Analysis of Conflict between Potential Resource Use and Wildlife Conservation in The Muskuwa-Kechika Management Area Nobuya (Nobi) Suzuki, Natural Resources and Environmental Studies Institute University of Northern British Columbia Katherine Parker, Natural Resources and Environmental Studies Institute University of Northern British Columbia Accomplishment 1: Significantly upgraded 4 resource potential Layers Mineral Potential Wind Power Potential Forest Potential Oil and Gas Potential Accomplishment 2: Developed GIS layers of Multiple Resource Potential and Resource Potential Diversity 6 Spatial Data Tools to assess levels of conflict between potential natural resource development and geographical areas of your interest Mineral Potential Wind Power Potential Forest Potential Oil and Gas Potential Multiple Resource Potential Resource Potential Diversity Application Possibilities 6 tools can be applied to assess potential conflict with resource use for any polygons Guide Outfitter Polygons Trap Line Polygons How we created Resource Potential Layers How we developed Mineral Potential Layer for the MKMA BC Metallic Mineral Potential BC Industrial Mineral Potential BC Metallic Mineral Potential BC Industrial Mineral Potential Higher Value of the 2 layers Combined Metallic-Industrial Mineral Potential Cropped MKMA • Mineral Tenure Sites • Mineral Occurrence Database points in “Prospect” and Developed “Prospect” • Occurrence of Coal Geology (Gething Formation) Final Mineral Potential for the MKMA How we developed Forest Potential Layer for the MKMA Vegetation Resource Inventory Data 1) Tree Diameter 2) Basal Area (Total Cross Sectional Area of Trees/ha) 3) Stand Volume 4) Site Index (Site Productivity) They are highly correlated • Index of forest potential = statistically combined 4 variables into 1 index value • Ranked all pixels (50m x 50m) from low to high forest potential How we developed Wind Potential Layer for the MKMA How we developed Wind Potential Layer for the MKMA Obtained Wind Data • Wind speed data from Canadian Wind Energy Atlas • Wind direction data from 16 wildfire weather stations Identified Suitable Topography: Ridgelines, Gentle Hills, and High Plateau Power generation potential of ridgeline 1) Ridges • Slope < 20% • 100m wide • Distance to the nearest power line or wind power tenure site 2) Gentle Hills and High Plateau • Slope < 20% • Elevation above the nearest body of water • Distance to the nearest power line or Wind power tenure site 3) Ridges, Gentle Hills and Plateau Combined 50m pixel values were summed over the 500 ha planning units Wind power potential values at the planning unit level were scaled to either 0-100 or 0-50. How we created Oil and Gas Potential Layer for the MKMA Oil and Gas Geology Geological Potential of Oil and Gas Primary Scoring Alternative Scoring Resource site potential Distance to the nearest oil and gas fields, pools, or tenure sites Pipeline Distance Class Pipeline Distance Class Elevation Elevation-Pipeline Distance Combined Geological Potential of Oil and Gas Resource site potential Elevation-Pipeline Distance Combined Conventional Natural Gas potential How we developed Multiple Resource Potential and Resource Potential Diversity Layers What exactly are they? Mineral Potential Forest Potential Wind Power Potential Oil and Gas Potential Multiple Resource Potential Mineral Potential Forest Potential Wind Power Potential Oil and Gas Potential Shannon Diversity Index Resource Potential Diversity Resource Potential Diversity Simultaneously measures number of resource types and how high their resource potential values are Low value (Dark Blue) indicates Very low number of resource type, may be only 1 resource type present and resource potential value may be also low High Value (Dark Orange) indicates All 4 resource types may be present in the planning unit and resource potential value of each of the 4 resource may be also high. Accomplishment 3: We assessed levels of potential conflict between Resource Use and Wildlife Habitat for the Muskwa-Kechika Management Area. How we assessed potential conflict between resource use and wildlife habitat Conservation Area Design (CAD) Study Highly Suitable Habitat of Species A (Top 30 Percentile) Multiple Resource Potential Multiple Resource Potential within Highly Suitable habitat of Species A Multiple Resource Potential within Highly Suitable habitat of Species A Eliminated Parks, Reserves, Protected Areas Stone Sheep Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter Habitat Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison Stone Sheep/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Potential Growing Habitat Winter Habitat Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat 30 25 Low Resource Potential Medium Resource Potential High Resource Potential 20 15 10 5 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Multiple Resource Potential Mountain