Air Quality Gradients in Western Oregon and Washington Indicated by Lichen Communities and Chemical Analysis of Lichen Tissue Linda Geiser, USDA-Forest Service Pacific Northwest Region Air Program Peter Neitlich, USDA-Forest Inventory Assessment/Forest Health Monitoring, Lichen Indicator 4 March 2003 Introduction Lichens are used by the USFS to: Monitor air quality Help air managers make decisions regarding management of air resources Support recommendations regarding PSD permits that affect forest resources, especially Wilderness AQ Regulation ORDEQ and WADOE: Measure air pollutants Plan and implement air pollution reduction strategies Issue and enforce air pollution control permits for industry Enforce other regulations Inform, educate, and involve the public AQ Regulation Criteria Pollutants Ground-level ozone (smog) Carbon monoxide Fine particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5) Nitrogen oxides Sulfur dioxide Lead National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) •1 hr •8 hr •24 hr •Annual average CAA Class 1 Areas AQ Regulation New Source Review includes the Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) permitting process. New sources cannot exceed allowable increments for the criteria pollutants Air Quality Related Values: flora and fauna, soil, water, visibility, biological diversity, cultural and archeological resources, odor **Because the NAAQs are not sufficient to protect the most sensitive AQRVs, documenting concerns regarding effects on AQRVs is the primary way FLMs can protect air quality in Wilderness** AQ Regulation To monitor air pollution in the PNW, FLMs use: Criteria Pollutant or AQRV Visibility PM10, PM2.5 N, S deposition and effects on biodiversity and on terrestrial and aquatic resources Ozone Pb CO Federally Sponsored Information Source Nephalometers, IMPROVE, Camera Nephalometers NADP, CastNet, lichens, water and snow Active and passive monitors IMPROVE, lichens Not measured Emissions Most pollution is from individual actions: Driving cars,using wood stoves,gas-powered lawn mowers, motor boats, paints, aerosol products, outdoor burning EPA National Emissions Inventory: http://www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/ Emissions Pollutant Tons N/yr Source % of total N Emissions 126,788 Mobile 43 Utility and industrial boilers 10 Outdoor burning 4 Solid waste incineration 1 Forest fires, volcanoes ? Transpacific ? 5-15? 95,647 Agriculture (3:1 animals:crops) 36 NH3 Mobile (catalytic converters) 3 Industry 2 Waster disposal 1 Total 222,435 100 Source: EPA 1999 Criteria Pollutants and Ammonia Emissions Inventory NOx Deposition Trends State 1980 population 2000 population % Increase Oregon 2.6 million 3.4 million 30 Washington 4.1 million 5.9 million 43 Trends Median Increase Analyte (%) NH4+ 24.9 NO321.4 Inorganic N 23.4 SO4-2 -80 Lower Upper 95% 95% Year CI CI Value 12.3 38.8 0.0111 13.4 30 0.0097 14.6 45.4 0.0105 -60.1 -100 -0.0294 SE 0.0053 0.0034 0.0037 0.003 T 2.081 2.818 2.828 -9.72 p (>[t]) 0.039 0.005 0.005 0.0001 r2 0.73 0.86 0.83 0.95 Why lichens? Lichen Communities Are Good AQ Indicators Lichens are highly sensitive to SO2, NOx, F, acid rain, NH3. Provide an early warning signal of adverse ecosystem effects. Lichens are important AQRVs Contribute to biodiversity Play important ecological roles Are an important AQRV Why lichens? Lichen Tissue Analyses also Indicate Air Quality Lichens are good accumulators of N, S, metals Lichens have consistent ranges in clean sites, different from polluted sites Why Lichens? Lichen