Ocean circulation Arnaud Czaja 1. Ocean and Climate 2. Key observations 3. Mechanisms of ocean-atmosphere coupling Part I Ocean and Climate (heat transport and storage) Net energy loss at top-of-the atmosphere = Poleward energy transport + Ha Imbalance between and = energy (heat) storage Ho Poleward heat transport and storage are small… Energy exchanged at top-of-atmosphere : (1 P ) SoR 120 PW H a , H o 2 Planetary albedo Solar constant Seasonal Heat storage So cTdx dy dz t 10 PW ( S A ) Q5 Heat transport: a long history of measurements… Northward heat transport Ha+Ho Ha Ho Equator Pole Bjerknes’ (1964) monograph. Data from Sverdrup (1957) & Houghton (1954) 19 1 unit 10 cal / day 0.5PW Northward heat transport Ha+Ho Ha Ho 10N 30N 50N 70N Vonder Haar & Oort, JPO 1973. 1 unit 10 cal / yr 1.3PW 22 GERBE approved! NB: 1PW = 10^15 W Pacific Poleward heat transport at 24ºN 0.76 +/- 0.3 PW Atlantic 1.2 +/- 0.3 PW Atlantic+Pacific 2 +/- 0.4 PW “Across the same latitude, Ha is 1.7PW. The ocean therefore can be considered to be more important than the atmosphere at this latitude in maintaining the Earth’s budget”. Hall & Bryden, 1982; Bryden et al., 1991. GERBE approved! (ask more to Chris D.!) Trenberth & Caron, 2001 GERBE approved! Ha+Ho Ho Ha Wunsch, JCl. 2005. Ganachaud & Wunsch, 2003 Sometimes effects of heat storage and transport are hard to disentangle • Is the Gulf Stream responsible for “mild” European winters? WARM! COLD! Eddy surface air temperature from NCAR reanalysis (January, CI=3K) “Every West wind that blows crosses the Gulf Stream on its way to Europe, and carries with it a portion of this heat to temper there the Northern winds of winter. It is the influence of this stream upon climate that makes Erin the “Emerald Isle of the Sea”, and that clothes the shores of Albion in evergreen robes; while in the same latitude, on this side, the coasts of Labrador are fast bound in fetters of ice.” Maury, 1855. Lieutenant Maury “The Pathfinder of the Seas” Model set-up (Seager et al., 2002) • Full Atmospheric model • Ocean only represented as a motionless “slab” of 50m thickness, with a specified “qflux” to represent the transport of energy by ocean currents Atmosphere TS OCO hO Qair sea QF t Qairsea QF Q3 Seager et al. (2002) Heat storage and Climate change The surface warming due to +4Wm-2 (anthropogenic forcing) is not limited to the mixed layer… How thick is the layer is a key question to answer to predict accurately the timescale of the warming. Ho = 50m Ho = 150m Ho = 500m NB: You are welcome to download and run the model : http://sp.ph.ic.ac.uk/~arnaud Ensemble mean model results Q1 from the IPCC-AR4 report Strength of ocean overturning at 30N (A1B Scenario + constant after yr2100) Q4 Part II Some key oceanic observations World Ocean Atlas surface temperature ºC Thermocline World Ocean Atlas Salinity (0-500m) psu The “great oceanic conveyor belt” The ocean is conservative below the surface (≈100m) layer • Temperature No heat exchange, only pressure effects. • Salinity. No phase change in the range of observed concentration. Salinity on 1027.6 kg/m3 surface Conservative nature of the ocean Spatial variations of temperature and salinity are similar on scales from several hundreds of kms to a few kms. 50km Ferrari & Polzin (2005) 10km 2km Matsumoto, JGR 2007 “Circulation” scheme Q6 NB: 1 Amazon River ≈ 0.2 Million m3/s Broecker, 2005 “Circulation” scheme Two “sources” of deep water: NADW: North Atlantic Deep Water AABW: Antarctic Bottom Water Williams & Follows (2009) In – situ velocity measurements Amplitude of time variability Depth Location of “long” (~2yr) currentmeters From Wunsch (1997, 1999) NB: Energy at period < 1 day was removed Moorings in the North Atlantic interior (28N, 70W = MODE) 1 yr Schmitz (1989) (ask more to Ute and Chris. O.!) NB: Same velocity vectors but rotated Direct ship observations NB: 1m/s = 3.6kmh = 2.2mph = 1.9 knot Surface currents measured from Space 1 P fu o y “Geostrophic balance” Time mean sea surface height Standard deviation of sea surface height Momentum balance Rotation rate f/2 East to west acceleration fV East to west deceleration NB: f = 2 Ω sinθ up North East Geostrophic balance! Rotation rate f/2 High Pressure fV Low Pressure East to west acceleration East to west deceleration up North East 10-yr average sea surface height deviation from geoid Subtropical gyres 10-yr average sea surface height deviation from geoid Subpolar gyres Antarctic Circumpolar Current ARGO floats (since yr 2000) T/S/P profiles every 10 days Coverage by lifetime Coverage by depths All in-situ observations can be interpolated dynamically using numerical ocean models Overturning Streamfunction (Atlantic only) max 10 20Sv 3 1 1Sv 10 m s 6 From Wunsch (2000) RAPID – WATCH array at 26N Q2 RAPID – WATCH array at 26N The movie… Friday’s session