Qdoba Business Plan Prepare For: Potential Equity Investors, Banks Prepared By: Ryan Janckila Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Table of Contents Executive Summary.........................................................................................................................iii 1.0 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Easy Eats................................................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Mission Statement ................................................................................................................ 1 1.2.1 Goals .............................................................................................................................. 2 1.3 Industry Overview ..................................................................................................................... 3 1.3.1 Industry Background .......................................................................................................... 3 1.3.2 Opportunities ..................................................................................................................... 4 1.3.3 Threats ............................................................................................................................... 5 1.4 Financing ............................................................................................................................... 6 2.0 Operations Plan......................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Location ................................................................................................................................. 7 2.2 Floor Plan .............................................................................................................................. 9 2.3 Quality Control .................................................................................................................... 10 2.4 Day to Day operations ........................................................................................................ 10 2.5 Organization Structure ........................................................................................................ 10 2.6 Capital Budget ..................................................................................................................... 12 2.7 Working Capital................................................................................................................... 12 3.0 Human Resources Plan ........................................................................................................... 13 3.1 Job Descriptions .................................................................................................................. 13 3.2 Staffing Requirements ........................................................................................................ 15 3.3 Employee Training .............................................................................................................. 15 4.0 Marketing Plan ........................................................................................................................ 17 Ryan Janckila i Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 4.1 Market Analysis ................................................................................................................... 17 4.2 The Marketing Mix .............................................................................................................. 19 4.2.1 Product ......................................................................................................................... 19 4.2.2 Pricing........................................................................................................................... 19 4.2.3 Place ............................................................................................................................. 20 4.3.4 Promotion .................................................................................................................... 22 5.0 Financial Plan .......................................................................................................................... 24 5.1 Financing Structure ............................................................................................................. 24 5.2 Dividend Policy .................................................................................................................... 24 5.3 Net Income and Cash Flow ................................................................................................. 25 5.4 Net Present Value, IRR ........................................................................................................ 25 5.5 Risk and Sensitivity Analysis ................................................................................................ 25 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................. 26 6.0 Summary ................................................................................................................................. 27 7.0 References ................................................................................................................................ A 8.0 Appendices ................................................................................................................................ B Ryan Janckila ii Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Executive Summary Qdoba Mexican Grill is an American franchise model that we hope to bring to Saskatoon. Given the expansion of Saskatoon’s economy and its population there is ample room for services and restaurants in the Saskatoon Region. Qdoba will be branded in the fast casual industry which currently has few competitors in the Saskatoon Market and provides a niche market in Mexican cuisine that we wish to exploit. This business plan is a summary of our research, strategies, and pricing models that show the profitability in this endeavor and highlights the paths for action that we need to take in order to make Qdoba a profitable business venture in the Saskatoon market. Some of the highlights or our analysis includes: 1. Achieving Profitability in Year One. With a modest base case scenario we have determined that we can become immediately profitable and work to become more profitable over the next 5 years. 