NIS Economics 2014 – The role of Banks, Part 2 A focus on Kazakhstan Retail banking in Kazakhstan Early in 2014 the financial markets were supprised by a sudden 20% devaluation of the tenge. This devaluation was implemented by the Central Bank, in line with its key objective of maintaining and expanding Kazakhstan’s booming export markets. Kazakhstan had 38 banks in January 2014, however many of them are small and subject to possible consolidation as larger banks look for expansion opportunities. In 2008 Kazakhstan, was impacted by the global financial crises and the government continues to focus on the banking sector and banking reform to improve market confidence and stability in the financial sector. Retail banking in Kazakhstan The Republic of Kazakhstan’s economy has been described as the Dubia of Central Asia and she has experienced unprecedented economic growth and development since her independence in 1992. Retail banking in Kazakhstan Kazakhstan’s economy has grown at a very fast pace and a stable financial sector is vital for continued investor confidence. The effects of the global financial crisis (2008) were felt worldwide Banks and risk: In the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis, there has been, understandable, some skepticism amongst the public in relation to what is seen as excessive risk taking and recklessness on the part of finance sector as a whole. The question of risk taking has been debated extensively in view of the need for substancial and ongoing financial sector reform. Banks and risk: The concept of risk taking, however, should not be seen merely in terms of the greed and mismanagement we associate with the global financial crisis, but rather as an essential component of an effective financial services sector and a prosperous economy. Banks must take risks in order to bring savers and borrowers together and thus encourage investment and economic growth in the economy. Reasonable Risk taking is a key feature of an advanced economy The characteristics of retail banks: Retail banks are financial intermediaries. The term intermediary means to deal between other parties, in this case, between savers and borrowers, those who have excess money and those who need additional money. Receiving money from savers is known as the passive function retail bank, where as offering credit services and products to individuals and investors is know as the active function of banks (We will look at other types of financial intermediaries in the next class) The characteristics of retail banks: Characteristics of commercial banks: •they exist to make a profit •They are privately owned by investors, either individuals or groups of share holder. •They offer savings facilities to individuals •They offer finance to investors, households, governments and foreign entities in the form of debt instruments, for example loans. •regulated by the government and monitored by the central bank. The characteristics of retail banks: Retail Banks hold money and lend money. This is reflected on their balance sheet: A simple example of a commercial bank balance sheet: Tenge Liabilities: Customer Deposits. 50 billion Tenge Assets: Notes and coins: 2 billion Time deposits. 60 billion Loans: 35 billion Bill of exchange: 3 billion Total Tenge Liabilities: 110 billion Investments: 8 billion Advances: 62 billion Total Tenge assets: 110 billion The characteristics of retail banks: Retail Banks hold money and lend money. On the left: Liabilities: On the right Assets: Liabilities are funds held by the bank but owed to other parties. Assets belong to the bank. Customer Deposits are monies placed In the bank as savings Notes and coins are actual currency Loans are monies lend to investors/ individual Bills of exchange represent monies receivable Investments are holdings of financial assets Advances are short term loans from the bank. In the next lesson we will discuss all these terms in detail in the topic “Types of financial investments” Retail banks and the National Bank: The national bank, together with the retail banks, are described as the two-tier banking system •The National Bank is the central bank of Kazakhstan and presents the upper (first) tier of the banking system of Kazakhstan. •All other banks make up the lower (second) tier of the banking system. These are called retail banks. •However, there is also a third type of bank that is not part of the two-tier system: the Kazakhstan Development Bank. This bank has the ability to lend money for special projects which help develop Kazakhstan’s economy. It is not strictly a private bank. It provides finance for projects considered to be worthwhile for the benefit of Kazakhstan, but not commercially attractive to private finance. It is supported by the Kazakhstan Government and the Central Bank. The role of the National Bank: The Kazakhstan Central Bank was established to: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • To be the bank of banks Supervise other financial institutions Regulate and control currency system To be a financial advisor and a financial agent of the Government organization the payment system To implement monetary policy Manage the gold exchange Set refinance rate according to monetary policy objectives To influence retail bank interest rates through monetary policy In rare cases they can force restrictions on the credit limits interest rates offered by financial institutions. Regulate bank lending limits To issue bank notes and coins Control currency supply Issue government bonds Set foreign exchange rates. Monetary Policy (MP) involves the National Bank acting on behalf of the Government to influence the cost and availability of money and credit in the economy. MP is a macroeconomic policy. MP in Kazakhstan is conducted by the National Bank. It’s objectives, principles of activity, legal status and authority are determined by the Law of the Republic of Kazakhstan. It is the primary financial regulator in the economy, and the only organization allowed to print money. Kazakhstans National Bank sets the value for the Tenge at a relatively low level in order to expand the export sector. However while this promotes exports, it also increases the price of imports in Kazakhstan. In January of 2014 the Tenge was valued at about 150 T = $1 USD After the devaluation the Tenge was valued at 180 T = $1 USD Kazakhstan’s economy is integrated with the world economy and it depends on many countries who export to Kazakhstan. A devalued currency means that import reliant industries will suffer higher costs of production. They will pass on these higher costs to their customers and causing inflationary pressure in the economy. This is know as a “trade off”. The currency devaluation promotes economic growth and employment, but increases inflationary pressures and reduces the purchasing power of the Tenge A currency devaluation benefits local companies who produce import substitutes. For example a cars made in Kazakhstan will become relatively inexpensive compared to imported cars after a currency devaluation. This will lead to an increase in damand for local cars, increased domestic economic growth, investment and employment Currency devaluation “trade off”: Currency devaluation upside: Expanded exports and wealth creation in Kazakhstan, increased investment, economic growth and a reduction in the level of unemployment. Currency devaluation downside: Higher inflation, and a reduction in the purchasing power of the Tengi domestically, but an increase in the demand for import substitutes. On the one hand, the fixed currency policy promotes economic growth throughout the economy, but it increases inflation and reduces the purchasing power of the Tenge. The opportunity cost, of not devaluing the Tenge: a weaker export sector, slower economic growth and increased unemployment. The opportunity cost, of devaluing the Tenge: inflation due to an increase in the price of imports, and a reduction in the purchasing power of money. To be an economically rational policy it is necessary that, overall, the upside of central bank policy outweighs the downside; the benefits must are greater than the associated costs. So today we looked at the following with a focus on Kazakhstan: The nature and role of retail banks The importance of risk taking in the financial sector, which includes banks Banks as an intermediary between savers and borrowers (The passive and active functions) and how this is important for increased access to investment. The relationship between retail banks and the National Bank. National bank and the difficulty in achieving both a devalued currency and low inflation. The benefits and costs of devaluing vs. not devaluing.