MGT 722: Managerial Economics for EMBA Owen Graduate School of Management Vanderbilt University Fall Semester 2010 Contact Information Professor: E-mail: Office: Fax: TAs: Luke Froeb (http://ManagerialEcon.com) luke.froeb@owen.vanderbilt.edu – this is the best and most efficient way to contact me. (615) 322-9057 (615) 343-7177 Sean Cunningham (Sean.Cunningham.2011@owen.vanderbilt.edu) Lane Rau (Lane.Rau.2011@owen.vanderbilt.edu) - EMBA leads—contact Sean or Lane to set up tutoring or help sessions. Course Goals After completing this class you should be able to: Use the rational-actor paradigm to predict firm and individual behavior. Compute the relevant costs of any decision. Use marginal analysis to make extent (how much) decisions. Make investment decisions that increase firm value. Set optimal prices and price discriminate. Predict industry-level changes using demand/supply analysis. Understand the long-run forces that erode profit Develop long-run strategies to increase firm value. Use game theory to predict how your actions influence those of others. Bargain effectively Make decisions in uncertain environments. Solve the problems caused by moral hazard and adverse selection. Align individual and division incentives with the goals of the company. Manage relationships between upstream suppliers or downstream retailers. Find unconsummated wealth-creating transactions and devise ways to profitably consummate them. Class Material Froeb, L. M., Managerial Economics: A Problem-Solving Approach, 2nd Edition (Cincinnati: Southwestern, 2010). (ISBN 0538771240, bundled with the economics module of MBAPrimer.com) REQUIRED. This is the text for the class, and corresponds closely to the lectures. Learn this material well. It may seem simple, but the only way to tell if you are keeping up is to do the problems, and then explain the answers to someone else—especially those without an economics background Managerial Economics module of MBA Primer (It comes bundled with textbook: http://v2.MBAPrimer.com/) REQUIRED. This is a hands-on “how to” primer that teaches the mechanics of costs, demand, marginal analysis, and benefit-cost analysis. There are primers for Financial Accounting, Managerial Economics, Finance, Accounting, and Statistics. Be sure to select MBA Primer Online: Managerial Economics Module Volume 2, 2nd Edition and NOT any of the other primers. Read the material, do the exercises, and take the quiz at the end of each chapter. Repeat the quizzes and review the material until you are comfortable with the concepts and techniques. Quiz yourself using variations of the MBA Primer questions. You are encouraged to discuss the MBA Primer concepts and quizzes with classmates and the TAs. When you know the material well, take a similar timed quiz (30 minute limit) on the Blackboard website http://mba.vanderbilt.edu/Intranet/. DO NOT LOG ON TO UNTIL YOU ARE READY TO TAKE THE QUIZ. The Blackboard quizzes count toward your grade and once you log on, you do not get a second chance. Management R&D, Blog, http://www.managerialecon.com REQUIRED. On the right hand side of the blog, below the graphic of the textbook, is a list of the book chapters, with links to the blog entries relevant to each chapter. Keep up with current management issues by reading this blog. Some blog entries will be the basis of in class discussion. Please feel free to post comments and/or discussion points. James Brickley, Clifford Smith, Jerold Zimmerman, “The Economics of Organizations,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 8:2 (Summer, 1995) pp. 19-31. REQUIRED. I want you to be able not only to identify profitable decisions using benefit-cost analysis (the main thrust of the course as reflected in course goals), but also to implement them within your organization. Identifying profitable decisions without being able to implement them, or implementing decisions without knowing whether they are profitable, are both fruitless exercises. This article provides the basis for our study of behavior within organizations. Economics Interactive Tutorials (http://hadm.sph.sc.edu/courses/econ/tutorials.html) RECOMMENDED. While these interactive tutorials have a health care focus, they do an excellent job of introducing basic concepts of economics, especially