2. NPV of 129,410. Based on our base case we also project to realize a NPV of 129,410 over the first five years of business. We expect a much larger return on our investment but the modesty of our projections allow us to see the relative small amount of risk on our investment. Our worst case scenario still sees average positive profits. 3. $0. Given our choice to lease our property we understand that the terms of our loan will be short. This also means that our loan will be paid off after 5 years which will lead to much larger cash flows and dividends to Equity investors in year 6. Given the positive outlook that our research has provided we feel that our business plan is economically feasible and we plan to start our business process early in 2015. We hope to attract $300,000 in Bank Financing but would be open to more Equity investments if the right opportunities and partners present themselves. We Look forward to serving you at our future locations. Ryan Janckila, Brad Simonson Ryan Janckila iii Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 1.0 Introduction Qdoba Restaurant Corporation (Qdoba) is a fast casual dining restaurant that features Mexican based foods. Qdoba Mexican Grill was founded in 1995 in Denver, CO. Qdoba currently operates over 600 restaurants in 42 US states as well as 1 location in Brandon Manitoba. With a strong emphasis on its franchise-based business model, about half of its total operations are franchised stores (Qdoba, 2012). Qdoba’s menu features a variety of Mexican-style dishes that are of an American-influenced variety. Qdoba offers burritos, tacos, nachos, quesadillas, tortilla soups, taco salads, salads, naked burritos, as well as a variety of beverages (Qdoba, 2012). Qdoba also operates an open kitchen atmosphere where customers can see the preparation of their food which helps Qdoba have an air of transparency. 1.1 Easy Eats Our business, Easy Eats, operates here in Saskatoon and our objective will be to own and operate one of Qdoba’s franchises with a strong possibility of growing Qdoba’s brand in Saskatchewan as well as across Western Canada. Qdoba offers a lot of support to its franchisees and will aide our marketing, site selection, and merchandising. Also a variety of store equipment and design packages are available as well as training, management software, and other tools to aide our business as we start to grow our company as well as the Qdoba brand here in Saskatchewan (Qdoba, 2012). Initially our business will start out with 2 main investors, Ryan Janckila and Brad Simonson, but we hope to attract more equity financing through more investors. As our company grows it will be important to strategically position ourselves as well as plan for growth as to be able to take on the extra strains of more locations as well as finding the right human capital to keep our business successful. 1.2 Mission Statement Easy Eats mission is to provide a friendly, healthy, and inviting atmosphere and menu that will make our restaurants a routine dining destination. This mission statement encompasses our beliefs of providing healthy food at a fair price. We also aim to provide an atmosphere that encourages our customers to sit down and enjoy our fresh cuisine while relaxing in the Ryan Janckila 1 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill ambiance of our modern dining arrangements. Our friendly and inviting staff always promise to send you away with a smile on your face and a meal in your stomach. 1.2.1 Goals In order to achieve the lofty expectations set forth in our Mission Statement, the management of Easy Eats understands the importance of setting goals for both our organization as well as our individual employees. As part of the effort to sustain our growth and establish our brands, Easy Eats believes that the following Goals need to be engrained in our Management. Goal # 1: Seek and provide the best dining experience for our customers The objective of our first goal sets the emphasis of our business model on our customers. Attracting and maintaining a strong customer base is our main objective and priority and by providing the best dining experience in our atmosphere, our management is going to attract and maintain our targeted customers. Customer surveys with incentives will need to be administered to ensure our success as well as determine how many of our customers are coming back. Goal # 2: Attain profitability over the first two years In order to prove the success of our goals we need to experience financial results that will make sure our restaurants are successful within the first two years of operation. The two-year rule applies to all our operations and should be a key objective for our management to reach and achieve. Goal #3: Create trust and brand recognition for our brands Our third goal focuses on the importance of providing a positive experience to all of our diners. Focusing on creating a consistent, healthy, and tasty product will allow our brand to flourish in the Saskatoon market as well as the new markets our brands reach. Our success depends on the trust that we can instill in our customers and our recognition can be measured through our surveys as well through our online media presence. Ryan Janckila 2 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Employee Goals - Our Goals for our Employees will be instilled in our cooks, cashiers, line servers, and Team Leaders. Goal # 1: Seek and provide the best dining experience for our customers Our first goal remains the same for both our management and our employees. This is more essential in our employees as they become the face of our franchise. Our employees must be focused on providing our customers with the best service and make sure that our customers never leave our place dissatisfied. Goal #2: Focus on improving ourselves first The focus on our second goal is to help our employees achieve the most for themselves. We want to create a working atmosphere that supports our employees and gives them the opportunity to support themselves and improve their skills. Skilled and successful employees will be given the opportunity to move up in our business which will help incentivize them to provide better service and work hard. This can be measured through bi-annual reviews as well as through customer compliments. All of our Goals are focused improving our product and service offering and instilling our business into the communities we become a part of. This means that all of our goals will be treated as high-priority goals. 