Admissions Committee Charge: Make evidence-based recommendations to Congress regarding policies that will maximize student success Method: analyzed sources including • UCLA HERI study based on CIRP data that included 56,818 students in 262 universities • IRO documents (UHH and other institutions) • Detailed outcomes for our incoming 2003 firsttime freshmen • Peer-reviewed, published research Higher Education Research Institute (HERI) study on Cooperative Institutional Research Program (CIRP) data • ~ 700 two-year colleges, four-year colleges and universities administer the Freshman Survey to over 400,000 entering students during orientation/registration. • Survey covers a characteristics including: parental income and education, ethnicity, financial aid, HS achievement / activities; educational and career plans, and values, attitudes, beliefs, and self-concept. • “How good is your retention rate?” 2/3 of retention and graduation rate explained by student, not institutional characteristics. • “the best way to evaluate any institution’s actual degree completion rate is to compute an “expected” degree completion rate based on the characteristics of the students when they first enroll.” ( ) http://www.heri.ucla.edu/PDFs/DARCU_RB.PDF How good is our retention rate? Worst among best-prepared students • Students with 3.3 GPA / 900 SAT or above lag the expected rate by thirty percentage points. 90.00% 80.00% 6 Yr Graduation Rate 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% Expected Actual 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% <800,<2.7 700-799, 2.7-3.0 800-899, 3.0-3.3 900-999, 3.3-3.7 1000+, 3.7+ What if students had graduated @ expected rates? 6 yr grad rate would be 50 %, not 30-33%. 2003 freshmen would have earned 32 more UHH degrees 90.00% 80.00% 6 Yr Graduation Rate 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% Expected Actual 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% <800,<2.7 700-799, 2.7-3.0 800-899, 3.0-3.3 900-999, 3.3-3.7 1000+, 3.7+ What predicts retention? 1/3 of variance in retention rate predicted by institutional factors A given student more likely to graduate from: A private institution A selective institution An institution with required freshman residency A given student is less likely to graduate: If s/he majors in engineering From a larger institution Student characteristics explain 2/3 of variance in graduation rates; eightfold difference between highest and lowest group Source:Astin & Oseguera, 2005. Degree Attainment at American Colleges and Universities Higher Education Research Institute, Graduate School of Education, UCLA Which factors predicting retention are under our control? Higher selectivity Required freshman residency Source:Astin & Oseguera, 2005. Degree Attainment at American Colleges and Universities Higher Education Research Institute, Graduate School of Education, UCLA HSGPA / SAT still predicts grad rate at UHH even with underperformance among top students • Our data suggest a cutoff at 3.3 HSGPA and 900 SAT 29 % SAT < 900 OR GPA < 3.3 29% graduated within 6 years 40% SAT > 900 AND GPA > 3.3 40% graduated within 6 years Recommendations • Student/ dorm ratio sufficient for a true residential campus and first year residential program • Applicants with 3.3 HSGPA and 900 SAT or equivalent are admitted automatically. • Applicants not meeting this guideline would submit a 12 paragraph essay with application • Investigate reviving honors program • 43% of our 2009 incoming freshmen meet 3.3 and 900 New process, if publicized widely, will attract more and higher-achieving students, and will increase retention of current students (Belanger, C., Mount, J., & Wilson, M. 2002. Institutional Image and Retention. Tertiary Education and Management, 8: 217-230) Admissions at HI schools • • • • • • BYUH: “Academic and personal factors are used to evaluate each applicant for the purpose of finding the right student fit for our university. To be competitive for admissions, we encourage applicants to possess the following: ACT/ SAT of 25/1130 or higher and a cumulative GPA of 3.50 or higher.” http://admissions.byuh.edu/usfreshmen Chaminade: “GPA 2.5, SAT 900 (critical reading and math) or ACT 19” http://www.chaminade.edu/ug/apply-high_school.php UHM: 510 on each section of SAT or 22 ACT, 2.8 GPA, top 40% HS Rank http://www.uhm.hawaii.edu/admissions/undergrad/apply/freshman.html HPU: “We do not use a formula of your GPA, class rank and SAT I /ACT score to make an admission decision. We take a more holistic approach. When reviewing your transcripts we consider not just your GPA but also the strength of your class schedule, SAT I and or ACT results, extracurricular activities, the personal statement you provide and your academic area of interest. An admission decision is made based on all of these factors.” UHH: 3.0 GPA, no SAT requirement. If GPA is below 3.0, SAT can be used for admission on a sliding scale basis e.g. 2.6 GPA