Achieving the Competitive Edge in the New Economy NGA Center for Best Practices October 9, 2005 Mary Jo Waits Senior Fellow Center for the Future of Arizona Three Things to Understand 1. The 21st century will be driven by innovation 2. Most of the ingredients that give regions and states an innovative edge are created—not inherited 3. The new century will be a highly competitive one— especially as places realize that key features are “buildable” and thus can be had by nearly any place that puts its mind to it. 21st century will be driven by innovation The first 100 years of our country’s history were about who could build the biggest, most efficient farm. The second 100 years were about the race to build efficient factories. The third 100 years are about ideas.” Seth Godin, Fast Company, 2001 The Growth Theory New Growth Theory Stanford economists Paul Romer says ideas are the primary source of economic growth. “Recipes (new ideas) combine ingredients (resources) in new and different ways to yield more valuable economic results.” The recipes come from the innovation process. New Growth Theory Stanford Economist Paul Romer’s Perspective Ingredients Recipes Results • Intellectual capital • New ideas • Productivity • Human capital • Entrepreneurs • Prosperity • Financial capital • Networks • Cluster vitality “Recipes” combine resources in new and different ways • Nanotech: You start with building blocks like nanowires, nanotubes, and nanoparticles. Put together one way, these building blocks make a computer. Put together in a different way, they make a biological sensor. • Biology is another example. You have a limited number of building blocks, like proteins and DNA. Depending on how you put them together, you end up with a tissue, a worm, or a human being. Charles Lieber, Harvard Chemistry Professor & co-founder, Nanosys Big Science : 4 Big O’s New Business Model Companies and entrepreneurs moving from “closed innovation” (in-house research capability) to “open innovation” model. “Many companies are starting to innovate with research discoveries of others.” Harvard Professor Henry Chesborough, Open Innovation, 2003 Intel’s “lablets” • Small-sized research facilities adjacent to top university research centers • Intel expects to benefit from proximity: gain early access to promising new technologies Applies to all companies, not just high-tech • Procter & Gamble names director of external innovation—Goal: 50% of its innovation from outside the company in 5 years • Why? Inside more than 8,600 scientists advancing the industrial knowledge that enables new offerings; outside are 1.5 million. • “So why try to invent everything internally?” Global Business Model •Washington D.C. •Boston •Minneapolis •Atlanta •Phoenix •Seattle •Austin Dublin Budapest Prague •San Diego •Portland •Raleigh-Durham Israel •Denver •Sacramento •Salt Lake Costa Rica Moscow Beijing Shanghai Shenzhen Guang Zhou Hong Kong Bangalore Bombay Hyderabad Chennaii Pune Hsinchu Manila Firms tap talent and serve markets globally, from their start. San Diego: Rise of a BioTech Cluster • Today: 3rd Biotech hub behind San Francisco & Boston • North Torrey Pines Road: Densely packed 2-mile stretch w/ Scripps Research Institute, Salk Institute for Biomedical Studies, UCSD • “We can throw a rock and hit UCSD. I can hit a golf ball and hit Scripps. Everything is within walking distance. That means more heads get together and we do a lot of collaboration.” VP at Salk Institute The Proximity Edge For States: New Era is Best of Times and Worst of Times • The Good News--main Anchors of this century will be “Meds and Eds” • Big Science transforms universities and other research complexes – loaded with top talent and research dollars - into the most highly prized economic assets • And these institutions are deeply embedded in American communities and are not easily “outsourced” overseas—making them an excellent bet for prosperity in 21st century • Bad News—not all states are ready to face the “meds and eds” century • And other states are making Bold Moves to leapfrog ahead Big Money is being Invested in Meds and Eds • Palm Beach County, Florida: $200 M for East Coast facility for Scripps Research Institute; state covers