1.3 Industry Overview 1.3.1 Industry Background Qdoba Mexican Grill operates in the fast casual industry that differs from fast food in several ways. Where fast food typically offers a drive through, Qdoba operates only to through the door customers. This makes Qdoba less convenient but distinguishes Qdoba’s position as fastcasual. Customers can come in and take their food out, or sit down and eat their food in a contemporary, relaxed atmosphere. The perceived value to customers is the quality of the food as well as a perception of healthiness. The product is also offered in transparent setting that Ryan Janckila 3 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill allows customers to see the freshness and quality of the food they are buying. The Fast Casual industry has seen rapid growth over the past ten years and has really exploded across the United States (Sena, 2014). The reason for this growth is that the fast casual “concept marries the age-old need to eat on the run to the much newer consumer demand for healthier options (Sena, 2014).” Healthy living and eating has become more valuable to the average consumer and the trend of eating healthy and living a healthy lifestyle will really help give Qdoba a corner in the Saskatoon market. The fast casual industry here in Saskatoon is currently quite limited. Direct competitors include Deli’s, Subway, Extreme Pita, Pita Pit, Five Guys Burgers, some TacoTime locations, as well as some pizzerias. Qdoba’s focus on healthy cuisine would narrow down the direct competition to Extreme Pita and Pita pit. In 2008, Qdoba earned a “Smart Meal” seal from the state of Colorado for “four of its ‘naked’ dishes (Caldwell, 2009).” The current competition for Mexican Cuisine is very limited with TacoTime, and 3-4 fine dining establishments. The contemporary Mexican food offered at Qdoba locations is not as spicy as traditional Mexican foods and is more marketable to the predominantly Caucasian demographic located in Saskatoon. What differentiates Qdoba from its competitors is the quality of the food and the flavours. “We figured out what people like about Qdoba,” says Karen Guido, Qdoba’s Vice President of Marketing, “Everybody (likes) the great food and the great flavours that we have (Bonnie, 2002).” 1.3.2 Opportunities The Fast Casual industry is also one that remained strong during the recent 2007 economic recession. When consumers began to feel the strains of the recession, their disposable income spending changed, consumers “sought to spend them on healthier but still relatively inexpensive restaurant options (Sena, 2014).” The industry also sees several opportunities in the current market: Ryan Janckila 4 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Eating Out - The first opportunity is the increasing trend of eating out. Double income families and baby-boomers are focusing on health and convenience and Qdoba is positioned to attract both of these consumers. Expansion -The second opportunity is the expansion of Qdoba recently into Brandon Manitoba. The success of this franchise shows that Qdoba can be successful here in Canada and that there is a market for the fast casual Mexican cuisine. Growth in Restaurant Industry - Lastly there is also a recovering restaurant industry within the United States and Canada (Qdoba, 2012). Growth is expected over the shortterm and with a new product offering here in Saskatoon there is an ample market to serve with the Qdoba brand. 1.3.3 Threats The industry also faces a few threats as strong growth often results in more competition. New Restaurants - There have been many new restaurants opened in the Saskatoon market and Qdoba will have to provide a differentiated product offering in order to capture its share of the currently growing market in Saskatoon. Threat of Substitutes - There also is a very high threat of substitutes as consumers can fall back on competitors like McDonalds, Subway, KFC, and Tim Horton’s which many consumers are very comfortable with. Also healthy home-prepared meals are becoming more in-demand as consumers like to know what they are consuming. Consumer preferences - Changing Consumer preferences also provides a threat to the industry as consumers taste and diets change. Offering a variety of dishes ranging from vegetarian to gluten-free can alleviate some of the threat but continual consumer taste tests are important to maintaining a corner in the industry (Qdoba, 2012). Untested Market - The contemporary Mexican cuisine is an untested market in Saskatoon and there is always the chance that consumers may reject the taste as well as the atmosphere. Labour Costs - The last threat we identified for the fast casual industry is the rising labour prices in Saskatoon. The recent economic prosperity experienced in Saskatoon has pushed labour costs upward. The labour pool is also more limited in the Saskatoon Ryan Janckila 5 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill market given the amount of jobs available throughout the entire market. This will make operating costs slightly higher but they should be offset by the ability to charge premium prices on the food Qdoba offers. 1.4 Financing Ryan Janckila, an Edwards School of Business Student and Entrepreneur, and Brad Simonson a successful businessman from Outlook, SK will provide equity financing of $200,000. A further amount of financing will be needed and we are working to secure bank financing of $300,000. With the expectation of solid growth and financial return Ryan will run the business as a soleproprietorship initially with a move to incorporate expected at a future date. Our conservative financial projections show a solid foundation that gives that Qdoba the opportunity to achieve profitability within the first two years. See Table 1.1 below Ryan Janckila 6 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 2.0 Operations Plan Qdoba is a fast casual contemporary Mexican restaurant with an emphasis on high quality, healthy, and affordable food. Together with its inviting atmosphere, Qdoba will offer its product in a contemporary setting with an aesthetic taste as well as transparent focus. The restaurant will be managed by a General Manager who will supervise a group leader, 3 Line Cooks, as well as 5 FTE line servers/cashiers. The restaurant will operate from 10:30 AM to 10:00 PM daily