Goat Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter Habitat Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison Mountain Goat/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Potential Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat Growing Habitat Winter Habitat 30 Low Medium Resource Potential Resource Potential High Resource Potential 25 20 15 10 5 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Multiple Resource Potential Caribou/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Potential Growing Habitat Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat 25 Low Resource Potential Medium Resource Potential High Resource Potential 20 15 10 5 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Multiple Resource Potential Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Caribou Highly Suitable Winter Habitat Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison Caribou/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Potential Winter Habitat Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat 25 Low Resource Potential Medium Resource Potential High Resource Potential 20 15 10 5 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Multiple Resource Potential Caribou/ Highly Suitable Habitat in Potential Conflict with Resource Use Growing Habitat Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat 25 Winter Habitat Low Resource Potential Medium Resource Potential High Resource Potential 20 15 10 5 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Multiple Resource Potential Moose Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter Habitat Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison 25 20 Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Resource Use Low Resource Potential Medium Resource Potential High Resource Potential Growing Habitat Winter Habitat Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat 15 10 5 Moose 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 25 20 Low Resource Potential Medium Resource Potential 15 10 Elk 5 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Multiple Resource Potential Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Elk Highly Suitable Winter Habitat Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Wolf Highly Suitable Winter Habitat Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison 25 Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Resource Use Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat 20 Wolf 15 Growing Habitat 10 5 Winter Habitat 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 25 20 Grizzly Bear 15 Early Growing Habitat 10 5 0 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Multiple Resource Potential Late Growing Habitat Grizzly Bear Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter Habitat Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison 30 G = Growing Habitat W = Winter Habitat *EG = Early Growing Habitat *LG = Late Growing Habitat * is for Grizzly Bears 25 20 15 10 5 Mountain Goat (G) Stone Sheep (G) Mountain Goat (W) Stone Sheep (W) Grizzly Bear (EG) Caribou (G) Grizzly Bear (LG) Wolf (G) Caribou (W) Elk (G) Wolf (W) Moose (G) Moose (W) 0 Elk (W) Percent of Highly Suitable Habitat 35 Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Habitat Conflict Ranking of 7 Wildlife Species Goat (G) Sheep (W) Sheep (G) Caribou (G) Goat (W) Grizzly (EG) Wolf (G) Elk (G) Grizzly (LG) 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 Wolf (W) Goat (G) Elk (W) Sheep (W) Wolf (G) Caribou (W) Goat (W) Sheep (G) Caribou (G) Moose (W) Elk (G) Grizzly (LG) Grizzly (EG) Moose (G) Area (ha) 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 Wolf (W) Elk (W) Caribou (W) Moose (G) Moose (W) Area (ha) Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat High Mineral Potential High Forest Potential Goat (G) Sheep (G) Grizzly (EG) Goat (W) Caribou (G) Sheep (W) Grizzly (LG) Wolf (G) Moose (G) Goat (W) Sheep (W) Goat (G) Sheep (G) Caribou (G) Grizzly (EG) Elk (G) Grizzly (LG) Wolf (W) Wolf (G) Moose (G) Elk (W) Moose (W) Caribou (W) Area (ha) 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Wolf (W) 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 Elk (G) Caribou (W) Moose (W) Elk (W) Area (ha) Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat High Wind Power Potential High Oil and Gas Potential Caribou Higher levels of conflict in winter habitat than in growing habitat Moose and Elk Highest levels of potential conflict in both growing and winter habitat Wolves Moderate levels of potential conflict in both growing and winter habitat. Grizzly Levels of potential conflict are generally low but appear to increase in late growing habitat. Stone Sheep and Mountain Goat Lowest levels of potential conflict in both growing and winter habitat All Species Higher levels of potential conflict to some extent in winter habitat (or late growing habitat) than in growing habitat (or early