Who Pays Understanding the impact of taxes on the poor in Pennsylvania Sharon Ward Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center July 28, 2006 Summary of Discussion Pennsylvania is not a high tax state. Pennsylvania is not a high spending state Pennsylvania’s tax system is very regressive There are options to reform Pennsylvania’s tax system Progressive tax reform isn’t on the table Taxes pay for services that sustain individuals and communities. Pennsylvania: A Snapshot Demographic PA US 12,281,054 281,421,906 Under 5 5.9% 6.8% Over 65 15.6% 12.4% White 85.4% 75.1% African American 10.0% 12.3% 3.2% 12.5% HS diploma 81.8% 80.4% Over 25 BA 22.4% 24.4% 40,106 41,994 9.5% 11.3% Children <18 13.1% 16.2% Children <5 16.6% 18.7% Population Single race Latino (1) Education Income Median HH Individuals below poverty U.S. Census Bureau. Census 2000 Revenue and expenditures… States Ranked by Revenue and Expenditure Total Amount and Per Capita Total Amount: 2004 (Amounts are in thousands. Per capita amounts are in dollars) Revenue Rank Amount Expenditure Rank Per capita United States… 1,589,856,242 United States… 1 California… 229,289,356 Alaska… 13,446.36 2 New York… 136,520,762 Wyoming… 10,181.77 3 Texas… 90,570,423 North Dakota… 4 Ohio… 76,443,362 5 Florida… 6 7 Amount Rank Per capita United States… 1,406,039,800 1 California… 203,814,714 2 New York… 132,883,277 Wyoming… 7,107.06 2 8,220.21 3 Texas… 77,338,118 New York… 6,891.93 3 New York… 7,080.59 4 Florida… 59,943,442 Delaware… 6,491.52 4 75,176,415 Vermont… 6,928.49 5 Ohio… 58,874,466 Vermont… 6,302.12 5 Pennsylvania… 69,212,674 Delaware… 6,864.88 6 Pennsylvania… 57,353,773 Hawaii… 6,225.15 6 Illinois… 61,255,138 Oregon… 6,819.47 7 Illinois… 53,429,176 Massachusetts… 5,994.31 7 8 Michigan… 57,461,347 Rhode Island… 6,727.96 8 Michigan… 52,684,622 Rhode Island… 5,913.52 8 9 New Jersey… 50,588,543 Ohio… 6,676.28 9 New Jersey… 46,455,897 New Mexico… 5,793.32 9 10 North Carolina… 44,371,161 Hawaii… 6,520.81 10 Massachusetts… 38,405,514 California… 5,686.48 10 5,424.22 United States… 4,797.08 Alaska… 12,293.68 1 …..Are Squarely in the Middle States Ranked by Revenue and Expenditure Total Amount and Per Capita Total Amount: 2004 (Amounts are in thousands. Per capita amounts are in dollars) Revenue Rank Amount Expenditure Rank Per capita United States… Amount Rank Per capita United States… 1,589,856,242 United States… 1,406,039,800 1 California… 229,289,356 Alaska… 13,446.36 1 California… 203,814,714 2 New York… 136,520,762 Wyoming… 10,181.77 2 New York… 132,883,277 Wyoming… 7,107.06 2 3 Texas… 90,570,423 North Dakota… 8,220.21 3 Texas… 77,338,118 New York… 6,891.93 3 4 Ohio… 76,443,362 New York… 7,080.59 4 Florida… 59,943,442 Delaware… 6,491.52 4 5 Florida… 75,176,415 Vermont… 6,928.49 5 Ohio… 58,874,466 Vermont… 6,302.12 5 6 Pennsylvania… 69,212,674 Delaware… 6,864.88 6 Pennsylvania… 57,353,773 Hawaii… 6,225.15 6 7 Illinois… 61,255,138 Oregon… 6,819.47 7 Illinois… 53,429,176 Massachusetts… 5,994.31 7 8 Michigan… 57,461,347 Rhode Island… 6,727.96 8 Michigan… 52,684,622 Rhode Island… 5,913.52 8 9 New Jersey… 50,588,543 Ohio… 6,676.28 9 New Jersey… 46,455,897 New Mexico… 5,793.32 9 10 North Carolina… 44,371,161 Hawaii… 6,520.81 10 Massachusetts… 38,405,514 California… 5,686.48 10 11 Massachusetts… 41,615,765 Massachusetts… 6,495.36 11 North Carolina… 37,050,568 