The Humour and bullying project: Modelling cross-lagged and dyadic data. Dr Simon C. Hunter School of Psychological Sciences and Health, University of Strathclyde email: simon.hunter@strath.ac.uk This research was funded by the Economic and Social Research Council, award reference RES-062-23-2647. Project team and info P.I.: Dr Claire Fox, Keele University Research Fellow: Dr Siân Jones Project team: Sirandou Saidy Khan, Hayley Gilman, Katie Walker, Katie Wright-Bevans, Lucy James, Rebecca Hale, Rebecca Serella, Toni Karic, Mary-Louise Corr, Claire Wilson, and Victoria Caines. Thanks and acknowledgements: Teachers, parents and children in the participating schools. The ESRC. More info: Project blog: http://esrcbullyingandhumourproject.wordpress.com/ Twitter: @Humour_Bullying Overview • • • • • • • Background and rationale to the Humour & Bullying project Methods used in the project AMOS – what is it, why use it (and pertinently, why not)? Measurement models – achieving fit. Cross-lagged analyses Dyadic data – issues and analyses Summary Humour What functions does humour serve? Social: Strengthening relationships, but also excluding, humiliating, or manipulating others (Martin, 2007). Personal: To cope with dis/stress, esp. in reappraisal and in ‘replacing’ negative feelings (Martin, 2007). Both of these functions are directly relevant to bullying and peervictimisation contexts. Humour Multi-dimensional (Fox et al., in press; Martin, 2007): • Self-enhancing: Not detrimental toward others (e.g. ‘I find that laughing and joking are good ways to cope with problems’). • Aggressive: Enhancing the self at the expense of others (e.g. ‘If someone makes a mistake I often tease them about it’). • Affiliative: Enhances relationships and can reduce interpersonal tensions (e.g. ‘I often make people laugh by telling jokes or funny stories’). • Self-defeating: Enhances relationships, but at the expense of personal integrity or one’s own emotional needs (e.g. ‘I often put myself down when making jokes or trying to be funny’). Peer-victimisation • Repeated attacks on an individual. • Conceptualised as a continuum rather than a category. Also multi-dimensional in nature: • Verbal: Being teased or called names. • Physical: Hitting, kicking etc. Also includes property damage. • Social: Exclusion, rumour spreading. Peer-victimisation • Clearly a stressful experience for many young people, associated with depressive symptomatology (Hunter et al., 2007, 2010), anxiety (Visconti et al., 2010), self-harm (Viljoen et al., 2005) and suicidal ideation (Dempsey et al., 2011; Kaltiala-Heino et al., 2009), PTSD (Idsoe et al., 2012; Tehrani et al., 2004), loneliness (Catterson & Hunter, 2010; Woodhouse et al., 2012), psychosomatic problems (Gini & Pozzoli, 2009), ...etc • Also a very social experience – peer roles can be broader than just victim or aggressor (Salmivalli et al., 1996). Peer-victimisation Klein and Kuiper (2008): • Children who are bullied have much less opportunity to interact with their peers and so are at a disadvantage with respect to the development of humour competence. Cross-sectional data support: Peer-victimisation is negatively correlated with both affiliative and self-enhancing humour (Fox & Lyford, 2009). May be particularly true for victims of social aggression. Victims gravitate toward more use of self-defeating humour? May be particularly true for victims of verbal aggression as peers directly supply the victim with negative self-relevant cognitions such as “You’re a loser”, “You’re stupid” etc which are internalised (see also Rose & Abramson, 1992, re. depressive cognitions). Research aims Primarily, to evaluate the relationship between humour use, involvement in bullying (as victim or aggressor), and adjustment Testing causal hypotheses, e.g., verbal victimisation will cause an increase in levels of self-defeating humour (Rose & Abramson, 1992) Evaluating proposed explanatory causal pathways, e.g. the effect of victimisation on mental health is mediated via negative humour styles Evaluating humour as a risk / resilience factor, e.g. high levels of positive humour may buffer young people against the negative effects of peer-victimisation Assessing whether friendships serve as a contextual risk factor for peer-victimisation Research aims Primarily, to evaluate the relationship between humour use, involvement in bullying (as victim or aggressor), and adjustment Testing causal hypotheses, e.g., verbal victimisation will cause an increase in levels of self-defeating humour (Rose & Abramson, 1992) Evaluating proposed explanatory causal pathways, e.g. the effect of victimisation on mental health is mediated via negative humour styles Evaluating humour as a risk / resilience factor, e.g. high levels of positive humour may buffer young people