The Explanation Age Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence John Lewis, Ed.D. Explanation Age LLC March, 2012 © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Topics Question Tools The Independence of Explanations Explanation Accounts The 8 Degrees of Reason Conclusion © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 2 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Questions, Answers, and Tools (Oh My!) Commands! & Questions? When? Where? Contact List Social Media Expert Finder How? Map GPS Who? Clock Watch Calendar Checklist Process Map Why? © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Photos used under Creative Commons from BPL & Hedyelyakim@Flickr 3 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Structure of Scientific Revolutions Thomas Kuhn 1962 Scientific Progression is NOT Linear Paradigm Shifts occur Considered “controversial” because scientists would not admit: Confusion is part of learning Objective certainty about our knowledge is a myth BUT he was describing what “LEARNING” looks like Learning in Science / Education Learning in Business Learning in AI © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 4 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence 2 Types of Feedback and Learning Productive and Inventive Model-Manage-Measure Framework We Model, Manage, and Measure Measuring can produce feedback for the Modeling, or the Managing Inventive Feedback Model Analysts focus their learning from the Productive Feedback Inventors focus their learning from the Inventive Feedback © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Manage Measure Productive Feedback 5 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence 2 Models of Learning 1-Dimensional or 2-Dimensional Inventive and Productive Learning produce a Learning Matrix The 1-Dimensional view of learning (Novice-to-Expert) needs to transform into a 2-Dimensional matrix of learning This paradigm shift is needed for Business Innovation, Education, AI Role of the Pioneer is the key © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Inventive Knowledge Economy Learning Matrix Pioneer Thought Leader Novice Expert Productive 6 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Syntactic Structures Noam Chomsky 1957 “Grammar” as an Independent System Focus on Syntactic, not Semantic Foundation of Current Technology Little focus on Semantics Neuroscience studies the Brain Epistemology studies the Mind The Mind produces Explanations “Explanation” as an Independent System © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 7 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Topics Question Tools The Independence of Explanations Explanation Accounts The 8 Degrees of Reason Conclusion © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 8 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System How a Decision-Maker Explains •Ask Questions •Make Reflective Decisions •Have Reactive Responses Information Knowledge Reason Data Decision Making Feeling Reactive Response Reflective Q&A Account Thinking Feedback Confirmation Bias Memory © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 9 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System Building Blocks •Building Blocks of the explanation are not a hierarchy as has been traditionally described •Information can contain both Data and Knowledge •Decision Making requires both Wisdom Information Knowledge Knowledge Data Decision Making Information Data © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 10 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System Responsive System •Reactive Responses are Fast •Reactive Responses Ignore New Knowledge •Reactive Responses can Wait for Reflective Answers (Bite Your Tongue) © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Information Knowledge Data Decision Making Reactive Response Reflective Q&A 11 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System Reflective System Components •Reason – Otherwise, There Is No Sense-Making •Feeling – Otherwise, There Is No Intuition •Account – Otherwise, We Learn Anew Everyday © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Information Knowledge Reason Data Decision Making Feeling Reactive Response Reflective Q&A Account 12 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System Managing Responses and Excuses •Given a Model of an explanation system, we can begin to Manage it •We use incentives, processes, education, training, technology, etc. Acquiring Restricting Information Knowledge Reason Creativity Data Recognition Conditioning © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Data Reactive Response Data Presentation Determination Decision Making Reflective Q&A Intuition Feeling Account 13 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System Self-Managing & Self-Aware System •Confirmation Bias: Exclude Information that does not align with current convictions •Thinking: Consider sense-making when by-passing Feelings •Memory: Record Reactive And Reflective Responses, and recall an Account •Feedback: Function as an adaptive learning system Information Knowledge Reason Data Decision Making Feeling Reactive Response Reflective Q&A Account Thinking Feedback Confirmation Bias Memory © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 14 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System The 8 Thinking Hats (de Bono’s 6 Thinking Hats + 2*) to Support Decisions • White: Focus on the information available • Red: Acknowledge gut reactions • Green: Be creative with ideas • Blue: Be mindful of the process needs • Yellow: Find the positives / opportunities • Black: Find the negatives / problems • Orange: Gain a deeper understanding * • Purple: Think it through * Information Knowledge Reason Data Decision Making Feeling Reactive Response Reflective Q&A Account Thinking Feedback Confirmation Bias Memory © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 15 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The Explanation System Areas of Focus for each Age Information Age Explanation Age • Accessibility of Data • Insights of Data • Visualization of Data • Accessibility of Reasons • Insights of Feelings • Visualization of Accounts Information Knowledge Reason Data Decision Making Feeling Reactive Response Reflective Q&A Account Thinking Feedback Confirmation Bias Memory © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 16 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Topics Reason Feeling Account Question Tools The Independence of Explanations Explanation Accounts The 8 Degrees of Reason Conclusion © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 17 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Innate Lesson Cycle Fundamental Account of Learning & Change Innate Lesson Cycle Formed by the relationship of our workability beliefs (Does Work, Won’t Work, and Could Work) and our innate reasons (Reactive, Reflective, and Questioning). Sense-Making Cycle For: Story-telling Education Project Management How A Bill Becomes A Law “I wouldn’t give a fig for the simplicity on this side of complexity, but I would give my right arm for the simplicity on the far side of complexity.” Innate Lesson Cycle Reflective Ideation Won’t Work Automation – OLIVER W ENDELL HOLMES Autopilot & Status Quo Simplicity OR Elegance? © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 18 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Innate Lesson Cycle The Half-Pipe Traditional Half-Pipe Instruction As Mental Misers, we usually stay in the half-pipe (gravity) Over-The-Top Thinking Drill / Practice Training / Education Inventive Learning Questioning Skills Knowledge Economy Half-Pipe Thinking Productive Learning Reactive Skills Industrial Age Automation © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 19 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Topics Reason Feeling Account Question Tools The Independence of Explanations Explanation Accounts The 8 Degrees of Reason Conclusion © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 20 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence The 8 Degrees of Reason Degree of Reason 8 Questioning Description Example Terms What one thinks from Curiosity, Doubt, Conviction, Trust 7 Reasoning What one thinks Premises, Hypotheses, Deduction 6 Responsibility What the cause is Causality, Probability, Obligation What the progression is Pattern, Process, Factors, Outlook 4 State What the condition is Case, Symptoms, Need, Change 3 Entity What it is Definition, Classification, Function What should be done Procedure, Policy, Goal, Motive What is automatic Routine, Want, Opinion, Authority 5 Sequence 2 Prescriptive 1 Reactive © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 21 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Examples for “Why did your dog bark?” Degree of Reason Example Explanations 8 Questioning How do you know “he” barked? 