and operate 360 days/year. The location has been chosen and is located in the Ironwood Crossing which is a new development on the corner of Preston Avenue South and Hunter Rd. near the Stonebridge residential area. 2.1 Location The location chosen for Qdoba is on the corner of Preston Avenue South and Hunter Rd. near the Stonebridge residential area. The location chosen is adjacent to a new Stonebridge shopping center that is anchored by Sobey’s and Shoppers. The Ironwood Crossing location is also has attracted many medical tenants as well as a Tim Horton’s. This location is also located close to Circle Dr. South and the neighborhoods of Nutana Park, Eastview, and Stonebridge. Another benefit of choosing this building is the ability to attract the young professional demographic residing in Stonebridge, many of whom are health conscious, fast-paced, with considerable disposable income. Also the new development promises to attract many visitors that are curious of the new offerings as well as commuters that find the area easy to access. The newly developed area also has more flow available to the location with the recent completion of the Circle Drive South access as well as the continual improvement to the Preston Avenue/Circle Drive South interchange. With commercial areas located close by and the continued expansion of the Stonebridge residential area, there also is blue collar workers that frequent the area. Figures 2.1 and 2.2 show the map view and site plan of our desired location. Ryan Janckila 7 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Figure 2.1 Aerial View of Property Figure 2.2 Site View of Ironwood Crossing Ryan Janckila 8 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 2.2 Floor Plan The floor plan of a Qdoba franchise is very simple. The entrance door enters directly into the queue line which flows to the Food Counter. The Food counter is located approximately 1/2 of the way toward the back of the units which allows the back to be used for preparation of the food and is directly viewable to customers standing in the queue line. The customer’s order their food and progress toward the cashier who offers drinks and directs traffic to the drink counter as well as a counter that holds napkins, forks, spoons, as well as spices and trash. The seating area is located in the front of the restaurant with patio seating often available outside for summertime operations. Washrooms and offices will also be located in the back. Because of the tendency for customers to take-out their orders we only require 1300 sf and approximately 20 tables located inside our restaurant. Figure 2.3 Floor Plan Ryan Janckila 9 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 2.3 Quality Control Consistency is the main priority of any fast casual restaurant and therefore it is important for the food to maintain rigorous standards. Qdoba prides itself on its taste and quality and these are some of the qualities that keep customers around. The importance of maintaining quality will ensure that Food is tested frequently and quality products are always used. The importance of using fresh ingredients is also evident in Qdoba as we use our fresh, healthy ingredients to attract and maintain customers. 2.4 Day to Day operations Qdoba will operate daily from 10:30 am to 10:00 pm and this operation will require a different compliment of employees that will serve our two busy times: Lunch and Dinner. This will require our first shift to start at approximately 10 am and our last shift to get off at 10:30. Our staff needs will approximately be: Opening to End of Lunch Shift (10 am – 4 pm) 1 Line cook, 1 Team Leader and 3 line servers. Beginning of Dinner to End of Day Shift (4pm – 10:30 pm) 2 Line cooks, 1 Team Leader, and 3 line servers/cashiers. The manager will start at 10 am and compliment all positions during heavy traffic times. The manager can also fill in as Team Leader during alternating shifts. The Team leader will be familiar with all positions and will fulfill any duties that need additional help. 2.5 Organization Structure Our organization is focused on our customers so our organization chart shows them as the biggest part of our corporate structure. Our Board of Directors will at first consist of the Equity owners, Ryan Janckila and Brad Simonson, and they will provide strategic insight to the general manager. Initially Ryan will fulfill this role and it is his obligation to oversee the team leaders as well as anyone below him in the structure. The team leaders will overlook operations as well as the line cooks and help out in any areas when deemed necessary. The line servers, cashiers, and line cooks fulfill an important duty as they interact directly with the customers and provide the Ryan Janckila 10 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill customer with the experience. Finally it is the customer’s duty to report any inadequacies which will help make Qdoba more successful and adapt to its customer’s needs. Figure 2.4 Organization Structure Table 2.1 Operating Expenses Schedule 4: Operating Expenses Lease (5 year) Franchise Royalty Advertising Royalty Accounting and Legal Advertising (Marketing) General Supplies Insurance Telephone Utilities Repair and Maintenance Wages Employee Benefits Misc Variable Costs % Sales Capital Cost Allowance Debt Interest Total operating Expenses Ryan Janckila 2015 $ 30.00 5% 2% $ 9.50 13.96% 0.5% 39,000 32,400 12,960 2,000 6,000 2,000 2,500 2,400 12,350 4,200 226,400 31,605 3,240 29,250 21,000 427,305 2016 2017 2018 2019 39,975 39,852 15,941 2,050 6,150 2,050 2,563 2,460 12,659 4,305 241,132 33,662 3,985 53,725 17,348 477,857 40,974 46,976 18,790 2,101 6,304 2,101 2,627 2,522 12,975 4,413 275,325 38,435 4,698 45,023 13,441 516,704 41,999 50,557 20,223 2,154 6,461 2,154 2,692 2,585 13,300 4,523 296,724 41,423 5,056 37,856 9,260 536,966 43,049 54,412 21,765 2,208 6,623 2,208 2,760 2,649 13,632 4,636 320,155 44,694 5,441 31,939 4,787 560,957 11 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 2.6 Capital Budget Our capital budget consists of the initial franchise fee as well as considerable leasehold improvements. The contemporary design in Qdoba’s restaurants is very aesthetic and provides a relaxed atmosphere that encourages customers to sit down and enjoy themselves. The leasehold improvements of $165/SF will ensure this atmosphere and provide our location with the desired look that