What is Economics? Economics is a study of how people go about using scarce (or limited) resources to satisfy their unlimited wants. Economics is concerned with the process of making choices in production, in consumption (and saving), and in investment under the conditions of scarcity. Economics is concerned with the efficiency in the use of scarce resources. Economics is concerned with the efficient use of scarce resources to achieve maximum satisfaction of human material wants. Who Should Study Economics? We are all economic beings. Wearing different hats, as consumers, savers, producers (workers), investors, and entrepreneurs we all make economic choices. Learning how to economize was probably a key to our survival as a species. As consumers, owners of economic resources, and/or producers, we are active participants in a socioeconomic system characterized by a set of rules, social norms, and traditions. Understanding the working of the economy and our own role in it helps us function more effectively (and successfully) as individuals and, at the same time, it makes us better citizens. Often the success of a functioning democracy highly depends on how well informed its citizens are. The Basic Economic Problem “SCARCITY” All economic resources are scarce. We individually and collectively (as a society) make our economic choices under the conditions of scarcity. Every economic choice entails an “opportunity cost.” The “opportunity cost” of an economic choices is the vale (or cost) of the next best (forgone) option. Some economic questions Is this a good time to buy a home? Is this a good time to buy a new car? Should I sign up for an economics course? Is a tax cut a good economic policy at this time? Is it a good idea to just get rid of the income tax? Is free trade good for the country? Should we privatize the Social Security retirement program? Should the government be responsible for providing health care for all citizens? Should the government pay for or subsidize scientific research? The Two Branches of Economics Microeconomics: A study of the behavior of individual economic units: consumers, firms, and government Macroeconomics: A study of the economy as whole or a study of economic aggregates: GDP and GDP growth, inflation, unemployment The Methodology of Economics An economic theory: A generalized statement of a proven economic fact constructed through induction, deduction or a combination of both An economic model: An abstract (simplified) representation of an economic relationship The need for abstraction Watch for pitfalls! Tools of analysis USE AND MISUSE OF GRAPHS Graphs used in economic analysis Perils in the interpretation of graphs Graphs Used In Economic Two-Variable Diagrams Variable = something measured by a number Examples: price and quantity View two variables together to see if they exhibit a relationship. TWO VARIABLES IN A TABLE Price and Quantity of Demand for Natural Gas in St. Louis Price (per thousand cubic feet) Quantity Demanded (billions of cubic feet per year) $2 $3 $4 $5 $6 120 80 56 38 20 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. TWO VARIABLES IN A GRAPH A Demand Curve for Natural Gas in St. Louis 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 P a b 2 Price Price D P 3 a b 2 D 1 1 Q Q 0 20 40 60 80 100120140 0 20 40 60 80 100120140 Quantity Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Quantity Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Straight Line Slope = ratio of vertical change to horizonta change Rise/run Measure of steepness of the line Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Straight Line Positive Slope = two variables rise and fall together The two variables move in the same direction. EXAMPLE OF POSITIVE SLOPE Y 0 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. X Ch 2: USE AND MISUSE OF GRAPHS Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Straight Line Negative slope = one variable rises while the other variable falls The two variables move in opposite directions. EXAMPLE OF NEGATIVE SLOPE Y 0 X Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. The Slope of a LineAnalysis Graphs Used InStraight Economic Zero slope = the variable on the horizontal axis can be any value while the variable on the vertical axis is fixed Horizontal line EXAMPLE OF ZERO SLOPE Y 0 X Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Straight Line Infinite slope = the variable on the vertical axis can be any value while the variable on the horizontal axis is fixed Vertical line EXAMPLE OF INFINITE SLOPE Y 0 X Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Straight Line Slope is constant along a straight line. Slope can be measured between any two points on one axis and the corresponding two points on the other axis. HOW TO MEASURE SLOPE Y Slope = 3/10 11 C 8 B A 0 3 13 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. X Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Curved Line Slope changes from point