against the negative effects of peer-victimisation Assessing whether friendships serve as a contextual risk factor for peer-victimisation Methods • N=1241 (612 male), 11-13 years old, from six Secondary schools in England. • Data collected at two points in time: At the start and at the end of the 2011-2012 school session. • Data collection spread over two sessions at each time point due to number of tasks. • N=807 present at all four data collection sessions. Measures Self-Report: • 24-item Child Humour Styles Questionnaire (Fox et al., in press). • 10-item Children’s Depression Inventory – Short Form (Kovacs, 1985). • 36-item Victimisation and Aggression (Owens et al., 2005). • 10-item Self-esteem (Rosenberg, 1965). • 4-item Loneliness et al., 2005). (Asher et al., 1984; Rotenberg Measures Peer-nomination: • Rated liking of all peers (Asher & Dodge, 1986). • Nominated friends and very best friend (Parker & Asher, 1993). • Peer-victimisation and use of aggression (Björkqvist et al., 1992), participants nominated up to three peers for Verbal, Physical, and Indirect. This was an 8-item measure. Verbal: “Gets called nasty names by other children.” Physical: “Gets kicked, hit and pushed around by other children.” Indirect – “Gets left out of the group by other children” and “Has nasty rumours spread about them by other children.” • Humour (adapted from Fox et al., in press). This was a 4-item measure, young people nominated up to three peers for each item. AMOS • Easy to use graphical interface, comes as an SPSS bolt-on. • Can use for path analysis, assessment of measurement models, and structural equation modeling. • Includes features such as bootstrapping, modification indices, assessment of multivariate normality etc. But… these can’t be used if you have missing data, on relevant items, in your SPSS data file! Measurement models Measurement models describe the relationships between indicators and latent variables. Latent variable Depression Manifest indicators Item 1 Item 2 Error error1 error2 Item 3 error3 Measurement models Measurement models may have more complex structures. Physical Victimisation Verbal Victimisation Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 error1 error2 error3 error4 error5 error6 Measurement models General Victimisation Resid2 Resid1 Physical Victimisation Verbal Victimisation Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 error1 error2 error3 error4 error5 error6 Measurement models Measurement models may fit well when you model them in a straightforward manner in AMOS (like those just shown). If they don’t fit well, there are different ways to try and improve fit. Measurement models Correlate error terms: Physical Victimisation Verbal Victimisation Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 error1 error2 error3 error4 error5 error6 Measurement models Model the method variance: Depression Item 1 [R] Item 2 Item 3 [R] Item 4 Item 5 [R] Item 6 error1 error2 error3 error4 error5 error6 Method Measurement models Create ‘parcels’ (Bandalos, 2002; Little et al., 2002) so that this… Depression Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 4 Item 5 Item 6 error1 error2 error3 error4 error5 error6 Measurement models …becomes this Depression Parcel 1 Parcel 2 Parcel 3 error1 error3 error5 Parcelling • Most likely to do this if you have a factor which has lots of items. • Need unidimensional construct: Parcelling is problematic if you are unsure of the factor structure. Little et al. (2002) suggest this is the biggest threat in terms of model misspecification. Clearly, cannot be used when the goal of your analysis is to understand fully the relations among items • Some measures actually come with instructions to parcel Control, Agency, and Means–Ends Interview: Little et al., 1995) (e.g. the Parcelling • May improve fit because fewer parameters are being estimated (so better sample size to variable ratio). This can therefore also be a way to deal with smaller sample sizes when you have measures with lots of indicators. But, likely to improve fit across all models regardless of whether they are correctly specified – increasing the chances that we will fail to reject a model which should be rejected (Type II error) Cross-lagged analyses Cross-sectional data are restricted in terms of unpacking causation relating to two correlated variables. Three explanations: • Omitted variable accounts for correlation • Both variables influence the other • One variable influences the other Verbal Victimisation Self-Defeating Humour Symptoms of Depression Cross-lagged analyses Cross-lagged data, sometimes called panel data, allow us to move forward in our understanding of how the variables influence each other. • ‘A happened, followed by B’ design • More complex to analyse than cross-sectional data