Tissue analysis (cont) Different species show similar responses to the same changes in air pollution Across seasons, and Across geographic space 0.17 0.16 0.15 PLAGLA 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 .1 .2 HYP I NA Federal Lichen Monitoring FIA/FHM: 28 km2 sampling grid over US forests Provides early detection and quantification of potential air pollution effects Monitors spatial and temporal changes Lichens and Air Quality Workgroup http://ocid.nacse.org/research/airlichen/wor kgroup Plot Locations Methods and Data Plot area = 1 ac (0.38 ha) Epiphytic “Macrolichens” collected from all woody substrates above 0.5 m Rated in abundance on coarse 4 pt scale Plot-level variables Diversity Analysis 255 macrolichens on 1500 plots in western OR/WA Group >50% frequency 25-50% frequency Most common cyanolichens Species Platismatia glauca, Parmelia sulcata, Hypogymnia enteromorpha, Hypogymnia physodes, Hypogymnia inactiva, Tuckermannopsis chlorophylla, Usnea filipendula group Evernia prunastri, Tuckermannopsis orbata, Platismatia herrei, Sphaerophorus globosus, Ramalina farinacea, Hypogymnia imshaugii, Hypogymnia tubulosa, Alectoria sarmentosa, Parmelia hygrophila, Parmeliopsis hyperopta, Bryoria capillaris, Cladonia transcend Lobaria pulmonaria, Peltigera collina, Pseudocyphellaria anthraspis, Pseudocyphellaria anomala, Lobaria oregana, Nephroma helveticum, Nephroma resupinatum, Sticta fuliginosa, and Lobaria scrobiculata Diversity Analysis Alpha diversity: range 0-50 species, highest and lowest values in the OR Coast Range and Cascades, lower in WA than OR Beta diversity: highest in WA Coast Range and Puget Trough Gamma diversity: Highest in OR Western Cascades and Klamath Mtns ON-FRAME FIA PLOTS α diversity α SD β diversity γ diversity N Coast Coast Puget Willamette Klamath Western Western Southern Eastern Eastern Ranges Ranges Trough Valley Mtns Cascades Cascades Cascades Cascades Cascades WA OR WA OR OR WA OR OR WA OR 13.7 18.8 14.2 24.5 20.8 16.2 24.3 21.6 22.1 22.0 7.0 8.5 7.7 9.9 10.2 5.4 8.6 9.9 6.7 6.1 5.8 5.0 5.6 3.1 5.2 5.4 4.1 2.7 2.7 3.0 79 94 79 75 108 87 101 59 59 66 24 29 26 11 32 38 29 5 7 10 Choosing the area to be Modeled Mean Ann Precip Mean July Max Temp Mean Annual Extreme Min Temp Multi-variate Analysis Initial ordination Problem: pollution signal is not separate from elevation, precipitation, or % hardwood– cannot tell how pollution alone affects lichen communities Multivariate Analysis Solution: Balance the data set Assigned each plot to one of 12 gps. Began with 1500+ plots. Pollution (0/1) using threshold for clean sites %0.59 N, or urban Elevation (1,2,3): 0-800, 8012200, >2200 ft) Hardwoods (0/1): <20, >20% BA Sorted plots within each group by precipitation and random # Selected 30 plots from each group to represent the precipitation range in that group 90% of plots had tissue data Group Poll? HWD? Elev Precip # Plots 1 0 0 1 18-160 24 2 0 0 2 28-158 27 3 0 0 3 38-189 28 4 0 1 1 34-158 28 5 0 1 2 29-179 31 6 0 1 3 31-150 21 7 1 0 1 23-90 31 8 1 0 2 20-95 30 9 1 0 3 23-112 12 10 1 1 1 20-102 28 11 1 1 2 54-131 20 12 1 1 3 33-126 5 NMS Ordination Polluted? 