International Business Fourth Edition CHAPTER 7 The Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment 7-3 Chapter Focus This chapter examines the role of government in FDI. Through its actions, governments can encourage or discourage FDI by providing investment incentives or passing laws/implementing policies that restrict foreign investment. Political ideology influences government policy. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-4 Political Ideology and FDI Radical View McGraw-Hill/Irwin Pragmatic Nationalism Free Market © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-5 Radical View Marxist roots. An instrument of imperialist domination. Exploit host country for the benefit of the MNE. Keeps less developed countries relatively backward and dependent on capitalist nations for investment, jobs, and technology. Influential from 1945 to the 80s. Eastern Europe, China, Cuba, some African countries, Iran, and India. Failure. Collapse of Communism. Poor economic performance. Strong economic performance of countries embracing capitalism. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-6 Free Market View Roots in Smith and Ricardo. International production should be distributed among countries according to the theory of competitive advantage. Positive changes in laws and growth of bilateral agreements attest to strength of free market view. However, all governments, to some degree, intervene in the free market. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-7 Pragmatic Nationalism View FDI as having both benefits and costs. Governments tend toward FDI when benefits versus costs are high. Aggressively court FDI that has national interest ramifications, typically through tax breaks or grants. Technology. Employment. Balance of payment benefits. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-8 Political Ideology Toward FDI Ideology Characteristics Host-Government Policy Implications Radical Marxist roots Views the MNE as an instrument of imperialist domination Prohibit FDI Nationalize subsidiaries of foreign-owned MNEs Free Market Classical economic roots (Smith) Views the MNE as an instrument for allocating production to most efficient No restrictions on FDI locations Pragmatic Nationalism Table 7.1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Views FDI as having both benefits and costs Restrict FDI where costs outweigh benefits Bargain for greater benefits and fewer costs Aggressively court beneficial FDI by offering incentives © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-9 Benefits of FDI to Host Countries Direct Resource-Transfer Effects Capital Technology Employment Effects Indirect Balance-of-Payments Effects Management McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. US Balance-of-Payments Accounts 2000 $Millions Current Account Credits Export of goods, services and income Merchandise Services Income receipts on investments Imports of goods, services and income Merchandise Services Income payments on investments Unilateral transfers Balance of current account $1,069,531 7-10 Debits 773,304 296,227 345,394 $-1,797,061 -1,222,772 -215,239 -359,050 -53,241 -435,377 Capital Account Table 7.2 US assets abroad (net) Foreign assets in the US 952,430 Balance on capital account 399,081 Statistical discrepancy McGraw-Hill/Irwin -553,349 35,616 © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-11 FDI and Balance-of-Payments Current Account Deficit occurs when imports are greater than exports. Current Account Surplus occurs when exports are greater than imports. Capital Account records transactions that involve the purchase or sale of assets. McGraw-Hill/Irwin 3 B-of-P Consequences: When MNE establishes its foreign subsidiary, the host country benefits from initial capital inflow. If the FDI is a substitute for imports, it improves the host country’s balance of payments. Subsidiary is used for exports. © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-12 Effect on Competition and Economic Growth FDI can: Increase market competition. Lower prices. Greater consumer choice. Stimulate capital investments. Increase: Productivity. Product/process innovation. Economic growth. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-13 Costs of FDI to Host Countries Adverse Effects Adverse Effects on on the Competition Balance of Adverse Effects on Payments Drive out Sovereignty local and competitors Earnings & Autonomy imports hurt capital account McGraw-Hill/Irwin Key economic decisions made by ‘foreigners’ © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-14 Benefits and Costs of FDI to Home Countries Inward flow of earnings Initial capital outflow McGraw-Hill/Irwin Balance of Payments hurt Creates export demand Increased knowledge Potential reduction in home Substitute Sells country for back to exports employment home market © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-15 International Trade Theory and FDI Home-country concerns about offshore production may be misplaced. Offshore production refers to FDI undertaken to serve the home market. May increase employment by freeing home country resources to concentrate on activities where the home country has a competitive advantage. May lead to lower prices for consumers. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-16 Government Policy Instruments and FDI Home Country Policies Encourage Outward FDI Government backed risk insurance. Government loans. Eliminate double taxation. Political persuasion to relax restrictions on inbound FDI. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Restricting Outward FDI Limit capital outflows. Use tax code to encourage companies to stay home. Prohibitions against investing in certain countries (Cuba, Libya, Iran). © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-17 Government Policy Instruments and FDI Host Country Policies Encourage Inward FDI Offer investment incentives. Tax concessions. Low-interest loans. Grant/subsidies. Attempt to attract investment away from other countries. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Restricting Inward FDI Ownership restraints. Excluded from specific fields. National security. Competition. Restrictions on amount of ownership. Performance requirements. Local content. Technology transfer. Local participation in management © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-18 International Institutions and the Liberalization of FDI WTO OECD Developing nations have been reluctant to agree to liberalization. Developed nations have had problems agreeing on rules. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-19 The Context of Negotiation The four Cs Common Conflicting Interests Interests Negotiation Process Compromise Compromise Figure 7.1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Criteria © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 7-20 Determinants of Bargaining Power Bargaining Power of Firm High Low Firms time horizon Long Short Comparable alternatives open to firm Many Few Value placed by host government on investment High Low Table 7.3 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.