Critique • Omitted variable bias still a problem. • Only looks at group level change, not individual level (where latent growth curve models might be more appropriate) Cross-lagged analyses The cross-lagged model (also referred to as a simplex model, an autoregressive model, a conditional model, or a transition model). T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e T1 Depression T2 Depression Can the history of victimisation predict depression, taking into consideration the history of depression (and vice-versa)? Cross-lagged analyses Can also include time-invariant predictors in the model. T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e T1 Depression T2 Depression Gender Cross-lagged analyses NB – the model can be extended to incorporate further time points. e e T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation T3 Victimisation T1 Depression T2 Depression T3 Depression e e Cross-lagged analyses Analysis 1: Victimisation and Internalising Internalising = withdrawal, anxiety, fearfulness, and depression (Rapport et al., 2001). Operationalised here as symptoms of depression and loneliness. Competing models: A stability-only model • Stability paths T1 Social Victimisation T2 Social Victimisation T1 Verbal Victimisation T2 Verbal Victimisation T1 Physical Victimisation T2 Physical Victimisation T1 Internalising T2 Internalising Competing models: A stability and a restricted cross-lagged model • Stability paths • PLUS cross-lagged within related concept only (victimisation) T1 Social Victimisation T2 Social Victimisation T1 Verbal Victimisation T2 Verbal Victimisation T1 Physical Victimisation T2 Physical Victimisation T1 Internalising T2 Internalising Competing models: A fully cross-lagged model • Stability paths, cross-lagged within related concept • Cross-lagged across all variables T1 Social Victimisation T2 Social Victimisation T1 Verbal Victimisation T2 Verbal Victimisation T1 Physical Victimisation T2 Physical Victimisation T1 Internalising T2 Internalising Cross-lagged analyses Fit indices • Chi-square: ideally, non-significant. • CMIN/DF: under 2 or 3. • CFI: > .95 = good, >.90 = adequate. • RMSEA: < .050 = good, < .080 = adequate. Results: • Model comparisons: All models significantly different from each other (ΔX2, p < .001). Cross-lagged analyses Results: X2 CMIN/DF CFI RMSEA Model 1 105.98 (df = 23), p < .001 4.608 .987 .054 (.044, .065) Model 2 57.51 (df = 17), p < .001 3.383 .994 .044 (.032, .057) Model 3 10.24 (df = 11), p = .509 0.931 1.000 .000 (.000, .028) Cross-lagged analyses Cross-sectional results: • Different forms of peer-victimisation all positively associated with each other (T1 = .69 to .78; T2 = .57 to .69). • Different forms of peer-victimisation all positively associated with internalising. Verbal = .54 (T2 = .39), Physical = .46 (T2 = .23), Social = .59 (T2 = .43). Social and verbal seem most problematic Cross-lagged analyses Cross-Lagged Results (only significant paths shown) T1 Verbal Victimisation T2 Verbal Victimisation .11 .36 -.14 T1 Social Victimisation T1 Physical Victimisation .37 T2 Social Victimisation .47 T2 Physical Victimisation .12 .10 .15 .17 .13 T1 Internalising .57 T2 Internalising Cross-lagged analyses Analysis 2: Victimisation, Humour, and Internalising Cross-lagged analyses Results: • Model comparisons: All models were again significantly different from each other (ΔX2, p < .001). X2 CMIN/DF CFI RMSEA Model 1 283.54 (df = 83), p < .001 3.416 .977 .044 (.039, .050) Model 2 175.54 (df = 63), p < .001 2.786 .987 .038 (.031, .045) Model 3 36.58 (df = 27), p = .103 1.355 .999 .017 (.000, .030) Cross-lagged analyses Cross-sectional associations: T1 (T2) 2. Agg 3. SD 4. SE 1. Aff Hum .13 (.06) -.16 (-.22) .35 (.26) 2. Agg Hum - .14 (.19) .04 (-.04) .07 (.04) .09 (.07) .03 (.01) -.05 (.02) - .09 (.01) .38 (.28) .31 (.17) .34 (.23) .49 (.48) 3. SD Hum 4. SE Hum 5. Verbal 6. Physical 7. Social 8. Interlsng - 5. Verb 6. Phys 7. Soc 8. Int -.15 (-.12) -.14 (-.10) -.16 (-.17) -.38 (-.31) -.06 (-.04) -.04 (-.04) -.07 (-.06) -.20 (-.25) - .73 (.65) .78 (.69) .53 (.38) - .69 (.57) .46 (.23) - .59 (.43) - Time 2 Time 1 Self-Defeating Humour Self-Defeating Humour .11 .13 Aggressive Humour .07 Aggressive Humour .07 Self-Enhancing Humour Affiliative Humour Self-Enhancing Humour Affiliative Humour .08 .20 Verbal Victimisation -.14 -.14 Social Victimisation -.13 .13 Physical Victimisation T1 Internalising -.17 .09 Verbal Victimisation Social Victimisation .12 .15 .12 Physical Victimisation T2 Internalising Cross-lagged analyses Method summary • Useful for beginning to disentangle cause and effect • Not a panacea – still has limitations Results summary • Humour may be self-reinforcing (virtuous cycle…of sorts) • (Mal)adjustment appears to be an important driver of both humour use