Goizueta Business School of Emory University Syndicated Data Analysis for Brand Scientists (ver. 2-22-2010) Mid-Semester Module – March 2010 Room Feb.25-26: 204 Room Mar.1-2: W130 Douglas Bowman (404-727-5008; h: 404-851-9605) 514 GBS, Doug_Bowman@bus.emory.edu http://www.goizueta.emory.edu/Faculty/DouglasBowman/index.html Learning Objective Give students hands-on experience using syndicated data to generate market insights, which in turn drive actionable category and product/brand plans. Desired Outcome The improved marketing skills developed will lead to enhanced skill in developing relevant fact-based customer-focused strategies and execution within the marketplace. Readings [1] Most are on GBS library e-reserves. (https://ereserves.library.emory.edu/reserves2/index.php?cmd=viewReservesList&ci=54030) [2] HBSP readings and cases are available for purchase through study.net. They have set up two “courses”: “BUS 571R/671R 7FP: Syndicated Data Analysis” has the three Harvard Business Review articles, and “BUS 671R/671R 7FP: BRITA CASE ONLY: Syndicated Data Analysis” has the Brita case only. [3] Business Insights reading: Get directly from library access page (http://business.library.emory.edu/eresources/title/view.php?erid=40) [4] Standard & Poor’s Net Advantage reading: Get directly from library access page (http://business.library.emory.edu/eresources/title/view.php?erid=47) Thurs. Feb.25 – Introduction; Promotion Analysis; Into to Market Response Analysis 8:30am-9:00am Introduction Notes: Syndicated Data Analysis for Brand Scientists 9:00am-10:15am Scanner Data Notes: Overview of Scanner Data Exercise: Pancake Mix Exercise.pdf Dataset: dh_pancake_mix.xlsx, IRI Factbook 2006 – Pancake Mixes 2006.xlsx Notes: Analyzing the Pancake Mix Data Dataset: Pancake_mix Solution.xlsx 10:15am-10:30am Break 10:30am-11:30am Promotional Analysis Reading: Abraham and Lodish (HBR 1990) Exercise: Galaxy Dental Floss Case Dataset: INFOSCAN.xlsx, DATA.pdf Notes: Galaxy Dental Floss Promotion Analysis 11:30am-11:45am Break 11:45am-12:45pm Introduction to Market Response Analyses Notes: Introduction to Market Response Analysis Notes: Estimating Market Response Functions: Intro Dataset: Millenery.xlsx Readings Abraham, Magid M. and Leonard M. Lodish (1990), “Getting the Most Out of Advertising and Promotion,” Harvard Business Review, May-June, Reprint 90301. Fri. Feb.26 – Market Response Analyses; Misc. Topics; Tools for Valuing Customers 12:30pm-1:30pm Lab Session on Market Response Analysis Exercise: Zesta Exercise.pdf Dataset: Zesta.xlsx Notes: Analyzing the Zesta Cracker Data Dataset: Zesta Solution.xlsx 1:30pm-1:45pm Model Validation Notes: Model Validation Dataset: Zesta Validation.xlsx 1:45pm-2:00pm Break 2:00pm-2:30pm Marketing Mix Response Notes: Applications of Marketing Mix Models Data: Cicada Nuggests.xlsx 2 – Syndicated Data Analysis for Brand Scientists 2:30pm-3:15pm Misc. Topics: Functional Forms, Multicollinearity, Outliers, Non-Standard Dependent Variables Notes: Misc. Topics Dataset: Dept Store.xlsx 3:15pm-3:30pm Break 3:30pm-4:30pm Tools for Valuing Customers Reading: Hanssens et al (HBR 2008) Notes: CRM Tools.pdf Dataset: CRM Tools.xlsx Exercise: CLV Exercise.pdf Dataset: CLV Exercise.xlsx Readings Hanssens, Dominique M., Daniel Thorpe and Carl Finkbeiner (2008), “Marketing When Customer Equity Matters,” Harvard Business Review, 86(5), 117-23. Mon. Mar.1 – Social Media; Valuing Customers; Marketing Analytics; Experimentation 8:30am-9:45am Guest speaker: Natasha Stevens, TNS-cymfony Reading: Kaplan and Haenlein (BusHor 2010) Reading: Mangold and Faulds (BusHor 2009) 9:45am-10:00am Break 10:00am-11:15am Case study: The Brita Products Company Dataset: Brita.xlsx 11:15am-1:00pm Lunch Break 1:00pm-2:00pm Guest speaker: Roger Ares, BBDO Atlanta View: www.bbdoatl.com 2:00pm-2:15pm Break 2:15pm-3:15pm Experimentation Reading: Almquist and Wyner (HBR 2001) Reading: Lodish and Riskey (Mkt Res 1997) Notes: Experimental Design and Analysis Dataset: One-Factor Expt.xlsx Dataset: Wine Promo Expt.xlsx 3:15pm-3:45pm Break 3:45pm-4:15pm Lab Session on Category Analysis Background Reading: Ailawadi et al. Exercise: Store Brands – A Manufacturer’s Perspective Dataset: PL_Data.xlsx 3 – Syndicated Data Analysis for Brand Scientists Readings Kaplan, Andreas M. and Michael Haenlein (2010), “Users of the World Unite! The Challenges and Opportunities of Social Media,” Business Horizons, 53(1), 59-68. Mangold, W. Glynn and David J. Faulds (2009), “Social Media: The