will attract and retain customers (Qdoba,2013). The value for furniture and fixtures also includes all the equipment necessary to make our location ready for business as well as the tables, chairs, and other fixtures that are necessary (Qdoba, 2013). Table 2.2 Capital Budget Schedule 5: Capital Budget Franchise Fee Leasehold Improvements Furniture and Fixtures Total 2015 30,000 215,000 185,000 430,000 2016 - 2017 2018 2019 - - - 2.7 Working Capital Inventories Qdoba will have an average of 7 days of inventory on hand at any time. This will require inventory turns of 52 times and orders will be appropriately placed from suppliers. Accounts Payable Qdoba will be able to get an average day’s payable of 14 days which is standard for restuarants. Ryan Janckila 12 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 3.0 Human Resources Plan As the owners and main equity investors, Ryan Janckila and Brad Simonson will oversee the profitability and monthly operations. Ryan Janckila will also serve as General Manager and oversee the day-to-day operations. Also there will be Team Leaders, Line Cooks, Line Servers and Cashiers. 3.1 Job Descriptions Owners- Owners are primarily involved in the monthly and yearly operations of Qdoba. There strategic planning and financial management will ensure that Qdoba becomes and remains profitable. Monthly Activities: Hiring and Firing of Key Employees Crisis Management Monthly Analysis of Operations – Review Key metrics Yearly Activities: Budgeting – Planning the budget for the next year Year-end obligations General Manager- The General Manager will oversee the day-to-day operations of Qdoba to ensure that the business is well-run and managed. Daily Activities: Oversee Team Leaders/Employees Ensure food quality and Freshness Staffing and Scheduling Inventory management Monthly Activities: Review Inventory levels, create new projections Tentative staffing and scheduling Review monthly key statistics and make changes Yearly Activities: Ryan Janckila 13 Introducing: Qdoba Employee Reviews Customer Satisfaction Surveys Qdoba Mexican Grill Team Leaders- Team leaders are responsible for overseeing the day-to-day operations in the Food prep and serve areas. When any of the 3 other positions are in need of help the Team Leader can also contribute to those areas. Daily Activities: Oversee the daily operations Help in all aspects Train new employees Clean sitting area when frequently Help GM schedule employees Oversee Inventory Monthly Activities: Order More Inventory Longer term Staff Scheduling Provide Feedback to GM Line Cooks, Line Servers, Cashier- These positions are focused on the day-to-day operations of the franchise. They are essential to the business and must have a good attitude and a focus on customer service. Daily Activities: Cook, Prepare, and Serve Food Maintain and clean work areas Clean bathrooms Clean sitting areas Serve Customers Monthly Activities: Provide feedback to Managers on day-to-day operations Listen to customer needs and report to Team Leader or GM Ryan Janckila 14 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba is focused on growing and building its employees and understands the importance of maintaining a good report with all of the employees that make Qdoba functional. Our high standard of customer service requires that sub-standard employees be released immediately. Also the nature of this business will require Part-time labour which will require rigorous scheduling and staffing requirements. Initially room for employee growth will be low but as we expand to new locations there will be opportunities for the right employees to advance and become General Managers of new locations. 3.2 Staffing Requirements Qdoba will initially need 1 full time manager and 6 FTE. This will ensure that our human resources needs are met with minimal overtime hours. We also will require additional staff for every $125,000 in sales that we make in order to keep up to our customers’ demands. We will initially pay our manager $50,000 a year and adjust that number for inflation. Our staff will be paid generously at $15/hr for full time staff and $12/hr for part time staff. This is necessary to improve the quality of the staff that is hired and to maintain employees for as long as possible. Table 3.1 Human Resource Needs Number of Employees: Manager (full time) Full time staff Part time staff 125,000 1 6 1 6 0.38 1 6 1.52 1 6 2.09 1 6 2.71 50,000 176,400 226,400 40% 51,250 180,810 9,072 241,132 34% 52,531 185,330 37,464 275,325 33% 53,845 189,964 52,916 296,724 33% 55,191 194,713 70,252 320,155 34% - Table 3.2 Human Resource Expenditures Salary and Wage Costs Manager Full time staff Part time staff Total Salaries and Wages Total Wages/Total Sales 3.3 Employee Training Initially Qdoba offers 4 weeks of employee training as part of its franchise fee. This will involve finding qualified staff before our start-up date and training the staff which will involve 4 weeks Ryan Janckila 15 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill of training at their Wheat Ridge, CO. Headquarters (Qdoba, 2012). The initial staff members that are trained will then be responsible for training the other staff and help get them acquainted with the operations of the Qdoba. Ideally the staff that will be sent to the initial training will include both the General Manager and the Team Leaders. Employee Training will be ongoing after the start-up and will be necessary for any and all new staff that is hired on to any of the staff positions. The ongoing staff training will be the responsibility of the Team Leaders but it will also be crucial for the other employees to mentor new employees. This will instill pride in the work that employees do as well as help foster friendship between all the employees. Employee hardships and issues will be the responsibility of the Team Leaders. Ryan Janckila 16 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 4.0 Marketing Plan Qdoba currently has the second most Contemporary Mexican food locations in the United States with over 600 locations. Located primarily in the Southwest, Qdoba is slowly gaining a footing throughout much of the rest of the US and is now located in 42 states as well as in Manitoba (Qdoba, 2012). Its current positioning in the fast casual industry has allowed for consistent growth and its focus on quality and health will make it a successful fit in Saskatoon. 