5 Demand and Elasticity A high cross elasticity of demand [between two goods indicates that they] compete in the same market. [This can prevent a supplier of one of the products] from possessing monopoly power over price. U.S. SUPREME COURT, DUPONT CELLOPHANE DECISION, 1956 Contents ● Elasticity: The Measure of Responsiveness ● Price Elasticity of Demand: Its Effect on Total Revenue and Total Expenditure ● What Determines Demand Elasticity? ● Elasticity as a General Concept ● Changes in Demand: Movements Along the Demand Curve vs Shifts in the Demand Curve Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Contents (continued) ● The Time Period of the Demand Curve and Economic Decision Making ● Real-World Application: Polaroid versus Kodak ● Appendix: How to Find a Legitimate Demand Curve from the Statistics Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Elasticity: The Measure of Responsiveness ● Elasticity = measure of the responsiveness of one variable to changes in another variable % quantity ● Price elasticity of demand = % price Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-1(a) The Hypothetical Demand Curves for Film FIGURE DS B Price per Package $20 A 10 DS 0 3 4 Quantity Demanded Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-1(b) The Hypothetical Demand Curves for Film FIGURE Df Price per Package $20 b a 10 Df 0 1.5 4 Quantity Demanded Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Elasticity: The Measure of Responsiveness ● Elastic demand = price elasticity of demand > 1 ● Inelastic demand = price elasticity of demand < 1 Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Elasticity: The Measure of Responsiveness ● Equation for Price Elasticity of Demand ♦ % Quantity % Price ♦ [(Q1 - Q0) / (average of Q1 and Q0)] [(P1 - P0) / (average of P1 and P0)] Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Elasticity: The Measure of Responsiveness ● Percentages calculated in terms of the averages of the prices and quantities ● Minus sign dropped Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-2a Sensitivity of Slope to Units of Measurement Price per Pizza FIGURE $18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 D A B D 280 500 360 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Pizzas per Week (a) Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-2b Sensitivity of Slope to Units of Measurement Price per Pizza FIGURE $18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 D A B D 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2,240 2,880 Slices of Pizza per Week (b) Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Price Elasticity of Demand and the Shapes of Demand Curves ● The Relationship between Elasticity and Slope ♦ Slope depends upon specific units while elasticity does not. ♦ If a demand curve has a constant slope (straight-line), the elasticity is not constant. ♦ If a demand curve has a constant elasticity (unit elastic), the slope is not constant. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 5-1 Estimates of Price Elasticities TABLE Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-3 Demand Curves with Different Elasticities FIGURE $0.75 D “Perfectly elastic” demand curve D $6 4 3 D 0 90 Quantity Demanded (a) Straightline demand A curve D Price “Perfectly inelastic” demand curve Price Price D C 1 0 0 Quantity Demanded (b) 2 B A' C' 4 5 B' D 7 Quantity Demanded (c) Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-3(d) Unit Elastic Demand Curve FIGURE Unitelastic demand curve Price D $30 20 S T 10 0 U 7 14 D U' Quantity Demanded (d) Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Price Elasticity of Demand ● price revenues if the demand curve is elastic ● price revenues if the demand curve is inelastic ● price 0 revenues if the demand curve is unit elastic Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. FIGURE 5-4 An Elastic Demand Curve $6 Price 5 D R S W V D 4 3 2 1 T 0 4 U 12 Quantity Demanded Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. What Determines Demand Elasticity? ● Nature of the good ● Availability of close substitutes ● Fraction of income absorbed ● Passage of time Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Elasticity as a General Concept ● Elasticity can be used to measure the responsiveness of anything to anything else. ● Income Elasticity ♦ Income elasticity of demand = % quantity demanded % income ● Price Elasticity of Supply ♦ Price elasticity of supply = % quantity of supply % price Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Elasticity as a General Concept ● Cross Elasticity of Demand ♦ Cross elasticity of demand (for product X to a change in the price of product Y) = % quantity demanded of X % price of Y ♦ If two goods are substitutes (complements), their cross elasticity of demand is positive (negative). Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Changes in Demand: Movements Along vs Shifts ● price movement along the demand curve ● any other factor that affects spending decisions shift between demand curves Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Changes in Demand: Movements Along vs Shifts ● Demand Shifters ♦ Consumer incomes rise ♦ Tastes change in favor of the good ♦ The price of substitute goods ♦ The price of complementary goods Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-5 Shifts in a Demand FIGURE Curve D1 D0 R S T 28 D0 Price Price $35 D2 U D1 D0 D0 D2 40 60 Quantity of Sweaters in Thousands (a) Quantity of Sweaters (b) Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Demand Curve and Economic Decision Making ● The demand curve shows the quantity of demand buyers would hypothetically purchase at different prices during the same time period. ● It does not show the quantity actually bought at different prices at different times. Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Expected Demand at Various Six-Month Prices Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Real-World Application: Polaroid versus Kodak ● In 1989, Polaroid vs Kodak—copyright infringement ● Key issue: how much profit Polaroid lost? ● Price elasticity of demand ♦ growth in instant camera sales due to ■Kodak competition (lower price) OR ■Kodak’s reputation (Polaroid might have benefited from Kodak increasing potential number of customers) Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Real-World Application: Polaroid versus Kodak ● Cross elasticity of demand ♦ After 1980, decline in sales due to ■decreasing cost of 35-mm photography ● then Kodak not to blame ■Kodak’s infringement ● Kodak damages due increase Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Real-World Application: Polaroid versus Kodak ● Third issue: How much could Polaroid’s total revenue increased if Kodak not infringe? ♦ Polaroid claimed lots! $9 billion or more ♦ Kodak claimed neighborhood of $450 million (very close to judge’s verdict) Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Appendix: How Can We Find a Legitimate Demand Curve from the Statistics? Finding a Legitimate Demand Curve ● In the real world we usually only observe historical price-quantity combinations, so it is often difficult to distinguish between movement along a demand curve and shifts between demand curves. Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Finding a Legitimate Demand Curve ● Prices and quantities observed at different times in the real world may result from shifting demand curves and not movement along a demand curve. Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-2 Historical Data on Price and Quantity TABLE Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Finding a Legitimate Demand Curve ● Simply connecting the points may not give a good estimate of a demand curve. Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-6 Plot of Historical Data on Price and Quantity FIGURE $8.20 Average Price 8.00 T May Feb. April R 7.80 S March 7.60 7.40 Jan. 7.20 7.00 0 T 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 Quantity Demanded in Thousands Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-7 Plot of Historical Data and True Demand Curves FIGURE $8.20 T F Feb. 8.00 Average Price R W S 7.80 March M M 7.60 F 7.40 J 7.20 Jan. J 7.00 T 0 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 Quantity Demanded in Thousands Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-3 Annual Rainfall in St. Louis, 1993-2001 TABLE Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5-8 Legitimate Demand Curve Est. from Statistical Data FIGURE S00 D 2000 Price S93 S 1994 S96 1999 2001 1998 S 1993 1996 1997 S95 1995 S D S Quantity of Umbrellas Sold Copyright© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.