Minnesota… 5,656.60 11 12 Virginia… 35,739,829 West Virginia… 6,416.63 12 Georgia… 34,196,775 Connecticut… 5,579.73 12 13 Washington… 35,085,947 California… 6,397.23 13 Washington… 32,510,057 Maine… 5,568.11 13 14 Georgia… 34,814,306 Maine… 6,319.34 14 Virginia… 30,370,027 West Virginia… 5,449.10 14 15 Wisconsin… 34,753,272 Wisconsin… 6,314.18 15 Minnesota… 28,831,675 New Jersey… 5,348.98 15 16 Minnesota… 29,708,220 New Mexico… 6,205.85 16 Wisconsin… 28,577,240 Washington… 5,237.64 16 17 Maryland… 28,395,564 Montana… 5,881.00 17 Indiana… 25,373,330 Oregon… 5,232.02 17 18 Indiana… 26,917,365 Minnesota… 5,828.57 18 Maryland… 25,343,680 Michigan… 5,214.23 18 19 Missouri… 26,320,416 New Jersey… 5,824.82 19 Tennessee… 22,164,577 Wisconsin… 5,192.09 19 20 Oregon… 24,488,705 Michigan… 5,686.99 20 Missouri… 22,038,965 Ohio… 5,141.87 20 21 Tennessee… 23,920,818 Washington… 5,652.64 21 Arizona… 21,748,803 South Carolina… 5,104.28 21 22 Arizona… 23,753,397 Pennsylvania… 5,584.37 22 South Carolina… 21,427,748 Montana… 5,060.75 22 23 Louisiana… 23,730,239 Connecticut… 5,578.38 23 Louisiana… 20,471,959 North Dakota… 5,028.12 23 24 Colorado… 23,081,951 Utah… 5,439.01 24 Kentucky… 20,072,526 Mississippi… 4,939.75 24 25 Alabama… 21,568,441 Mississippi… 5,291.65 25 Alabama… 19,544,560 Kentucky… 4,846.10 25 26 South Carolina… 21,241,956 Louisiana… 5,265.20 26 Connecticut… 19,523,465 Pennsylvania… 4,627.54 26 27 Kentucky… 20,180,416 North Carolina… 5,195.69 27 Oregon… 18,788,196 Arkansas… 4,608.85 27 28 Connecticut… 19,518,768 Iowa… 5,178.31 28 Colorado… 18,060,533 Maryland… 4,557.40 28 29 Oklahoma… 17,520,326 Arkansas… 5,172.79 29 Oklahoma… 14,914,919 Iowa… 4,546.00 29 30 Mississippi… 15,351,077 Maryland… 5,106.20 30 Mississippi… 14,330,205 Louisiana… 4,542.26 30 5,424.22 United States… 4,797.08 Alaska… 12,293.68 1 Not a High Tax State Taxes Per Capita - Pennsylvania vs. US Average (Source: Issues PA) Tax Tax Per Capita PA PA Rank in US US Property $884.97 $969.26 29 General Sales $608.32 $774.33 36 Individual Income $771.34 $704.43 19 Corporate Income $97.20 $97.76 14 Total Taxes $3,051.88 $3,142.56 22 Fiscal Year 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 General Fund Appropriations as % of PA Personal Income Spending is steady over time State Spending Has Remained Constant In the Last 20 Years 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Tax Policy Principles: How to Evaluate Tax Reforms. Fairness: Vertical and horizontal equity Base-broadening Adequacy Exportability Economic Development Impact Neutrality Simplicity What’ wrong with our tax system? State tax systems provide inadequate (or inequitable) revenues for K-12 education and other services State taxes are regressive—requiring low-income taxpayers to pay the highest effective tax rate. State tax bases are typically narrow, exempting certain transactions or income sources that arguably ought to be taxed—and endangering the state’s fiscal future. Targeted corporate tax incentives distort economic decision-making and get in the way of free markets. State taxes are outdated. Inability to tax services, Internet transactions. Pennsylvania’s Tax System is Regressive Building blocks of an unfair tax system: progressive, proportional, regressive taxes. Personal Income Taxes General Sales Taxes 5.