How a Culture of Inquiry Can Help Catalyze Completion Efforts Dr. Rob Johnstone Cabrillo College Visioning Day Aptos, CA February 7, 2014 www.inquiry2improvement.com Acknowledgements Much of the content in this presentation in conjunction with national projects such as Completion by Design, the Aspen Prize for CC Excellence, and Bridging Research, Information & Cultures (BRIC) Content has also been developed by and with a host of national partners, including: • • • • • • Community College Research Center (CCRC) Jobs for the Future JBL Associates Public Agenda The Research & Planning (RP) Group WestEd Infographics were primarily designed by Greg Stoup An Applied Inquiry Framework for Student Completion – April 2013 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com April 2013 The Student Experience An Applied Inquiry Framework for Student Completion www.inquiry2improvement.com National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com April 2013 A Culture of Inquiry & Action A RESOURCE for INSTITUTIONAL change www.inquiry2improvement.com 5 What is a Culture of Inquiry? Institutional capacity for supporting open, honest and collaborative dialog focused on strengthening the institution and the outcomes of its students. National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 6 Culture of Inquiry: Features ● Widespread access to user-friendly information on student outcomes ● Encouraging more people to ask a wider collection of questions and use their evidence and conclusions to enhance decision making ● Reflective and dynamic discussions across constituency groups National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 7 Culture of Inquiry: More Features ● Continuous feedback so adjustments can be made along the way and processes can be adapted ● A sense of ownership over improving student outcomes – not blaming the student ● Using insight generated from inquiry to act at varying levels of the institution to create the conditions to improve outcomes National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 8 Applied Inquiry Framework for Student Completion Developed for Completion by Design A Resource for Institutional Change www.inquiry2improvement.com 9 An Applied Inquiry Framework for Student Completion Stage 1 – Explore how to improve outcomes Stage 2 – Gather meaningful evidence Stage 3 – Discuss evidence broadly Stage 4 – Use evidence to inform change Stage 5 – Measure the impact of change National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 10 STAGE 1 Explore how to improve student outcomes Focus inquiry on designing approaches that improve student outcomes National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 11 Key Questions When was the last time you sat in a standing committee meeting on your campus that used evidence to explore a key student success outcome for more than 20 minutes? What types of questions do we spend most of our organizational resources answering? National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com STAGE 2 Gather meaningful evidence Collect high-quality, meaningful evidence at the student support, classroom, program, and institutional levels National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 13 When gathering evidence, make sure you are focusing on the right data… National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 14 20 year trend for California CC course success & persistence rates 100% Persistence Rate 90% 80% 70% Success Rate 60% What does that tell us about the usefulness of these metrics in setting institutional strategies? 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1989 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 2006 2007 2008 2008 www.inquiry2improvement.com 15 Three Studies to Energize a Campus Conversation About Student Success • Grades & Success in Sequenced Courses • Cohort Tracking in Developmental Education • Levels of Preparedness in GE Courses – success of simultaneously enrolled students in Math / English courses National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Study 1: Grades in Sequenced Courses Note: Data tracked from 2006-07 to 2011-12 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 17 Grades in Sequenced Courses Backdrop • Course sequences analyzed in Mathematics, English, Biology, Chemistry, Physics & Economics • Relationship between grade in 1st course in sequence and success in 2nd course in sequence was examined. • Enrollment data tracked from 2006-07 to 2011-12 • Cohort Ns ranged from 1,890 to 126,367 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Segmentation of Students Taking Intermediate Algebra Taking Math 308 / 310 in Same Semester 8% A in Math 308 9% Other 1% Math 310 Attempt was First Math Course 29% B in Math 308 13% C in Math 308 12% Math 310 Repeater / Non Success 25% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement Unclear Status in Math 308* 3% www.inquiry2improvement.com 19 Table for Intermediate Algebra Count % of Total N Success Rate in Math 310 A in Math 308 5,659 10% 81% B in Math 308 7,726 13% 60% C in Math 308 7,234 12% 37% Unclear Status in Math 308* 1,675 3% 16% Math 310 Repeater / Non Success 14,568 25% 41% Math 310 Attempt was First Math Course 16,812 29% 57% Taking Math 308 / 310 in Same Semester 4,505 8% 68% Other 487 1% 44% Total 58,666 100% 53% Status in Math 310 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 20 Developmental