Strengthening the National Statistical System Joint UN Project Component on “Improvement of availability and reliability of regional statistics for decision-makers of the Republic of Moldova” Feasibility report on alignment of the Republic of Moldova to EU NUTS statistical territorial classification Content 1. Framework of NUTS classification and EU best practices 2. Situational analysis in Moldova 3. Identification and of NUTS options 4. Assessment of NUTS options 5. Recommended TOP options I Framework of NUTS classification and EU best practices NUTS 3 in EU Requirements for NUTS (1) Basic criteria • Administrative units - geographic area which operates under administrative authority that has the power to take administrative or policy decisions for that area • Population threshold - persons who have their usual residence in the particular area Level Minimum Maximum NUTS 1 3 million 7 million NUTS 2 800 000 3 million NUTS 3 150 000 800 000 Requirements for NUTS (2) • If for a given level of NUTS no administrative units of a suitable scale exist, this level shall be constituted by existing smalles administrative units • Non-administrative units may devite from population treshold becouse of particual geografical, socio-economic, historical, cultura or enviromental circumstances Case studies • New member states - Baltic countries (Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania) • Similar by size and population • EX-USSR countries (only member states of EU as ex-USSR) • Also have boarder regions with Russian speaking minority • Older member states – Ireland and Denmark • Similar by size and population • Ireland – fastest growth after joining EU • Denmark – have made several administrative reforms Denmark (population 5 627 235; area 42 915) • Exceptions • NUTS 2 - Nordjylland 581 057 (also defined as NUTS 3 one regions) • NUTS 3 – Bornholm 40 305 Ireland (population 5 627 235; area 42 915) • Exception – Dublin is bigger in terms of population (1.2 million) than any other NUTS 3 regions of Ireland. • NUTS 2 – devided only in two regions Lithuania (population 2 944 459; area 42 915) • NUTS 2 as whole country, but theoretically as largest country in Baltics with two similar cities could form two NUTS 2 regions • Exceptions in NUTS 3 - four regions doesn't meet criteria (104149 000) Estonia (population 1 315 819; area 45 227) • NUTS 2 as whole country • Exceptions – two regions doesn't meet criteria (128 – 147 000) Latvia (population 2 023 825; area 64 573) • NUTS 2 – whole country • Latvia has FIVE planning regions (SIX NUTS 3) - Riga municipality and Pieriga ( “surrounding” region) are part of one Riga Planning regions (consist of two NUTS 3 regions) • Only Latvia don’t have any exceptions Use of NUTS regions • EU fund’s planning • NUTS 2 Cohesion policy • NUTS 3 cross boarder cooperation • Service planning Cohesion policy GDP/capita* < 75 % of EU average 75-90 % > 90 % *index EU27=100 3 categories of regions Less developed regions (182 bil. EUR) Transition regions (35 bil. EUR) More developed regions (54 bil. EUR) Regional GDP figures: 2006-07-08 © EuroGeographics Association for the administrative boundaries │ 14 Canarias Madeira Guyane Réunion Guadeloupe/ Martinique Açores Malta │ 14 Difference in NUTS 2 Cohesion policy 2014-2020* • Whole country single NUTS 2 region (Baltic countries ) 2500 2354 2000 1762 1500 • Capital-regions are out of «Less-developed» category (PL, CZ, RO, HU, SL) 1000 500 0 Average PL, CZ, RO, HU, SL Average in Baltic states Average EUR per capita Average Easten Europe (1 947) *Cross borader cooperation is not included Cross border cooperation (1) Cross boarder cooperation (2) • As larger regions as more population is counted in allocation • Baltic countries: • Latvia and Estonia – all country is as eligible region for cross boarder • Lithuania – Kaunas reg. is not cross boarder region (participate as «adjoining» region) • Adjoining regions - options for adjacent region means that no more than 20% of the Programme total eligible public funds will be granted to projects from this area Planning of services (1) Formation of regions (before 1997) Planning regions (2014) Planning of services (2) The Centre for Disease Prevention and Control State Plant Protection Service Regional Court State Labour Inspectorate Planning of services (3) The State Police of Latvia State Emergency Medical Service State Fire and Rescue Service The State Land Service II Situational analysis in Moldova Administrative divisions • Moldova has in total 982 local administrative units • Moldova does not have any regional administrative units as regions are not elected as local governments. Regions in Moldova • By the Law No. 438 of 28.12.2006 on regional development there are six development regions: North, Center, South, ATU