CFO Roundtable – M&A Strategy September 10, 2010 Bob George, CFO Overview • Esterline is . . . – A global manufacturer specialized in three distinct business segments, all focused on custom engineered solutions primarily for the Aerospace and Defense industry Advanced Materials Sensors & Systems Avionics & Controls CFO Roundtable, September 2010 1 Esterline 1997 • Conglomeration!!! Commercial Aerospace 17% Defense Telecommunications Computers Automotive Electronics Agriculture Utilities Truck & Rail Process Industries Marine CFO Roundtable, September 2010 2 Mergers/Acquisitions/Integration CFO Roundtable, September 2010 3 ESL Acquisitions 1996-present Acquisitions: 1996 - Present $350.0 CMC $300.0 Racal Acoustics $200.0 FRMC (TNO) Wallop Armtec CM (BAE) $150.0 ATI Armtec CM Leach Sagem Mason Mason (BAE) Dupree Kirkhill Weston Dupree Traxsys Surftec Weston Traxsys Janco Janco Kennard Kennard FRC AIS Muirhead Muirhead AIS Burke BVR Burke Avista FRC 1996 Darchem 1997 1998 NMC M-Tec Kirkhill ITW Kai R. Kuhl Sagem ITW ATA Planar ATI $50.0 $- ATA Memtron KaiMemtron R. Kuhl Wallop Leach FRCM (TNO) Planar M-Tec $100.0 CMC Duraswitch $ Millions $250.0 Palomar Avista Darchem Palomar BVR 1999 2000 CFO Roundtable, September 2010 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 4 Mergers/Acquisitions/Integration • Value Creation – Do mergers create wealth? “The sad fact is that most major acquisitions display an egregious imbalance: They are a bonanza for the shareholders of the acquiree; and…they usually reduce the wealth of the acquirer’s shareholders, often to a substantial extent. That happens because the acquirer typically gives up more intrinsic value than it receives.” (e.g. overpays) ‒ Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Letter to Shareholders ‒ 1994 CFO Roundtable, September 2010 5 Factors Assoc. with Successful Acquisitions • Easily explainable strategy • Management stays • Demonstrated management success in this field • Cost savings rationale • Enhanced position on supply contracts • Gap filling (product, distribution, etc) • Mergers of direct competitors aimed at dominating a market • International market share expansion • Broader geographic coverage CFO Roundtable, September 2010 6 Why Acquisitions Fail • Pay too much • Poor strategic rationale • Poor industry characteristics • Attempt to engineer a major redefinition of business through M&A • Inadequate due diligence • Unrealistic expectation of synergies • Poor post merger integration • Failure to move quickly • Culture clashes • Big egos • Poor timing CFO Roundtable, September 2010 7 Mergers/Acquisitions/Integration • Kinds of Forecasts Lucky CFO Roundtable, September 2010 Lousy 8 Mergers/Acquisitions/Integration CFO Roundtable, September 2010 9 Barriers to Entry • • • • • • • Economies of scale (production, R&D, marketing, service) Proprietary product differences Brand identity (brand recognition) Switching costs High capital requirements Access to distribution channels “Prime cost” advantages ‒ ‒ ‒ • • • • • Proprietary learning curves Access to raw materials Proprietary low cost product design Competitors retaliation Government policy “First mover” advantages Favorable locations Government subsidies CFO Roundtable, September 2010 10 Substitute Product • What substitute products are available? • What is their relative price? • What are switching costs? • Buyers propensity to substitute? • Price vs. performance of alternate products • Disruptive technologies • Trivial technologies CFO Roundtable, September 2010 11 Customer Power • Purchases in large volumes • Products are not highly differentiated • Our product is a significant cost item (encourages shopping) • Customers have low profitability • Our product is unimportant to the quality of buyers product • Our product does not save the buyer money • Buyers may integrate backwards to make our product CFO Roundtable, September 2010 12 Supplier Power • Switching costs are high • Threat of forward integration • High concentration ratio in supplier’s industry • Product is unique • Few substitutes exist • Our industry is important to the supplier CFO Roundtable, September 2010 13 Intensity of Rivalry • Slow industry growth • Over-capacity periods • High exit barriers • Corporate stakes • Personal egos • Limited mobility of executives • Numerous (or equally balanced) competitors • High fixed costs • Capacity additions occur in large increments • Little product differentiation • Low switching cost CFO Roundtable, September 2010 14 Tough Questions for a Corporate Parent • Do we add value to every business unit? • Do we add more value than any other corporate parent? • Do we add more value than the cost of corporate activity? CFO Roundtable, September 2010 15 Pricing The Deal CFO Roundtable, September 2010 16 Esterline Segments: 2007 - 10 Years Later Then Now Automation 42% Avionics & Controls 51% Aerospace/Defense 32% Sensors & Systems 21% Instrumentation 26% Advanced Materials 28% 17% 17% CFO Roundtable, September 2010 Commercial Aerospace Defense Telecommunications Computers Automotive Electronics Agriculture Utilities Truck & Rail Process Industries Marine 40% 40% Commercial Aerospace Defense 20% High-end, non-aero applications 17 Esterline: 2007 - 10 Years Later • The company has grown 40% 40% Commercial Aerospace Defense $155M 20% High-end, non-aero applications $1.5B CFO Roundtable, September 2010 18 Esterline: 2007 - 10 Years Later • Global orientation has increased… 15% Int’l 53% Int’l 47% U.S. 85% U.S. CFO Roundtable, September 2010 19 Esterline: 2007 - 10 Years Later • Global orientation has increased… 5% Int’l 34% Int’l 95% U.S. CFO Roundtable, September 2010 66% U.S. 20 Questions?