Ethanol Issues • • • • Food versus Fuel – Domestic Food versus Fuel – International Energy Balance Community Impacts MANAGING Tough Times Food vs. Fuel Domestic MANAGING Tough Times MANAGING Tough Times MANAGING Tough Times MANAGING Tough Times MANAGING Tough Times Food Losses at the Retail, Foodservice and Consumer Levels, 1995 Commodity Grain Products Fruit Vegetables Dairy Products Meat, Poultry & Fish Eggs Caloric Sweeteners Other Total Edible Food Supply * (million pounds) 45,606 48,338 63,077 76,276 51,466 7,918 38,827 24,374 355,883 Percent Loss 32% 23 25 32 16 31 31 30 27% * Excludes non-edible food parts. Source: Economics Research Service, USDA MANAGING Tough Times U.S. food supply is 3,800 calories per person per day (USDA, 1994). If the avg. person needs 2,000 calories per day, the excess calories could provide all of the caloric needs of: 1) Sudan 2) Somalia 3) Chad 4) Central African Republic 5) Democratic Republic of Congo 6) Rwanda 7) Kenya 8) Uganda 9) Ethiopia MANAGING Tough Times Food vs. Fuel International MANAGING Tough Times Impact of Commodity Prices on Consumer Food Budgets Base Scenario Income Total food expenditure Food cost as % of income Staples as % of food spending Expenditures on staples High-income Countries Low-Income, FoodDeficit Countries $40,000 $4,000 10.0% 20% $800 $800 $400 50% 70% $280 New Scenario: 50% price increase in staples, Expenditures on staples $1,200 Total food expenditure $4,400 Food cost as % of income 11% $420 $540 67.5% These are illustrative food budgets that characterize the situations for consumers in high- and lowincome countries. Source: Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices/WFS-0801, Economic Research Service, USDA. MANAGING Tough Times Policy Changes to Discourage Exports (keep within country) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Eliminate Export Subsidies – China Implement Export Taxes – China, Argentina, Russian, Kazakhstan, Malaysia Export Restriction (quantitative) – Argentina, Ukraine, India, Vietnam Export Bans – Ukraine, Serbia, India, Egypt, Cambodia, Vietnam, Indonesia, Kazakhstan Reduced Import Tariffs – India, Indonesia, Serbia, Thailand, EU, Korean, Mongolia Subsidize Consumers – Morocco, Venezuela Source: Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices/WFS-0801, Economic Research Service, USDA. MANAGING Tough Times Energy Balance MANAGING Tough Times Btu Used to Make One Btu at the Fuel Pump * Total Btu Btu Corn Ethanol ** 1.75 Cellulosic Ethanol2.25 Gasoline 1.23 Fossil Fuel .74 .10 1.23 * Argonne National Laboratory ** Dry Mill MANAGING Tough Times British Thermal Units Generated from One Btu of Fossil Fuels * Corn Ethanol Gasoline Electricity Coal Cellulosic Ethanol 10.31 Btu 1.36 .81 .45 .98 * Argonne National Laboratory MANAGING Tough Times Community Impact MANAGING Tough Times MANAGING Tough Times Job Impact – 100 MGY Ethanol Plant Ethanol Plant – One job per 5,176 ac. Corn Total – One job per 1,400 acres of Corn MANAGING Tough Times