Gagauzia, Chisinau and Transnistria • RDA are for 3 functional regions • Development regions are not administrative regions Territorial approach in service planning Other use of regional division • Decentralization strategy oStrategy for education oStrategy for social services • Investment planning = territorial approach used in investment planning oEach ministry is planning the funding of investment activities by the territorial distribution of their services Organization of statistics • Statistics is organized: o by 5 of 6 development regions (in conformity with the Law No. 438 of 28.12.2006 on regional development of the Republic of Moldova); o by districts/rayon (in conformity with the law No. 764 of 27.12.2001 on administrative and territorial division of the RM); o by statistical regions (slightly different than regional development regions). • Statistic of Tranistria is not included in NBS statistical organization - at this moment statistics about Transnistria is not collected by NBS. III Identification of NUTS options Discussions with stakeholders • Topics in discussions: Use of current regional division in policy planning ( investment planning and service planning) Possible expectations on NUTS division and most appropriate models for NUTS regions • Participants: Ministry of Regional Development and Construction, National Bureau of Statistics, GIZ, State Chancellery, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Economy, Ministry of Environment, Ministry of Transport and Road Infrastructure, Organisation for Development of SME, Regional Development Agencies, Regional Development Councils and representatives of Gagauzia Region. I Model – NUTS 2 whole country • NUTS 2 level: whole country • NUTS 3 level: A. B. 5 regions – North, Centre, South, Gagauzia, Transnistria; 6 regions – North, Centre, South, Chisinau, Gagauzia, Transnistria; C. 4 regions – North, Centre, South, Transnistria; D. 5 regions – North, Centre, South, Gagauzia, Chisinau; E. 3 regions – North, Centre, South; F. 4 regions – North, Centre, South, Chisinau; G. 11 regions - 9 ex-counties, Gagauzia and Transnistria. II Model - NUTS 2 consist of 3 regions • NUTS 2 level :3 regions North, Centre, South • NUTS 3 level: A. 7 regions – North, Balti, Centre, Chisinau, South, Gagauzia, Transnistria B. 6 regions – North, Balti, Centre, Chisinau , South, Gagauzia Criteria for evaluation • • • • • • • Regional integration Operational feasibility EU funding benefits Administrative Costs Regional services EC criterion on population for NUTS regions Balanced urban development IV Assessment of NUTS options How to evaluate (1) ? Different ranking by difrent criteria ? What is summ of criteria ? How to evaluate (2) ? Different criteria – different result Unit of measurement + High 3 points 0 Medium 2 points - Low 1 point Weight of criteria Group of criteria and weights Political stability in regions 35% Evaluation Criteria ant weights Regional integration 15% Operational feasibility 25% EU funding benefits 25% Implementation of options 35% EU funding benefits 25% Administrative Costs 10% Regional services 10% EC criterion on population for NUTS regions 10% Balanced urban development 5% 100% 100% Comparable result – NUTS 2 Comparable result – NUTS 3 V Recommended TOP options NUTS 2 – whole country Evaluation of option Regional integration Operational feasibility EU funding and econ. benefits + + + Admin. costs + Regional services EC criteria for NUTS regions Balanced urban development - - + NUTS 2 – whole country • Similar experience to Balic countries - whole country as one NUTS 1 and NUTS 2 region TOP options for NUTS 3 By the score of the criteria index there could be ranged TOP 3 options of regions at NUTS 3 level: • e) with 3 regions (value of all criteria index 2.2) • a) with 5 regions and c) with 4 regions (each of both have index 1.95). Option “E” with 3 regions – North, Centre, South Regional integration Operat. feasibility + - Evaluation of option EU funding Admin. Regional and econ. costs services benefits + + 0 EC criteria Balanc. urban for NUTS devel. regions - + Option “A” with 5 regions – North, Centre, South, Gagauzia, Transnistria Regional integration Operat. feasibility - + Evaluation of option EU funding Admin. Regional and costs services econ. benefits 0 0 0 EC criteria for NUTS regions Balanc. urban devel. - - Option “C” with 5 regions – North, Centre, South, Transnistria Evaluation of option Regional integration Operat. feasibility EU funding and econ. benefits Admin. costs Regional services EC criteria for NUTS regions 0 0 0 + 0 - Balanc. urban devel. - TOP options for NUTS 3 • Major difference is in «understaning» Policical stability Compare of TOP 3 - EU funding • Equal potential allocation of EU funding – all 3 are best of all