to point on a curved line. A curved line that is bowed toward the origin has a negative slope. The two variables change in opposite directions. NEGATIVE SLOPE IN CURVED LINES Y X 0 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Ch 2: USE AND MISUSE OF GRAPHS Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Curved Line A curved line that is bowed away from the origin has a positive slope. The two variables change in the same direction. POSITIVE SLOPE IN CURVED LINES Y X 0 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Curved Line A curved can have both a positive and negative slope depending on where on the curve is measured. BEHAVIOR OF SLOPES IN CURVED GRAPHS Y Y Negative slope 0 Positive slope X 0 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. X BEHAVIOR OF SLOPES IN CURVED GRAPHS Y Y Negative slope Positive slope Negative slope Positive slope 0 X 0 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. X Graphs Used In Economic Analysis The Slope of a Curved Line The slope at a point on a curved-line is measured by a line tangent to that point. MEASUREMENT OF SLOPE AT A POINT ON A CURVED LINE Y r 8 D 7 6 5 R t F C E 4 G T 3 r M 2 1 0 A t B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 8 9 10 X RAYS THROUGH THE ORIGIN Slope = +2 Slope = +1 Slope = +1/2 8 4 2 0 4 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. RAYS THROUGH THE ORIGIN Y Rays with a slope of 1 are equally far from both axes at all points 5 3 0 3 5 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. X AN ECONOMIC CONTOUR MAP Land (Acres) A 100 C D Q=30 Q = 20 B 20 Q=10 0 2 5 6 8 Fertilizer Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Time-Series Graphs Depict changes in a variable over time. Examples Wages per hour Investment per month Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per year NOMINAL GDP: AN ECONOMIC TIME-SERIES Billions of Dollars 8,000 Nominal GDP 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 '60 '65 '70 '75 '80 '85 Year Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. '90 '95 2000 Graphs Misinterpreting Time-Series Graphs Rising prices or population NOMINAL, REAL, AND PER CAPITA GDP 8,000 8,000 7,000 7,000 6,000 6,000 Per-capita Real GDP (right scale) 5,000 5,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 Real GDP (left scale) 2,000 1,000 1,000 0 2,000 '60 '65 '70 '75 '80 '85 '90 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. '95 2000 Year Dollars per Year Billions of Dollars per Year Nominal GDP (left scale) Perils in the Interpretation of Graphs Misinterpreting Time-Series Graphs Choice of beginning and ending periods STOCK PRICES, 1966 TO 1982 Dow Jones Industrial Average ($'83) 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 '66 '68 '70 '72 '74 '76 Year Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. '78 '80 '82 STOCK PRICES CORRECTED FOR INFLATION, 1925-1999 Dow Jones Industrial Average ($'88) 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 Kennedy expansion 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 '29 crash World War II '87 crash 1,000 500 Great Depression 0 '30 '40 '50 '60 '70 Year Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Reagan election '80 '90 '99 Perils in the Interpretation of Graphs Misinterpreting Time-Series Graphs Omission of the origin Perils in the Interpretation of Graphs Misinterpreting Time-Series Graphs Choice of units 1,100 1,050 1,010 1,000 0 Jan (a) Feb Pounds of Beef Sold per Month Hamburgers Sold per Month SLOPE DEPENDS UPON UNITS OF MEASUREMENT 280 270 260 250 0 Copyright 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Jan (b) Feb of Graphs Summary of Reasons for Misinterpreting Time-Series Graphs Rising prices or population Choice of beginning and ending periods Omission of the origin Choice of units Opportunity Cost: A demonstration The assumptions: An economy operating under: Given resources Given technology Full employment Full production Producing two goods Figure 1: The Production Possibilities Frontier Figure 2: Increasing Opportunity Cost of Saving a Life Figure 3: Technical Inefficiency Figure 4: The U.S. and the U.S.S.R. in World War II Table 1: Time Requirements for Berries and Fish Maryanne Gilligan 1 Quart of Berries 1 hour 1½ hours 1 Fish 1 hour 3 hours Table 2: Production Under Self-Sufficiency Maryanne Gilligan Total Island Quarts of Berries 5 2 7 Number of Fish 7 3 10 Table 3: Production with Specialization Maryanne Gilligan Total Island Quarts of Berries 0 8 8 Number of Fish 12 0 12 Draw a line representing the relationship described in each of the following statements: Note: Be sure to identify and label your axes. 1. As the weather gets warmer people eat more ice cream. 2. As the weather gets warmer people drink less coffee. 3. A higher price of gasoline make people use more public transportation. 4. Children tend to grow taller with age but at a certain age they stop growing. 5. As a result of lower interest rates real estate prices have increased.