for students with little background in economics. They are a little easier than the MBAprimer.com. I strongly urge those of you without a strong economics background to go through these. By Samuel L. Baker, Ph.D., Associate Professor, University of South Carolina, Norman J. Arnold School of Public Health, Dept. of Health Administration. These interactive tutorials are great practice for learning the concepts and the quizzes. Deliverables & Grading Best 5 of 7 on-line quizzes testing the mechanics of benefit-cost analysis. Final Exam covering readings, lecture notes, MBA Primer Best 5 of 6 Individual HW’s 5 Groupations (slides and memo) applying class ideas to your companies My perception of your contribution to the class may also affect grade 25% 25% 25% 25% Group HW’s: Answer one of the group HW’s at the end of one of the assigned chapters. These are a designed to give you an opportunity to apply the ideas in class to your own companies. Choose an issue faced by one of your companies that is similar to one of the questions at the end of the relevant chapter. Answer it by pretending that you are a consultant hired to fix a problem within your company. You analysis should implicitly answer 3 questions: 1. What’s wrong?; 2. How do we fix it?; and 3. How much will the company save by fixing it, compared to either the status quo or another alternative solution? This answer should have a specific number with back up support. As professionals, you are all aware of the importance of strong writing skills. Letters, reports, and even short email notes all indicate to others our ability to communicate. Since good writing follows clear thinking, others will form opinions about your ability and work ethic based upon written correspondence. Typographical errors, grammatical errors, misspelled words, or poor diction and an awkward writing style dramatically reduce the impact of your work no matter how good the content. In particular, avoid “Bureaucratese” (see article by Alfred Kahn on course website), and write in what Eloquence mail (password and link on course website) calls a “Direct, High Impact, and Forceful” style. Both can be found under “Course Material” in the “Syllabus” folder. Individual HW’s: Like the Group HW’s, the Individual HW Questions are found at the back of each chapter, and are similar to those that will appear on the Final Exam. To make sure that you understand the material, try these questions on your own. If you cannot do them, you need help in the class. Ask questions in class. Ask questions of your classmates. Explain your answers to your friends or classmates (There is an old saying in economics— you never learn economics until you teach it to someone else.). You are allowed to discuss the questions with your classmates, but do not look at their written HW. Everything you turn in is to be your own work. Get help from classmates or from class TA’s. If you would like to set up time with a TA to answer questions you have about the material, please email them directly (copy me on the e mail). Do not expect them to give you the answers or to verify that you have the right answer. Learning this material is hard work, and the only way you can learn it is by doing the questions yourself. If you cannot answer the question in less than 150 words, then you don’t understand the question. If you have any questions about grades you receive on homework sets or quizzes, you should submit your question in writing to Professor Froeb. Course Honor Code Policy Students are bound by the Honor Code and the following specific guidelines for all work completed in this course. By implementing these new guidelines, we hope to make adherence to the principals of the Owen Honor Code easier and without ambiguity. All work is to be YOUR OWN, CREATED AND COMPLETED BY YOU ALONE. When in doubt, ask a TA. Specific Guidelines: The following describes the guidelines for Managerial Economics homework, quizzes, and tests: Quizzes – Do these on your own. Any communication about the Blackboard quizzes between a student who has taken the quiz, and one who has not, is a violation of the Owen Honor Code. Do not print out the quizzes, even after you have taken them. I do not want hard copies floating around because I may use these in