New Hybrid Element of the Promotion Mix,” Business Horizons, 5294), 357-365. Case Study: The Brita Products Company, HBS #500-024. Sorensen, Herb (2003), “The Science of Shopping,” Marketing Research, 15(3), 30-35. Humby, Clive, Terry Hunt and Tim Phillips (2007), Scoring Points: How Tesco Continues to Win Customer Loyalty, Sterling, VA: Kogan Page. Chapters 1 and 2. Wall Street Journal (2007), “What Makes Tesco, Kroger More Than Just Rivals?,” December 24, pp. B1,B3. BusinessWeek (2008), “Getting Inside the Customer’s Mind,” September 11. Almquist, Eric and Gordon Wyner (2001), “Boost Your Marketing ROI with Experimental Design,” Harvard Business Review, October, 135-141. Lodish, Leonard M. and Dwight R. Riskey (1997), “Making Ads Profitable,” Marketing Research, 9(4), 38-42. Ailawadi, Kusum L., Koen Pauwels and Jan-Benedict E.M. Steenkamp (2008), “Private-Label Use and Store Loyalty,” Journal of Marketing, 72(6), 19-30. Tues. Mar.3 – Frequent Shopper Data; Reading Published Research 8:30am-9:45am Guest speaker: Eric Lynch, dunnhumbyUSA Reading: Sorenson (Mkt Res 2003) Reading: Chap.1 and 2 from ‘Scoring Points’ Reading: WSJ, Dec.24, 2007 Reading: Businessweek, Sep.11, 2008 9:45am-10:00am Break 10:00am-11:15am Introduction to Reading Published Research Based on Syndicated Data Reading: Mace and Neslin (2004) Reading: Berger and Milkman (2010) Reading: NY Times, Feb.9, 2010 11:15am-11:30am Break 11:30am-12:30pm Please hold in case we need to catch-up. Readings (discussed in class) Sorensen, Herb (2003), “The Science of Shopping,” Marketing Research, 15(3), 30-35. Humby, Clive, Terry Hunt and Tim Phillips (2007), Scoring Points: How Tesco Continues to Win Customer Loyalty, Sterling, VA: Kogan Page. Chapters 1 and 2. Wall Street Journal (2007), “What Makes Tesco, Kroger More Than Just Rivals?,” December 24, pp. B1,B3. 4 – Syndicated Data Analysis for Brand Scientists BusinessWeek (2008), “Getting Inside the Customer’s Mind,” September 11. Mace, Sandrine and Scott A. Neslin (2004), “The Determinants of Pre- and Postpromotion Dips in Sales of Frequently Purchased Goods,” Journal of Marketing Research, 41(3), 339-350. Berger, Jonah and Katherine L. Milkman (2010), “Social Transmission and Viral Culture,” working paper. Available from: http://marketing.wharton.upenn.edu/documents/research/Virality.pdf Popular press summary: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/09/science/09tier.html Other Readings You May Want to Look at On Your Own Ailawadi, Kusum L., Bari A. Harlam, Jacques César and David Trounce (2007), “Promotion Profitability for a Retailer: The Role of Promotion, Brand, Category and Store Characteristics,” Journal of Marketing Research, 43(4), 518-535. Ailawadi, Kusum L., Donald R. Lehmann and Scott A. Neslin, (2001), “Market Response to a Major Policy Change in the Marketing Mix: Learning from Procter & Gamble's Value Pricing Strategy,” Journal of Marketing, 65(1), 44-61. Bell, David R., Jeongwen Chiang and V. Padmanabhan (1999), “The Decomposition of Promotion Response: An Empirical Generalization,” Marketing Science, 18(4), 504-526. Bowman, Douglas and Hubert Gatignon (1996), “Order of Entry As A Moderator of the Effects of the Marketing Mix on Market Share,” Marketing Science, 15(3), 222-242. Bowman, Douglas, Carrie M. Heilman and P.B. Seetharaman (2004), “Determinants of Product-Use Compliance Behavior,” Journal of Marketing Research, 41(3), 324-338. Bronnenberg, Bart J., Sanjay K. Dhar and Jean-Pierre Dubé (2007), “Consumer Packaged Goods in the United States: National Brands, Local Branding,” Journal of Marketing Research, 44(1), 4-13. Danaher, Peter J., André Bonfrer and Sanjay Dhar (2008), “The Effect of Competitive Advertising Interference on Sales for Packaged Goods,” Journal of Marketing Research, 45(2), 211-225. Fader, Peter S. and Bruce G.S. Hardie (1996), “Modeling Consumer Choice Among SKUs,” Journal of Marketing Research, 33(4), 442-452. Heilman, Carrie M., Douglas Bowman and Gordon P. Wright (2000), “The Evolution of Brand Preferences and Choice Behaviors of Consumers New to a Market,” Journal of Marketing Research, 37(2), 139-155. Narasimhan, Chakravarthi, Scott A. Neslin and Subrata K. Sen (1996), “Promotional Elasticities and Category Characteristics,” Journal of Marketing, 60(2), 17-30. Sorescu, Alina B. and Jelena Spanjol (2008), “Innovation’s Effect on Firm Value and Risk: Insights from Consumer Packaged Goods,” Journal of Marketing, 72(2), 114-132. 5 – Syndicated Data Analysis for Brand Scientists