“Support of anti-crisis program of Uzbekistan government to financial sector: In focus leasing market of Uzbekistan” Mustafaev Z.B. General Director of Uzbekistan Lessor’s Association Agenda Anti-crisis policy of Republic of Uzbekistan during the global financial crisis Macroeconomic indicators of Republic of Uzbekistan during the crisis and post crisis period Leasing sector of Uzbekistan: current state and perspectives of development Case study: analysis of development of leasing sector by example of JV “Uzbek Leasing International A.O.” The adoption of measures anti-crisis program aimed at achieving the following key objectives 1st - it is further rapid modernization, technical and technological rearmament of enterprises, introduction of modern flexible technologies. At first it concern of basic sectors of industries, export-oriented and localized production. 2nd - the implementation of specific measures to support exporters in ensuring their competitiveness at foreign markets in conditions of the rapid worsening of current conjuncture, creation of additional incentives for exports. 3rd - improving the competitiveness of enterprises by introducing a strict regime of saving, stimulating the decrease of production costs and cost price. In 2008, approved the proposals by economic entities on the implementation of measures aimed at reducing the current year cost of production for at least 20 percent in the leading sectors of our economy. The adoption of measures anti-crisis program aimed at achieving the following key objectives 4th - the implementation of measures to modernize the electricity, reduce energy consumption and implement an effective system of energy saving. Further improvement of the competitiveness of our economy, the welfare of the population is largely dependent on how sparingly and thriftily we will learn how to use existing resources, in the first place electricity and energy. 5th - in conditions falling demand in the global market, a key role in maintaining high economic growth is to support domestic producers by stimulating demand in internal market. Major outcomes of economic reforms in Uzbekistan Sustained high rates of economic growth (7-9% per annum on average), fueled mainly by the internal factors, have been provided: GDP growth rates (in% to the previous year) 9,5 7,7 4,0 4,4 2002 2003 2004 7,0 7,3 2005 2006 2007 9,0 2008 8,1 8,5 8,3 8,2 2009 2010 2011 sep.2012 Major outcomes of economic reforms in Uzbekistan Sustained high rates of economic growth (7-9% per annum on average), fueled mainly by the internal factors, have been provided: Dynamics of industrial production growth 112,1% 112,7% 110,8% 109,4% 109,1% 108,5% 108,3% 107,2% 106,2% 2002 2003 2004 2005 106,3% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 107,2% sep.2012 Major outcomes of economic reforms in Uzbekistan Macroeconomic stability, internal and external balance of the economy have been ensured: Foreign trade balance (USD mln.) 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 4247 3756 276 2002 761 1037 2003 2004 1318 2005 1789 1608 4517 2333 1137 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 jun.2012 Major outcomes of economic reforms in Uzbekistan Macroeconomic stability, internal and external balance of the economy have been ensured: Inflation rate (in % to December of the previous year) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 7,8 7,8 6,8 6,8 7,4 7,3 7,6 5,6 3,8 3,7 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 sep. 2012 Major outcomes of economic reforms in Uzbekistan Expansion of export potential and diversification of export structure: 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 25537 21842 443 363 806 3265 2947 1990 6212 5409 4091 2000 Export of goods and services 9500 2005 2010 2011 Import of goods and services 12983 7060 5923 1st half 2012 Foreign trade turnover 1990 1st half2011 Cotton 59,7 10,0 Foodstuff 3,9 5,0 Chemical production & fertilizers 2,3 5,0 Energy and oil products 17,1 38,0 Ferrous and non-ferrous metals 4,6 7,0 Machinery and equipment 1,7 7,0 0,04* 16,0 9,4 12,0 Export structure, in % Services Others *2000 year data 8798 15027 10509 13045 Major outcomes of economic reforms in Uzbekistan Share of main sectors of economy in GDP (in % to GDP) Sectors of economy: FY2000 (in %) FY2011 (in %) Industry 14,2 24,1 Agriculture 30,1 17,6 Service 37,0 50,5 Including leasing services 1,02 1,2 Dynamics of development banking institutions Y1990 Y1995 Y2000 Y2005 Y2011 Number of commercial banks 16 32 35 29 30 Number of branches 2 389 3 171 4 238 7 028 9 516 The main indicators of the banking system Y2000 Y2005 Y2009 Y2010 Y2011 Sep.2012 Total bank capital, mln. USD 443 788 1 991 2 500 2 952 2 940 Assets of banks mln. USD 2 929 4 772 10 389 12 646 15 294 17 951 mln. USD 15 000 10 000 5 000 17 951 15 294 20 000 12 646 10 389 2 929 443 4 772 2 952 2 500 1 991 788 2 940 0 Y2000 Y2005 Y2009 assets of banks Y2010 Y2011 bank gross capital sep. 2012 Increase in the loan portfolio