Chapter 6A Online Appendix International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade Chapter 6B Online Appendix Representing International Equilibrium with Offer Curves Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Preview • International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (Online Appendix A) • Representing International Equilibrium with Offer Curves (Online Appendix B) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-2 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade • Transfers of income sometimes occur from one country to another. – War reparations or foreign aid may influence demand for traded goods and therefore relative demand. – International loans may also influence relative demand in the short run, before the loan is paid back. • How do transfers of income across countries affect relative demand and the terms of trade? Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-3 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (cont.) – If the domestic country generates national income for transfers by • increasing the price of imports to reduce their purchases and • by decreasing the price of exports to increase their sales, – then the terms of trade would fall and the demand for cloth relative to food would decrease (represented by shifting the relative demand curve left). Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-4 Fig. 6A-1: Effects of a Transfer on the Terms of Trade Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-5 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (cont.) • But after the transfer of income from the domestic country, – demand for foreign goods could fall in the domestic country and demand for domestic goods could rise in the foreign country, – so the relative demand might not decrease and the terms of trade might not fall. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-6 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (cont.) • How much does demand for domestic goods increase in the foreign country when it receives a transfer of income from the domestic country? – If the foreign country has a higher marginal propensity to spend on its own goods rather than on imports, demand for its own goods will rise more than demand for imports from the domestic country. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-7 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (cont.) • How much does demand for foreign goods decrease in the domestic country when it reduces its income through a transfer? – If the domestic country has a higher marginal propensity to spend on its own goods than on imports, demand for its own goods will fall more than demand for imports from the foreign country. • If each country has a higher marginal propensity to spend on its own products, relative demand would decrease after a transfer of income from the domestic country. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-8 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (cont.) • In fact, countries spend most of their (marginal) income on their own products. – Americans spend only 11% of national income on imports and 89% on domestically produced goods. • Transportation costs, tariffs, other barriers, and preferences cause domestic residents to favor domestic goods. • We predict that the relative demand will decrease with a transfer of income, decreasing the terms of trade for the donor nation. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-9 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (cont.) • In addition, production of nontraded goods and services may change, affecting the relative supply of traded goods and reinforcing the change in the terms of trade. – Industries that produce non-traded goods and services compete for resources with industries that produce traded goods. – A transfer of income from a donor country will reduce demand and production of non-traded goods in the donor country, so that these resources can be used in its export sector. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-10 International Transfers of Income and the Terms of Trade (cont.) – The supply of exports relative to imports in the donor country increases, reducing the terms of trade for the donor country. – A transfer of income from a donor country will increase demand for and production of nontraded goods in the foreign country, so that fewer resources can be used in its export sector. – The supply of exports relative to imports in the foreign country decreases, reducing the terms of trade for the donor country. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-11 Representing International Equilibrium with Offer Curves • On the horizontal axis Figure 6B-1 shows Home’s exports of cloth, on the vertical axis Home’s imports of food. • The slope of the line from the origin of Figure 6B-1 to T is equal to PC / PF. • At that price, Home residents are willing to trade QC – DC units of cloth for DF – QF units of food. • Calculating Home’s offer at different relative prices traces out Home’s offer curve (Figure 6B2). Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-12 Fig. 6B-1: Home’s Desired Trade at a Given Relative Price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-13 Fig. 6B-2: Home’s Offer Curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-14 Representing International Equilibrium with Offer Curves (cont.) • Foreign’s offer curve (Figure 6B-3) is traced out in the same way. • On the vertical axis Figure 6B-3 shows Foreign’s desired exports of food QF* – DF*, while the horizontal axis shows Foreign’s desired imports of cloth DC* – QC*. • The lower the relative price of cloth PC / PF, the more food Foreign will want to export and the more cloth Foreign will want to import. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-15 Fig. 6B-3: Foreign’s Offer Curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-16 Representing International Equilibrium with Offer Curves (cont.) • In international equilibrium: – Home’s exports of cloth must match Foreign’s imports of cloth QC – DC = DC* – QC* – and Foreign’s exports of food must equal Home’s imports of food QF* – DF* = DF – QF Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-17 Representing International Equilibrium with Offer Curves (cont.) • This is equivalent to requiring that the world supply of cloth equal the world demand for cloth and likewise for food: QC + QC* = DC + DC* QF + QF* = DF + DF* • When you plot the Home and Foreign offer curves on the same diagram (Figure 6B4), equilibrium occurs at the point where the Home and Foreign offer curves cross. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-18 Representing International Equilibrium with Offer Curves (cont.) • At the equilibrium point E, the relative price of cloth is equal to the slope of OE. • Home’s exports of cloth, which equal Foreign’s imports, are OX. Foreign’s exports of food, which equal Home’s imports, are OY. • This is a general equilibrium, in which supply and demand are equalized in both markets at the same time. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-19 Fig. 6B-4: Offer Curve Equilibrium Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-20 Summary 1. The effect of international transfers of income depend on the marginal propensity to spend on domestic goods. • 2. Generally such transfers cause a decrease in the donor’s terms of trade due to decreasing the relative demand for the donor’s exports. Offer curves show what level of exports a country is willing to trade for each level of imports from another country, and they provide another way to depict equilibrium. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-21