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% 3.5% 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% — — Low 20% 2nd 20% Mid 20% 4th 20% Nxt 15% Next 4% Top 1% Low 20% Property Taxes 2nd 20% Mid 20% 4th 20% Nxt 15% Next 4% Top 1% Corporate Income Taxes 3.5% 0.45% 0.40% 3.0% 0.35% 2.5% 0.30% 2.0% 0.25% 0.20% 1.5% 0.15% 1.0% 0.10% 0.5% 0.05% — — Low 20% 2nd 20% Mid 20% 4th 20% Nxt 15% Next 4% Top 1% Low 20% 2nd 20% Mid 20% 4th 20% Nxt 15% Next 4% Top 1% 3 0 Washington Florida South Dakota Wyoming Nevada Tennessee New Hampshire Texas Pennsylvania Illinois Alabama Michigan Louisiana Arizona Indiana Colorado Connecticut Georgia North Dakota Hawaii Oklahoma Rhode Island Utah New Jersey Mississippi Kansas New Mexico New York Alaska Arkansas Massachusetts Missouri Iowa Virginia Wisconsin Kentucky Maryland North Carolina Nebraska Ohio Minnesota Idaho West Virginia California Oregon Vermont Maine South Carolina District of Columbia Montana Delaware Ranking State Tax Unfairness: How Pennsylvania Stacks Up 6 5 4 Ratio of Burdens, 2000 >300%: 8 states 200-300%: 3 states 100-200%: 37 states <1: 3 states 2 1 A Low- Tax State? Pennsylvania Taxes As a Share of US Average, by Income Group 5% — –5% 19th highest 39th 37th 38th –10% 38th –15% –20% 40th –25% –30% 42nd –35% –40% Low 20 2nd 20 Mid 20 4th 20 Next 15 Next 4 Top 1 California DC Vermont New York Maine New Mexico Nebraska Idaho New Jersey Minnesota Ohio Rhode Island Kansas North Carolina Arkansas Oregon West Virginia South Carolina Oklahoma Montana Delaware Missouri Connecticut Kentucky Wisconsin Utah Mississippi Iowa Georgia Hawaii Massachusetts Arizona Virginia Louisiana North Dakota Colorado Maryland Michigan Illinois Pennsylvania Indiana Alabama Ranking the States: Most Progressive to Least Progressive State Income Taxes in 2004 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Four state tax comparison State and Local Taxes in 2002 Shares of family income for non-elderly taxpayers Alabama Poorest 20% Top 1% $8,300 $682,000 New Jersey Pennsylvania West Virginia Poorest Poorest Poorest 20% Top 1% 20% Top 1% 20% Top 1% $11,000 $1,447,000 $9,100 $897,200 $6,900 $448,000 7.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 7.2% 5.6% 0.9% 1.5% 6.0% 4.0% 0.7% 1.2% 7.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% -0.4% 0.0% 5.6% 0.4% 1.4% 0.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 5.5% 0.2% 10.6% 0.0% 10.6% 2.79 4.9% 0.0% 3.8% 12.5% 0.0% 12.4% 2.10 8.4% -2.5% 5.9% 11.4% 0.0% 11.4% 3.26 4.8% -1.3% 3.5% 9.3% 0.0% 9.3% 1.43 8.7% -2.1% 6.5% Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy ys: January, 2003 0.14 0.12 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 Poorest 20% ia irg in W es tV an ia ylv Pe nn s Je rs ey Ne w ab am a Top 1% Al Percent of family income Percent of Income Paid in State and Local Taxes by State The Pennsylvania Income Tax: Not All It’s Cracked Up to Be One of six states with a flat-rate tax Tax base is reduced by complete exemption for retirement income Local wage taxes hit salaries, but exempt unearned income (cap gains, dividends) Low-income tax forgiveness credit shields poor Pennsylvanians from tax. Income Tax Reform Options Other state income taxes have several desirable features that Pennsylvania lacks, including: Refundable low-income tax credits. (EITC) A meaningfully high top rate. (PA’s top rate is second-lowest in the nation.) Equitable treatment