Education Math Course Sequence Pre-Algebra Introductory Algebra Intermediate Algebra Transfer Level Math 306 Math 308 Math 310 Math 1300s The grade received by students in Math 306 Success Rate of those same students in Math 308 100% 90% A B 76% 80% 70% Those placing directly into Math 308 60% 60% 51% 50% 40% 27% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Developmental Education Math Course Sequence Pre-Algebra Introductory Algebra Intermediate Algebra TransferLevel Math 306 Math 308 Math 310 Math 1300s The grade received by students in Math 308 Success Rate of those same students in Math 310 100% 81% A B 90% 80% 70% Those placing directly into Math 310 60% 57% 60% 50% 37% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Intermediate Algebra – Transfer-Level Mathematics Intermediate Algebra TransferLevel MATH 310 MATH 1300s The grade received by students in Math 310 Success Rate of those same students in Math 1300s 100% A B 81% 90% 80% Those placing directly into Math 1300s 63% 66% 70% 60% 44% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Calculus Course Sequence Calculus I Calculus II MATH 2413 MATH 2414 The grade received by students in Math 2413 Success Rate of those same students in Math 2414 100% 90% A B 78% Those placing directly into Math 2414 72% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Developmental Education Writing Course Sequence Two Levels below Transfer One Level below Transfer Transfer Level English ENGL 306 ENGL 307 ENGL 1301 The grade received by students in English 306 Success Rate of those same students in English 307 100% 90% A B 77% Those placing directly into English 307 66% 66% 80% 70% 60% 49% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Developmental Education Writing Course Sequence Two Levels below Transfer One Level below Transfer One Level Transfer below Level English Transfer ENGL 306 ENGL 307 ENGL 1301 The grade received by students in English 307 Success Rate of those same students in English 1301 100% 90% A Those placing directly into English 1301 74% 71% 61% 80% 70% 60% B 46% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% College English Course Sequence Composition I Composition II ENGL 1301 ENGL 1302 The grade received by students in English 1301 Success Rate of those same students in English 1302 100% 88% A B 77% Those placing directly into English 1302 90% 80% 70% 68% 58% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% College Biology Course Sequence Biology I Biology II BIO 1406 BIO 1407 The grade received by students in Biology 1406 Success Rate of those same students in Biology 1407 100% 90% A B Those placing directly into Biology 1407 76% 70% 90% 80% 70% 60% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% College Biology Course Sequence Anatomy Physiology BIO 2401 BIO 2402 The grade received by students in Biology 2401 Success Rate of those same students in Biology 2402 100% 88% A B Those placing directly into Biology 2402 72% 90% 80% 70% 67% 60% 50% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% College Chemistry Course Sequence General Chemistry I General Chemistry II CHEM 1411 CHEM 1412 The grade received by students in Chemistry 1411 Success Rate of those same students in Chemistry 1412 100% A B 86% 90% 80% Those placing directly into Chemistry 1412 70% 66% 70% 60% 46% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% University Physics Course Sequence General Physics I General Physics II PHYS 1401 PHYS 1402 The grade received by students in Physics 1401 Success Rate of those same students in Physics 1402 94% 87% A Those placing directly into Physics 1402 78% 100% 90% 80% 69% 70% 60% B 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Economics Course Sequence Macro Economics Micro Economics ECON 2301 ECON 2302 The grade received by students in Economics 2301 Success Rate of those same students in Economics 2302 100% 89% A 81% Those placing directly into Economics 2302 74% 71% 90% 80% 70% 60% B 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Study 2: Cabrillo College Developmental Education Cohort Tracking National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 33 Developmental Education Cohort Tracking Backdrop • Dev ed cohorts tracked in Math and Writing. • Students taking their first course within each department in Fall 2010 were tracked forward through Summer 2013. • The charts give the % of each cohort passing each subsequent stage of the sequence. • Note that in some cases, students may not need to pass all the courses in the sequence to meet their goals. • Cohort Ns ranged from 225 to 635 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Math cohort tracking starting in Pre-Algebra PRE-ALGEBRA INTRODUCTORY ALGEBRA INTERMEDIATE ALGEBRA TRANSFER LEVEL 100% 100% Attempt the Course 72% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Of the original cohort 43% Attempt the 27% Pass Course the 40% 30% Of the original cohort Course National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 20% 18% 11% Pass Attempt Of the original cohort www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. 