Selection-Tests-Predictors

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Reliability
Definition: The stability or consistency of a test.
Assumption: True score = obtained score +/- error.
~ Domain Sampling Model ~
Item Domain
Test
Test-retest method
[error is due to changes occurring due to the passage of time]
Test 1
-------------
r
Test 1
-------------
Issues:
•
Length of time between test administrations if crucial (generally, the
longer the interval, the lower the reliability)
• Memory
• Stability of the construct being assessed
• Speed tests, sensory discrimination, psychomotor tests (possible fatigue
factor)
Parallel/Alternate Forms
[error due to test content and perhaps passage of time]
Test 1
-------------
r
Test 2
-------------
Issues:
• Need same number & type of items on each test
• Item difficulty must be the same on each test
• Variability of scores must be the same on each test
Two types:
1) Immediate (back-to-back administrations)
2) Delayed (a time interval between administrations)
KR-20 and Coefficient Alpha [error due to item similarity]
• KR-20 is used with scales that have right & wrong
responses (e.g., achievement tests)
• Alpha is used for scales that have a range of response
options where there are no right or wrong responses (e.g.,
7-point Likert-type scales
KR-20
Rtt = k
k–1
% of those getting
the item correct
Σ pi (1 – pi)
σy
2
# of items variance of test scores
variance of scores
on each item
Alpha
ά = k
1 – Σ σ i2
k–1
# of items
σ y2
variance of
test scores
Factors Affecting Reliability
1) Variability of scores (generally, the more variability, the
higher the reliability)
2) Number of items (the more questions, the higher the
reliability)
3) Item difficulty (moderately difficult items lead to higher
reliability, e.g., p-value of .40 to .60)
4) Homogeneity/similarity of item content (e.g., item x
total score correlation; the more homogeneity, the higher
the reliability)
5) Scale format/number of response options (the more
options, the higher the reliability)
Content Validity: The extent to which test items represent a
domain (e.g., Subject Matter Expert Opinions)
Connect
each item
to a KSA
or two
Rate
difficulty of
each item
(5-point
scale)
relative to
the level of
KSA needed
in the job)
Sample Item Rating Form
Types of Validity (cont.)
Criterion-Related Validity
[correlation between test scores and job
performance scores
Predictive
[Correlation between test
scores of applicants and their
performance scores when
some time interval has passed
after they are hired]
• Range restriction issue on
performance scores
• Time, cost, & pragmatic
concerns
Concurrent
[Correlation between test scores
and performance scores of
current employees]
• Motivation level
• Guessing, Faking
• Job experience factor
• Range restriction issue on
performance scores
Application Blanks
• Content of items (use of job analysis)
• Number of application blanks (one for each position or job category)
• Legal issues
• Image of organization (e.g., format, recruitment issue, perceived fairness of
questions)
• Accuracy of data
Education, salary, job title/duties, years worked
College students willing to include one lie on AB (95%); 45% had done so
• 40% to 60% candidates overstated their qualifications on resumes (George &
Marett, 2005)
Yahoo CEO Scott Thompson
caught padding his resume
Yahoo director Patti Hart, who
was in charge of the
company's CEO search, will
not seek re-election at the next
shareholder meeting. An exact
date for the meeting has not
been set, but last year's event
was held in June. Hart, who
joined Yahoo's board in 2010, is
the CEO of International
Game Technology Statements
from both Yahoo and IGT said
that IGT's board asked her not
to seek re-election at Yahoo.
Thompson stepping down as
Yahoo CEO (May 13th,
Washington Post) Yahoo chief
executive Scott Thompson,
hired from eBay in January to
turn around the struggling Web
portal, is stepping down after it
was discovered that his
academic credentials were
misrepresented, according to a
person with knowledge of the
matter
In a series of published biographical statements stretching back for years – including his bio
on Yahoo’s website ---- Thompson has said that he "holds a Bachelor's degree in accounting
and computer science" from Stonehill College. But his degree is actually only in
accounting … Yahoo sent out a statement saying references to Thompson earning a
computer science degree were an "inadvertent error.” … It's an error Thompson made
repeatedly. References to Thompson's nonexistent computer science degree are featured in
his bios on sites for PayPal, the eBay subsidiary where he previously served as president.
