State of the
Region
UALR
REGIONAL STEWARDSHIP
CONFERENCE
SEPTEMBER 14, 2004
A COUNCIL OF LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
FOUNDED IN 1955 to conduct long-range public infrastructure planning to support the growth
of the central Arkansas metropolitan area
MEMBERS = 5 Counties and 23 Cities in Central Arkansas
METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION
METROTRENDS - Economic and Demographic Review and Outlook
To Subscribe:
Metroplan
501 West Markham
Little Rock, Arkansas 72201
metroplan.org
CURRENT MAJOR ACTIVITIES:
METRO 2030 Long-Range Transportation Plan Update
Central Arkansas Clean Air Task Force
Mid-Arkansas Water Alliance
WHAT WE’LL TALK ABOUT
Why regions are important
Varying definitions of “regions” used in
central Arkansas
Some facts about our region, and others
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Enhanced Satellite Imagery
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1950’s Economic Competition
Shreveport and New Orleans, LA
Jackson, MS
Dallas and Ft. Worth, TX
Tulsa, OK
Springfield and St. Louis, MO
Memphis, TN
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21st CENTURY COMPETITION
Dallas-Ft. Worth
Houston
New Orleans
Jackson
Fayetteville
St. Louis
Kansas City
Chicago
Philadelphia
Charlotte
New York
Seattle
Portland
Los Angeles
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Toronto
Tokyo
Taipei
Hong Kong
New Delhi
Calcutta
Capetown
Cairo
Rome
Brussels
Madrid
Manchester
Dublin
Etc. etc.
In a Global Economy
Our metropolitan area is in competition with every
other metro economy on earth for talent, capital and
natural resources.
The more educated and skilled our workforce, the
higher our quality of life, the better our public
infrastructure supports our activities at a reasonable
tax rate, the more competitive we will be in the
world of the future.
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WHAT REGION ARE WE TALKING ABOUT?
IT DEPENDS ON WHAT SUBJECT WE ARE TALKING ABOUT
IN no country in the world has the principle of association been more
successfully used or applied to a greater multitude of objects than in
America.
As soon as several of the inhabitants of the United States have taken up an
opinion…which they wish to promote in the world, … they combine. From
that moment they are no longer isolated men, but a power seen from afar,
whose actions serve for an example and whose language is listened to.
Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America
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U.S. Major Market Areas
• Seattle
• Spokane
•
Portland
•
Billings
•
Minneapolis
• Boston
• Buffalo
Milwaulkee •
San
Francisco •
Oakland
San Jose
•
Salt Lake
City
• Des
Moines
Omaha •
•
Denver
Kansas
City
•
Witchita
•
Los Angels •
San Diego •
•
Albequerque
• Phoenix
• El Paso
Detroit •
•
•
Cleveland •
Chicago
Pittsburg
•
Columbus
•
Indianapolis• Cincinnati
•
St Louis
•
Louisville
• New York
• Philadelphia
• Washington
• Baltimore
• Richmond
Norfolk
• Knoxville
•
Nashville
• Charlotte
•
•
Memphis
•
Oklahoma
Little Rock
•
•
City
Birmingham Atlanta
•
Dallas
Jackson
•
Ft Worth
• Jacksonville
•
Tulsa
Houston
•
•
San Antonio
•
New Orleans
• Orlando
Tampa •
•
Miami
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Basic Trading Areas Within
Little Rock Major Market Area
Harrison
Fayetteville
Jonesboro
Fort Smith
Russellville
Little Rock
Hot Springs
Pine Bluff
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El Dorado
Arkansas Commuting Sheds
•
West Plaines, MO
BENT ON
CARROLL
•
Mt. Home
MARION
BOONE
•
Harrison
WASHINGT
ON
FUL TON
BAXTER
CLA Y