and peer-victimisation Implications for intervention re. adolescent mental health and adolescent attitudes toward those with mental health issues Dyadic analyses - APIM Children in friendships are likely to produce data which are related in some way, violating the normal assumption that all data are independent. Usually, we just ignore this. Shared experiences may shape friends’ similarity or their similarity may be what the attraction was to begin with. The Actor-Partner Independence Model (APIM: Kenny, 1996) makes a virtue of this data structure. Can conduct APIM analyses in SEM, or using MLM (where individual scores are seen as nested within groups with an n of 2) Dyadic analyses Looks a lot like the cross-lagged analysis T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation However, the data structure in SPSS is very different. Dyadic analyses Standard data entry in SPSS: ParticipantT1 ParticipantT2 Person 1 Data Data Person 2 Data Data Person 3 Data Data Person 4 Data Data Dyadic analyses For APIM, data is entered by dyad, not person: ParticipantT1 FriendT1 ParticipantT2 FriendT2 Dyad 1 Data Data Data Data Dyad 2 Data Data Data Data Dyad 3 Data Data Data Data Dyad 4 Data Data Data Data Dyadic analyses We can evaluate “actor effects” T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation Dyadic analyses We can evaluate “partner effects” T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation Dyadic analyses We can evaluate the simple correlation between partners T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation Dyadic analyses An important issue is the nature of the dyads you have, either indistinguishable or distinguishable. Analyses differ according to the type of dyad you have. Dyadic analyses Indistinguishable dyads: Best friends. ParticipantT1 FriendT1 ParticipantT2 FriendT2 Dyad 1 Data Data Data Data Dyad 2 Data Data Data Data Dyad 3 Data Data Data Data Dyad 4 Data Data Data Data Dyadic analyses Indistinguishable dyads: Best friends. ParticipantT1 FriendT1 ParticipantT2 FriendT2 Dyad 1 Data Data Data Data Dyad 2 Data Data Data Data Dyad 3 Data Data Data Data Dyad 4 Data Data Data Data Dyadic analyses Distinguishable dyads: Victim and Aggressor. VictimT1 AgrsorT1 VictimT2 AgrsorT2 Dyad 1 Data Data Data Data Dyad 2 Data Data Data Data Dyad 3 Data Data Data Data Dyad 4 Data Data Data Data Dyadic analyses Indistinguishable dyads T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation Within-person effects must be constrained to be equal Dyadic analyses Indistinguishable dyads T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Partner effects must be constrained to be equal Friend’s T2 Victimisation Dyadic analyses Indistinguishable dyads T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation Intercepts for the Time 2 variables must be constrained to be equal Dyadic analyses Indistinguishable dyads T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation The means and variances of both Time 1 variables must be constrained to be equal Dyadic analyses Indistinguishable dyads T1 Victimisation T2 Victimisation e e Friend’s T1 Victimisation Friend’s T2 Victimisation The variances of the residual variances must be equal Dyadic analyses Distinguishable dyads: e.g. Victim with Non-Victimised Best Friend Victim’s Depression T1 Victim’s Depression T2 e e Victim’s Friend’s Depression T1 Victim’s Friend’s Depression T1 We implement none of the preceding constraints. We can now have more complex patterns: e.g. victim’s level of depression may predict non-victim’s depression but not vice-versa. Dyadic analyses • ‘Couple’ pattern (actor and partner effects are equal and of the same sign). • ‘Contrast’ pattern (actor and partner effects are equal but have opposite signs). • ‘Actor-only’ pattern (an actor effect but no partner effect) • ‘Partner-only’ pattern (a partner effect but no actor effect) Kenny & Ledermann (2010) recommend calculating a parameter they introduce called k to quantitatively assess what kind of patternn you have: To calculate k, you use ‘phantom variables’ (not going into this today) Dyadic analyses Humour & Bullying Data Indistinguishable dyads: Best friends. • Ndyad = 457 (best friends at T1) First APIM: • Depressive symptomatology of best friend dyads. Dyadic analyses This is a saturated model, therefore there is ‘perfect fit’ Dyadic analyses Depression .59 T2 Depression .59 T2 Friend’s Depression .12 .12 Friend’s Depression Actor effect is significant: .59, p < .001 Partner effect is also significant: .12, p < .001 Dyadic analyses Second APIM: • Depressive Symptomatology of Best Friend Dyads. • Victimisation of Best Friend Dyads Earlier analyses suggested that mental health victimisation. True for friend effects too? drove Dyadic analyses Cross-lagged analyses Cross-sectional