N. Gregory Mankiw PowerPoint® Slides by Ron Cronovich 3 National Income: Where it Comes From and Where it Goes © 2011 Worth Publishers, all rights reserved 2010 UPDATE CHAPTER SEVENTH EDITION MACROECONOMICS In this chapter, you will learn: what determines the economy’s total output/income how the prices of the factors of production are determined how total income is distributed what determines the demand for goods and services how equilibrium in the goods market is achieved Factors of production K = capital: tools, machines, and structures used in production L = labor: the physical and mental efforts of workers CHAPTER 3 National Income 2 The production function: Y = F(K,L) Shows how much output (Y ) the economy can produce from K units of capital and L units of labor CHAPTER 3 National Income 3 Assumptions 1. The economy’s supplies of capital and labor are fixed at K K CHAPTER 3 National Income and LL 4 Determining GDP Output is determined by the fixed factor supplies and the fixed state of technology: Y F (K , L) CHAPTER 3 National Income 5 The distribution of national income Determined by factor prices, the prices per unit firms pay for the factors of production wage = price of L rental rate = price of K CHAPTER 3 National Income 6 Notation W = nominal wage R = nominal rental rate P = price of output W /P = real wage (measured in units of output) R /P = real rental rate CHAPTER 3 National Income 7 In 2011 January Nominal wage = $20 per hour Price of the good = $4 per unit produced Real wage = (Nominal Wage / Price ) = $20 / $4 = 5 units of goods. CHAPTER 3 National Income 8 In 2012 January Nominal wage = $20 per hour Price of the good = $5 per unit produced Real wage = (Nominal Wage / Price ) = $20 / $5 = 4 units of goods. CHAPTER 3 National Income 9 How factor prices are determined Factor prices are determined by supply and demand in factor markets. Recall: Supply of each factor is fixed. What about demand? CHAPTER 3 National Income 10 Demand for labor Assume markets are competitive: each firm takes W, R, and P as given. Basic idea: A firm hires each unit of labor if the cost does not exceed the benefit. cost = real wage benefit = marginal product of labor CHAPTER 3 National Income 11 Marginal product of labor (MPL ) definition: The extra output the firm can produce using an additional unit of labor (holding other inputs fixed): MPL = F (K, L +1) – F (K, L) CHAPTER 3 National Income 12 NOW YOU TRY: Compute & graph MPL a. Determine MPL at each value of L. b. Graph the production function. c. Graph the MPL curve with MPL on the vertical axis and L on the horizontal axis. L 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Y 0 10 19 27 34 40 45 49 52 54 55 MPL n.a. ? ? 8 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? NOW YOU TRY: Answers MPL (units of output) Marginal Product of Labor 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Labor (L) 10 MPL and the production function Y output F (K , L ) 1 MPL MPL As more labor is added, MPL 1 MPL 1 Slope of the production function equals MPL L labor CHAPTER 3 National Income 15 Diminishing marginal returns As a factor input is increased, its marginal product falls (other things equal). Intuition: Suppose L while holding K fixed fewer machines per worker lower worker productivity CHAPTER 3 National Income 16 NOW YOU TRY: Identifying Diminishing Marginal Returns Which of these production functions have diminishing marginal returns to labor? a) F (K , L) 2K 15L b) F (K , L) KL c) F (K , L) 2 K 15 L MPL and the demand for labor Units of output Each firm hires labor up to the point where MPL = W/P. Real wage MPL, Labor demand Units of labor, L Quantity of labor demanded CHAPTER 3 National Income 18 The equilibrium real wage Units of output Labor supply equilibrium real wage L CHAPTER 3 National Income The real wage adjusts to equate labor demand with supply. MPL, Labor demand Units of labor, L 19 Determining the rental rate We have just seen that MPL = W/P. The same logic shows that MPK = R/P: diminishing returns to capital: MPK as K The MPK curve is the firm’s demand curve for renting capital. Firms maximize profits by choosing K such that MPK = R/P. CHAPTER 3 National Income 20 The equilibrium real rental rate Units of output Supply of capital equilibrium R/P K CHAPTER 3 National Income The real rental rate adjusts to equate demand for capital with supply. MPK, demand for capital Units of capital, K 21 How income is distributed to L and K W L MPL L total labor income = P R K MPK K total capital income = P If production function has constant returns to scale, then Y MPL L MPK K national income CHAPTER 3 National Income labor income capital income 22 The ratio of labor income to total income in the U.S., 1960-2007 Labor’s 1.0 share of total 0.8 income 0.6 Labor’s share of income is approximately constant over time. (Thus, capital’s share is, too.) 0.4 0.2 0.0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 CHAPTER 3 National Income 23 The Cobb-Douglas Production Function The Cobb-Douglas production function is: where A represents the level of technology. 