10% 5%Pass Att 4% 0% Math cohort tracking starting in Introductory Algebra PRE-ALGEBRA INTRODUCTORY ALGEBRA INTERMEDIATE ALGEBRA TRANSFER LEVEL 100% 100% Attempt the Course 64% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 50% Attempt 39% Pass the the Course Course Of the original cohort 40% 30% Of the original cohort 25% 19% Pass Attempt 20% 10% 0% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. Math cohort tracking starting in Intermediate Algebra PRE-ALGEBRA INTRODUCTORY ALGEBRA INTERMEDIATE ALGEBRA TRANSFER LEVEL 100% 100% Attempt the Course 67% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Of the original cohort 50% Attempt 37% Pass the the Course Course 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. English Writing cohort tracking starting at Developmental Writing I DEV WRITING I DEV WRITING II COMPOSITION I COMPOSITION II 100% 100% Attempt the Course 71% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% Of the original cohort 53% Attempt 45% Pass the the Course Course National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 50% 40% Of the original cohort 33% Attempt 26% Pass the Course www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. 30% 20% 10% 0% English Writing cohort tracking starting at Developmental Writing II DEV WRITING I DEV WRITING II COMPOSITION I COMPOSITION II 100% 100% Attempt the 78% Pass Course the Course 90% 80% 70% 65% Attempt 54% Pass the the Course Course Of the original cohort 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. A Direct Look at Meaningful Analyses from Four-Year Schools National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 40 Simple and Effective Analyses to Inform Student Progress and Completion Efforts •Based on analyses from: Florida State University Georgia State University San Diego State University University of North Carolina – Greensboro University of Texas University of Southern California University of Wisconsin Eau Claire Virginia Commonwealth University National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 41 Simple and Effective Analyses to Inform Student Progress and Completion Efforts 1. Targeting at-risk populations (UNCG) 2. Identifying At-Risk Students Using Historical Data (GSU, FSU) 3. Identifying At-Risk Students Using Milestones (FSU, GSU) 4. Tracking beyond Freshmen to Sophomore Retention Rates (FSU) 5. Tracking Second Year Students with Sophomore Standing (GSU) National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 42 Simple and Effective Analyses to Inform Student Progress and Completion Efforts 6. Identifying Correlates of Success (VCU, UWEC, SDSU) 7. Identifying Correlates of Non-Success (USC) 8. Predictive Model for Retention (VCU, GSU) 9. Impact of Course Withdrawals (VCU) 10. Additional Analyses (USC, FSU, GSU, UWEC) National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 43 First Year to Second Year Retention, Georgia State University 100% 90% 80% 80% 82% 81% Fall '00 Fall '01 Fall '02 83% 80% 81% 82% 83% 83% Fall '04 Fall '05 Fall '06 Fall '07 Fall '08 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Fall '03 Retention National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 3/30/10 www.inquiry2improvement.com 44 First Year Retention & Progression Rates - Georgia State University 100% 90% 80% 80% 82% 83% 81% 80% 81% 82% 83% 83% 67% 70% 62% 60% 49% 50% 40% 30% 27% 28% Fall '01 Fall '02 33% 35% Fall '03 Fall '04 39% 22% 20% 10% 0% Fall '00 Retention National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 3/30/10 Fall '05 Fall '06 Fall '07 Fall '08 Retained & Sophomore www.inquiry2improvement.com 45 STAGE 3 Discuss evidence broadly Engage a variety of campus stakeholders in evidence-based discussions about improvements in practice National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 46 Data do not speak for themselves. National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 47 The vital role of exploration ● In order to make data useful, ample time and space are needed to discuss and analyze the information and connect it back to the original research question. ● Answers are not always immediately apparent, so skilled facilitation may be needed to dig out the deeper meaning. ● Multiple perspectives and types of information are often needed to make sense of individual data points. National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com ! 48 Study 3: •English & Math Preparedness & Success in GE Courses – National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 49 Success in Psychology 101 for students simultaneously enrolled in an English course English 826 (Two Below) English 836 (One Below) English 100 (Transfer A) English 110 (Transfer B) Success Rate of those same students in Psychology 101 English course taking profile for students in Psychology 101 100% 90% Not in an English course 68% 64% Engl 826 Engl 836 Not in an English course 67% Taking an English Course 33% 80% 70% 60% 48% Engl 100 31% Engl 110 75% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Note: Enrollments from Summer 2000 to Spring 2009; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade 0% Success in Psychology 101 for students simultaneously enrolled in an Math course Beginning Algebra Fundamentals Intermediate Algebra Math course taking profile for students in Psychology 101 Transfer Level Math Success Rate of those same students in Psychology 101 100% 90% Not in an Math course 64% Fundamentals Beginning Algebra Not in a Math course 63% Taking a Math Course 37% Intermediate Algebra Transfer Level 76% 80% 70% 63% 60% 51% 43% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Note: Enrollments from Summer 2000 to Spring 2009; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade Success in five highly