ACTOR (& PARTNER) correlations at T1 1. Depression 2. Social 3. Verbal 4. Physical 1. Depression 2. Social 3. Verbal 4. Physical N/A (.18) .44 (.09) .40 (.10) .36 (.06) N/A (.12) .80 (.12) .68 (.05) N/A (.16) .70 (.12) N/A (.14) • Strong actor correlations between constructs, all positive • Partner correlations between social/verbal victimisation and depression, and between verbal and physical victimisation Time 2 Time 1 Depression Friend’s Depression Verbal Victimisation Friend’s Verbal Victimisation Social Victimisation Friend’s Social Victimisation .58 .08 .08 .58 .28 .34 .34 -.12 .28 .11 Friend’s Physical Victimisation .11 Friend’s Depression Verbal Victimisation Friend’s Verbal Victimisation .52 Social Victimisation .52 Friend’s Social Victimisation .29 Physical Victimisation .29 Friend’s Physical Victimisation -.12 Physical Victimisation Depression Time 2 Time 1 .58 Depression Friend’s Depression Verbal Victimisation Depression .08 .08 Friend’s Depression .58 .24 .24 Friend’s Verbal Victimisation Verbal Victimisation Friend’s Verbal Victimisation .34 Social Victimisation Social Victimisation .34 Friend’s Social Victimisation Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation .22 .22 Friend’s Social Victimisation Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation Time 1 Time 2 Depression Depression .23 Friend’s Depression Verbal Victimisation Friend’s Verbal Victimisation Social Victimisation .23 Verbal Victimisation .28 .34 .28 Friend’s Depression Friend’s Verbal Victimisation .34 .12 Social Victimisation .12 Friend’s Social Victimisation Friend’s Social Victimisation .16 Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation .16 Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation Time 1 Time 2 Depression Depression Friend’s Depression Friend’s Depression .24 .24 -.19 -.19 Verbal Victimisation -.35 Friend’s Verbal Victimisation Social Victimisation Friend’s Social Victimisation Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation .16 .16 -.35 .52 -.12 Verbal Victimisation Friend’s Verbal Victimisation Social Victimisation Friend’s Social Victimisation -.12 .52 -.25 -.25 Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation Time 1 Time 2 Depression Depression Friend’s Depression Friend’s Depression Verbal Victimisation Verbal Victimisation Friend’s Verbal Victimisation Friend’s Verbal Victimisation Social Victimisation -.16 Social Victimisation -.16 Friend’s Social Victimisation Friend’s Social Victimisation Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation .29 .11 .11 .29 Physical Victimisation Friend’s Physical Victimisation Dyadic analyses Summary • Friendships as context for development of worsening victimisation (except for social victimisation) • Verbal victimisation seems to be most problematic for friends of victims, not those experiencing it • Conversely, social victimisation seems to be ‘good’ for friends of victims • Physical victimisation has fewer effects • Can be... challenging to report results! Summary AMOS • Easy to use, accessible, though can be limited • Trouble shooting fairly straightforward Cross-lagged analyses • Good way to address limitations of cross-sectional designs • Pretty straightforward to analyse, even with a number of variables • Still has limitations APIM analyses • Can reveal very different picture to cross-lagged analyses • Can be quite complex to build model in AMOS, especially when multiple variables included Further reading Bandalos, D.L. (2002). The effect of item parceling on goodness-of-fit and parameter estimate bias in structural equation modeling. Structural Equation Modeling, 9, 78-102. Berrington, A. (2006). An overview of methods for the analysis of panel data. ESRC National Centre for Research Methods Briefing Paper / 007. Cook, W.L., & Kenny, D.A. (2005). The Actor-Independence Model: A model of bidirectional effects in developmental studies. International Journal of Behavioral Development, 29, 101-109. Farrell, A.D. (1994). Structural equation modeling with longitudinal data: Strategies for examining group differences and reciprocal relationships. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 62, 477-487. Holt, J.K. (2004). Item parceling in structural equation models for optimum solutions. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Mid-Western Educational Research Association, October 13 – 16, Columbus, OH. Kenny, D.A. (1996). Models of non-independence in dyadic research. Journal of Social and Personal Relationships, 13, 279. Lederman, T., Macho, S., & Kenny, D.A. (N/A) Assessing mediation in dyadic data using APIM. [powerpoint slides] Little, T.D., Cunningham, W.A., Shahar, G., & Widaman, K.F. (2002). To parcel or not to parcel: Exploring the question, weighing the merits. Structural Equation Modeling, 9, 151-173.