1 Course Plan: 24-106.15: Civil Wars and the Politics of International Interventionism Dr. Giulia Piccolino, German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA) Updated as 27 January 2015, includes details about the final paper. Please consult regularly the Agora workspace, where you will also find also the readings, with the exceptions of those freely available in internet. 1 15 Octob er Topic Introductio n Readings Additional general readings: Nicholas Sambanis, “What Is Civil War? Conceptual and Empirical Complexities of an Operational Definition.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 2004, 48 (6): 814–58. doi:10.1177/0022002704269355. Lotta Themnér and Peter Wallensteen, “Armed Conflicts, 1946–2013.” Journal of Peace Research 2014 51 (4): 541–54. Correlates of War http://www.correlatesofwar.org/ Uppsala Conflict Data Program http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/ 3 22 Octob er What causes civil wars? Grievances and opportunit ies Readings for everyone Jeffrey Dixon, ‘What Causes Civil Wars? Integrating Quantitative Research Findings’, International Studies Review, 2009, Volume 11(4), pp. 707-735. Cramer, C., ‘Angola and the Theory of War’ in Ulf Engel, Patrick Chabal, Anna Maria Gentili (eds.), Is Violence Inevitable in Africa? Theories of Conflict and Approaches to Conflict Prevention, Brill, Leiden, 2005, 17-34. Readings on Syria: International Crisis Group, ‘Rigged Cars and Barrel Bombs: Aleppo and the State of the Syrian War’, Middle East Report N°155 9 Sep 2014. http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/egyptsyria-lebanon/syria/155-rigged-cars-and-barrel-bombs-aleppo-and-thestate-of-the-syrian-war.aspx Rosiny, Stephan, “The Caliph’s New Clothes: The Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.”, GIGA 2014 Focus briefing: http://www.giga-hamburg.de/de/publication/the-caliph%E2%80%99snew-clothes-the-islamic-state-in-iraq-and-syria Available also in German: http://www.giga-hamburg.de/de/publikationen/gigafocus/nahost Bellamy, Alex J. 2014. “From Tripoli to Damascus? Lesson Learning and the Implementation of the Responsibility to Protect.” International Politics 51 (1): 23–44. 2 29 Octob er What sustain civil wars? Economic agendas Readings for everyone David Keen, Complex emergencies, Cambridge, Polity, 2007, Chapter 2, ‘Greed: Economic agendas’, pp.25-49. Jeffrey Herbst, ‘Economic incentives, natural resources and conflict in Africa’, Journal of African Economies (2000) 9 (3): 270-294. Case study: Sierra Leone Suggested reading Paul Richards, ‘The Political Economy of Internal Conflict in Sierra Leone’ Working Paper 21, Netherlands Institute of International Affairs. David Keen, ‘Greedy Elites, Dwindling Resources, Alienated Youths. The Anatomy of Protracted Violence in Sierra Leone’, Internationale Politik und Gesellschaft, 2/2003 http://www.fes.de/ipg/IPG2_2003/ARTKEEN.HTM Question to address for the presenter: what was the role of diamonds in the conflict in Sierra Leone? 2 5 Nove mber Are contempor ary civil wars “new”? Readings for everyone Kaldor, Mary. 2010. New and Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Global Era, 2nd. Ed, Stanford University Press, Introduction, pp. 1-14. Kalyvas S. N., ‘"New" and "old" civil wars: a valid distinction?’, World Politics 54(1), 2001. Case study: former Yugoslavia Suggested readings Mary Kaldor, New and Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Global Era, 2nd. Ed., Stanford University Press, Chapter 3, pp. 31-68. V.P. Gagnon, ‘Ethnic nationalism and international conflict: The case of Serbia’, International security, 1994, 19(3): 130-166. Question to address for the presenter: would you agree that the Yugoslavian wars were new wars? Why? 4 12 Nove mber How are CW waged? Violence and technologi es of rebellion Readings for everyone Kalyvas, Stathis N. “The Changing Character of Civil Wars, 1800–2009,” 2011, in Hew Strachan and Sybille Scheipers, The Changing Character of War, Oxford University Press, pp. 202-219. Jeremy Weinstein, Inside Rebellion: the politics of insurgent violence, Cambridge University Press, 2007, pp.27-60. Case study: Sendero Luminoso (Peru) 3 Suggest reading: Jeremy Weinstein, Inside Rebellion, pp. 81-95 116-125 149-158 186-195 239-258. Question to address for the presenter: in which ways were the national Sendero Luminoso and the Huallaga branch different ,and what does account for these differences, according to Weinstein? 