THE NPD GROUP The European Toy Market in 2011 Specially prepared for W.I.T. 3rd February 2012 2010 Results --A growing market (up 4.7%) USD billion World Toy Market (billion $) 90,000 88,000 86,000 84,000 82,000 80,000 78,000 76,000 74,000 72,000 70,000 $83,300 $79,600 $78,100 2007 $77,200 2008 2009 2010 Trends are in USD using foreign exchange rates as of Dec 31st of each year Source NPD ICTI Report 2010. 2 2010 toy revenues by region (billions of $) North America, Europe and Asia are now relatively equal in size World Toy Market by Region (billion $) $23.3 -.7% $23.9 +2.5% $7.3 +10.7% $3.1 +5.6% $23.1 +9.2% $2.6 +23% 3 Toy Value Trends 2011 v 10 15% Europe 5: +3% in 2011 12% 9% 10% 7% 5% 3% 4% 5% 0% 0% U.S. U.K. France Germany -2% Italy -3% -5% Spain -2% -7% -10% -9% -15% Full Year December Note: Europe 5 = 65% of European Sales Source: NPD Group Retail Tracking in Europe (Full Year) Consumer Tracking in U.S. (Full Year) 4 Proprietary and Confidential US: 2011 sector growth US toys under performing some other categories 2011 $ % change vs. year ago 2010 +8% +1% WATCHES * +6% +7% +6% Flat SMALL APPLIANCES HANDBAGS TOYS +1% +10% ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR Flat +8% FASHION FOOTWEAR CONSUMER TECHNOLOGY VIDEO GAMES SOFTWARE -2% +2% -4% -1% -5% -2% -16% +1% 5 Source: The NPD Group / NPD Point of Sale & Consumer Data Proprietary and Confidential Consumer confidence comparison by country up to December 2011 Italy, France and the UK reach a 2-year low in November / December 20 Germany Spain France Italy UK EU 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 Dec janv- févr- Mar 09 10 10 10 avr- mai- juin- juil- août- sept- oct- nov- déc- janv- févr- ma avr- mai- juin- juil- août- sept- oct- nov- dec10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 rs-11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 6 Proprietary and Confidential Source: European Commission, Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs Traditional Toy Trends by Country YTD % Change (value) 2010 v 2011 Worsening trend throughout the year in several countries Run up to Easter (Jan-Apr) Summer (May-Oct) 0 Yr/Yr 9% 9% 9% Holiday season (Nov-Dec) 0 7% 6% 6% 0 4% 0 3% 2% 0 0% 0 0 US UK France Germany Italy Spain -2% -2% 0 -3% -3% -5% 0 -6% -7% 0 -8% 0 7 Source: NPD Group / Retail Tracking in Europe (Full Year) Consumer Tracking in U.S. (Full Year) Proprietary and Confidential Key Highlights AUTOMOTIVE BEAUTY COMMERCIAL TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER TECHNOLOGY http://corpdevnew/image_library/ ENTERTAINMENT FASHION FOOD & BEVERAGE FOODSERVICE HOME OFFICE SUPPLIES SOFTWARE SPORTS TOYS WIRELESS 8 Beyblade Tops Charts In 2 Countries Top Value Selling Toy By Country 2011 UK FR GE SP IT Mini Figures LEGO Beyblade Asst Hasbro Beyblade Asst Hasbro Toffee - Preziosi Monster High Mattel Building Sets Action Figures Action Figures Plush Dolls 9 Source: NPD EuroToys / Retail Tracking Proprietary and Confidential Beyblade frenzy – 14th December 2011 How badly do you want this toy? €100 for a Beyblade stadium…. 10 Source: NPD EPoS Retail Tracking Proprietary and Confidential Tablets for all in continental Europe in 2012? 1 in every 11 UK kid aged 3-6 received a ‘toy’ tablet for Christmas • Approximately 250,000 tablets were sold in the UK in 2011 • Preschool electronic Learning rose by 43% for the year (Total preschool +2%) 11 Source: NPD EPoS Retail Tracking Proprietary and Confidential Value Trends in Local Currency (2011 versus 2010) Everywhere, the Big ones are getting Bigger 20% 14% 15% 11% 10% 7% 7% 5% 5% 3% 0% U.S. -1% -2% U.K. France Germany Italy -1% Spain -3% -5% -3% -7% -10% Full Year 2011 Top 5 Groups 12 Source: NPD Epos Retail Tracking in Europe and Consumer Service in U.S. Proprietary and Confidential License Value Shares by country – Full Year 2010 v 11 #1 european license??