enrolled GE courses by English enrollment level English 826 (Two Below) Psychology 101 English 836 (One Below) Speech 101 English 100 (Transfer A) Economics 101 English 110 (Transfer B) History 101 HSCI 101 100% 88% 82% 75% 82% 79% 73% 74% 73% 68% 64% 54% 57% 56% 51% 48% 48% 90% 80% 70% 60% 60% 50% 43% 40% 31% 27% 30% 20% 10% 0% Note: Enrollments from Summer 2000 to Spring 2009; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade Success in five highly enrolled GE courses by English enrollment level English 826 (Two Below) Fitness 334 English 836 (One Below) Accounting 101 English 100 (Transfer A) Music 202 English 110 (Transfer B) Biology 250 Sociology 101 100% 90% 80% 76% 74% 73% 68% 66% 74% 70% 65% 64% 60% 58% 59% 50% 50% 48% 40% 37% 80% 40% 60% 50% 40% 31% 30% 20% N/A Note: Enrollments from Summer 2000 to Spring 2009; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade 10% 0% STAGE 4 Use evidence to inform change Implement changes in practice and policy based on analyses and discussion of college evidence National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 54 Use evidence to guide innovation ● In this context, research and applied inquiry are fundamentally interventionist in nature. ● We are not seeking absolute truths; rather we are looking for patterns of evidence that inform action-oriented decisions. ● Failure can be seen as an opportunity for learning, especially when outcomes are shared and used to inform further improvements in practice. National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 55 And what do we do when the evidence is ambiguous? What to do when you reach the limits of your research and yet still face multiple choices? The process of inquiry is Domain of possible solutions not a search for an absolute truth Trust your expertise & choose ! Gregory M Stoup, Cañada College We answer the questions that eliminate dead end solutions STAGE 5 Measure the impact of change Evaluate the impact of practice changes on student performance National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 57 Exploring the Preventing Loss, Creating Momentum Framework www.inquiry2improvement.com Loss & Momentum Framework CONNECTION ENTRY PROGRESS Interest to Application Enrollment to Completion of Gatekeeper Courses Entry into Course of Study to 75% Requirements Completed POLICIES PRACTICES PROGRAMS PROCESSES National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com COMPLETION Complete Course of Study to Credential with Labor Market Value Completion by Design Framing Model Some Known Loss Points CONNECTION Students never apply to college Students delay entry into college College counseling patterns that lead to: - under enrollment - little programspecific guidance - missed financial aid opportunities ENTRY PROGRESS COMPLETION Unstructured programs / too many choices Poor workschool balance Transfer without credential Extended onramps delay entry to programs of study Part-time enrollment forcing long completion times Students accumulate credits (& debt) not aligned with completion Students fail to enroll/pass Gatekeeper courses Poor academic preparation National Center for Inquiry & Improvement Progress not monitored / feedback given Life events / “Stop out or drop out” www.inquiry2improvement.com Never complete college level math Credential doesn’t support needed wage & aren’t stackable Completion by Design Framing Model Momentum Strategies CONNECTION Firstfoster Timecollegegoing norms in Student High School expand awareness of college programs and requirements dual enrollment & AP credit ENTRY PROGRESS mandatory intrusive advising focused on programs of study programs to incentivize optimal attendance accelerate entry to POS student progress to completion monitored & feedback provided effective academic catch-up programs take placement test in high school aggressive financial aid support educational planning in high school shorter, faster, cheaper course design National Center for Inquiry & Improvement accelerated competencybased programs emergency aid for students www.inquiry2improvement.com COMPLETION mandatory Successful intrusive advising Completion toward certificates degrees & transfer incentives to transfer with credentials remove barriers to graduation Learn & Earn and Career Pathway programs Final Thoughts An Applied Inquiry Framework for Student Completion – September 2013 www.inquiry2improvement.com Culture of Inquiry: Why All the Fuss? ● Because this ongoing work is challenging but necessary! ● Work needs to marry insight & evidence ● Problems are large and recurring ● No silver bullet / evident answers ● Multiple solutions likely needed ● Progress is not linear ● Requires cross constituency interaction National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 63 Next Steps • What are some “quick win” opportunities for demonstrating the value of a culture of inquiry to practitioners and stakeholders? • What are some of the challenges to developing or further evolving a culture of inquiry? Completion by Design? Completion by Accident? National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Find Out More • The National Center for Inquiry & Improvement website www.inquiry2improvement.com • Dr. Rob Johnstone, Founder & President rob@inquiry2improvement.com • CBD Inquiry Guides: http://www.inquiry2improvement.com/publicationsresources National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 65