5 19 Nove mber External involveme nt in civil wars and regional contagion Readings for everyone Kristian Gleditsch, ‘Transnational Dimensions of Civil War’, Journal of Peace Research 2007, 44 (3): 293-309. Sarah Lischer, ‘Collateral Damage: Humanitarian Assistance As Cause of a Conflict’, International Security 2003, 28(1). Case study: The Great Lakes Region of Africa Suggest readings: Jeff Crisp and Elizabeth Tan (eds.), ‘The Refugee Crisis In The Great Lakes Region Of Africa’, special issue, Refugee Survey Quarterly, 1998 17 (2): 1. Kurt Mills & Richard J. Norton, ‘Refugees and security in the Great Lakes region of Africa’, Civil Wars, 5:1, 1-26, 2002. Question to address for the presenter: why did international assistance to refugees in the DRC contribute to the spread of conflict? 6 26 Nove mber The rise of internation al interventio nism Readings for everyone Boutros Ghali, Agenda for peace, 1992. Available at: www.unrol.org/files/a_47_277.pdf Alex J. Bellamy , Paul D. Williams and Stuart Griffin, Understanding Peacekeeping, 2nd Edition, Polity Press, 2010, pp. 93-120. Case study: Cambodia Suggest readings: James Mayall, The New Interventionism, 1991-1994: United Nations Experience in Cambodia, Former Yugoslavia and Somalia, Cambridge University Press 1996, ‘Cambodia’, pp. 25-58. Michael W. Doyle, Ian Johnstone and Robert C. Orr (eds.), Keeping the Peace: Multidimensional UN Operations in Cambodia and El Salvador, Cambridge University Press 1997, pp. 134-164. Question to address for the presenter: which unprecedented challenges did the Cambodia situation a pose to the UN? To what extent was the UN successful? 7 3 Dece The failures of Readings for everyone 4 mber the ‘90s and the limits of interventio nism United Nations, ‘Report of the Panel on United Nations Peace Operations’ [Brahimi report], 2000, ‘Executive summary’, pp. VIII-XV. Available at: http://www.unrol.org/doc.aspx?n=brahimi+report+peacekeeping.pdf S.J. Stedman, D. S. Rothchild, et al., Ending civil wars: the implementation of peace agreements, Lynne Rienner, Boulder, 2002, ‘Introduction’, pp.1-40. Case study: Rwanda Suggest readings: Gilbert M. Khadiagala, ‘Implementing the Arusha Peace Agreement on Rwanda’, in Stedman and Rotschild, Ending civil wars, pp. 463-498. C. Clapham, ‘Rwanda: the Perils of Peacemaking’, Journal of Peace Research 1994 35(2): 194-210. Question to address for the presenter: Why did the peace process in Rwanda end in the tragedy of genocide? Which errors did the international community make? 9 10 Dece mber Peacebuild ing and the liberal paradigm Reading for everyone Paris, R., At War’s End: Building Peace after Civil Conflict. Cambridge University Press, 2004, pp.13-39 and 151-178. Case study: the wars in Central America Suggest readings: Mark Peceny and William Stanley, ‘Liberal Social Reconstruction and the Resolution of Civil Wars in Central America’, International Organization 55(1), 2001, pp 149 – 182. Paris, R., Peacebuilding in Central America: Reproducing the Sources of Conflict?, International Peacekeeping, 9:4, 39-68. Question to address for the presenter: Did the paradigm of liberal peacebuilding contribute or undermine conflict resolution in Central America? 10 17 Dece mber The Responsibi lity to Protect: the use of force to prevent mass atrocities? Readings for everyone (provisional list, tbc) Roland Paris (2014): The ‘Responsibility to Protect’ and the Structural Problems of Preventive Humanitarian Intervention, International Peacekeeping. Alex J. Bellamy, ‘The responsibility to protect—five years on’, Ethics & International Affairs, 2010, Volume 24, Issue 2, pages 143–169. Piccolino G. 2014, ‘The Dilemmas of Consent in UN Peace Operations: the case of the United Nations Operation in Côte d’Ivoire’, in Marco Wyss and Thierry Tardy (eds), Peacekeeping in Africa: the Evolving 5 Security Architecture, Routledge. 10 7 Janua ry The limits of the liberal paradigm: the failure of postwar democratiz ation Reading for everyone: Christoph Zürcher, Carrie Manning, Kristie D. Evenson, Rachel Hayman, Sarah Riese and Nora Roehner, Costly democracy, Peacebuilding and Democratization After War, Stanford University Press, 2013, pp.1-33. Case study: Kosovo Jens Narten will be a special guest Suggest readings: Jens Narten, ‘Evaluating International Influences on Democratic Development. Case Study Report on Kosovo, IFSH Hamburg, March 2009. Available at: http://aix1.uottawa.ca/~czurcher/czurcher/Transitions.html Oisín Tansey, ‘The Concept and Practice of Democratic Regime-Building’, International Peacekeeping, 2007, 14:5, 633-646 Question to address for the presenter: why, in spite of extensive international involvement, did democracy promotion in Kosovo achieve limited results? 