operating costs for 7 years ($310 M) • Kansas City: American Century Funds founder is spending $1 B to build mega-biomedical research complex • Indiana: Lilly Endowment offers $100 M to recruit “intellectual capital” to state colleges and universities • California: $3 B for Stem Cell research What’s Up? Shifting Sources of Wealth From: Inherited Assets • Geography • Climate • Population To: Created Assets • Top universities • Research centers • Talented people • Entrepreneurial culture • Networks • Vibrant downtowns Elements of a Knowledge-based Economy 5 tangible elements: • A strong intellectual infrastructure (universities and firms generating new knowledge and discoveries) • Mechanisms through which knowledge is transferred from personto-person / firm-to-firm • Excellent physical infrastructure (high-speed internet) • A highly skilled technical workforce • Good sources of capital 2 intangible elements: • Entrepreneurial culture • Quality of life Source: National Governors Association National Governors Association The Power of Strategic Moves The tale of two regions: The story of Austin: rise in the physics/computer-based innovation era The story of San Diego: rise in biology-based innovation Austin: Going for High Tech Gold • Three decades ago: Sleepy University/Government Town (per capita income 85% of US average) • Today one of 20 “Cities of Ideas” (per capita income is 107% of US average) • Started with Vision: “Poised for Greatness” and focus: IT and quality of life • Attracts Motorola, AMD in 70s; MCC research consortium; SEMATECH- 13-firm research consortium; many IT- related firms follow • UT top 10 of engineering graduate schools (1989) • Multiple startups: Dell and spin offs from UT San Diego: Going for BioTech Gold • Geography produces tourist & military town and begets Scripps Institute (1912) • North Torrey Pines Road: Densely packed 2-mile stretch w/ Scripps Research Institute, Salk Institute for Biomedical Studies, UCSD and others • Today: 3rd Biotech hub behind San Francisco & Boston Rise of High Tech Cluster • City gives land to General Atomics to increase HT (1956); designated S&T zone; spawns 60 companies • City gives land to Salk Institute (1960) Torrey Pines Rd • Leaders get a University (UCSD)—post-grad science focus (1960); in 1990’s spawns 69 companies • UCSD scientists founded Hybritech; UCSD professor starts Linkabit becomes Qualcom & Leap Wireless (1968) • Salk Institute spawns 22 companies since 1980’s • Scripps produces 45 companies in similar time • UCSD CONNECT (1995) “meet the researcher” • BIOCOM—informal network • $1 B in private VC (2002); $ 500 M annually NIH • UCSD opens graduate business school (PhD/MBA) San Diego Pharmaceuticals / Biotech Cluster Research UCSD Labs and Hospitals Salk Equipment Inputs Laboratory Instruments and Process Equipment Specialty Chemicals Scripps Pharmaceuticals and Related Products Pharmaceutical Products (Manufacturing) Other Products Consumer Goods Containers Burnham Kimmel Medical Devices Packaging Private Firms Specialized Risk Capital Human Capital Providers Cluster/University/ Government Relationship Providers Specialized Support Services Venture Capital Firms Community Colleges BIOCOM Banks Angel Networks UCSD UCSD CONNECT Legal Services SDSU Science and Technology Council Source: Harvard Institute on Strategy & Competitiveness, Cluster Mapping Project , U. S. County Business Pattern Data; ontheFRONTIER interviews National Leader Nationally Competitive Less Developed Accounting Firms If you’re competing on innovation, San Diego is a good place to be New Focus on Place • Quality of Place draws talent • Innovation is tied to place • Entrepreneurship requires a “habitat” Do Talented People Want to Live in Your State? “Arugula is how I define cities. I go to a grocery store, and either you can get arugula or you can’t.” Cindy Crawford international super model The Calculation for Quality of Place is More Complex • • • • • • Natural environment counts for a lot. But natural features aren’t enough. Places must have distinctive urban amenities as well. Choice (in lifestyle) matters in the talent war. Being a smart, innovative place matters. It’s not just about physical attributes. Intangibles such as