and 820 SAT PROPOSED UHH: 3.3 GPA, 900 SAT. If either is below, application will include an essay to be evaluated by the Admissions Committee Proposed essay requirement • Only applicants with GPA under 3.3 or SAT under 900 will be required to submit an essay – more information on applicants including level of engagement in HS, which predicts NSSE scores (UGA Institutional Research Office http://www.uga.edu/oir/reports/2008/AIR2008%20Paper%20FINAL.pdf). – may increase commitment to UHH (Aronson E. & Mills,J. The effect of severity of initiation on liking for a group, Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology 59 (1959), pp. 177–181.) – May raise the perceived value of admission: communicates “selectivity.” – Research will expose applicant to positive info about UH Hilo. – Applicants who turn in no essay or a plagiarized essay are likely to be a poor fit at UH Hilo – Compensating committee members: way to make up cancelled course? • Those not admitted to UHH will be welcomed to 2+2 program starting at HCC Implementation Only institution in the system with an essay option for those who don’t meet automatic requirements; both good (distinctive, personal) and bad (implementation hassle) The essay will be evaluated based on a rubric. Identifying information will be redacted where possible. Yearly training/norming sessions Release, or option for faculty with a cancelled course? The Admissions Committee will return the results to the Admissions Office possibility for flexibility managing freshman enrollment numbers, but “admitting one percentage point more of those who apply for undergraduate admission results, on average, in a decline of .295 percentage point in graduation rates” (Hamrick, F. A., Schuh, J. H., & Shelley, M. C. 2004. Predicting higher education graduation rates from institutional characteristics and resource allocation. Education Policy Analysis Archives, 12(19) Recommendations: MATH • WI program and new GE address writing; math skills must be addressed as well • Recommend discrete math modules during the weeks before the start of the semester, as well as throughout the year. • Refresher, not remediation • Implementation: Content from math department, delivery in Kilohana, administration…? – 1. Should the modules be optional, or mandatory? If they are mandatory, what is the enforcement mechanism? – 2. Should the math placement test be mandatory, and should the results be used to refer students to modules? – 3. Who signs off on successful completion of a module, and how is this completion entered into the student's record? Recommendations: Information • We don't know what happens to students who leave UH system – Institute systematic alumni tracking – Annual spring semester surveys to capture intention to leave • Admissions Committee needs regular access to data Summary Recommendations and to-do list: 1. Emphasis on highest “tier” has potential for highest gains in retention 2. Automatic admission to applicants with 3.3 HSGPA and 900 SAT or equivalent; committee evaluates essays and applications for the rest. a) b) c) d) 3. Math refresher modules. Expected outcome: improved performance and retention in math prerequisites that are required for many STEM majors a) b) 4. Form next year’s Admissions Committee Integrate process with Registrar and Admissions Committee Design and norm rubric for evaluating student essays Publicize new admissions guidelines together with new GE Math department designs modules Discuss delivery and implementation with Kilohana, Registrar Next year’s Admissions Committee focus: a) b) c) Committee needs access to data beyond what is publicly available Bringing graduation rates of the top half of freshmen up to expected rates Attracting and retaining high achieving students Extra Info Admissions requirements at UHH were relaxed about 10 years ago SAT 510-550 560-610 620-660 670-710 720-760 770-810 820-850 860-890 900-930 940-970 980-1010 1020-1040 1050-1080 1090-1120 1130-1160 1170-1200 1210-1240 1250-1280 1290-1320 1330-1350 1360-1390 1400-1430 1440-1480 1490-1530 1540-1600 ACT 4.0+ 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 11 12 13 Post-2000 guidelines added 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Post-2000 30 guidelines added 31 32 33 34 35 Pre-2000 requirement 2.5 GPA, 900 SAT Graduation rate by HSGPA and SAT: National average and UHH HSGP A Sat <800 800-899 900-999 10001099 11001199 12001299 1300+ Expected Actual % of 2003 incoming freshmen A, A+ 4 51.2 65.2 70.4 75.7 78.9 80.4 82.6 76.80% 45.70% 11.70% 3.7 53.2 52 64.7 69.9 71.7 76.8 75.3 63.00% 37.20% 26.00% 50.50% 30.60% 24.00% 35.00% 26.90% 26.00% 29.00% 32.40% 12.30% A- B+ B B- 3.3 3 2.7 47.3 44.5 35.2 54 43.1 41.1 55.9 47.3 37.4 64.2 54.1 49.8 63.6 55.4 44.5 C+ 2.3 29.3 34.5 32.5 33.8 37.14 C 2 20.4 22 16.9 23.2 25 65.6 51.9 43.2 22.4 67.3 51.3 26.7 Attrition from STEM majors (not including Ag and Nursing) Attrition from STEM among men and women is similar.