4.1 Market Analysis Competitor Overview The overall restaurant industry is a very hard one to enter and become successful. With a lot of established competition as well as substitute products, limiting forces, and many new competitors, the restaurant industry is one that is hard to enter. The fast casual industry here in Saskatoon however is quite limited. As seen from its growth in the United States, the fast casual industry is generally recession-proof and provides more quality at a fair price. This leaves Qdoba with fewer well-known competitors and provides a niche market in Saskatoon that is waiting to be filled. Direct Competitors Qdoba’s direct competitors are limited to restaurants that specialize in the fast casual industry and operate within the city of Saskatoon. The restaurants that focus on fast casual usually provide healthier food, higher quality, in a timely manner. The average time to serve a customer is under 5 minutes. Table 4.1 Direct Competitors Fast Casual Restaurant Location Value Proposition Extreme Pita Centre Mall Pita Pit 8th Street Customized food, Healthier, Pita Focused, Counter Served, Smoothies, Eat good feel good Avg. Price – 6-12$ Customizable, Healthier, Counter served, Pita Focused Fresh thinking, Healthy Eating Avg. Price – 6-12$ Ryan Janckila 17 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Taco Time Clarence & Taylor Subway Stonebridge Shopping Centre Quizno’s Clarence & Melville St. Authentic Food and Friendly Service, Fast food, Mexican themed Avg. Price – 6-10$ Submarine sandwich, Counter served, customizable, Healthy? Avg. Price - 5-12$ Counter served, toasted sub, customizable, Flatbread, Flatbread Pizza Avg. Price – 5-14$ Indirect Competitors Indirect competitors are those that offer fast food without the focus on quality. Recently however, chains have started to move toward focusing of fast food and healthy alternatives as the The more traditional branded fast-food locations such as A&W, McDonalds, Dairy Queen, KFC, Burger King and Dairy Queen are more focused on fast food and consistency than on quality flavour and healthy foods. Figure 4.1 Position Map Ryan Janckila 18 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Given Qdoba’s unique industry position and its value proposition of offering consistent, healthy and high quality Mexican cuisine, Qdoba has the opportunity to capture a large portion of the Saskatoon market. The hardest part of our marketing plan will be to get customers through the door and provide the best initial offering possible to the customer. By providing strong customer service, a unique atmosphere, and a healthy product, Qdoba can be successful in the Saskatoon market. 4.2 The Marketing Mix 4.2.1 Product Qdoba offers a variety of fresh contemporary Mexican Food with a focus on healthy, consistent product. Qdoba’s menu consists of counter served items that include burritos, tacos, quesadillas, soups, salads, naked burritos, and nachos. Qdoba also offers a variety of drinks including soft drinks, alcoholic beverages, and iced tea. Qdoba’s menu focuses on healthy, highquality food, made with fresh ingredients and with a focus on affordability. Qdoba also has a focus on flavour that routinely brings new product offerings in trial formats to the customer base. 4.2.2 Pricing Qdoba has a value-oriented menu that focuses on providing products at a price that is reasonable for the products it offers. The quality and freshness of the product also allows Qdoba to charge a premium price over competitors. Since our Qdoba is the lone location in Saskatchewan this means that some of the prices will be higher than different locations across the United States. This is due mainly to the higher cost of produce and the materials needed to make the product that Qdoba will offer. Our prices will be monitored by Qdoba headquarters but the prices will be slightly higher in the U.S. given the higher costs (Qdoba, 2012). Prices on the Menu will be as follows: Burritos Burritos are one of the main products offered by Qdoba and one of the products that really distinguish Qdoba. Burrito’s offer fresh produce, protein, tortillas and legumes all in one offering and are reasonably priced at $9. Ryan Janckila 19 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Tacos Tacos are another of Qdoba’s main product offerings which come in smaller volumes and in Quantities of one, two, or three. The cost for the first taco is $4 and $2.50 per taco after that. Grilled Quesadillas Quesadillas are offered in the made to order setting and depending upon the ingredients included the price varies from $7.50 - $8.50. Naked Burrito (Taco Salad) Naked burritos use basically the same ingredients that are used in the burrito simply without the tortilla shell. The naked burrito will have a slightly lower cost of $8.50 Soup Qdoba offers a Mexican gumbo soup that can either complement the entrées or stand alone. Size in the key distinguishing factor and the cost is $8.50 for an entree and $4.00 for side. 3-Cheese Nachos Nachos make up another item on Qboba that either can complement and entrée or stand alone. The cost is the same as the soup at $8.50 for the entrée and $4.00 for the side. Craft 2 Menu Qdoba’s answer to McDonald’s dollar menu, the Craft 2 menu aims at appealing to cost conscious consumers or those looking to get the better of 2 entrees. The Craft 2 menu allows customers to hand pick reduced size entrees and combine them together to make a Cheaper meal. Cost of $7. Qdoba also provides kids meals, chips and dip, and breakfast at some locations. We are not going to focus on these items but we have chosen not to operate during the breakfast hours. 