4.1: Relative Prices and Distribution of Income When the price of a product rises, we predict that the factors of production used intensively in making that product to be paid more. Economists usually say that improvements in production technology allow firms to increase production, lower prices, or both. In addition, changes in production technology should change the demand for factors of production, and therefore their prices. Improvements in production technology are expected to increase the demand for workers skilled in this technology, and therefore their relative wages. Workers unskilled in the new technology are expected to have lower relative wages, even if their absolute wages have risen due to greater production. In general, technological changes change the demand and relative wages of skilled and unskilled workers. Have technological changes over the last few decades increased the wages of skilled workers relative to those of unskilled workers? This question is difficult to answer because it is hard to measure "skills." But if we claim that education levels are related to skills (which at times may seem preposterous), then we can relate education levels with changes in wages. Using the data links below, graph hourly wages for each of the five levels of education over time. Do you see evidence of faster growth in wages for highly educated workers? You can also graph the following ratios: wages for workers with an advanced degree / wages for workers without a high school diploma wages for workers with a college diploma / wages for workers with a high school diploma wages for workers with a college diploma / wages for workers with only some college (Although technology is viewed as the major cause of changes in relative wages, trade and immigration may also some influence the trends to some degree, although economists are still debating to what degree.) Data: Go to the Economic Policy Institute's site http://epinet.org/datazone/ and select "National data." Search for "Real hourly wage for all by education." 4.2: Factor Intensity Measuring the intensity of how factors of production are used is not simple: multiple factors of production exist, a country's abundant factor may depend on the resources of other countries under consideration, and an intensive factor of production may depend on the industries under consideration. For example, try to calculate the labor-to-land ratio between countries. If we assume that the labor force is a constant fraction of the population, we can compare the population-to-land ratio (population density) between countries. Calculate the population-to-land ratio for the U.S., the U.K., and Australia. If the U.S. has an abundance of land in these calculations, would you predict that it is a net exporter of agricultural goods? Should it therefore also be a net importer of labor-intensive goods? Depending on the countries involved, it is hard to predict. Data: For the abundance/scarcity calculations, go to the World Bank site at http://www.worldbank.org/data/. Click "Data", select "Quick Reference," and search for "Total GDP" and "Population." For U.S. imports and exports in agriculture, go to the International Trade Administration's site at http://tse.export.gov/. Click on "National Trade Data" and then "Product Profiles of U.S. Merchandise Trade with a Selected Market." Select the appropriate country, then "Balance" and the appropriate display. Consider at least two categories of agricultural products. 4.3: Flow of Trade and Factor Intensity Because it is difficult to determine the factor intensity in different industries and because goods of the same category have different characteristics, sometimes we cannot explain the trade patterns that occur between countries using the Heckscher-Ohlin theory. Would you expect the U.S. or Germany to be an exporter of chemicals? Which country actually does export chemicals? Which type of chemicals? Notice that the United States and the United Kingdom import and export goods of the same type. Can the Heckscher-Ohlin theory explain this? (Chapter 6 provides a better explanation for this fact.) Data: The Census Bureau's site at http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/sitc1/ gives bilateral trade data about chemicals and related products. 4.4: Trade and the Distribution of Income Find GDP per capita for the major trading partners of the U.S. Which factors of production do you expect these countries to be abundant and scarce in? Which factors of production do you expect the U.S. to be abundant and scarce in? Do you expect owners of scarce factors of production in the U.S. and in the other countries to have relatively low incomes? Is GDP per capita related to abundance and scarcity of the factors of production? Data: Go to the Bureau of Economic Analysis International Economic Accounts site at http://www.bea.gov/international/index.htm#bop to find the value of trade with various countries. Select "Interactive Tables: Detailed estimates," then "Table 11. U.S. International Transactions, by Area" and the appropriate display features. To find the GDP per capita, go to the World Bank page at http://www.worldbank.org/data/. Select "Data" and "Quick Reference," then "GNI per capita."