Chapter 5 The Ocean Heat Budget Physical oceanography Instructor: Dr. Cheng-Chien Liu Department of Earth Sciences National Cheng Kung University Last updated: 16 October 2003 Introduction The sunlight reaching Earth • 1/2 oceans and land • 1/5 atmosphere The heat stored by the ocean • Evaporation and infrared radiation atmosphere • Transported by current ameliorate Earth’s climate development of ice age The oceanic heat budget Heat budget • The sum of the changes in heat fluxes into or out of a volume of water • QT = QSW + QLW + QS + QL + QV The resultant heat gain or loss QT [wm-2] Insolation QSW, the flux of sunlight into the sea Net Infrared Radiation QLW, net flux of infrared radiation from the sea Sensible Heat Flux QS, the flux of heat out of the sea due to conduction Latent Heat Flux QL, the flux of heat carried by evaporated water Advection QV, heat carried away by currents Change in energy • DE = CpmDT Cp 4.0 103 J kg-1 0C-1 The oceanic heat budget (cont.) Importance of the ocean • During an annual cycle Cp(Rock) 800 J kg-1 0C-1 0.2Cp(water) • Exchange heat depth Water: 100m Land: 1m • Exchange heat mass Water: 1001000 = 100,000 kg Land: 13000 = 3,000 kg • Typical change in temperature Water: 100C Land: 200C • Ratio of seasonal heat storage: DEoceans / DEland 100 Heat budget terms QSW • Factors influencing QSW qs = fn(latitude, season, time of day) Length of day = fn(latitude, season) The cross-sectional area The surface absorbing sunlight = fn(qs) Attenuation k = fn(clouds, path length, gas molecules, aerosol, dust) Reflectivity fn(qs, surface roughness) • Fig 5.2: surface solar insolation • Average annual range (Fig 5.3) 30 < QSW < 260 Wm-2 Heat budget terms (cont.) QLW • Fig 5.4: Atmospheric transmittance Greenhouse effect Greenhouse gasses • Factors influencing QLW The clarity of the atmospheric window fn(clouds thickness, cloud height, atmospheric water-vapor content) Changes in water vapor and clouds are more important than changes in Tsurface Water Temperature Ice and snow cover • Average annual range -60 < QLW < -30 Wm-2 Heat budget terms (cont.) QL • Factors influencing QL Vwind Relative humidity • Average annual range -130 < QL < -10 Wm-2 QS • Factors influencing QS Vwind Air-sea temperature difference • Average annual range -42 < QS < -2 Wm-2 Direct calculation of fluxes Gust-Probe Measurements of Turbulent Fluxes the only method • Characteristics On low-flying aircraft or offshore platforms Usually at 30m height Need fast-response instruments Measure u, v, humidity, T Expensive Measurements large space or longer time Only for calibration • Calculation (Table 5.1: Notation Describing Fluxes) T = <ru'w'> = r<u'w'> ru*2 QS = Cp<rw't'> = rCp<w't'> QL = LE <w'q'> Indirect calculation of fluxes: Bulk formulas Bulk formulas • The observed correlations between fluxes and variables T = rCDU102 QS = rCpCSU10 (ts - ta) QL = rLECLU10 (qs - qa) ta thermometers on ships ts thermometers on ships or AVHRR qa relative humidity made from ships qs ts (assuming saturated air on surface) CD, CS, CL correlating gust-probe measurements with the variables in the bulk formulas (Table 5.1: suggested values) Indirect calculation of fluxes: Bulk formulas (cont.) Calculations of each variable • Wind stress and speed See chapter 4 Sources of error Sampling error (insufficient measurements in time and space) CD • Insolation QSW = S(1-A) – C S = 1365 W m-2 A: albedo C: constant including absorption by ozone, other gasses and cloud droplets Sources of error Angular distribution of sunlight reflected from clouds and surface Daily variability of QSW Indirect calculation of fluxes: Bulk formulas (cont.) Calculations of each variable (cont.) • Rainfall (water flux) Difficulties of ship measurements Rain falls horizontally and its path is distorted by the ship’s superstructure Most rain at sea is drizzle difficult to detect or measure TRMM (Tropical rain measurement mission 1997 –) (Fig 5.5) Infrared observations height of cloud tops Microwave radiometer Re-analyses of the output from numerical weather forecast models Ship observations Combinations Sources of error Rain rate cumulative rain fall (Sampling error) Miss storm Indirect calculation of fluxes: Bulk formulas (cont.) Calculations of each variable (cont.) • Net long-wave radiation F = <e> (Fd –ST4) <e> : average emissivity of the surface Fd : downward flux (from satellite, microwave radiometer data or numerical models) S : Stefan-Boltzmann constant F tends to be constant over space and time not necessary to improve • Latent heat flux QL = rLECLU10 (qs - qa) Difficult to measure from satellite (not sensitive to qs) Two indirect ways to use satellite measurements Monthly averages of surface humidity water vapor in the air column SST from AVHRR + water vapor and wind from SSM/I Indirect calculation of fluxes: Bulk formulas (cont.) Calculations of each variable (cont.) • Sensible heat flux Ship observations of air-sea temperature difference and wind speed Numerical models output Almost small everywhere Global data sets for fluxes COADS NOAA • Two releases The first COADS release: 70 million reports (1854 – 1979) The second COADS release (1980 – 1986) • 28 elements Weather, position, … • Summaries 14 statistics for each of eight observed variables Ta, Ts, Vwind, Psurface, q, cloudiness 11 derived variables • Three principal resolutions Individual reports Year-month summaries in 20 by 20 boxes Decade-month summaries Global data sets for fluxes (cont.) Satellite data (Table 5.3: levels) • Operational meteorological satellites NOAA series of polar-orbiting, meteorological satellites SSM / I Geostationary meteorological satellites NOAA (GOES), Japan (GMS) and ESA (METEOSTATS) • Experimental satellites Nimbus-7, Earth Radiation Budget Instruments Earth Radiation Budget Satellite, Earth Radiation Budget Experiment The European Space Agency's ERS-1 & 2 The Japanese Advanced Earth Observing System (ADEOS) Quicksat The Earth-Observing System satellites Terra, Aqua, and Envisat Topex/Poseidon and its replacement Jason-1. Global data sets for fluxes (cont.) International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project • Collect observations of clouds by dozens of meteorological satellites (1985 – 1995) Using visible-light instruments on polar-orbiting and geostationary satellites • Goals Calibrate the the satellite data Calculate cloud cover using carefully verified techniques Calculate surface insolation Global data sets for fluxes (cont.) Global Precipitation Climatology Project • Three sources of data rain rate Infrared observations (GOES) the height of cumulus clouds The basic idea: the more rain produced by cumulus clouds, the higher the cloud top, and the colder the top appears in the infrared. Thus rain rate at the base of the clouds is related to infrared temperature Measurements by rain gauges on islands and land. Radio-frequency emissions (SSM/I) from atmospheric water droplets • Accuracy: 1 mm/day • Data available: 2.50 2.50 grid from July 1987 to December 1995 (NASA GSFC) • Xie and Arkin (1997) A 17-year data set based on seven types of satellite and rain-gauge data combined with the output from the NCEP/NCAR reanalyzed data from numerical weather models Global data sets for fluxes (cont.) Reanalyzed Data From Numerical Weather Models • Calculated from weather data using numerical weather models by various reanalysis projects • Recent suggestions on the data Biased fluxes, The time-mean model outputs ship observations More accurate in the northern hemisphere Zonal means differences > 40 Wm-2 between model and COADS data ECMWF data set averaged over 15 years gives a net flux of 3.7 Wm-2 into the ocean • Summary Reanalyzed fluxes forcing ocean, GCM COADS data calculating time-mean fluxes Geographic distribution of terms in the heat budget Figure 5.6 • The mean annual radiation and heat balance Top of the atmosphere: Insolation = infrared radiation 342 = 107 + 235 At the surface, latent heat flux + net infrared radiation = insolation 168 + 324 = 390 + 24 + 78 Sensible heat flux is small The sunlight reaching Earth 1/2 (168 / 342) oceans and land 1/5 (67 / 342) atmosphere Driving of the atmospheric circulation Thunderstorms are large heat engines converting the energy of latent heat into kinetic energy of winds Geographic distribution of terms in the heat budget (cont.) Fig 5.7 • The zonal average of the oceanic heat-budget terms Zonal average: an average along lines of constant latitude QSW = max at EQ QS is small The