0.50 0.50 Chicago 0.52 0.52 Philadelphia 0.45 0.45 Detroit 0.43 0.46 San Francisco 0.55 0.55 Boston 0.45 0.60 Pitt. 0.34 0.49 St. Louis 0.45 0.35 Connecticut 0.54 0.55 Wash., D.C. 0.42 0.52 Cinn. 0.51 0.53 Baltimore 0.49 0.57 Newark 0.54 0.53 Minn/St. Paul 0.50 0.59 Buffalo 0.58 0.64 Houston 0.49 0.50 Patterson 0.56 0.57 Dallas 0.63 0.64 Diff 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.15 0.15 -0.10 0.01 0.10 0.02 0.08 -0.01 0.09 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 24 Analyze Data Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ < 0 µ > 0 City Year_68 Year_72 N.Y. 0.42 0.45 L.A. 0.50 0.50 Chicago 0.52 0.52 Philadelphia 0.45 0.45 Detroit 0.43 0.46 San Francisco 0.55 0.55 Boston 0.45 0.60 Pitt. 0.34 0.49 St. Louis 0.45 0.35 Connecticut 0.54 0.55 Wash., D.C. 0.42 0.52 Cinn. 0.51 0.53 Baltimore 0.49 0.57 Newark 0.54 0.53 Minn/St. Paul 0.50 0.59 Buffalo 0.58 0.64 Houston 0.49 0.50 Patterson 0.56 0.57 Dallas 0.63 0.64 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods Diff 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.15 0.15 -0.10 0.01 0.10 0.02 0.08 -0.01 0.09 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 25 Excel Output Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 26 SPSS output Paired Samples Statistics Pair 1 Year_68 Year_72 Mean .4932 .5268 N 19 19 Std. Deviation .06799 .07079 Std. Error Mean .01560 .01624 Paired Samples Test Paired Differences Pair 1 Year_68 - Year_72 Std. Error Mean Std. Deviation Mean -.03368 .05974 .01371 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -.06248 -.00489 t -2.458 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods df Sig. (2-tailed) 18 .024 27 Two sample versus matched pairs Cases or subjects in one sample have no connection to or influence of cases or subjects in the other sample. Sampling distribution of the differences of means. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 28 One-sample t-test Privitera pg. 272 Do rats spend more time in one side of cage? Rat minutes Buzz 7 Snuffy 5 Mikey 8 Rough 6 Sintra 8 Perry 7 Whitey 9 Happy Jack 10 Dixie 3 Pinky 7 Mitzi 6 Buck 9 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 29 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 30 Group Statistics Groups Rating N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean Humorous 5 6.00 1.581 .707 Not Humorous 5 3.00 1.581 .707 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances t-test for Equality of Means 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Std. Error F Rating Equal variances assumed Equal variances not Sig. .000 t 1.000 df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Difference Lower Upper 3.000 8 .017 3.000 1.000 .694 5.306 3.000 8.000 .017 3.000 1.000 .694 5.306 assumed Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 31 Healing of Skin Wounds How long does it take wounds to heal in a newt? Create a 95% confidence interval. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 32 n=18 df = n-1 = 17 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 33 Confidence Intervals with t Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 34 SPSS output One-Sample Statistics N Rate 18 Mean 25.67 Std. Deviation 8.324 Std. Error Mean 1.962 One-Sample Test Test Value = 0 Rate t 13.081 df 17 Sig. (2-tailed) .000 Mean Difference 25.667 95% Confidenc e Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 21.53 29.81 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 35 Hypothesis test with one sample hypothesis the same as with Z formula similar critical value obtained from table C, need sample size. M t s/ n Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 36 Single Sample T-test Do data show a change of sweetness? Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 37 Analyze Data Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 38 SPSS output one-sample, one-tail test One-Sample Statistics N Loss Mean 1.0200 10 Std. Deviation 1.19610 Std. Error Mean .37824 One-Sample Test Test Value = 0 Loss t 2.697 df 9 Sig. (2-tailed) .025 Mean Difference 1.02000 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper .1644 1.8756 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 39 Ancient Air 17.10 page 452 Do these data show a change in Nitrogen from the present 78.1% Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 40 Analyze Data Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ < 0 µ > 0 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 41 SPSS Output One-Sample Statistics N PctNitrogen 9 Mean 59.5889 Std. Deviation 6.25529 Std. Error Mean 2.08510 One-Sample Test Test Value = 78.1 PctNitrogen t -8.878 df 8 Sig. (2-tailed) .000 Mean Difference -18.51111 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -23.3194 -13.7029 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 42 Do male snake encounters last longer in the presence of a female. Six males were tested in the presence of a female and again in the absence of a