0 1 Continentality CoastDis Lon Elev Axis 2 S Plagla N Plagla % Rel Hum PNVTemp Min Dec Temp Axis 1 AQ Gradient Model: Calibration Data Set 1.5 Area BLM CRGNSA GIP MBS and ONP MTH SIU UMP Urban Will Valley WIL Immediate Coast FIA-FHM Grid Elev CoastDis Longitude Continentality Axis 2 0.5 Air Pollution (tissue %N and %S) -0.5 Relative Humidity Mean Temp Min Dec Temp -1.5 -1.5 -0.5 0.5 Axis 1 1.5 Environmental Variable Max r2 Axis1 r2 Axis2 r2 Axis3 r2 CS Min DecTemp 0.629 0.004 0.629 0 Continentality 0.54 0.107 0.54 0.026 % N lichen tissue 0.529 0.529 0 0.004 Elevation 0.466 0.099 0.466 0 % S lichen tissue 0.457 0.457 0.002 0.002 Longitude 0.456 0.111 0.456 0.009 CoastDis 0.447 0.051 0.447 0.01 PNV MeanTemp 0.344 0.106 0.344 0.029 CS Relative Humidity% 0.328 0.087 0.328 0.014 CS Mean Ann Precip 0.24 0.24 0.012 0.078 Fog Effect 0.208 0.011 0.208 0.037 CS Max Aug Temp 0.208 0.208 0.037 0.125 CS No of Wet Days 0.175 0.175 0.005 0.138 CS Mean Dew Pt Temp 0.168 0.168 0.017 0.031 Latitude 0.149 0.038 0.009 0.149 Basal Area Live Trees 0.125 0.125 0.01 0.005 % BA Hardwoods 0.118 0.118 0.044 0.042 Pb ppm lichen tissue 0.084 0.084 0.01 0.028 Year 0.074 0.014 0.016 0.074 Age of oldest trees 0.073 0.001 0.073 0.005 Wet S dep kg/ha/yr 0.067 0.023 0.001 0.067 Wet N dep kg/ha/yr 0.054 0.024 0.008 0.054 Quadratic Mean Diameter 0.008 0.008 0.001 0.002 Multivariate Analysis Lichens of Polluted Areas Evernia prunastri Xanthoria polycarpa Physcia adscendens Ramalina farinacea Parmelia sulcata Physcia aipolia Melanelia exasperatula Candelaria concolor Physconia perisidiosa Physcia tenella Melanelia fuliginosa Physconia enteroxantha Melanelia subaurifera Xanthoria fallax Physconia isidigera Hypogymnia tubulosa Ramalina subleptocarpha Melanelia subelegantula Xanthoria candelaria r 0.77 0.71 0.68 0.61 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.28 0.27 0.26 Lichens of Clean Areas Sphaerophorus globosus Hypogymnia enteromorpha Hypogymnia appinata Lobaria oregana Alectoria sarmentosa Platismatia herrei Parmeliopsis hyperopta Pseudocypellaria anthraspis Nodobryoria oregana Usnea cornuta Cavernularia lophyrea Menegazzia terrebrata Pseudocypellaria crocata Platismatia norvegica Bryoria capillaris Usnea filipendula Nephroma bellum Cavernularia hultenii Bryoria fuscescens r -0.67 -0.56 -0.48 -0.47 -0.40 -0.37 -0.34 -0.30 -0.30 -0.29 -0.29 -0.28 -0.27 -0.26 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.24 -0.21 AQ and Climate Response Maps Bellingham Bellingham # # #[ # # # # # # [ # # ## # # # Port Angeles # # # # # # # [ [ [ [ ##[ [ ## # # [ #[ # # # # # [ [ # [ ## [ [ [ # [ [ [ [ # [##### # # [ # [ [ [ [ [ # [ # [ # Cities (pop.) 10,000 - 25,000 25,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 [ 100,000 - 200,000 [ 200,000 - 1,000,000 State (W of Cascades) Urban Areas # [ # # # [ # #[ # [ # #[ # # # # [ [ [ # [ Tacoma # [ # # # [ ## # # # # Centralia # # [ # # # # Longview [ [ Air Scores [ [ [ [ # [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Portland [ [ # [ [ [ Salem # [ Eugene Best AQ--All Sensitive Species Present (-1.4 - -0.19) Good AQ --90% Lobaria oregana quantile (-0.19 - -0.07) Moderate AQ--90% quantile for Usnea filipendula and Bryoria capillaris (-0.07 - 0.13) [ # Fair AQ--Some of the Most Sensitive Species Absent (0.13 - 0.24) # Degraded AQ--Most of the Sensitive Species Absent (0.24 - 0.35) Poor AQ--Weedy Nitrophilous Species Enhanced (0.35 - 0.49) Worst AQ--All Sensitive Species Absent (0.49 - 2) Roseburg [ [ Medford [ # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # [ # # ## # # # # # # ## ## ## ## ### # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## 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# ## ## # # # # ## # ## ## # # ## # ### ##### # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## ## # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## ## # # # # ## # # # # #### #[ #### # [ # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ### # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ### # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #### # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # #### # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # ## # [ # # # ### # # # # # ### # # # # # # # # [ [ Olympia # # [ [ # [ # # # ## [ # # # ### #### # # ## # ## # # ## # # [ # # # # # # # # # [ [ # Seattle [ [ # # # # [ [ [ # # # ## # [ # # # # ## # [ [ [ # # # [ [ # # ### ## # [ # ## [ # # # # Port Angeles # # # [ # # # # # [ # [ # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # Tacoma # # Olympia # Seattle # # # ## # ## # # # # # # # # ### ## ## # # ## ### # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ### # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # ### # # ### # # ## ### ### ##### ### ####### # ##### # # # # # # # ## #### # # # # # ## # # # ##### ################ # # # # # # ################# ## ### # # # # # # # # # # #### # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ### ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # ## ####### # # # # # # # #### # ## #### # # ## ### # # # # ## # ## ## ##### # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # ### # # # #### # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # ### # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ### # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #### # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # ## # # ## # # # # # # # #### # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## # # # # # # # # ## # # # # ### # # # ### # # # # # # Centralia Longview Portland Climate Score Maritime (-1.249 - -0.384) Valley (-0.384 - 0.051) Foothills (0.051 - 0.377) Montane (0.377 - 0.76) High Elevation (0.76 - 1.743) State (W of Cascades) Urban Areas Salem Eugene Roseburg Medford # # Air Pollution Response Maps Pollution indicators: X. polycarpa C. concolor Sensitive species: L. oregana S. globosus Statistic Sensitivity Max Score Quartile Median Quartile Min Score N Sphaero Alectoria Bryoria Lobaria phorus Usnea Usnea sarmentosa capillaris oregana globosus filipendula scabrata MeanSens Mean All Sens Quantile Sensitive Sensitive Sensitive Sensitive Sensitive Sensitive Sensitive Sensitive 100 0.30 0.32 0.21 0.55 0.88 0.58 0.47 0.40 97.5 0.15 0.21 0.05 0.13 0.49 0.44 0.24 0.21 90 -0.01 0.05 -0.07 0.03 0.14 0.11 0.04 0.02 75 -0.14 -0.08 -0.19 -0.09 0.03 -0.02 -0.08 -0.11 50 -0.29 -0.24 -0.32 -0.24 -0.12 -0.15 -0.23 -0.25 25 -0.43 -0.39 -0.46 -0.41 -0.27 -0.27 -0.37 -0.39 10 -0.57 -0.50 -0.66 -0.56 -0.41 -0.45 -0.52 -0.55 2.5 -0.75 -0.69 -0.84 -0.76 -0.55 -0.62 -0.70 -0.72 0 -1.00 -1.37 -1.19 -1.19 -1.37 -0.76 -1.14 -1.11 725 360 202 577 517 192 429 802 Candelaria Physcia Xanthoria concolor adscendens polycarpa MeanNitro Nitrophytic Nitrophytic Nitrophytic Nitrophytic 1.37 1.74 1.35 1.49 1.35 1.35 1.30 1.33 1.23 1.11 1.10 1.14 0.92 0.87 0.80 0.86 0.69 0.59 0.57 0.62 0.38 0.35 0.33 0.35 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.14 -0.21 -0.09 -0.09 -0.13 -0.42 -0.38 -0.19 -0.33 64 147 148 120 Standard Error Air Scores Bellingham [ Bellingham [ [ [ [ [ [ Port Angeles [ [ [ Port Angeles [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Seattle [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Olympia Tacoma Centralia [ Longview [ [ Tacoma [ [ Centralia [ [ Cities (pop.) 10,000 - 25,000 25,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 [ 100,000 - 200,000 [ 200,000 - 1,000,000 State (W of Cascades) Urban Areas Longview [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Olympia Seattle [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Cities (pop.) 10,000 - 25,000 25,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 [ 100,000 - 200,000 200,000 - 1,000,000 [ State (W of Cascades) Urban Areas [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Standard Error Kriged Air Scores 0.227 - 0.247 0.247 - 0.267 0.267 - 0.287 0.287 - 0.307 0.307 - 0.327 0.327 - 0.347 0.347 - 0.368 [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Portland [ [ [ [ [ [ Salem [ [ [ Eugene [ [ [ [ Roseburg [ [ Kriged Air Quality Scores [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Medford [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Portland [ [ [ [ [ Salem [ [ [ [ [ [ [ Eugene [ Roseburg [ [ Medford [ [ Best--All Sensitive Species Present; 75% Quantile for All Sensitive Species (-1.4 - -0.11) Good--All Sensitive Species Present; 90% Quantile for All Sensitive Species (-0.11 - 0.02) Fair--Some of the Sensitive Species Absent; 97.5% Quantile for All Sensitive Species (0.02 - 0.21) [ [ Percentage of Total Land Area in Each Air Quality Class Fair Polluted Degraded--Most of the Sensitive Species Absent (0.21 - 0.35) Poor--Weedy Nitrophilous Species Enhanced (0.35 - 0.49) Worst--All Sensitive Species Absent (0.49 - 2) Block kriged air quality scores based on 30 neighboring data points and 3 km grid. 9% 14% 7% 15% 8% 47% Good Conclusions Lichen communities show location and relative severity of air pollution impacts Low levels of anthropogenic nitrogen and sulfur (primarily as SO2, acid rain, and fertilizing N) detrimentally affect lichen communities. Combined with trends and instrument monitoring lichens provide a broad picture of relatively clean region with impacts primarily to: Corridors with densest population, high traffic volume, industrial development, multiple small point sources, and intensive agriculture In the 1990s the total area with some AQ deterioration was 24-38% Conclusions Future Information Needs Continued monitoring to detect trends Higher density of plots in some areas, lower in others Establish acceptable thresholds for tissue data and lichen community scores to aid decision-making processes. Better differentiation of effects of individual pollutants (NO3 and SO4 vs NH3, oxidants, F) on lichen communities Multi-methodologies approach: combine biomonitors, water and snow chemisry data with active/passive monitoring of ambient air and deposition Conclusions Air quality and our future Bottom Line: growing population equals growing transportation, food, and energy needs, therefore to maintain the same AQ requires stabilizing population, and/or reducing emissions. Acknowledgements Abbey Rosso Adam Blackwood Aimee Lundee Alexander Mikulin Anne Ingersoll Bruce McCune Carolina Hooper Cheryl Coon Chiska Derr Christine Lindquist Christine Ott-Hopkins Colleen Rash Cort Skolout Dan Powell Daphne Stone Deigh Bates Delphine Miguet Dottie Riley Doug Glavich Eric Peterson Eric Phenix Eric Youngstrom Heath Kierstead Heather Laub Jason Unrine Jen Kalt Jenifer Hutchinson Jim Belsher-Howe Jim Riley Jim Russell John Coulston John Kelley John Wade Jon Martin Julie Evans Ken Snell Ken Stolte Kim Gossen Kristin Myers Linda Chesnut Linda Hasselbach Mark Boyll Mark Pistrang Mike Kania Nancy Diaz Natalia Bonilla Pekka Halonen Riban Ulrich Richard Helliwell Rick Shorey Roger Eliason Roger Rosentreter Sally Campbell Sally Claggett Samuel Solano Sarah Butler Sarah Jovan Scott Rash Shanti Berryman Star Hormann Suzy Will-Wolf Tom High Trevor Goward Walter Foss Walter Grabowiecki William Bechtold Yarrow Wolfe