…. Cars! Licensed Sales 2011 & chg vs. 2010 -3% +17% +24% +12% -12% €723m €539m €413m €227m €254m 2010 2011 34,5 28,6 32,6 31 29,8 27,1 24 21,7 21,3 18,5 License Penetration (%) UK FR GE Source: NPD EPoS Retail Tracking IT SP 13 Proprietary and Confidential Top 15 Properties Across Europe (Value) Full Year 2011 Playmobil remains #1 property for G5 UK FRANCE GERMANY ITALY SPAIN 1 CARS THE MOVIE PLAYMOBIL PLAYMOBIL BARBIE CARS THE MOVIE 2 STAR WARS BEYBLADE STAR WARS HELLO KITTY & FRIENDS MONSTER HIGH 3 LEGO CITY CARS THE MOVIE CARS THE MOVIE CARS THE MOVIE PLAYMOBIL 4 HELLO KITTY & FRIENDS BARBIE BARBIE BEN 10 BARBIE 5 BARBIE HELLO KITTY & FRIENDS LEGO DUPLO LEGO CITY HELLO KITTY & FRIENDS 6 TOY STORY LITTLEST PET SHOP LEGO CITY MICKEY & FRIENDS NANCY 7 NERF VTECH BABY BEYBLADE BAKUGAN MICKEY & FRIENDS 8 DISNEY PRINCESS STAR WARS LEGO TECHNIC CICCIOBELLO NENUCO 9 SYLVANIAN FAMILIES ZHU ZHU GO GO PETS FILLY DISNEY PRINCESS SPONGEBOB SQUARE PANTS 10 PEPPA PIG WINNIE THE POOH & FRIENDS CARRERA WINNIE THE POOH & FRIENDS BEYBLADE 11 THOMAS AND FRIENDS POKEMON LEGO NINJAGO HOT WHEELS DORA THE EXPLORER 12 VTECH BABY LEGO CITY HELLO KITTY & FRIENDS BEYBLADE GORMITI 13 TRANSFORMERS BAKUGAN HOT WHEELS MOTORAMA DISNEY PRINCESS 14 BEN 10 DISNEY PRINCESS TIPTOI WINX CLUB NERF 15 MOSHI MONSTERS NERF KIDI... LEGO DUPLO STAR WARS •Definition: a property includes brand and licenses sales. For Barbie it includes Mattel Barbie and toy licensees’ sales for Barbie in all monitored categories Source: NPD EPoS Retail Tracking 14 Proprietary and Confidential Consumer Trends AUTOMOTIVE BEAUTY COMMERCIAL TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER TECHNOLOGY http://corpdevnew/image_library/ ENTERTAINMENT FASHION FOOD & BEVERAGE FOODSERVICE HOME OFFICE SUPPLIES SOFTWARE SPORTS TOYS WIRELESS 15 Traditional toys sales for children 0-11 years old in € millions (+4%) January – September 2010 v 2011 KGOO: Kids Getting Older Older or growth comes from 6 years+ Millions flat 1 200 1 117 -1% 1 120 975 1 000 YTD 10 966 +4% 774 800 +1% 806 +17% flat 614 600 400 YTD 11 +13% 525 328 331 325 337 326 382 200 0 0-11 MONTHS 12-23 MONTHS 2-3 YRS 4-5 YRS 6-7 YRS 8-9 YRS 10-11 YRS 16 Source: The NPD Group / Consumer Tacking / £1 = €1,1626 Proprietary and Confidential How is the recession changing behaviour? 1. Low price points down 2. Non-Family purchases decline 3. Promotional purchases increase share 4. ‘No Special Occasion’ share down in Europe 5 10% 8% 5% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 0% US UK France Germany Italy Spain -3% -5% Non Occasion Occasion -6% -10% -10% 17 Source: NPD Group / Consumer & Retail Tracking in Europe Consumer Tracking in U.S. (Full Year) Proprietary and Confidential Price Point % Change 2011 v 2010 High price points fared better US Total < 2.50 2.50 to 4.99 5 to 9.99 10 to 19.99 20 to 49.99 >50 France UK 3 -2 12 17 0 3 4 -7 -8 -13 1 -11 0 -4 -4 -17 7 5 -1 -7 Germany 8 1 5 23 10 10 Italy -3 -9 -5 -11 -11 -15 -9 -13 -11 -4 9 2 15 Spain -1 -6 -1 18 Source: NPD Group Retail Tracking in Europe (Full Year) Consumer Tracking in U.S. (Full Year) – in local currency Proprietary and Confidential Sales change YTD September 2011 v 10 by recipient Family first: sales plunge for ‘not-related’ 40 20 11 7 3 0 Parents Grand Parents Other Family Not Related -20 -22 -40 39% 19% 33% 9% €% of spend YTD Sep-11 19 Source: The NPD Group / Consumer Tacking / £1 = €1,1626 Proprietary and Confidential Share of Sales on Promotion Online v Offline Value Shares – January – September 2010 v 11 Sales on promotion have increased by 2% +34% +5% 50 flat 45 40,6 43,1 40 35 32,5 31,8 30,7 30,9 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 G5 - Offline Online 20 Source NPD Consumer Panel YTD September 2010 v 2011 - £1 = €1.1626 Proprietary and Confidential Total Online % of Toy Spend by Country 2008 to 2011 (Value sales) Online is still gaining shares in largest countries 2008 2009 2010 2011 22 20 18 17 15 16 14 13 5 6 6 8 7 5 4 US YR/YR +12% - 4 UK France Germany +29% +54% +28% Note: Online shares in Italy and Spain are below 2% of the total market Source: NPD Group Consumer Tracking Europe (12 mths to Sep’) Consumer Tracking in U.S. (12 mths to Sep’) 21 Proprietary and Confidential Outlook for 2012 Proprietary and Confidential 2012 in a nutshell Online Channel growth changing shopping habits Growth in Virtual Shops & Mobile Shopping Increased Digital Gaming Into Toys & Into Europe 23 Proprietary and Confidential 2012 in a nutshell App’ Toys & Tablets the new buzz Superheroes come & go… But Spiderman, Avengers etc will save us And of course, England to win the Euro Champs (Ah! Ah!) 24 Proprietary and Confidential Thank you for your time - Any questions? frederique.tutt@npd.com nicole.sangari@npd.com alexander.weber@npdgroup.com Source: NPD EPoS Retail Tracking Analyst Europe Sales U.S. Sales Europe 26 Proprietary and Confidential