RANDOLPH
SHARP
GREENE
IZARD
MADISON
LA WRENCE
NEWT ON
•
SEARCY
MISSISSIPPI
ST ONE
Fayetteville
JOHNSON
POPE
VANBUREN
Fort Smith
CLEBURNE
•
Russellville
Jonesboro
POINSETT
CROSS
•
Searcy
YELL
WOODRUFF
ST.FRANCIS
PRAIRIE
LONOKE
PULASKI
MONTGOMER
POLK
HOW ARD
Y
•
Hot Springs
Stuttgart
•
PHILLIPS
ARKANSAS
GRANT
HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON
Pine Bluff
•
CLARK
SEVIER
MONROE
•
GARLAND
PIKE
LEE
Little Rock
•
DALLAS
CLEVELAND
Idabel, OK
LINCOLN
HEMPSTEAD
DESHA
NEV ADA
OUACHIT
A
DREW
CALHOUN
LITTLERIVER
BRADLEY
•
MILLER
Texarkana
•
Magnolia
COLUMBIA
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LAF AYETTE
ASHLEY
UNION
•
El Dorado
•Crossett
CHICOT
•
West Memphis
CRITTENDEN
PERR Y
SALINE
Blytheville
WHITE
FAULKNER
SCOTT
•
JACKSON
CONW AY
•
LOGAN
Batesville
Heber Springs
FRANKLIN
SEBASTIAN
•
•
INDEPENDENCE
CRA WFORD
•
CRAIGHEAD
TRANSPORTATION
Central Arkansas Regional Transportation Study
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1980-2000 LR-NLR MSA
Faulkner
Pulaski
Population
2000 Census
583,845
21.8 percent of state
Land Area
3,005 square miles
5.6 percent of state
Total Personal
Income 2001
$17.0 billion
28.7 percent of state
Per Capita Personal
Income 2001
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$28,845
Saline
Lonoke
2000 LR-NLR-MSA
Faulkner
Perry
Pulaski
Population
2000 Census
Land Area
610,518
22.8 percent of state
Saline
4,198 square miles
7.9 percent of state
Total Personal
Income 2001
Per Capita Personal
Income 2001
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$17.6 billion
28.7 percent of state
$28,457
Grant
Lonoke
LR-NLR-Pine Bluff-Searcy
Combined Statistical Area
White
Faulkner
Perry
Pulaski
Population
2000 Census
Land Area
785,024
29.4 percent of state
Lonoke
Saline
7,325 square miles
13.8 percent of state
Total Personal
Income 2001
Per Capita Personal
Income 2001
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$20.97 billion
Grant
Jefferson
34.2 percent of state
$26,447
Lincoln
Cleveland
WHAT TO MEASURE ABOUT THE
REGION?
Focused on Regional Goals
Economy
Education
Environment
Transportation
Community
Land Use/Housing
Goals For Central Arkansas -- 1974
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WHAT TO MEASURE ABOUT A
REGION
Some Measure Against Oneself Over
Time to Gauge Progress
Some Measure Against Competing
Regions
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Population Trend 1970-2000
With 2030 Projections
900,000
833,824
800,000
762,516
700,000
METRO 2030
METRO 2025
Census
600,000
583,845
500,000
400,000
300,000
1970
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1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Median Age in Central Arkansas
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Migration Trends 1980-1990 & 1990-2000
Faulkner
1980 - 1990
1990 - 2000
+10,700
+20,900
1980 - 1990
1990 - 2000
Saline
-22,900
-24,300
Lonoke
Pulaski
1980 - 1990
1990 - 2000
1980 - 1990
1990 - 2000
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+ 7,640
+16,134
+ 2,700
+11,300
Percent Growth
Average Annual Percent
Population
Growth
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URBAN FORM
Little Rock - North Little Rock
Metro Area
18th Most Sprawling Metro Area
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Components Rankings for LR/NLR MSA
Component
Score
Housing Density
77.5
7
Mix of Housing, Jobs, Services
68.27
10
Street Connectedness
88.17
30
105.86
49
Strength of Centers
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Rank
Overall Sprawl Rankings
Metro Area
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
18.