Ways To Increase Applicant Honesty ABs & Resumes
• Tell applicants that the information they furnish will affect
their employability
• Inform applicants that their answers will be thoroughly
checked
• Have applicants sign a statement certifying the accuracy of
the information they provide
• Include warnings of penalties (not being hired or
termination upon discovery) for deliberatly lying
Frequency of Common Inappropriate Application Blank Questions
Worded
Appropriately
Not Asked
Item
Not
Appropriate
Past salary
98.9%
0%
1.1%
Minimum acceptable salary
72.7%
0%
27.2%
Reference source
59.1%
0%
40.9%
Age
54.5%
37.5%
8.0%
relatives
50.0%
10.2%
39.8%
Conviction records
43.2%
28.4%
28.4%
Health
40.9%
2.3%
56.8%
Military service
30.7%
30.7%
38.6%
Marital status
27.3%
0%
72.7%
25.0%
43.2%
31.8%
residence
23.9%
0%
76.1%
Physical description, photo
19.3%
0%
80.7%
Rent or own car or home
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Handicap
17.0%
6.8%
76.2%
Organizational membership
15.9%
21.6%
12.5%
Work schedule
13.6%
63.6%
22.7%
Information about
Who to notify in case
of emergency
Length of time in
Years of experience and
previous salary are the
strongest predictors of
starting salary, and starting
salary is the greatest
predictor of current salary.
--- Mickey Silberman,
Jackson Lewis, LLP
Industry Liason Conference
(2011)
Other possible
concerns include:
personal email,
personal web page,
and/or Facebook
accounts
Effect of Name on Resumes and
Interview Rates
Name type
Resume Quality
Low
High
“White”
sounding
name
“Black”
sounding
name
50% less chance of
being invited for
an interview
versus “Whites”
with high
qualifications
(Bertrand & Mullainathan; 2004)
EEOC Guidance on Arrest and Conviction Records (2012)
Conviction records are generally easier to defend
than arrest records from a legal perspective
EEOC stresses the consideration of the following
3 factors regarding conviction records:
1) the nature and severity of the offense
2)the amount of time that has passed since the
conviction (or completion of one's sentence)
3) the nature and type of job sought
Social Media and Selection
Frequency of Use --•18% indicated that they have used social networking websites to screen
applicants, while 11% planned on using such sites in the future (survey of
over 400 organizations by the Society for Human Resource Management in 2011)
• 45% of employers used social networking sites to investigate job applicants
(survey of over 2,600 hiring managers conducted by Harris Interactive for
CareerBuilder.com)
Consequences?
• 35% of organizations in Harris survey said they did not hire candidates
due to content available on social networking sites. Most common examples
of negative information included
Provocative attire
Images of drug or alcohol use,
Complaints about previous employers
Password Protection Act (2012)
If passed it will:
• Prohibit an employer from forcing prospective or
current employees to provide access to their own
private account as a condition of employment
• Prohibit employers from discriminating or
retaliating against a prospective or current employee
because that employee refuses to provide access to a
password-protected account.
An Example Rating Form for Use in Evaluating Training and Experience of
Applicants for the Job of Personnel Research Analyst
Evaluating Applicant Training and Experience (T&E)
Recommendations
• Establish minimum levels for acceptance
• Use as a rough screening devices (rule out those
without minimum levels)
• Tie T&E requirements to job-related tasks or KSAs
Overall, good predictor of job performance
Best regarding “early” job performance (first 3-5 years)
~ Letters of Recommendation ~
Issues:
Self-selection (little variation in responses, mostly positive)
Knowledge of applicant
Writing ability of recommender, unstructured content
Time availability
Role of negative information
Scoring (subjective versus established criteria)
~ Honesty
Testing ~
Two Types
1) Overt integrity tests
2) Covert/Personality (Honesty test questions imbedded
within personality measures, e.g., among items assessing
drug use/attitudes, tendency toward violence)
Sample Honesty Test Questions
Other examples: Should a person be fired if caught stealing $5.00?; , Have you
ever thought about taking company merchandise without actually taking any?;
~ Honesty
Testing ~
Some Considerations:
• Should applicants be eliminated if they “fail” an integrity test
but perform well on other tests measuring job knowledge and
cognitive ability? (Important issue as some research has indicated
that approximately 40-70 percent of test takers fail honesty tests)
• Should high scores on other tests be allowed to compensate for
poor honesty test scores?