other programs and in subsequent years. Individual Assignment – An individual assignment must be completed by the student individually, without input from other students. Generation of Ideas; Discussion of Assignment Completing an assignment involves several steps. Because the assignments and quizzes are individual, then the analysis of the problem, the generation of ideas, any needed research and preparation of the required work product must all be accomplished by the individual student. In general, a student should assume that all steps of an individual assignment are to be carried out by that student working alone. Producing the Final Work The physical, electronic, or other deliverable (e.g., a problem set) that is provided for assessment is usually the final step in an assignment. Individual work product must be prepared solely by the individual student. Data Sources and Tools Each student is responsible for following assignment instructions with respect to what data sources and tools may be used. If outside sources are used, proper citations are REQUIRED. Materials from prior courses at Owen or similar courses at other institutions are prohibited unless specifically authorized by the professor. Again, when outside sources are used, they should be cited appropriately by the student. Overarching Guidelines Plagiarism, which includes the unauthorized use of previous years’ materials (e.g., examinations, case analyses, homework assignments, quizzes, etc.), is a violation of the Honor Code. Written deliverables must use appropriate citations to signify when arguments or analyses rely on the ideas or insights of others, including any of the readings in the class pack. It is not necessary to reference the case study you are preparing a written analysis of. Quizzes are to be completed individually with no outside help. Quizzes are closed-book, closed-note, closed-browser assessments. Any deviation from these guidelines is a violation of the Honor Code. Any use of analyses or any other material in any format from previous offerings of this course, other courses taught at Vanderbilt or other universities, or on the Internet, is a violation of the Honor Code. This includes the use of materials in multiple classes without consent of the instructors. Above all, maintain your personal integrity. If you are in doubt as to the type or amount of collaboration allowed on an assignment, it is always your responsibility to consult with the professor. Failure to do so is not an acceptable excuse. Session Date Time Required (Read text before class) Highly Recommended Managerial Economics: Preface: Teaching Students to Solve Problems 1. Introduction: What This Book is About 2. The One Lesson of Business MBA Primer: Introduction: What is Managerial Economics? Bed-time story: Doti, Capitalism & Greed Week in Residence 1 Aug. 12 6:308:00pm 1. 12:151:45pm 2 2:003:30pm 3 Aug. 13 Videos: 7-minute video: Problem Solving with Economics 7-minute video : The One Lesson of Business 3-minute video : Friedman v. Donohue on Greed 7-minute video : Larry the Liquidator on “other people’s money” Videos: Chapter Problem Chapter Problem 1 - Managerial Economics: A Solving Approach 2 - Managerial Economics: A Solving Approach Managerial Economics: 3. Benefits, Costs, and Decisions MBA Primer: 1. Using Economics in Management Decisions Managerial Economics: 4. Extent (How Much) Decisions MBA Primer: 2. Understanding the Seller’s Costs Videos: Chapter 3 - Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach Managerial Economics: 5. Investment Decisions: Look Ahead and Reason Back Interactive Tutorials: 3. Average Cost and the Break-Even Output Rate Interactive Tutorials: Total Cost, Variable Cost, and Marginal Cost Videos: Chapter 4 - Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach Make sure you understand Discounted cash flow and Net Value, but also why most companies do NOT use it Videos: Chapter 5: Economics: Chapter 5: Economics: 6:308:00pm 4 Managerial Economics: 6. Simple Pricing 7. Economies of Scale and Scope 5 Aug. 14 8:009:30am 9:4511:15am 6 Aug. 26 MBA Primer: 3. Understanding the Buyer’s Demand Part 1 - Managerial A Problem Solving Approach Part 2 - Managerial A Problem Solving Approach Interactive Tutorials: 2. Marginal Cost and the