83.
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Riverside/San Bernardino, CA
Greensboro/Winston-Salem NC
Raleigh/Durham NC
Atlanta, GA MSA
Greenville/Spartanburg, SC MSA
W. Palm Beach/Boca Raton FL, MSA
Bridgeport/Stamford CT NECMA
Knoxville, TN MSA
Oxnard/* CA MSA
Ft. Worth, TX PMSA
LR/NLR AR MSA
NYC, NY PMSA
Rating
14.2
46.8
54.8
57.7
58.6
67.7
68.4
68.7
77.2
77.2
82.2
177.8
Regional Comparisons
Metro Area
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10.
13.
18.
21.
23.
24.
31.
32.
35.
43.
59.
74.
76.
Ft. Worth, TX PMSA
Dallas, TX PMSA
LR/NLR, AR
Oklahoma City, OK MSA
Birmingham, AL MSA
Baton Rouge, LA MSA
Memphis, TN-AR-MS MSA
Houston, TX PMSA
St. Louis, MO-IL MSA
Tulsa, OK MSA
Austin, TX MSA
New Orleans, LA MSA
Portland, OR MSA
Rating
77.23
78.26
82.27
85.58
87.97
90.13
92.15
93.30
94.51
99.06
100.26
125.39
126.12
Growth in Workers & Jobs 19902000
FAULKNER
15,461
PERR Y
1,258
12,701
152
LONOKE
8,187
PULASKI
3,175
SALINE
8,135
10,691
29,730
5,661
Growth in W orkers
GRANT
(by place of residence)
Growth in Jobs
1,433
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944
(by place of work)
Commuting Destinations of
Resident Workers - 2000
41,855
FAULKNER
32.9%
4,380
PERR Y
70.7%
174,066
25,006
39,456
PULASKI
5.5%
LONOKE
61.9%
SALINE
62.8%
7,449
GRANT
59.0%
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W orking in resident county
W orking outside resident county
Mean Travel Time
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1990
2000
Change in
Minutes
Percent
Change
USA
22.4
25.5
3.1
13.8
LR-NLR MSA
19.9
22.9
3.0
15.1
Faulkner Co.
21.8
24.8
3.0
13.8
Lonoke Co.
23.5
27.5
4.0
17.0
Pulaski Co.
18.4
20.8
2.4
13.0
Saline Co.
24.2
27.0
2.8
11.6
Annual Percent Employment Growth 1993-2003
4
3
2
LR-NLR
USA
1
0
1993
-1
-2
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1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
1990-2002 Unemployment
LR-NLR vs Arkansas and National Averages
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Percent Employment Change by Industry 2000-2003
Government
Other Services
Leisure/Hospitality
Education/Health
USA
LR-NLR
Professional/Business
Financial
Information
Trade/Transport/Util
Manufacturing
Construction
-30
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-20
-10
0
10
20
Percent of Population In Poverty
25
1990
2000
Percent
20
15
10
5
13.1
19.1
12.4
13.5
15.8
13.8
12.1
14.9
12.5
14.1
10.5
9.3
13.3
7.2
0
USA
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Arkansas
LR-NLR MSA
Faulkner
Lonoke
Pulaski
Saline
K-12 Public School Enrollment
Percent Enrollment
as Percent of Total Enrollment 1970-2000
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Percent
Educational Attainment
Comparison
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Percent
Education Attainment in Selected
South Central Metros
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2000 Cost of Living Index for
Selected South Central Metro
Areas
LR-NLR
MSA 88.0
Fayetteville
MSA 89.7
Memphis
MSA 90.1
Tulsa
MSA 92.6
Nashville
MSA 92.6
Oklahoma
MSA 93.5
Dallas
PMSA 99.5
UA Average
100.0
Baton Rouge
MSA 105.8
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70
75
80
85
90
ACCRA Index
95
100
105
110
“Even if you’re on the right track, you’ll
get run over if you’re standing still”
--Will Rogers
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