of retirement income. Equalize tax treatment of investment income (higher rate on capital gains, dividends, interest) A graduated rate structure. Introduce personal exemptions Federally deductible taxes are never as burdensome as they seem. Taxing the Wealthy Fairly: Why Is It Important? In 2006, top 1% of PA income distribution has average income of $1 million. This group has 17% of all the income in the state. The poorest 40% put together have only 11% of the income. The wealthiest 20% of Pennsylvanians have 55% of the income statewide. In 2006, the wealthiest 1% are enjoying a huge windfall from federal tax cuts enacted since 2001: average tax cut of $38,265. Poorest 20% of Pennsylvanians see an average 2006 federal tax cut of $75. Source: ITEP, 2006 Property taxes: a big concern Less regressive than sales taxes Very unpopular (lump sum) Especially burdensome for those who are “property rich” but “cash poor.” At the heart of school funding concerns Administrative concerns: local assessment practices vary dramatically Rethinking Property Tax Relief Exemptions vs. “Circuit Breakers” Exemptions provide general tax relief—which means they’re expensive and poorly targeted. Many states provide especially generous exemptions to growing elderly population. Circuit breakers can be designed to give tax relief to any population—elderly or nonelderly—at any income levels. Since property taxes can be written off on federal tax forms, exemptions that are available to all homeowners “leak” in a way that circuit breakers don’t. A third choice– caps on growth in assessed value. Very poorly targeted; has unintended consequences. The Sales Tax The most regressive major tax in PA 6% state rate, additional 1% in two counties Generally not deductible on federal income tax returns– so a dollar paid by PA residents all ultimately comes out of their wallets. The state exempts many goods (food, clothing, medicine) and services (haircuts, laundromats, utilities). Services are growing as a share of consumption, while goods are declining. Untaxed Internet-based transactions are eroding the tax base even further. Corporate Taxes Share of state revenue from corporate taxes is declining: Nationally and in Pennsylvania Two Taxes: Profit-based tax. 9.99 percent tax rate. Capital Stock Franchise Tax. Based on a combination of income and net worth. Options: Close corporate income tax loopholes 73% pay no tax Another 23% pay less than $10,000 Recent State Tax Changes 34 states increased cigarette taxes Massachusetts repealed a capital gains break– and New Mexico created one. “Millionaires tax” in NJ, CA, NC New Jersey, Oregon, Texas strengthened their corporate taxes. Louisiana voters enacted a progressive tax swap. Other states considered one. Dozens of states decoupled from federal estate tax and accelerated depreciation provisions. Virginia (successful) pushed ambitious tax hike. Alabama increased personal exemptions to reduce tax liability for low-income earners. NJ sales tax increase expanded tax base by including new services Tax Reform Strategies for Pennsylvania Targeted property tax relief: low/middleincome and renters. Income tax: higher top rate, low-income credits. Sales tax: broader base, low rate? Corporate tax: close loopholes, enact minimum tax. Recognize the difference between shortterm and long-term solutions: no quick fix.