Understanding Your Financial Requirements Conducting a Feasibility Study: Part 2 Evaluate financial feasibility of concept Estimate one-time start-up expenditures Estimate expected monthly operating expenses Develop short-term financial projections Pro forma income statement Forecast your cash flow Determine your breakeven point Pro forma balance sheet To be good at your business, you have to know your numbers ----- COLD. Harold Gineen Former Chair of IT&T At a minimum, a good set of financial projections should include: A pro forma income statement A balance sheet A cash flow statement A detailed explanation of the assumptions that underlie the projections Start With a Sources and Applications of Funds Table Requires you to state what you intend to spend your money on for start-up expenses (i.e. applications of funds) and where you will get the money (i.e. sources of funds) Sources of Funds Equity (what the business owes the owner) Cash Equipment Material Inventory Loans (what the business owes others) Short-term Long-term Line of credit Near Equity Family money Angel investments Application of Funds General Start-up Costs Organizational costs – legal, accounting, business registration, franchise fees, etc. Prepaid expenses – insurance, licenses and permits, security deposits, utility deposits, first and last month’s rent, opening advertising and promotion. Inventory and office supplies Leasehold Improvements Electrical, plumbing, signage, washrooms, carpeting, mirrors, air conditioning, wall paper and painting, etc. Equipment Costs Tables, desks, chairs, filing cabinets, production machinery, storage cabinets, cell phone, computers, fax machine, copier, automobile, etc. Cash Reserve Cash on hand to cover cash flow shortfall until breakeven. The purpose of these financial projections is to enable you to answer the following questions: How much money will your business need to maintain a positive cash flow? When exactly will you need the money? What kind of money (debt or equity or both) should it be? Sample Pro Forma Income Statement TOUGH GUYS SPORTING GOODS PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT For the year ending [date] Net sales $526,000 Less: Cost of goods sold: Beginning inventory $167,000 Plus: Net purchases 361,000 Goods available for sale $528,000 Less: Ending inventory 181,000 Cost of goods sold 347,000 Gross margin $179,000 Operating expenses 169,000 Net Profit (Loss) Before Income Tax $ 10,000 (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) Completed Pro Forma Income Statement TOUGH GUYS SPORTING GOODS PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT For the Year (date) 1. Gross Sales 2. Less: Cash Discounts A. NET SALES Cost of Goods Sold: 3. Beginning Inventory 4. Plus: Net Purchases 5. Total Available for Sale 6. Less: Ending Inventory B. COST OF GOODS SOLD C. GROSS MARGIN Less: Variable Expenses 7. Owner’s Salary 8. Employees’ Wages and Salaries 9. Supplies and Postage 10. Advertising and Promotion 11. Delivery Expense 12. Bad Debt Expense 13. Travel 14. Legal and Accounting Fees 15. Vehicle Expense 16. Miscellaneous Expenses $526,000 0 $526,000 $167,000 361,000 $528,000 181,000 $347,000 $179,000 40,000 41,000 0 10,000 3,700 0 0 2,600 0 24,700 Continued Completed Pro Forma Income Statement (Continued) TOUGH GUYS SPORTING GOODS PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT For the Year (date) - Continued D. TOTAL VARIABLE EXPENSES Less: Fixed Expenses 17. Rent 18. Repairs and Maintenance 19. Utilities (Heat, Light, Power) 20. Telephone 21. Taxes and Licenses 22. Depreciation 23. Interest 24. Insurance 25. Other Fixed Expenses E. TOTAL FIXED EXPENSES F. TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES G. NET OPERATING PROFIT (LOSS) $122,000 15,300 4,200 4,800 1,000 1,000 5,300 10,000 2,600 2,600 $ 46,800 $169,000 $ 10,000 Sample Cash Flow Forecast Pro Forma Cash Flow Forecast for Tough Guys Sporting Goods 12-Month Cash Flow Projections Minimum Cash Balance Required = 5,000 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Year 1 Total Cash Flow from Operations (during month) 1. Cash Sales 2. Payments for Credit Sales 3. Investment Income 4. Other Cash Income 12,000 18,000 22,200 28,800 30,000 36,600 39,000 30,000 24,000 24,000 21,000 30,000 315,600 0 8,000 12,000 14,800 19,200 20,000 24,400 26,000 20,000 16,000 16,000 14,000 190,400 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 A. TOTAL CASH ON HAND $12,000 $26,000 $34,200 $43,600 $49,200 $56,600 $63,400 $56,000 $44,000 $40,000 $37,000 $44,000 $506,000 Less Expenses Paid (during month)1 5. Inventory or New Material 6. Owner’s Salary 7. Employees’ Wages and Salaries 8. Supplies and Postage 9. Advertising and Promotion 10. Delivery Expense 11. Travel 12. Legal and Accounting Fees 13. Vehicle Expense 14. Maintenance Expense 15. Rent 16. Utilities 17. Telephone 18. Taxes and Licences 19. Interest Payments 20. Insurance 21. Other Cash Expenses B. TOTAL EXPENDITURES -13,200 -19,800 -24,420 -31,680 -33,000 -40,260 -42,900 -33,000 -26,400 -26,400 -23,100 -33,000 -314,160 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -3,000 -36,000 -2,000 0 -2,000 -200 0 -500 0 -1,000 -1,100 -450 0 -1,000 0 -600 -2,000 -3,000 0 -1,000 -250 0 -250 0 0 -1,100 -450 0 0 -50 0 -2,000 -3,000 0 -500 -250 0 -250 0 0 -1,100 -450 0 0 -53 0 -2,000 -3,500 0 -700 -300 0 -250 0 -800 -1,100 -450 0 0 -93 -600 -2,000 -4,300 0 -700 -300 0 -250 0 0 -1,100 -450 0 0 -100 0 -2,000 -4,300 0 -700 -400 0 -250 0 -1,000 -1,100 -450 0 0 -107 0 -2,000 -4,500 0 -800 -400 0 -250 0 0 -1,100 -450 0 0 -107 -600 -2,000 -4,500 0 -1,000 -500 0 -250 0 -500 -1,100 -450 0 0 -107 0 -2,000 -3,000 0 -500 -300 0 -250 0 -1,000 -1,100 -450 0 0 -107 0 -2,000 -2,500 0 -800 -300 0 -250 0 0 -1,100 -450 0 0 -107 -600 -2,000 -2,500 0 -800 -300 0 -250 0 -700 -1,100 -450 0 0 -107 0 -2,000 -3,900 0 -1,500 -500 0 -250 0 0 -1,100 -450 0 0 -107 0 -2,000 -41,000 0 -11,000 -4,000 0 -3,250 0 -5,000 -13,200 -5,400 0 1,000 -1,046 -2,400 -24,000 (27,050) (30,900) (35,023) (44,473) (45,200) (53,567) (56,107) (46,407) (38,107) (37,507) (34,307) (45,807) (494,456) Continued 1. Expenses and other payments should be entered as negative (-) numbers. Sample Cash Flow Forecast (Continued) Pro Forma Cash Flow Forecast for Tough Guys Sporting Goods 12-Month Cash Flow Projections (Continued) Minimum Cash Balance Required = 5,000 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Year 1 Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 6,000 0 0 4,150 0 0 4,800 0 0 813 0 0 851 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,614 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $6,000 $4,150 $4,800 $813 $851 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Capital Purchase of Fixed Assets Sale of Fixed Assets C. CHANGE IN CASH FROM PURCHASE OR SALE OF ASSETS Financing Payment of Principal of Loan Inflow of Cash from Bank Loan Issuance of Equity Positions Repurchase of Outstanding Equity D. CHANGE IN CASH FROM FINANCING E. INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH F. CASH AT BEGINNING OF PERIOD G. CASH AT END OF PERIOD MEET MINIMUM CASH BALANCE ($9,050) $10,000 $950 ($750) $3,977 $950 $0 $16,614 ($60) $4,851 $3,033 $7,293 $9,593 $5,893 $2,493 $2,693 ($1,807) $28,158 $200 $4,177 $4,116 $8,967 $12,000 $19,293 $28,886 $34,779 $37,272 $39,965 $10,000 2 $200 $4,177 $4,116 $8,967 $12,000 $19,293 $28,886 $34,779 $37,272 $39,965 $38,158 $38,158 Finance Finance Finance Finance Accept. Accept. Accept. Accept. Accept. Accept. Accept. Accept. 2. This entry should be the same amount as for the beginning of the year. All other rows will be the total for the entire year. Accept. Sample Pro Forma Balance Sheet TOUGH GUYS SPORTING GOODS BALANCE SHEET End of Year 1 ASSETS Current Assets: 1. Cash 2. Accounts Receivable 3. Inventory 4. Other Current Assets A. Total Current Assets Fixed Assets: 5. Land and Buildings less depreciation 6. Furniture and Fixtures less depreciation 7. Equipment less depreciation 8. Trucks and Automobiles less depreciation 9. Other Fixed Assets less depreciation B. Total Fixed Assets C. Total Assets (C = A + B) 9,000 17,000 185,000 27,000 ________ $238,000 0 0 40,000 40,000 0 0 0 0 18,000 18,000 _______ $ 58,000 $296,000 Continued Sample Pro Forma Balance Sheet (Continued) TOUGH GUYS SPORTING GOODS BALANCE SHEET End of Year 1 (Continued) LIABILITIES Current Liabilities (due within 12 months) 10. Accounts Payable 11. Bank Loans/Other Loans 12. Taxes Owed D. Total Current Liabilities Long-Term Liabilities 13. Notes Payable (due after one year) 14. Other Long-Term Liabilities E. Total Long-Term Liabilities F. Total Liabilities (F = D + E) NET WORTH (CAPITAL) SHARE CAPITAL Common Shares Preferred Shares RETAINED EARNINGS G. Total Net Worth (G = C - F) H. Total Liabilities and Net Worth (H = F + G) 97,000 29,000 _______ $126,000 100,000 59,000 _______ $159,000 $285,000 1,000 0 10,000 $ 11,000 $296,000 The Relationship Between Financial Statements Income Balance sheet Statement Statement Sales - Expenses Net Income Cash flow Assets Inflows - Liabilities Outflows Equity Dividends (Retained Earnings) Minus dividends General Linkages Between the Core Statements Period 1 Period 2 Beginning Balance Sheet Closing Balance Sheet Beginning Balance Sheet Period #0 Period #1 Period #2 Cash Flow Sheet Assumptions statement Period #1 Period #1 Income Statement •Balance sheet Period #1 •Cash flow •Income •Sales Assumption statement Period #2 •Balance sheet •Cash flow Sales Forecast Period #1 •Income •Sales Estimate Capital Needed for a Range of Sales 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Pessimistic Most Likely Optimistic 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Year Qtr 1 Expenses (thousands of dollars) Determining Your Breakeven Point Profit Area Sales 600 Total Costs 500 Breakeven Point 400 300 Loss Area 200 Fixed Expenses 100 100 300 500 700 Sales Revenue (thousands of dollars) 900