• Faking of answers (more likely on overt tests)
*** Despite the above, honesty tests are strong predictors of job
performance and counterproductive work behaviors. They also
result in very little adverse impact.
Drug Testing
• Approximately 57% of companies use pre-employment drug
testing (Society for Human Resource Management survey (2011)
• What does a positive drug test score indicate?
Some contend that drug use does not negatively affect
performance in the majority of jobs (Macdonald, 1997)
Other research indicates that drug use is related to poor job
performance (e.g., increased injuries and involuntary turnover)
(Bass et al., 1996; Normand, Salyards, & Mahoney, 1990).
Drug Testing
Some Issues:
• Those being tested
Applicants, employees or both
• Testing procedure
Random or for cause
• Type of company
Public or private
• Type of test
Accuracy, Cross-reactivity
• Type of job
Safety concerns or not
Background Checks
Driving record
Criminal background
Credit history
Educational record
SHRM Survey on Use of Credit Background Checks
(2010)
For all job candidates: 13% Only for certain job candidates: 47%
No: 40%
 On which categories of job candidates does your organization conduct
credit background checks?
Some Credit Check Issues:
•Correlation with work performance (weak, inconsistent) Table below from: Statement of
Michael Aamodt, Ph.D., Principal Consultant, DCI Consulting Group, Inc. EEOC Meeting of October 20, 2010 Employer Use of Credit History as a Screening Tool
K
Work problems
10
N
7,464
r
.149
Discipline
5
5,946
.131
Absenteeism
6
1,678
.211
Performance ratings
3
561
.069
K = number of studies, N = total sample size, r = sample-size weighted uncorrected average
correlation
•No relationship between credit ratings and performance scores or termination decisions
(Bryan & Palmer, 2012) – over 170 employees in a financial organization
•Recent study: Relationships with task performance (supervisor ratings), OCBs,
conscientiousness, but not theft or aggressiveness
•Adverse impact (minorities, esp. Blacks, Hispanics, have lower scores)
~ Reference Checks ~
(Exceptionally common technique; e.g., 95% usage by organizations)
In-Person (e.g., interview)
• Costly, time consuming
• Used in jobs that involve the concern for risks (e.g., security, $)
• Can elicit different types of information (differences
between in-person and written reference information)
Mail (or e-mail)
• Low return rate using “snail” mail (e.g., 56 – 64%)
• Standardized questions, format
• Written record of responses
• Ensure confidentiality of responses (signed statement by applicant)
~ Telephone Checks ~
(More frequently used than written references)
• Allows follow-up or clarification of answers given
• Less resistance to giving certain types of information can be collected
• Quick process (many last 10-15 minutes)
• Important data can be gleaned from various verbal cues (e.g., pauses,
hesitations, voice inflections, voice level, intonations)
• Relatively high return rate
• Better responsiveness, more interactive nature of the method
• More confidence in the identity of responder
Usefulness of Reference Information
• Relatively low validity; relationship to performance measures (e.g.,
.14, .16)
• Relatively low interrater reliability (e.g., .40, but sometimes from
different sources)
Most useful if:
• Data collected from immediate supervisor
• Referee knows applicant well (chance to observe job behavior) and have
similar demographic characteristics
• Similarity between the prior job and the one being applied for
Sample Biographical Information Blank Items
[Biodata -- Provides life history data]
• During high school, how many times did you make the honor roll?
• How much freedom or independence did your parents allow you in grade school?
