European Resources for Space Weather Applications An Overview of Existing and Planned Data, Tools and Services. Ronald Van der Linden 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Mission: impossible 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 COST – ES0803 WG Structure 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 WG2 of COST – ES0803 WG 2. Space weather products and services WG Leaders: R. Van der Linden & H. Lundstedt SG 2.1: Identification of current space weather resources WG Leaders: I. Stanislawska & D. Heynderickx SG 2.2: Market segmentation including cartography and users requirements SG 2.3: Feasibility study for new market-oriented products and services + at this conference: splinter “Data and Application Services” 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 European Resources for Space Weather Applications An INCOMPLETE Overview of Existing and Planned Data, Tools and Services, Easily Accessible, Near-Real-Time and Known to Me Ronald Van der Linden 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Why ‘EUROPEAN’? • autonomy? • redundancy? • ease of networking and existence of frameworks relevance depends on category: • data • tools • services 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Which Resources? DATA Image analysis tools Event catalogs Event warnings Integrated service Data browsing tools Modeling tools SERVICES: • monitoring (nowcasting) • Post-event analyses (postcasting) • Forecasting 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Client Data Sources – Space • Solar • In-situ – Solar Wind – Magnetosphere – Mixed • GNSS-based ionospheric profiles – Ground-based • Solar – Images – Indices • Geomagnetic • Ionospheric (atmospheric) • Other 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Data browsing: SolarMonitor http://www.solarmonitor.org • solar images with active region information • contains links to other solar data • includes per regions details, with event information • includes statistical solar flare prediction 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Data browsing: SIDC Latest SW Data http://sidc.be/LatestSWData/LatestSWData.php • part of RWC Belgium website • contains mainly links to external data sources • includes all categories of SW data • needs some updating 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Data browsing: Solar Weather Browser SWB is a quick-look solar data browser It’s an answer to a challenge regarding science data access: • • • Solar data & metadata are spread over the Internet New observatories produce huge amount of data Increasing complexity of instruments & processing software It is aimed at: • • • Scientists & Operators (Quick contextual event analysis) Space weather forecasters Public (outreach & education) SWB summary: • • • Client-Server design Displays & combines Sun-centered images & contextual information: flares, CMEs... Client available for popular OS (open source) Download it at: http://sidc.be/swb Data browsing: European Space Weather Portal http://www.spaceweather.eu • developed under COST724 • pan-European, multi-site web portal • multi-language • strong outreach component • promising ‘centralized access to European SW resources’ • contains links to many external datasets & model websites • contains some model capacity (includes SOLPENCO) • would benefit from some updating, expansion & homogenisation 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Data browsing: European Space Weather Portal 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Data browsing: other sources • SWENET, http://www.esa-spaceweather.net/swenet - see splinter session at this meeting • EGSO, http://www.egso.org/ - no longer updated (?) - contains also features catalogs - follow-up: HELIO (?) • BASS2000 http://bass2000.bagn.obs-mip.fr/ - data from Meudon, Pic du Midi and THEMIS • see also other talks in this session •… 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Integrated service Digital Upper Atmosphere Server (DIAS) DIAS consortium was formed around 11 partners National Observatory of Athens, Greece Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, UK National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Italy Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Sweden Leibniz-Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Germany Space Research Center, Poland University of Athens, Greece Blustaff, Italy BAE Systems, UK Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Republic Observatorio de l’ Ebre, Spain the DIAS project was funded by the eContent Programme of EC FP6 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Aim of DIAS To improve access to data from all possible ground-based ionospheric stations in Europe To develop a European service for the specification and the prediction of the state of the ionosphere 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 DIAS products 1. Ionospheric Specification • Ionograms with the results of the automatic scaling [from the network of DIAS stations in a common layout] • Ionospheric scaled parameters [f-plots and ASCII values of foF2, fmin, and M(3000)F2] • Electron Density Ne(h) profiles over each DIAS station • Maps for the specification of the ionosphere over Europe [maps of foF2, M(3000)F2, MUF, Electron Density Ne] • Daily plot of the Effective Sunspot Number • Point to point calculation of the MUF for user-defined coordinates DIAS products 2. Ionospheric Forecast • Long term ionospheric predictions for the next 3 months - maps of foF2 - maps of M(3000)F2 - maps of MUF • Short-term ionospheric forecasting 24 hours ahead - maps of foF2 - plots of the forecasted foF2 over each DIAS station • Ionospheric Activity Index (alerts and warnings) DIAS delivers data, products and services since August 2006 http://dias.space.noa.gr Operational Services: SWENET SDAs http://www.esa-spaceweather.net/swenet/index.html – – – – – – – – – – – – Auroras Now! BINCASTS GAFS GIC Forecast GIC Now! GIC Simulator GIFINT GPS Validation ISGI MuSTAnG Pipeline SWS SWIMIC – – – – – – – – – – – – – SAAPS DIFS – SEIS Ionosfera – SOARS Scintillation Quickmaps SFC SIDC SOARS SPECTRE STIF Not all equally active!! SWIPPA TSRS GEISHA GEOSHAFT 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Operational Service: SPENVIS http://www.spenvis.oma.be/ Operational Service: International Space Environment Service (ISES) http://www.ises-spaceweather.org Worldwide network for data exchange and services Each node (RWC) is an independent service center with its own specificity ‘One stop shopping’ 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 ISES in Europe • • • • • • • RWC Belgium (Brussels) RWC Czech Republic (Prague) Associated RWC France (Toulouse) RWC Poland (Warsaw) RWC Russia (Moscow) RWC Sweden (Lund) Collborative expert centre: ESA/ESTEC (Noordwijk) 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Standard RWC Service Contents Our standard daily messages contain: • Forecasts of probability of solar flares (next 3 days) • Forecasts of possibility of proton events (next 3 days) • Forecasts of 10.7cm flux (next 3 days) • Forecasts of geomagnetic conditions (next 3 days) • Overview of current SW conditions • Summary data of previous day(s) Other date or information distributed is often RWC-specific and client-related. This may include e.g.: • “All-quiet alerts” • (Fast) warnings of significant events, often based on automated data and image processing ESWW5 Brussels, 17-21/11/2008 SIDC@STCE: a European Space Weather Service Regional Warning Center Belgium Operational component & information gateway Flares Monitoring Forecasts Fast Alerts Data & Tools 10cm solar radio flux Proton events CME occurrence Coronal Holes Feb 08, 2008 Geomagnetism CME propagation Coronal hole outflow Solar Wind predictions Space Weather:Space international affairs and 5th European Weather Week Prediction of B_z 2008 beyond Brussels, 17-21 November Signatures of CMEs in EUV flares EIT waves Prominence eruptions dimmings Solar image processing Limb signatures SIDC operational product: NEMO http://sidc.be/nemo/ NEMO = 'Novel EIT wave Machine Observing' = A software package for automated EIT wave detection Space Weather interest: EIT wave = CME precursor Also applied to STEREO data Online catalogue for EIT data: • Monthly scans • Real-time detection: 2 runs per day SIDC operational product: CACTus 07h45 • Online LASCO-based catalog September 1997 – January 2007 • Automatic near-real-time detection based on LASCO • Automated alert distribution in case of important event • Human verification and follow-up message 10h00 15h00 Associated RWC France (Toulouse) SFC Solar Forecast Center daily monitoring of Solar Energetic Particles Events J.-J. Valette, Ph. Yaya CLS (Collecte Localisation Satellites) 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 • Presently, there is no forecast model of SEPE • At CLS : development of an empirical approach based on continuous analysis of the solar structures and evolution of favorable conditions : - location & morphology of the sunspots - magnetic connection to Earth - past activity: flares, radio bursts, proton flux variation (even under SWPC threshold) Daily bulletin at SFC (7 days a week) 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 Applications & studies • Application for ESA & CNES during the ATV demo flight • CNES R&T 2007-2008 study to improve the method and to evaluate the performance on a statistical basis over the last solar cycle Co-operation with LESIA (Paris/Meudon Observatory), CPHT (École Polytechnique), ONERA (French Aerospace Lab.) Example of a daily bulletin 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 RWC Poland (Warsaw) Contact: Actual team: Tel: + 48 22 8511165 Beata Dziak-Jankowska beata@cbk.waw.pl +48 22 8403766 ext.371, 380 Grzegorz Juchnikowski grzesiek@cbk.waw.pl Fax: + 48 22 8403131 Zbigniew Kłos E-mail: marz@cbk.waw.pl klos@cbk.waw.pl Maria Miłodrowska mm@cbk.waw.pl Zenka Sawicka zenka@cbk.waw.pl Iwona Stanisławska stanis@cbk.waw.pl http://www.cbk.waw.pl/rwc/ ftp://www.cbk.waw.pl/rwc/idce/ Anna Świątek ana@cbk.waw.pl http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/sw_europe Łukasz Tomasik tomasik@cbk.waw.pl http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/cost296/ http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/cost296/wg1 RWC Warsaw is operating as Heliogeophysical Prediction Service of Space Research Centre Polish Academy of Sciences and performs duty as: • • • data provider, service provider, applied science developer related to space weather data assessment, modeling and prediction techniques Data Provider RWC Warsaw is involved in current collection of large portion of data received directly from: • • • various international observatories in the frame of ISES, Polish operated geophysical stations inside the country and at Spitsbergen and Antarctic, continuously carried out monitoring of the ionosphere with the ionosonde in Warsaw, is managing the ionospheric data Dispatch Centre Service Provider PRESENT • On the basis of continuous flow of data daily the expected influence of heliogeophysical activity on monthly forecasts of communication conditions trough-out the world is prepared for Governmental and commercial customers • The SRC-developed software package for data processing and system of prediction of HF communication is continuously modified and new versions are provided to users. Ionospheric activity (review and forecast) characteristics from about 25 stations, regional maps Quiet days and disturbances catalogues HF propagation conditions Still many not so known services… 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008 To be continued … in 4 years 5th European Space Weather Week Brussels, 17-21 November 2008