female. Whether each male was tested first with or without a female was randomly determined. The results in interaction time (min.) are as follows Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 43 Analyze Data Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ < 0 µ > 0 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 44 Excel Output, 1-tail matched pairs Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 45 SPSS output Paired Samples Statistics Pair 1 Mean 24.00 60.33 wo female with female N 6 6 Std. Deviation 29.100 19.694 Std. Error Mean 11.880 8.040 Paired Samples Test Paired Differences Pair 1 wo female - with female Std. Error Mean Std. Deviation Mean -36.333 19.044 7.775 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -56.319 -16.348 t -4.673 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods df Sig. (2-tailed) 5 .005 46 Brain responds to sound pg 456 Do monkey cells respond more strongly to monkey calls that pure tones? Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 47 Analyze Data Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ < 0 µ > 0 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 48 Excel Output Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 49 SPSS output Paired Samples Statistics Pair 1 Tone Call Mean 106.1892 176.5676 N 37 37 Std. Deviation 91.76354 111.84924 Std. Error Mean 15.08583 18.38790 Paired Samples Test Paired Differences 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Std. Error Mean Std. Deviation Mean Lower Upper Pair 1 Tone - Call -70.37838 88.44658 14.54053 -99.86794 -40.88882 t -4.840 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods df Sig. (2-tailed) 36 .000 50 Which has higher blood pressure? Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 51 Excel Output Two tail, independent samples Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 52 SPSS output Group Statistics BP Type 1 2 N 16 13 Mean 139.19 119.54 Std. Deviation 20.624 8.273 Std. Error Mean 5.156 2.294 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F BP Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed Sig. 5.310 .029 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 3.222 27 .003 19.649 6.098 7.137 32.162 3.482 20.523 .002 19.649 5.644 7.896 31.402 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 53 Inference for the mean of a population. Assumptions. Data come from a simple random sample Observations from the population are normally distributed Population parameters mean and standard deviation are unknown. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 54 Inference as a decision We make a decision to accept Ho or Ha. Sometimes we are correct Sometimes we are wrong. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 55 Type I error If we reject Ho when in fact Ho is true If we decide it was not chance when in fact it was chance. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 56 Type II error If we accept Ho when Ho is false. If we attribute a result to chance when it is not chance. Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 57 A c t u a l S it u a t io n D e c is io n H o Tru e H o F a ls e R e je c t H o Ty p e I e rro r c o rre c t R e t a in H o c o rre c t Ty p e II e rro r Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 58 Data Analysis Add-In Excel Options Add-Ins (Manage Excel Add-ins) Go Check Analysis Tool Pack Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 59 18.45 Money thinking Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ< 0 µ> 0 t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances treatment control Mean 314.058824 186.117647 Variance 29856.3088 13945.8603 Observations 17 17 Hypothesized Mean Difference 0 df 28 t Stat 2.52050168 P(T<=t) one-tail 0.00884826 t Critical one-tail 1.70113091 P(T<=t) two-tail 0.01769653 t Critical two-tail 2.04840711 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 60 18.47 Math treatment Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ< 0 µ> 0 t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances Treatment Control Mean 11.4 8.25 Variance 10.04444444 13.6428571 Observations 10 8 Hypothesized Mean Difference 0 df 14 t Stat 1.914 P(T<=t) one-tail 0.038 t Critical one-tail 1.761310115 P(T<=t) two-tail 0.076347164 t Critical two-tail 2.144786681 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 61 18.46 Active Learning Type of test Matched Pairs One-sample Independent Samples One-tail or two Ho µ = 0 Ha µ =/= 0 µ< 0 µ> 0 t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances Active Passive Mean 24.41666667 17.875 Variance 39.81884058 16.201087 Observations 24 24 Hypothesized Mean Difference 0 df 39 t Stat 4.281764333 P(T<=t) one-tail 0.00006 t Critical one-tail 1.684875122 P(T<=t) two-tail 0.000116879 t Critical two-tail 2.022690901 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 62 Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 63 The End Psychology 302 Quantitative and Psychometric Methods 64