Fourth Annual Conference of
The Australian Society for Quantitative Political Science
9-10 December 2015, Level 4 and 5, John Medley Building, University of Melbourne
Day 1: Wednesday 9th December 2015
Time
8:30 – 9:00
9:00 - 10:30
Linkway Meeting Room (Level 4, John Medley Building)
Room 519 (Level 5, West Tower, John Medley Building)
Registration and Coffee/Tea
Panel A1
Chair/Discussant: Shawn Treier
Estimating local and national campaign effects
Peter Loewen (Toronto)
Identifying Multidimensional Policy Preferences
of Voters in Representative Democracies: A
Conjoint Field Experiment in Japan
Yusaku Horiuchi (Dartmouth)
Understanding political trust: evidence from
survey experiments
Aaron Martin (Melbourne)
10:30 – 11:00
11:00 – 12:30
Elections, Panel A2
Voting and Chair/Discussant: Jeremiah Brown
Campaigning
Australian Voters’ Lack of Confidence in Political
Parties: A Problem of Perception?
Annika Werner (Griffith)
Political Parties and
Australian Politics
The Psychological Underpinnings of
Conservative/Liberal Ideology in the Australian
Federal Parliament
Michael Dalvean (ANU)
Do economic cleavages still matter in Australian
politics?
Shaun Ratcliff (Monash)
Morning Tea
Panel A3
Chair/Discussant: Svitlana Chernykh
Central banks during the Great Inflation in
the OECD: Commitment devices or an
expression of inflation preferences?
David Monk (ANU)
Political institutions and FDI inflows in
autocratic countries
Chungshik Moon (ANU)
Political Economy Panel A4
and Institutions Chair/Discussant: Ben Goldsmith
Taking Custom Seriously: a Statistical Study of
Governments’ Domestic Adoption of Customary
International Humanitarian Law
Jana von Stein (Victoria University, Wellington)
Force Composition and Peacekeeper Effectiveness
Jonathan Caverley (MIT) and Jesse Dillon Savage (Melbourne)
Rentier States and Transnational Human Rights Networks:
Evidence from the Middle East and North Africa
Dongwook Kim (ANU)
Human
Rights and
Law
12:30 – 14:00
14:00 – 15:30
Lunch
including special panel Keith Dowding’s forthcoming book with Aaron Martin (Melbourne), Jana von Stein (Victoria University,
Wellington) and Jack Vowles (Victoria University, Wellington). Chair: Yusaku Horiuchi
13.00-14.00, Room 519 (Level 5, West Tower, John Medley Building)
Panel A5
Chair/Discussant: Matteo Vergani
Parties and Panel A6
the State Chair/Discussant: Jesse Dillon Savage
When Does the Public Penalize Politicians for
Implementing Policies they Support? Presidents
and Public Constraints on Unilateral Action
Andrew Reeves and Jon Rogowski (Washington)
Chinese Female Entrepreneurs and the
Party-State: Who needs who?
Minglu Chen (Sydney) and Benjamin
Goldsmith (Sydney)
When do authoritarian elections lead to
regime change? Exploring the role of state
capacity
Carolien van Ham (UNSW)
Eurosceptic Parties in the European
Parliament: Why Are They Not
Cooperating?
Annika Werner (Griffith) and Duncan
McDonnell (Griffith)
15:30 – 16:00
16:00 – 17:30
Members of Congress and the Use of Force
David Smith (Sydney) and Neill Mohammad
(Huron)
Calculated or Charitable? US Military Assistance
during Natural Disasters Richard Frank (ANU)
Afternoon Tea
Keynote Address (Linkway Meeting Room):
The State of Survey Research: Challenges and Opportunities
Sunshine Hillygus (Duke)
Conference Dinner: 6.30pm, Abla’s Lebanese Restaurant, 109 Elgin Street, Carlton.
PLEASE RSVP FOR THE CONFERENCE DINNER NO LATER THAN THE 27TH NOVEMBER AS PER PREVIOUS EMAIL. $45 PER HEAD + DRINKS
(PLEASE ENSURE YOU BRING CASH TO PAY FOR FOOD AND DRINKS AT THE RESTAURANT)
US Politics
Day 2: Thursday 10th December 2015
Time
Linkway Meeting Room (Level 4, John Medley Building)
Room 519 (Level 5, West Tower, John Medley Building)
9:00 - 10:30
Panel B1
Panel B2
Democracy and
Measurement
Chair/Discussant: Jill Sheppard
Chair/Discussant: Alessandro Nai
Measuring Democracy: A Historical Perspective
Jeremiah Brown (Melbourne)
Do immigrant inflows bolster support for the far
right? Evidence from the British Asylum Seeker
Dispersal Program
Charles Miller (ANU)
Measuring Democracy Discretely
Shawn Treier (ANU)
Treating Expert Judgments as Data
Svitlana Chernykh (ANU), David Doyle (Oxford)
and Timothy Power (Oxford)
Attitudes towards
Immigration
‘Stop the Boats!’ Opposition to asylum seekers at
Australian elections: Principles or Prejudice?
Luke Mansillo (Sydney)
Voters’ attitudes towards asylum seekers and the
2013 Australian federal election
Andrea Carson (Melbourne)
10:30 – 11:00
11:00 – 12:30
Morning Tea
Panel B3
Chair/Discussant: Yusaku Horiuchi
Quotas and gender gaps in political participation
among advanced industrial democracies:
Distinguishing within- and across-country effects
Katrine Beauregard (ANU)
Unlisted: The Americans Big Data Leaves Behind
Simon Jackman (Stanford) and Bradley Spahn
(Stanford)
12:30 – 14:00
Political Panel B4
Participation
and Chair/Discussant: Charles Miller
Engagement
To arms or to the streets? The choice of
nonviolent and violent resistance strategies by
religious groups, 1989-2014
Charles Butcher (Otago)
The threat of terrorism and its impact on public
opinion
Matteo Vergani (Monash)
Lunch
including special panel on big data with Sunshine Hillygus (Duke), Simon Jackman (Stanford),
and Peter Loewen (Toronto) Chair: Aaron Martin,
13.00-14.00 Room 519 (Level 5, West Tower, John Medley Building)
Public Opinion,
Activism and
Conflict
14:00 – 15:30
Panel B5
Chair/Discussant: Annika Werner
Income, Wealth, and the Prospect of Upward
Mobility: A New Approach to Model Vote
Choice
Jack Vowles (Victoria University, Wellington),
and Tim Hellwig (Indiana University)
Studying unequal representation using alphadivergence
Junichiro Wada (Yokohama) and Yuta
Kamahara (Yokohama)
Voting, Panel B6
Representation,
and Chair/Discussant: Shaun Ratcliff
Measurement
Measuring citizen co-production in Australia
Sophie Yates (ANZOG)
Measurement,
Media, and
Australian Politics
Measuring Policy Reporting in Election
Campaigns: Evidence from the 2013 Australian
Federal Election
Andrew Gibbons (Melbourne)
Class, capital and voting in Australian society
Jill Sheppard (ANU) and Nicholas Biddle (ANU)
15:30 – 17:00
Afternoon Tea followed by Group Discussion: Current and future ASQPS activities and goals, Linkway Meeting Room