• How important did your favorite high school teachers stress discipline in the
classroom?
• How many times did you change schools before you were sixteen years old?
• Compared to other people in high school, how many friends did you have?
• How old were you when you spent your first week (or more) away from your
parents?
• How bothered are you if you a job is left undone?
• How often do you read craft and mechanics magazines?
• How quickly do you normally work?
• How well do you feel you can understand the feelings of others?
• How well do you tolerate performing routine tasks?
Classification of Biographical Items
Classification of Biographical Items (cont.)
1. Verifiable:
Did you graduate from college?
2. Historical:
How many jobs have you held in the past five
years?
Unverifiable:
How much did you enjoy high school?
Futuristic:
What job would you like to hold five years from
now?
3. Actual Behavior:
Have you ever repaired a broken radio?
4. Memory:
How would you describe your life at home
while growing up?
5. Factual:
How many hours do you spend at work in a
typical week?
6. Specific:
While growing up, did you collect coins?
7. Response:
Which of the following hobbies do you
enjoy?
8. External Event:
When you were a teenager, how much time
did your father spend with you?
Hypothetical Behavior:
If you had your choice, what job would you like to
hold now?
Conjecture:
If you were to go through college again, what
would you choose as a major?
Interpretive:
If you could choose your supervisor, what
characteristic would you want him or her to have?
General:
While growing up, what activities did you enjoy
most?
Response Tendency:
When you have a problem at work, to whom do you
turn for assistance?
Internal Event:
Which best describes the feelings you had when
you last worked with a computer?
Biodata Scoring
A Commonly Used Approach (correlation between items and a criterion)
Items (based on
job analysis
e.g., tasks,
KSAs,
constructs)
High
Performance
Groups (e.g.,
median split, upper
vs. lower thirds)
Low
Issues:
• Validity of the criterion measure
• Items (and their weights) are specific to the criterion
• Need for item pretesting (e.g., remove those with low variability, low/no
correlation to criterion, correlation with protected group status)
Summary of Bio-Data Validity Studies
Biodata Summary
• Good predictor of job performance
• Wide range of information collected
• Possible situational specificity
• Requires large sample sizes
~ Employment Interview ~
• Frequently used to make selection decisions (over 90%)
• Social exchange (interpersonal) process
• Search for information
Common “Traditional” Interview Problems
• Variety of Interviewer Biases
* 1st Impressions
* Expectancy Effect
* Contrast Effect
* Stereotype Matching
• Different Questions Asked to Applicants
(Lack of standardization; 29% - 94%)
• Disagreement on the Desirability of Interview Responses
• Little Formal Interviewer Training (44% receive such training: Wang &
Yancey, 2012)
• Subjective (or no) Scoring System (50%: Wang & Yancey, 2012)
• Interview Conducted and Scored by One Person
• Poor Reliability, Validity, and Job Relevancy (Open to Legal Challenge)
~ Summary of Situational Interview Process ~
•
Perform a Job Analysis Using the Critical Incident Technique
•
Place Critical Incidents into Relevant Job Dimensions (e.g., Safety,
Responsibility, Interpersonal Skills)
•
Reword Critical Incidents Into Question Form
•
Decide on the desirability of responses [Think of how good,
average, and mediocre workers would have answered such a
question]
•
Conduct interviews in groups of two or more. Each interviewer
scores applicant independently. A single score is given after group
discussion
Situational Interview Process (cont.)
Behavior Description Interview
Ability Tests
Sensory (e.g.,
hearing, vision)
Motor (e.g.,
dexterity,
strength, agility)
ADA concerns
• Reasonable accommodation
• Essential job duties
Cognitive (e.g.,
Intelligence)
Cognitive Ability
(e.g., ability to learn; acquire new knowledge and skill)
• General Cognitive Ability
• Special abilities (e.g., verbal, quantitative, spatial
abilities, arithmetic reasoning, memory, mechanical
comprehension, reasoning ability)
Cognitive Ability Tests --- Pros & Cons
Pros --• Significant predictors of managerial performance (Hunter & Hunter, 1984),
especially scores on verbal and numerical ability (Grimsley & Jarrett, 1973, 1975).