4.2.3 Place Location, Location, Location The location that has been picked will enable Qdoba to market its products to a variety of demographics. Qdoba can use the location to appeal to all the consumers in the Saskatoon Market. We believe that the new business plaza at Ironwood Crossing will give us a competitive advantage in the local market and allows us to identify with the current atmosphere in the Stonebridge neighborhood which emulates growth. Qdoba has the opportunity to grow with Ryan Janckila 20 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill the neighborhoods it is part of. High volume sof traffic through this area during business operating hours at lunch and dinner gives this location opportunities to showcase Qdoba. The development of the retail and commercial area in this part of the city also attracts attention and it’s important for the initial marketing campaign to get these curious consumers through the doors. Market Segmentation Qdoba focuses on attracting a market that is determined mostly on the psychographic characteristics of the consumers. The consumer that is most interested in Qdoba has a need for healthy food and strives to fulfill this need in the most convenient way possible. When looking at these characteristics there are a few different target markets that must be focused on for Qdoba to be successful. Target Markets Young Professionals The most important market that Qdoba must attract is the young professional segment. This segment is made up of males and females ages 21 – 35 that are unattached, recently married, or Married for 5-10 years. The young professional segment is focused on finding healthy alternatives that are often convenient to their consumption and provide ample nutrients in one meal. This segment is expected to fuel the lunch hours as well as become frequent visitors during the supper hours as they rush between work and entertainment obligations. It is important to note that the aesthetic atmosphere also provides a place for the consumers to quickly eat during lunch and dinner. Families As consumers have become more knowledgeable about their dietary needs, the importance of finding food that is fresh, healthy, and readily available is important to families. Given the large amount of Medical tenants in the Ironwood Crossing development it becomes critical to attract the families that are coming and going from appointments. With the rush acquainted with some family appointments, this segment can be counted on to come in for both lunch and supper and capitalize on the value of Qdoba’s menu as well as the healthy, high quality food that Qdoba delivers. Ryan Janckila 21 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Students This segment includes both high school students with their driver’s license as well university students. Students have become a lot more health-conscious over the last decade and their eating habits have changed. Students who can afford quality and even those that can’t often will spend their limited resources on higher quality food. This is important in the Stonebridge neighborhoods as a large amount of low-middle income housing has attracted students into the Stonebridge area. Given Stonebridge’s location away from the U of S campus we would expect less traffic from students during the day but also hope to achieve higher volumes during the evening hours. The relaxed atmosphere and new food also promises to attract local high school students during the lunch and supper times. Value Proposition When Qdoba targets the segments listed above it is important to remember that all demographics of the marketplace must also be reached and our message should not dissuade baby boomers and other demographics from frequenting our place. It is also important for the Qdoba brand to be distinguished from competitors and for consumers to associate Qdoba as a new, but well managed brand to the Saskatoon market. Qdoba’s value proposition includes the following elements: High Quality products made from fresh ingredients Healthy food that is both convenient and cost friendly Aesthetic Transparent Atmosphere that attracts and retains new customers Positioning Statement Qdobas positioning statement is: “Qdoba provides an aesthetic, transparent atmosphere that offers high quality, healthy, contemporary Mexican cuisine at an affordable and cost friendly price.” 4.3.4 Promotion Qdoba is focused on growing community identity with its brand, attracting and maintaining new customers, and reaching its key target markets through targeted advertising campaigns. Ryan Janckila 22 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Brand Qdoba currently lacks any type of brand strength and this makes its brand less of a competitive advantage. The quality and consistency of Qdoba’s brand offers ample opportunities of growth within the Saskatoon community. A strong consistent brand will help customers identify with the positioning statement above and allow them to make dining choices in the future as Qdoba expands across Western Canada. The importance maintaining product consistency, keeping an aesthetic environment, and maintain prices at their current value will help attract consumers to the Qdoba brand. Marketing Blitz Since Qdoba is a new franchise to the Saskatoon market it is important that the initial push to attract consumers is made and all avenues are pursued. Print and Radio advertising, pamphlets and brochures, coupons, and sampling of Qdoba’s product are all avenues that must be used to push customers through the doors. Our initial marketing cost is included in our budget and we project the cost including the cost of food to be around $10000. Some of the initial cost and marketing is initiated by Qdoba on behalf of its franchises and it uses the money that it gains from the advertising royalty fees to do local advertising on behalf of the franchise. Qdoba does this because local branches often do not set aside enough funds to ensure their brand is reaching the right segments of the market (Qdoba, 2012). The initial Grand Opening will be a week-long event that will highlight one menu-item each day and reduce its cost significantly or offer it for free. This tool will help create a buzz in the Saskatoon community and provide Qdoba with first time customers. It is unfeasible to maintain all the initial customers as some may not identify with the product offering. However, a strong dedication to consistency of product and service will ensure that customers come back again, and again, and again. Table 4.1 Advertising Budget Ryan Janckila 23 Introducing: Qdoba Advertising Royalty Advertising Budget Funds Available Grand Opening Local Advertising Pamphlets Coupons Samples and New Ads Qdoba Mexican Grill 2015 15,120 6,000 21,120 5,000 5,280 2,112 2,112 6,616 2016 18,598 6,150 24,748 6,187 2,475 2,475 13,611 2017 21,922 6,304 28,226 7,056 2,823 2,823 15,524 2018 23,593 6,461 30,055 7,514 3,005 3,005 16,530 2019 25,392 6,623 32,015 8,004 3,202 3,202 17,608 5.0 Financial Plan A financial model will be available with this Business Plan. It includes a base case scenario with average daily customers of 175 customers and an average transaction price. The financial model also includes a sensitivity analysis that attempts to address the sensitivity of our model to adjustments in the number of customers and the average transaction price. This model also includes the projected income statement, cash flows, and balance sheet for next 5 years. 