evaluated options • Different number of municipalities in elagible regions – best options E with all Moldova Compare of TOP 3 - NUTS population criteria • All 3 have highest offsets beatween all evaluated options • The highset offset is for options «E» as thereticly it is possible to formulate at least 2 NUTS 2 regions in place of Centre region Compare of TOP 3 – administrative costs • Smallest increase of costs for «E» (16% from base) and C (27% from base) – both in category of cheapest options • Option «A» has increas of 38% from base and is in medium category of costs Compare of TOP 3 – economical advantage • The most appropriate option is “E”, then comes “C” with “A” as they have limited amount of resources • In «E» main “driving” industries have better support with specialists as well as infrastructure • Smaller regions: • Can’t be so flexible and have less chances to have fast shift on growing industry demand (especially Transnistria, as it tries to produce all specialists for itself) • Has huge influence of TOP 10 largest companies • Has huge influence of public sector - regions limited competitiveness of private sector • Can compensate lack of specialists by labour mobility. Drivers of region TOP sectors and TOP Companies and FDI investors in TOP sectors Resources Business space (industrial areas), human resources Overall recommendations • Short term (current year) • Continue discussions with stakeholders in Moldova to choose the final option, considering a potential administrative territorial reform • Start discussions with Eurostat and EC about implementation of NUTS regulation • Medium term (next 3 years) • Prepare Moldova’s Government’s decision on implementation of NUTS regulation • Gradual adjustment of the planning of deconcentrated services and investments through application of a common approach on territorial units used (NUTS3 regions) • Conduct reforms (including descentralisation) in accordance with national NUTS regions • Long term (next 7 years) • Regional development programmes on NUTS 3 regions • Establishment of new Regional Development Agencies Recommendations from statistics perspective • Short term (current year) • Initiation of the formal discussions with Eurostat and EC regarding the optimal option of the NUTS National Statistical Classifier • Gradual harmonization of the regional statistics in compliance with EU requirements (continuous activity) • Medium term (next 3 years) • The adjustment of the draft of the National NUTS Classification, given the results of the 2014 Population and Housing Census • Obtaining the formal approval of the National NUTS Classification from part of Eurostat • Preparation and approval of the regulatory framework on the implementation of the NUTS Regulation in national statistics • Gradual integration of Transnistria’s statistics in the national statistics of Republic of Moldova • Gradual harmonization of regional statistics in compliance with EU requirements (continuous activity) • Assign a special role to NBS within the administrative-territorial reform process, through its mandatory consultation at the establishment of territorial division and size based on the population number of the future administrative units (following the discussions with Eurostat) • Long term (next 7 years) • Production of regional statistics in accordance with EU requirements to ensure the comparability with the EU member countries • Gradual integration of Transnistria’s statistics in the national statistics of Republic of Moldova Recommendations from regional development perspective Short term (current year) • Prioritization of regional development policy of RM to ensure its intra -ministerial character and its role in implementation of sector policies at regional level Medium term (next 3 years) • Realization of the (potential) territorial administrative reform, which might influence the final shape of NUTS regions options for Moldova, being compliant with EC Regulation • The approval of NUTS 3 regions as territorial - administrative units would ensure a greater flexibility in the formation of these regions and their approval by Eurostat (following the discussions with Eurostat) Long term (next 7 years) • Elaboration of policy documents in regional development at NUTS 3 regions level • Identification of a new approach regarding the institutional framework creation • Identification of new selection methodologies of regional development projects, based on regions’ development needs study realization and not on the own local authorities’ initiatives • The development of institutional capacities of regional development institutions and modification of project implementation principle, so that RDA monitors the implementation of projects, and does not implement them directly Thank You!