• Data from of meta-analytic studies indicate they are some of the best predictors
of performance available across an array of jobs (Bobko, Roth, & Potosky 1999;
Schmidt & Hunter, 1998).
• Better predictor among highly complex jobs
Cons --• Potential adverse impact (Blacks and Hispanics score significantly lower on these
tests (Roth, Bevier, Bobko, Switzer, & Tyler, 2001)
• They do not assess other types of intelligence (e.g., analytical, creative and
practical intelligence (Sternberg, 1985, 2000).
Differential Aptitude Test (DAT)
Abstract Reasoning
PROBLEM FIGURES
ANSWER FIGURES
A
B
C
D
E
Differential Aptitude Test (DAT)
Mechanical Reasoning
A
B
Which weighs more?
(If equal, mark C.)
Differential Aptitude Test (DAT)
Space Relations
A
B
C
D
http://www.cctexas.com/?fuseaction=main.view&page=2478
Texas city hit with police sex discrimination suit
CHRISTOPHER SHERMAN, Associated Press
Updated 7:13 p.m., Tuesday, July 3, 2012
McALLEN, Texas (AP) — The Justice Department sued the city of Corpus Christi on Tuesday, alleging
the Police Department discriminated in hiring women by using a physical ability test few female applicants
have been able to pass. Federal prosecutors say only about one in five women who took the test between
2005 and 2009 passed it, compared with about two-thirds of the men. The last two years the pass rates for
men and women increased due to a change in the cutoff scores, but the gap between men and women
persisted. The complaint filed in federal court in Corpus Christi says the department hired 12 female
entry-level officers and 113 males from 2005 to 2011.
Consent Decree (Settlement)
The consent decree requires that Corpus Christi no longer use
the physical abilities test challenged by the United States for
selecting entry-level police officers. It also requires the city to
develop a new selection procedure that complies with Title VII.
Additionally, the consent decree requires the city to pay $700,000
as back pay to female applicants who took and failed the challenged
physical abilities test between 2005 and 2011 and are determined
to be eligible for relief. Also under the consent decree, some
women who took and failed the challenged physical abilities test
between 2005 and 2011 may receive offers of priority
employment with retroactive seniority and benefits.
Applicants interested in priority employment must pass the new,
lawful selection procedure developed by Corpus Christi under the
decree and meet other qualifications required of all applicants
considered for entry-level police officer positions.
~ Work Sample Tests ~
(performing a piece, or sample task, of the job)
• Good content validity
• Less adverse impact (e.g., than cognitive ability tests)
Issues:
• Can be time consuming, costly to develop (what
questions/tasks to include, determine correct answer or response)
• Need for standardization (e.g., instructions, administration,
scoring, administrator training)
~ Assessment Center Process ~
Candidates Participate in
Situational Exercises
Sample Group Exercises
Leaderless Group Discussion
Business Game
Sample Individual Exercises
Interview Simulation
Scheduling Exercise
Observed, discussed, and
scored on various
dimensions (e.g.,
communication,
decision making,
planning/organizational
skills) by trained raters
• Overall scores
computed and
ranked for
personnel
decisions
• Indiviudaul
dimension scores
used for
developmental
purposes
In-Basket
• Can be time consuming and costly (e.g., over $1,500/person)
Personality Assessment (Self-report versus
projective techniques)
~ “Big 5” Personality Factors ~
• Extraversion --- Outgoing, sociable
• Neuroticism (Emotional Stability): Depressed, anxious, worrisome
• Agreeableness: Flexible, forgiving
• Conscientiousness: Careful, thorough, persevering
• Openness to Experience: Curious, imaginative
 Overall, conscientiousness and extraversion are best predictors of managerial
performance across jobs
Personality measures add to prediction above and beyond other commonly used
measure such as cognitive ability
 Tests intended to assess psychiatric disorders (e.g., MMPI) are considered as
medical tests under the ADA and must be given post offer
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