tolerance and entrepreneurial culture are part of the calculation. Speed is a vital amenity. Waits, Which Way Scottsdale?, 2003 Building Expertise • Focused Excellence: Georgia Research Alliance, CA Institutes for Science and Innovation • Talent: Lilly Endowment’s $100 M for “intellectual capital,” Georgia's 100 eminent scholars, USC’s goal of 100 high-profile professors, Science Foundation Ireland recruiting 50 world-class scholars by 2008 • State-sponsored Research Funds: CA, TX, NJ, NY, MI, AZ, OH It’s not enough to say, capture more NIH research dollars The Bold Standard California Creates Its Own Research Fund—Not Once but Three Times 2004-voters approve $3 B over ten years. No state has ever raised that much money for a specific type of research 2000—Creates 4 California Institutes for Science and Innovation at UC –taken together represent a billiondollar effort to focus research 1996—UC Discovery Grants--$60 M annually from state, UC and industry Orchestrating Interaction • UCSD CONNECT “Meet the Researcher” • ASU’s supercomputer; Engineering school moves to “main street” • Innovation Districts Atlanta’s Technology Square, Torrey Pines, Research Triangle Park, PA’s Keystone Innovation Zone, St. Louis’s CORTEX 1,000 acres for medical research district • Partnerships and Networks Georgia Cancer Coalition, St. Louis Coalition for Plant and Life Sciences, BIOCOM Putting people from Diverse knowledge fields and cultures together • AZ Biodesign Institute—co-locates 3 O’s • UC Discovery Grants • NIH starting to encourage interdisciplinary research • Silo, Solo is Passé Arizona’s Strategic Moves • Three “Big Bets” on an innovation future Three “Big Bets” • Big Bet No. 1 Target export-oriented, knowledge intensive clusters to build strengths in: – – – – – – Electronics/Information Technology Aerospace Software Biomedical Advanced Business Services Optics Three “Big Bets” • Big Bet No. 2 Prop 301, a sales tax increase which citizens approved in 2000, earmarks $1 billion over 20 years, distributed among the state’s 3 universities Arizonans recognized that K-12, community colleges, toptier universities are a critical infrastructure for the 21st century In 2003, AZ legislature approved $440 million in research facilities at 3 universities—12 new research facilities Three “Big Bets” • Big Bet No. 3 Genomics – $90M raised in 2002 to jumpstart the bioscience industry with attraction of TGen and IGC Battelle Biosciences Roadmap to develop 3 areas: – Cancer therapeutics – Neurological sciences – Bioengineering Lots of Ownership • • • • • • • Biodesign Institute at ASU BIO5 at University of Arizona Technopolis – entrepreneurial support Arizona Board of Regents - metrics for 301 funds Arizona Biomedical Collaborative—3 universities Legislature passes Angel Investor tax credit Maricopa Community College district-- $1.5 M training for bioscience • Foundations continue to support TGen and top talent • Greater Phoenix Leadership—Bioscience Task Force Cities connecting to Big Bets – – – – Phoenix Downtown “Knowledge Anchors” Scottsdale Los Arcos, Mayo Clinic R&D Chandler potential Intel and ASU Nano Institute Tucson’s UA Research Park and new Critical Path Institute – Flagstaff’s NAU partners with TGen – More Big Bets – UA/ASU Medical School – Maricopa Partnership for Arts and Culture Playing a leading role in the Innovation Century will take: • New Era Thinking: Move from Cheaper Here, Made Here, and Grown Here to: Invented Here. Discovered Here. Started Here. • Sustained, Resolute Effort: These new ambitious will not be realized unless they serve as a long-term guide for public policy. Top of the public policy list is to build a dynamic combo of first-rate Meds and Eds. • Exceptional People: There is no substitute for talent— it’s the path to greatness. • The Collaborative Gene. No more silos. New ideas require collaboration. So does bold public policy. Strategic, Sustained Effort “There was no single defining action, no grand program… no solitary lucky break, no wrenching revolution. Good to great comes about by a cumulative process--step by step, action by action, decision by decision, turn by turn of the flywheel—that adds up to sustained and spectacular results.” Jim Collins, 2001