Price-Taking Firm's Optimal Output Rate 4. Demand 5. Elasticity 6. Elasticity II Make sure you understand “critical loss” formula in Whole Foods Merger case—this is how companies do marginal analysis of pricing. Group HW 1 (All) Due Thurs. Aug. 26 by midnight: You must have completed Quizzes 1 & 2 on Blackboard (Similar to MBA Primer Quizzes 1 & 2) 7 Aug. 28 3:204:50pm 5:006:30pm 8 Sept. 9 9 Sept. 11 7:509:20am 9:3011:00am 10 Sept. 23 11 Sept. 25 7:509:20am Individual HW 1 due before start of class on Aug. 28 Managerial Economics: 8. Understanding Markets and Industry Changes 9. Relationships between industries: The forces moving us towards long-run equilibrium 10. Strategy, the quest to slow profit erosion Interactive Tutorials: 7. Supply, Demand, and Equilibrium 8. Monopoly: Marginal Revenue and the Profit-Maximizing Price and Output Rate Videos: Chapter 9 - Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach MBA Primer: 4. Understanding Markets and Profit Maximizing Group HW 2 (Odds) Due Thurs. Sept. 9 by midnight:. You must completed Quizzes 3 & 4 on Blackboard (Similar to MBA Primer Quizzes 3 & 4) Warning: Quizzes 3&4 are more difficult than Quizzes 1&2 Individual HW 2 due before the start of class Managerial Economics: 11. Bubbles, Trade, and Foreign Exchange 12. More Realistic and Complex Pricing 13. Direct Price Discrimination 14. Indirect Price Discrimination Group HW 2 (Evens) Due Thurs. Sept. 23 by midnight: You must completed Quiz 5 on Blackboard (Similar to MBA Primer Quiz 5) Individual HW 3 due before the Simultaneous game self test start of class http://www2.owen.vanderbilt.edu/mike.shor/Courses/gametheory/quiz/quiz1.html Managerial Economics: 15. Strategic Games Sequential game self test 16. Bargaining http://www2.owen.vanderbilt.edu/mike.shor/Courses/gametheory/quiz/quiz4.html Play the repeated prisoners' dilemma http://www.gametheory.net/Mike/applets/PDilemma/ 12 9:3011:00am 13 1:303:00pm Oct. 9 3:104:40pm 14 15 Oct.23 3:204:50pm Group HW 3 (Odds) Managerial Economics: 17. Making Decisions with Uncertainty 18. Auctions Group HW 3 (Evens) Individual HW 4 due before the start of class Managerial Economics: 19. The Problem of Adverse Selection Interactive Tutorials: 12. Risk 13. Risk Aversion and Insurance 5:006:30pm 16 Nov. 4 17 Nov. 6 7:509:20am 9:3011:00am 18 Nov. 18 19 Nov. 20 20 21 Dec. 4 22 3:204:50pm 5:006:30pm 11:501:20pm 1:303:00pm Dec. 9 23 Dec. 11 24 11:501:20pm 1:303:00pm 20. The Problem of Moral Hazard Group HW 4 (Odds) Due Thursday Nov. 4 by midnight: You must completed Quiz 6 on Blackboard (Similar to practice Quiz 6) Individual HW 5 due before the start of class Managerial Economics: 21. Getting Employees to Work in the Best Interests of the Firm 22. Getting Divisions to Work in the Best Interests of the Firm Group HW 4 (Evens) Due Thursday Nov. 18 by midnight: You must have completed Quiz 7 on Blackboard (Similar to practice Quiz 7) Individual HW 6 due before the start of class Managerial Economics: 23. Managing Vertical Relationships Group HW 5 (Odds) Review Session for Final Exam Group HW 5 (Evens) Online Final Exam due by midnight Dec. 9 Managerial Economics: 24. You Be the Consultant EPILOG: Can those who teach, do? Group HW 6 (All) MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS--TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction: What this book is about 2. The one lesson of business 3. Benefits, costs and decisions 4. Extent (how much) decisions 5. Investment decisions: Look ahead and reason back 6. Simple pricing 7. Economies of scale and scope 8. Understanding markets and industry changes 9. Relationships between industries: The forces moving us towards long-run equilibrium 10. Strategy, the quest to slow profit erosion 11. Using supply and demand: Trade, bubbles, market making 12. More realistic and complex pricing 13. Direct price discrimination 14. Indirect price discrimination 15. Strategic games 16. Bargaining 17. Making decisions with uncertainty 18. Auctions 19. The problem of adverse selection 20. The problem of moral hazard 21. Getting employees to work in the best interests of the firm 22. Getting divisions to work in the best interests of the firm 23. Managing vertical relationships 24. You be the consultant EPILOGUE: Can those who teach, do?