5.1 Financing Structure As we discussed earlier our capital needs are $500,000. Forty percent of this will be financed through equity and the other sixty percent will be financed through a bank loan with a several assets of the investors held as collateral for the $300,000 loan. The terms of the loan will be 5 years and that balance will be paid off by the fifth year of operation. Table 5.2 Debt Amortization Table Schedule 7: Debt Ammortization Beg Balance Addition Payment Interest Principal Reduction End Balance 2015 5 300,000 73,167 21,000 52,167 247,833 2016 247,833 73,167 17,348 55,819 192,014 2017 192,014 73,167 13,441 59,726 132,288 2018 132,288 73,167 9,260 63,907 68,381 2019 68,381 73,167 4,787 68,381 - 5.2 Dividend Policy Our dividend policy will pay out dividends in the second year of operations. These dividends are determined from the ending cash balance of the previous year and when it reaches a certain Ryan Janckila 24 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill threshold dividends are paid out. This is to ensure the investors remain happy and see some return on their investment. Retained Earnings Account Beg RE Net Income Dividends End RE 50,000 26,549 26,549 26,549 50,155 29,821 46,883 46,883 98,888 49,367 96,404 96,404 122,251 85,433 133,221 133,221 145,410 96,836 181,795 5.3 Net Income and Cash Flow The profitability of Qdoba is evident in its first year of operation and our operations show an average net income of $88,650 over the first 5 years. Taxable Income Income Taxes Net Income 88,650 30,516 3,967 26,549 57,649 7,494 50,155 113,664 14,776 98,888 140,518 18,267 122,251 167,138 21,728 145,410 The cash flow of Qdoba is evident with its short term Cash needs being adequately provided for. Net Cash Flow Cash Bal Beg of Year Cash Bal End of Year 79,821 79,821 19,546 79,821 99,367 36,066 99,367 135,433 11,402 135,433 146,836 12,817 146,836 159,652 5.4 Net Present Value, IRR Under Qdobas base case model our net present value prediction of $129,140 and an IRR of 39.9% show positive numbers that will positively affect our outlook on this proposition. It is important to note that the numbers reflect conservative numbers and we feel that the niche market has ample room to provide more customers than we project. 5.5 Risk and Sensitivity Analysis Our sensitivity analysis revealed the following: Table 5.1 Sensitivity Analysis Ryan Janckila 25 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill Sensitivity Analysis Customers/day 135 155 175 (Base) 195 215 Average 5 year Profit Net Payback 15,386 (83,043) 52,754 182367 88,650 440,413 121,546 683,460 154,443 926,507 IRR -9.9% 18.3% 39.9% 56.7% 72.0% Avg Transaction Price $10 $11 $12 (Base) $13 $14 Average 5 year Profit Net Payback 36,200 63,583 62,537 252,558 88,650 440,413 112,637 617,635 136,624 794,857 IRR 6.8% 24.6% 39.9% 52.3% 63.8% Looking at the sensitivity analysis there is minimal risk in the movement of transaction price down as the avg transaction price still returns a net payback after 5 years. However the loss of 40 customers a day could result in a negative net payback and would render this business infeasible. Our break even Analysis revealed: Figure 5.1 Break even Analysis Conclusion In conclusion we can see that our business plan is financially feasible with some risk involved. However given the conservative nature of our predictions there is room for growth and we believe this business can become very profitable in 5 years. Ryan Janckila 26 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 6.0 Summary As we have determined with our analysis of Qdoba and with this business plan, Qdoba is both financially feasible and has the opportunity to grow quickly in the Saskatoon market. Given the limited competition in the fast casual industry, a focus on high quality, healthy food, and Saskatoon’s thriving Economy we have chosen to proceed with this business. We look forward to acquiring financing and opening our location later next year. Ryan Janckila 27 Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 7.0 References Bonnie, B. C. (2002). Regional powerhouse chains: Qdoba mexican grill. Nation's Restaurant News, 36(4), 168-169. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/229332376?accountid=14739 Caldwell, M. (2009). Qdoba's smart meals. Nation's Restaurant News, 43(16), 54. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/229415273?accountid=14739 Cebrzynski, G. (2005). 'Emotional' qdoba campaign to reinforce positioning. Nation's Restaurant News, 39(18), 15. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/229376020?accountid=14739 Thorn, B. (2007). Ted stoner: Qdoba mexican grill. Nation's Restaurant News, 41(36), 42. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/229353121?accountid=14739 Qdoba mexican grill(R) introduces new kids meals to give kids nutritious choices. (2009, Dec 14). Business Wire Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/443714580?accountid=14739 Qdoba mexican grill rolls out enhanced qdoba rewards program. (2011). Food and Beverage Close - Up, Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/848274794?accountid=14739 Qdoba mexican grill(R) invites guests to "craft 2". (2010, Jan 26). Business Wire Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/443602994?accountid=14739 Qdoba(R) frees the flavor; "extras" no longer cost extra. (2014, Oct 03). Business Wire Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/1567030003?accountid=14739 Qdoba restaurant corporation: Foodservice - company profile & SWOT report. (2013). (). Basingstoke: Progressive Digital Media. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/1552394934?accountid=14739 Sena, M. (2014). Fast Casual Industry Analysis 2014 - Cost & Trends. Franchise Help. Retrieved from: https://www.franchisehelp.com/industry-reports/fast-casual-industryreport/ Spielberg, S. (2005). QDOBA MEXICAN GRILL. Nation's Restaurant News, 39(5), 172-172,174. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/229393443?accountid=14739 Ryan Janckila A Introducing: Qdoba Qdoba Mexican Grill 8.0 Appendices Financial Model – See Attached Spreadsheet Ryan Janckila B