of commercial banks mln. USD 10 000 9 000 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 8 719 9 749 7 437 7 035 8000 5 986 5 662 4 731 3 284 1 928 1 870 867 2000 2005 General Bank loans 2009 2010 2011 sep. 2012 Formation of the loan portfolio by internal sourses Provided incentives for further development of the leasing sector in Uzbekistan Leasing equipment is exempted from VAT and customs fees Lease object is exempted from paying property tax Lease payments are exempted from paying VAT Decrease of taxable amount of turnover to the amount of payable interest Leasing service ventures are exempted from paying profit tax until January 1, 2017 Uzbekistan Lessors` Association Established in 2005 Advocate member interests in interaction with government authorities; Cooperation in elaboration of legislative base regulating lease services; Assistance in business activity of entrepreneurs by means of promotion leasing services; Facilitation of professional development of members; Currently, there are 33 members of Association: 24 leasing companies; 9 commercial banks Dynamics of leasing share in GDP and in total capital investments FY Value of lease facility, Billion UZS Share of leasing in total capital investments, % Share of leasing in GDP, % 2001 18,7 2,21 0,37 2002 31,3 2,73 0,42 2003 36,6 2,67 0,37 2005 90,6 3,72 0,6 2006 131,1 4,22 0,63 2007 214,5 3,91 0,76 2008 351,6 4,15 0,95 2009 401,6 3,19 0,84 2010 430,3 2,8 0,7 2011 484,5 2,6 0,6 1st half 2012 252,9 2,5 0,6 Leasing sector tendencies 4,5% 4,0% 3,5% 3,0% 2,5% 2,0% 1,5% 1,0% 0,5% 0,0% 4,2% 3,9% 4,2% 3,2% 3,3% 2,7% 2,2% 1,2% 0,6% 2006 1,2% 1,0% 2,6% 2,5% 2,3% 1,8% 1,6% 0,8% 0,7% 0,6% 0,8% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Share of leasing in investments to fixed assets, % Share of leasing in GDP, % Share of lease portfolio in GDP, % 0,6% 1st half 2012 Dynamics of leasing operations development for 1996-2011 years 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 266 271 282 132 107,6 1,1 7 1996* 1998 41,2 41,4 43,4 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 * One-time operation on leasing 4 aircrafts by National Bank of Uzbekistan for Foreign Economic Activity is not included 2010 2011 1st half 2012 mln. USD Dynamics of lease portfolio Billion UZS 1 373 1400 1 258 1 122 1200 1000 1 135 818 800 600 400 200 245 337 149 37 45 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1st half 2012 Structural reorganization of lease objects Beginning of Y2000. Beginning of Y2012. 9,2% 31,9% 23,4% 0,5% 94% 5,5% 35,5% Technological equipment Agricultural equipment Vehicles Property Distribution of lease transaction by types of technological equipment Y2012 4,2% Melioration (15,4%) 4,1% 7,8% 6,8% 16,0% Construction and construction materials production (23,1%) Food production (22,6%) Light industry (7,8%) 22,6% 15,4% Medical equipment (4,2%) Printing (4,1%) 23,1% Trade (6,8%) Others (office equipment, woodworking,chemistry ) (16%) Shareholders: • Maybank (Malaysia) 35% • NBU 35% Uzbek-Oman Investment Company 30% • EBRD* • IFC* * Shareholder of «Uzbek Leasing International A.O.» until May 2012 JV “Uzbek Leasing International A.O.” First Leasing Company in Uzbekistan Operations on the leasing market since 1996 Solid shareholders Application of international standards in accounting and operational activity Over 500 projects were successfully financed for total amount of 85 millions of US dollars Credit lines from NBU, Maybank, IFC, EBRD, ICD, bank Asaka and export-credit agencies Number of new leasing projects 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 94 100 54 35 16 6 1997 8 1999 2002 2006 2008 2010 2011 Leasing portfolio of JV “Uzbek Leasing International A.O.” Billion UZS 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 45,3 38,4 25,2 19,1 12,6 2006 15,1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Our address: 4th Floor, International Banking & Finance Center 1, Beshyogoch Street Tashkent, 100066 Republic of Uzbekistan Tel.: (+998 71) 120-02-02 (+998 71) 140-77-44 (+998 71) 140-77-46 Fax.: (+998 71) 140-37-74 E-mail: uzlease@sarkor.uz www.uzbekleasing.com Thank you for attention! www.ula.uz The emergence of the crisis associated with the following factors: general economic development cycles; imbalances in international trade and capital flows. overheating of the credit market and especially shown its consequence the mortgage crisis; Credit expansion, launched in 1980 - the beginning of the 2000. And also: high commodity prices (including oil); overheating of the stock market. The main indicators of the banking system Y2000 Y2005 Y2009 Y2010 Y2011 Banks gross capital, bln. UZS 144 931 3 010 4 100 5 300 Assets of banks bln. UZS 952 5 631 15 703 20 740 27 453 Increase in the loan portfolio of commercial banks bln. UZS 15 651 16000 13 351 14000 11 539 12000 9 818 8 558 10000 7 151 8000 6000 3 876 2 276 4000 2000 608 282 0 2000 General Bank loans 2005 2009 2010 2011 Formation of the loan portfolio by internal sourses