7 Reasoning 6 Responsibility 5 Sequence Let’s see if someone is outside It’s the cat’s fault by coming into our yard He does that after the doorbell rings 4 State He barks a lot when he is excited 3 Entity That’s what dogs do 2 Prescriptive 1 Reactive © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. He was trying to get my attention He wanted to 22 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Famous Reasons Degree of Reason 8 Questioning Examples 9/11 was due to a “failure of imagination” 7 Reasoning Either Pluto is not a planet, or we have hundreds of planets 6 Responsibility The cold weather caused the Challenger’s O-Rings to crack 5 Sequence To everything there is a season 4 State Sutton robs banks because that’s where the money is 3 Entity Don’t worry because the Titanic is an unsinkable ship 2 Prescriptive 1 Reactive © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Our government’s policy is to not negotiate with terrorists The pilot’s glider training led to the safe landing in the Hudson River 23 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Prominent Contributors for each Degree of Reason We are always somewhere between Skinner and Socrates Degree of Reason Person Influence 8 Questioning Socrates Socratic Method 7 Reasoning Aristotle Deduction 6 Responsibility Christiaan Huygens Probability 5 Sequence W. Edwards Deming Process Engineering 4 State Roger Schank Case-based Reasoning 3 Entity Noah Webster Definitions 2 Prescriptive Edwin A. Locke Goal Setting B. F. Skinner Behavioral Psychology 1 Reactive © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 24 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Inference Model of Innate Reason Inference Model of Innate Reason Questioning Resolution Curiosity Conviction Reactive Cognition Recognition Reaction Reflective Prescriptive Options Selection Want Doubt Trust Opinion Descriptive Procedure Entity Event Goal Authority Singularity Control State Series Set Compliance Situation Form Sequence Consequence Need Function Succession Change Responsibility Reasoning Count Constancy Causality Outlook Induction Deduction Instances Premises Hypotheses Arguments Confirmation Conclusion 25 Chance Why Outcome Accountability Wherefore Judgment © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Virtual BOT Conversation via Reason Recognition BOT Conversation Me: BOT: Me: BOT: Me: BOT: Me: BOT: Me: BOT: Me: BOT: Me: same. BOT: Me: BOT: Me: BOT: BOT Recognition I’m feeling sad. More sad than usual? Yeah, I have a new job but I’m going to miss my old friends. Maybe the change will be good for you. Maybe, but I don’t really want to go. What is your main priority? The new job is more aligned with my life goals. Then you are enthusiastic about the new job? Well, sure but I’m still going to miss my old friends. Can you think of a solution to not missing your old friends? We can probably stay in touch online. Is there a good chance of this working for you? Yeah, we already have accounts online, it just won’t be the I’m happy about your new job. You’ll feel better soon. What makes you so sure? Just stay true to your priorities. OK, thanks. You’re welcome. © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. Situation / Negative Emotion recognized Determine whether Constancy or Change Change recognized Change / Output Want as reason type recognized Want / Competitive Predictive Priority for want recognized Goal / Emotion Problem recognized Situation / Positive Sentiment Chance / Procedure recognized Chance determination Chance / Probability, and Procedure / Means satisfied Priority, Procedure, and Problem solved Reason request recognized Want / Competitive Predictive Solution recognized Completion 26 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Innate Attributes for Each Reason Type Location Recognition Allows For Intelligent BOT Responses (Like GPS) 4th – State Reasons Multiple Reasons Feelings Generic Attributes Situation Need Change Constancy Extrinsic Predictive Intrinsic Predictive Intentional Input Intentional Output Momentary Exception Enduring Exception Multiple Collaborative Collaborative Predictive Multiple Competitive Competitive Predictive Emotional Need Emotional Fear Positive Sentiment Negative Sentiment Positive Emotion Negative Emotion Symptoms Case Diagnostic Prognostic Error Special Case Status Circumstance Predicament Unavoidability Pleasure Pain Solution Problem Happy Sad Importance Essence Requirement Specification Optional Unnecessary Arrangement Reciprocity Dilemma Sacrifice Safe Danger Fulfillment Dependence Grateful Greed Variation Vulnerability Impetus Develop Lull Permanent Spiral Adaptation Fracture Rigidity Variety Tedium Improving Worsening Excitement Apprehensive Timeframe Sustainability Regulation Predictability Temporary Chaos Harmony Balance Erosion Friction Peace Insecure Contentment Discontentment Joy Depressed © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 27 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence Topics Question Tools The Independence of Explanations Explanation Accounts The 8 Degrees of Reason Conclusion © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 28 The Explanation Age: Explanation Architecture for General Intelligence AI in The Explanation Age OCR works because of the “R” Recognize Where You Are: In Time (When) On a Map (Where) In an Explanation (Why) Inventive Recognizing Locations Within Explanations Pioneer Thought Leader Novice Expert Generalized AI Needs Pioneers Productive © 2012 John Lewis, Ed.D. 29