Watershed Adaptive Management Fraser Shilling Department of Environmental Science & Policy University of California, Davis fmshilling@ucdavis.edu Watershed Adaptive Management • Watershed assessment – Scoping and question formulation – Basic description • Watershed management – What can we influence – Conceptual modeling • Policy intersection – Policies, actions, actors California Watershed Assessment Manual http://cwam.ucdavis.edu What is “Watershed Assessment”? "The biology lives in the hydrology, and the hydrology flows over the geology." (Mattole River Estuary Dynamics of Recovery, 1995, by the Mattole Restoration Council) “Assessment is used to mean the analysis of watershed information to draw conclusions concerning the conditions in the watershed.” (Nehalem River Watershed Assessment, 1999, Portland State University) A watershed assessment is: a science-based process for analyzing a watershed's current condition and the likely causes of these conditions.” CWAM Structure Watershed Adaptive Management • Watershed assessment – Scoping and question formulation – Basic description • Watershed management – What can we influence – Conceptual modeling • Policy intersection – Policies, actions, actors Formulate the Question(s) • Are you interested in overall watershed condition and drivers? • Are you interested in a particular stressing activity or process? • Are you interested in a specific place(s) in the watershed? • What timeframe are you interested in? Things flow downhill/stream and assessing the whole watershed is relevant for making land-use, water quality, and water supply decisions Water Temperature in Yuba 30 Degrees Celsius 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Month (2000 - 2001) Site 1 Site 7 Site 13 Site 19 Site 2 Site 8 Site 14 Site 20 Site 3 Site 9 Site 15 Site 21 Site 4 Site 10 Site 16 Site 5 Site 11 Site 17 Site 6 Site 12 Site 18 Sep Oct What is flowing downhill/ downstream? Pesticides, Metals, Nutrients, Sediment, Flows, Invasive species Habitat Quality, Species presence, Flooding, Permit compliance, Aesthetics Pesticides, Metals, Nutrients, Sediment, Flows, Organic carbon, Invasive species Habitat Quality, Species presence, Flooding, Permit compliance, Aesthetics Habitat Quality, Species presence, Beach pollution, Aesthetics, Flooding, Watershed Adaptive Management • Watershed assessment – Scoping and question formulation – Basic description • Watershed management – What can we influence – Conceptual modeling • Policy intersection – Policies, actions, actors Influence diagrams and conceptual models Boxes indicate concepts and arrows indicate influence or connection. The boxes can be attributes or processes, the arrows can be hypotheses, or based on knowledge of the system Ecosystem Attribute Conceptual Model General Reid and Zeimer Ecosystem Restoration Conceptual Model Focused Ecosystem Restoration Conceptual Model ActionSpecific Ecosystem Attribute Conceptual Model Policy nexus Reid and Zeimer Ecosystem Attribute Conceptual Model Policy nexus Endangered Species Act, Fisheries statutes, Int’l treaties Endangered Species Act, SWRCB permits, THPs, CEQA, ACE 404 Endangered Species Act, FERC relicensing, SWRCB permits, ACE 404 Now we are going to draw a conceptual model Contact Fraser Shilling Department of Environmental Science and Policy University of California, Davis 95616 530-752-7859 fmshilling@ucdavis.edu http://cwam.ucdavis.edu Big Sur Coast, Pracheta Kokate (Grade 11) (courtesy California Coastal Commission, 2005, Coastal Art & Poetry Contest)