areal-weighted integral 0 errors in the various terms in the heat budget Can be reduced by using additional information (constraint) Heat and fresh water transport Fig 5.8: annual-mean QSW and QLW Fig 5.9: annual-mean QL Fig 5.10: annual-mean QS Meridional heat transport Meridional transport • North-south transport Meridional heat transport • the divergence of the zonal average of the heat budget measured at the top of the atmosphere • satellite • Assumption: steady state Meridional heat transport (cont.) Heat Budget at the top of the Atmosphere • Measurement Insolation meteorological satellites and by special satellites (e.g. the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment Satellite) Back radiation infrared radiometers The net heat flux across the top of the atmosphere = insolation - net infrared radiation • Calculation Average the satellite observations zonally zonal average Calculate their meridional derivative the north-south flux divergence Divergence = the heat transport by the atmosphere and the ocean • Errors Calibration of instruments Inaccurate angular distribution of reflected and emitted radiation Meridional heat transport (cont.) Oceanic Heat Transport • Three methods Surface Flux Method Measurements: wind, insolation, air, and sea temperature, and cloudiness Bulk formulas the heat flux through the sea surface Integration the zonal average of the heat flux (Figure 5.7) the meridional derivative the flux divergence = heat transport in the ocean Direct Method Measurements: current velocity and temperature from top to bottom along a zonal section spanning an ocean basin the heat transport The flux = northward velocity heat content Residual Method Measurements: atmospheric measurements or the output of numerical weather models the atmospheric heat transport The oceanic contribution = the top-of-the-atmosphere heat flux (satellite) - the atmospheric transport (Figure 5.11) Meridional fresh water transport The Earth's water budget • Dominated by evaporation (86%) and precipitation (78%) over the ocean • A map of the net evaporation (Fig 5.12) • Meridional transport of fresh water by the Atlantic (Fig 5.13) Same calculation as the heat transport • Significance Understanding the global hydrological cycle, ocean dynamics, and global climate Variation in solar constant Solar constant constant • Sunspots and faculae (bright spots) the output varied by ± 0.2% over centuries the changes in global mean temperature of Earth's surface of ± 0.4°C (Fig 5.14) • A small 12yr, 22yr, and longer-period variations of SST measured by bathythermographs and ship-board thermometers over the past century • Solar variability climate change ? Important concepts • Sunlight is absorbed primarily in the tropical ocean. The amount of sun-light changes with season, latitude, time of day, and cloud cover. • Most of the heat absorbed by the oceans in the tropics is released as water vapor which heats the atmosphere when water is condenses as rain. Most of the rain falls in the tropical convergence zones, lesser amounts fall in mid-latitudes near the polar front. • Heat released by rain and absorbed infrared radiation from the ocean are the primary drivers for the atmospheric circulation. Important concepts (cont.) • The net heat flux from the oceans is largest in midlatitudes and offshore of Japan and New England. • Heat fluxes can be measured directly using fast response instruments on low-flying aircraft, but this is not useful for measuring heat fluxes over oceanic areas. • Heat fluxes through large regions of the sea surface can be calculated from bulk formula. Seasonal, regional, and global maps of fluxes are available based on ship and satellite observations. Important concepts (cont.) • The most widely used data sets for studying heat fluxes are the Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set and the reanalysis of meteorological data by numerical weather prediction models. • The oceans transport about one-half of the heat needed to warm higher latitudes, the atmosphere transports the other half. • Solar output is not constant, and the observed small variations in output of heat and light from the sun seem to produce the changes in global temperature observed over the past 400 years.