11 14 Janua ry Post conflict statebuildi ng 1 Readings for everyone: Charles T. Call with Vanessa Wyeth (eds), Building States to Build Peace, Lynne Rienner 2008, Introduction, pp. 1-22. Edward Newman (2013), ‘The violence of statebuilding in historical perspective: implications for peacebuilding’, Peacebuilding, 1:1, 141-157 Case study: East Timor Suggest readings: S. Chesterman East Timor in Transition: Self-Determination, State-Building and the United Nations, International Peacekeeping, 2002, 9:1, 45-76, DOI. Jarat Chopra, ‘Building State Failure in East Timor’, Development and Change, Volume 33, Issue 5, pages 979–1000, 2002. Question to address for the presenter: In East Timor, the UN had to build a state that did not exist. Which main challenges did it encounter? To what extent did it manage to overcome them? 12 21 Janua ry Postconflict statebuildi ng in Afghanista n and Iraq: Reading for everyone. Michael Barnett and Christoph Zürcher, ‘The peacebuilder’s contract: how external statebuilding reinforces weak statehood’, in Roland Paris and Timothy D. Sisk, The Dilemmas of Statebuilding: Confronting the Contradictions of Postwar Peace Operations (London: Routledge,2009), 6 what went wrong? pp.23-52. Case study: Afghanistan Presenters: Paulina, Julian Astri Suhrke, ‘Statebuilding in Afghanistan: a contradictory engagement’, Central Asian Survey, 2013, 32:3, 271-286. William Maley (2013) ‘Statebuilding in Afghanistan: challenges and pathologies’, Central Asian Survey, 2013, 32:3, 255-270. Case study: Iraq Suggested readings: Toby Dodge (2007) ‘The Causes of US Failure in Iraq’, Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, 49:1, 85-106. International Crisis Group, ‘Iraq’s Jihadi Jack-in-the-Box’, Policy Briefing Middle East 38, 20 June 2014. http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/middle-east-north-africa/iraqiran-gulf/iraq/b038-iraq-s-jihadi-jack-in-the-box.aspx Question to address for the presenters: more than ten years after the Afghanistan and Iraq interventions, the of US-sponsored state building efforts are evident. Has this outcome been inevitable, according to you? Which errors were committed by external interveners? 28 Janua ry Peace without interventio n: is it the alternative ? Readings for everyone: Jeremy Weinstein, ‘Autonomous Recovery and International Intervention in Comparative Perspective’, Center For Global Development, Working Paper 57, 2005. http://www.cgdev.org/publication/autonomous-recovery-andinternational-intervention-comparative-perspective-working-paper. Terrence Lyons, ‘The Importance of Winning: Victorious Insurgent Groups and Post-Conflict Politics’, 2013. SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 2315753. http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2315753. Case study: Sri Lanka Suggested readings: David Lewis, ‘The Failure of a Liberal Peace: Sri Lanka’s CounterInsurgency in Global Perspective’, Conflict, Security & Development, 2010, 10 (5): 647–71. Kristine Höglund and Camilla Orjuela, ‘Hybrid Peace Governance and Illiberal Peacebuilding in Sri Lanka’, Global Governance 2012, 18 (1): 89– 104. Case study: Angola 7 Suggested readings: Ricardo Soares de Oliveira, ‘Illiberal peacebuilding in Angola’, Journal of Modern African Studies, 49, 2 (2011): 287–314. Jon Schubert ‘Democratisation’ and the Consolidation of Political Authority in Post-War Angola , Journal of Southern African Studies, 36:3, 657-672, 2010 DOI: Question to address for the presenters: Sri Lanka and Angola are recovering from violent conflicts without the type of massive peacekeeping/peacebuilding interventions that we have discussed in the previous lectures. Are these countries challenging the dominant peacebuilding model? What do you see as the positive and negative sides of their experience? Module exam ('Modulprüfung'): Students will have to submit a term paper of approximately 14-18 pages; the paper will build on the case studies approached in class, or address another case study chosen by the student. The paper should try to connect general theories and concepts to the case study, and show how theory can illuminate aspects of reality or be contradicted by it. The first deadline for submitting the term paper at the office of student affairs ('Studienbüro Sozialwissenschaften') will be: 04.03.2015 ('1. Prüfungstermin'). In addition to submitting the paper in print at the office of student affairs, participants will have to send in an electronic version via email (to the instructor at giulia.piccolino@giga-hamburg.de). The term papers can be picked up from the office of student affairs after they have been graded. The second deadline for submitting the term paper at the office of students affairs ('Studienbüro Sozialwissenschaften') will be: 31.03.2015 ('2. Prüfungstermin'). In addition to submitting the paper in print at the office of student affairs, participants will have to send in an electronic version via email (to the instructor at giulia.piccolino@giga-hamburg.de). The term papers can be picked up from the office of student affairs after they have been graded.