1 Y AK L CHAPTER 3 National Income 24 The Cobb-Douglas production function has constant factor shares: = capital’s share of total income: capital income = MPK x K = Y labor income = MPL x L = (1 – )Y CHAPTER 3 National Income 25 The Cobb-Douglas Production Function Each factor’s marginal product is proportional to its average product: MPK AK 1 1 L Y K (1 )Y MPL (1 ) AK L L CHAPTER 3 National Income 26 Demand for goods & services Components of aggregate demand: C = consumer demand for g & s I = demand for investment goods G = government demand for g & s (closed economy: no NX ) CHAPTER 3 National Income 27 Consumption, C def: Disposable income is total income minus total taxes: Y – T. Consumption function: C = C (Y – T ) Shows that (Y – T ) C def: Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the change in C when disposable income increases by one dollar. CHAPTER 3 National Income 28 The consumption function C C (Y –T ) MPC 1 The slope of the consumption function is the MPC. Y–T CHAPTER 3 National Income 29 Investment, I The investment function is I = I (r ), where r denotes the real interest rate, the nominal interest rate corrected for inflation. The real interest rate is the cost of borrowing the opportunity cost of using one’s own funds to finance investment spending So, r I CHAPTER 3 National Income 30 The investment function r Spending on investment goods depends negatively on the real interest rate. I (r ) I CHAPTER 3 National Income 31 Government spending, G G = Gov’t spending on goods and services. Assume government spending and total taxes are exogenous: G G CHAPTER 3 National Income and T T 32 The market for goods & services Aggregate demand: Aggregate supply: Equilibrium: CHAPTER 3 National Income C (Y T ) I (r ) G Y F (K , L ) Y = C (Y T ) I (r ) G 33 The loanable funds market A simple supply-demand model of the financial system. One asset: “loanable funds” demand for funds: investment supply of funds: saving “price” of funds: real interest rate CHAPTER 3 National Income 34 Demand for funds: Investment The demand for loanable funds… comes from investment: Firms borrow to finance spending on plant & equipment, new office buildings, etc. Consumers borrow to buy new houses. depends negatively on r, the “price” of loanable funds (cost of borrowing). CHAPTER 3 National Income 35 Loanable funds demand curve r The investment curve is also the demand curve for loanable funds. I (r ) I CHAPTER 3 National Income 36 Supply of funds: Saving The supply of loanable funds comes from saving: Households use their saving to make bank deposits, purchase bonds and other assets. These funds become available to firms to borrow to finance investment spending. The government may also contribute to saving if it does not spend all the tax revenue it receives. CHAPTER 3 National Income 37 Types of saving private saving = S = (Y – T ) – C public saving = T – G national saving, = private saving + public saving = (Y –T ) – C + = CHAPTER 3 National Income T–G Y – C – G 38 Budget surpluses and deficits If T > G, budget surplus = (T – G) = public saving. If T < G, budget deficit = (G – T) and public saving is negative. If T = G, “balanced budget,” public saving = 0. The U.S. government finances its deficit by issuing Treasury bonds – i.e., borrowing. CHAPTER 3 National Income 39 U.S. Federal Government Surplus/Deficit, 1940-2009 and estimates for 2010-2015 10 5 percent of GDP 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 National Income 1940 1950 1960 CHAPTER 3 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 40 U.S. Federal Government Debt, 1940-2009 and estimates for 2010-2015 140 percent of GDP 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 National Income 1940 1950 1960 CHAPTER 3 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 41 Loanable funds supply curve r S Y C (Y T ) G National saving does not depend on r, so the supply curve is vertical. S, I CHAPTER 3 National Income 42 Loanable funds market equilibrium r S Y C (Y T ) G Equilibrium real interest rate I (r ) Equilibrium level of investment CHAPTER 3 National Income S, I 43 Read …….. The Reagan deficits Reagan policies during early 1980s: CHAPTER 3 National Income 44