growing habitat). Caveats • Conflict in our assessment does not address whether it is an adverse effect or not. • Some species are more sensitive or less sensitive than others. Task in Progress Assessment of potential conflict between Resource Use and Wildlife Habitat for Special Resource Management Zones in the Muskwa-Kechika Management Area. Special Resource Management Zones of the MKMA • We assessed areas of high multiple resource potential in highly suitable wildlife habitat for 22 Special Resource Management Zones 500000 400000 BESA HALFWAY CHOWADE Sandpile Fishing GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 2 Prophet Muskwa West Stone Mountain GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 1 Toad River Corridor 8Mile / Sulpher Churchill Fox Rabbit Alaska Hwy Corridor Obo River Kechika River Corridor Moodie Muskwa River Corridor Rainbow Aeroplane Turnagain Dall River Corridor Terminal Area (ha) Suitable Habitat vs. Multiple Resource Potential across Special Resource Management Zone Growing Habitat for All Species Combined 600000 Highly Suitable Growing Habitat (All Species) High Multiple Resource Potential 300000 200000 100000 0 600000 500000 400000 BESA HALFWAY CHOWADE Sandpile Fishing Stone Mountain GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 2 Prophet Muskwa West 8Mile / Sulpher GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 1 Toad River Corridor Alaska Hwy Corridor Rabbit Obo River Churchill Muskwa River Corridor Fox Terminal Kechika River Corridor Moodie Rainbow Aeroplane Turnagain Dall River Corridor Area (ha) Suitable Habitat vs. Multiple Resource Potential across Special Resource Management Zone Winter Habitat for All Species Combined Highly Suitable Winter Habitat (All Species) High Multiple Resource Potential 300000 200000 100000 0 Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat Across Special Resource Management Areas Growing Season Habitat Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat Across Special Resource Management Areas Winter Habitat 0 Rainbow Sandpile BESA HALFWAY… Turnagain Dall River… Moodie Rabbit Kechika River Corridor Aeroplane Muskwa River Corridor Toad River Corridor GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 1 Stone Mountain 8Mile / Sulpher Churchill Terminal Prophet GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 2 Muskwa West Fishing 150000 Alaska Hwy Corridor Area (ha) 200000 Fox 250000 Obo River Area (ha) Areas of High Resource Potential Across 22 Special Resource Management Zones High Forest Potential 100000 50000 0 300000 High Mineral Potential 200000 150000 100000 50000 Area (ha) Area (ha) Obo River Fox Alaska Hwy Corridor Fishing Muskwa West GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 2 Prophet Terminal Churchill 8Mile / Sulpher Stone Mountain GRAHAM-NORTH RMZ 1 Toad River Corridor Muskwa River Corridor Aeroplane Kechika River Corridor Rabbit Moodie Turnagain Dall River… BESA HALFWAY CHOWADE Sandpile Rainbow 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 High Wind Potential High Oil and Gas Potential Area (ha) 0 Obo River Fox Alaska Hwy… Fishing Muskwa West GRAHAM-… Prophet Terminal Churchill 8Mile / Sulpher Stone… GRAHAM-… Toad River… Muskwa… Aeroplane Kechika River… Rabbit Moodie Turnagain… BESA… Sandpile Rainbow 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 Obo River Fox Alaska Hwy… Fishing Muskwa West GRAHAM-… Prophet Terminal Churchill 8Mile / Sulpher Stone Mountain GRAHAM-… Toad River… Muskwa River… Aeroplane Kechika River… Rabbit Moodie Turnagain Dall… BESA HALFWAY… Sandpile Rainbow Area (ha) Area of High Multiple Resource Potential in Caribou and Moose Habitat for Special Resource Management Areas Caribou (Winter Habitat) 150000 100000 Highly Suitable Winter Habitat High Multiple Resource Potential 250000 200000 Moose (Winter Habitat) 50000 Highly Suitable Winter Habitat High Multiple Resource Potential Area(ha) 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 Obo River Fox Alaska Hwy Corridor Fishing Muskwa West GRAHAM-NORTH… Prophet Terminal Churchill 8Mile / Sulpher Stone Mountain GRAHAM-NORTH… Toad River Corridor Muskwa River… Aeroplane Kechika River Corridor Rabbit Moodie Turnagain Dall River… BESA HALFWAY… Sandpile Rainbow 0 Obo River Fox Alaska Hwy… Fishing Muskwa West GRAHAM-… Prophet Terminal Churchill 8Mile / Sulpher Stone Mountain GRAHAM-… Toad River… Muskwa River… Aeroplane Kechika River… Rabbit Moodie Turnagain Dall… BESA HALFWAY… Sandpile Rainbow Area (ha) Area of High Multiple Resource Potential in Wolf and Grizzly Bear Habitat 300000 250000 200000 Wolf (Winter Habitat) 150000 100000 50000 Highly Suitable Winter Habitat High Multiple Resource Potential Grizzly Bear (Later Growing Season Habitat) Highly Suitable Late Season Growing Habitat High Multiple Resource Potential High Potential Conflict Areas of Selected Species Caribou/Winter Wolf/Winter Moose/Winter Grizzly Bear/Late Growing Season