Why operate internationnally? • Why are some firms more active internationnally than others? • What are the costs and benefits of being internationnally active? • Why do we see more and more firms active internationnally? • Is the trend towards greater internationalization likely to continue? Why Operate Internationnally? 1. Compete with Foreign Firms in one own’s country • Get domestic prestige from selling abroad • Learn about world class products and processes • “Exchange of Hostages” Why Operate Internationnally? 2. Sell to Foreign Customers Two main strategies: • Arbitrage • Replication Arbitrage vs. Replication • Arbitrage benefits from international heterogeneity • Replication benefits from international homogeneity Arbitrage • = take advantage of international differences in • availability of factors (including culture and administrative infrastructure) • relative cost of factors (Comparative advantage) labor capital natural resources Replication Exploit Scale Economies – Plant level – Firm level Exploit learning curve advantages Exploit relational investments: Follow the customer Replication: Scale Economies • Relationship between volume of production per unit of time and average cost of production • Driven by fixed costs • The higher fixed cost, the higher the volume of output for which costs are the lowest (the Minimum Efficient Scale) average cost AC2 AC1 MES2 MES1 Economies of Scale output/ time Plant-level scale economies • The higher a plant’s fixed cost, the higher its minimum efficient scale (MES) • The higher a plant’s MES, the lower its costs at MES ouput • The higher a plant’s MES, the lower the number of plants necessary to serve the market • plant level scale economies are exploited internationally through exports Gillette’s Mach 3 • Highly automated, capital intensive process • Two factories worldwide • Sold in 100 countries within 18 months of launch Barriers to the exploitation of plant-level scale economies (1) • Transportation costs • Government barriers – Tariffs and quotas – Standards and regulations – National preferences Barriers to the exploitation of plant-level scale economies (2) • • • • • • • Heterogeneous tastes due to environmental differences social differences economic differences Risk of concentrating production political risk foreign exchange risk average cost AC2 AC1 MES2 MES1 Economies of Scale output/ time Firm-level scale economies • Due to high fixed cost of intangibles • R&D, experience, know-how, reputation • The higher the investment, the higher the firm’s MES • The higher the firm’s MES, the higher the return on investment in intangibles • Firm-level scale economies are compatible with multiplant operation Gillette’s Mach 3 • 6 years of R&D • >$1b investment ($750m for R&D, $300m for launch) • sold in 100 countries within 18 months (5 years for Sensor) Cost of Original TV Programming as a Multiple Of Bought Programming 0 Ireland (RTE) Germany (ARD) Denmark (DR) Italy (RAI) Britain (ITV) Germany (ZDF) Britain (BBC) France (France 2) Spain (RTVE) Britain (BSkyB) Source: Screen Digest 2 4 6 8 Barriers to the exploitation of firm-level scale economies • Heterogeneous tastes • Government barriers • Management costs Economies of scale • Applicable to services as well as manufacturing • Different activities in the value chain have different MES (ex: hotel management vs. reservation system) • subcontracting, franchising, alliances and joint ventures Process time per unit (hr) 0.30 0.25 0.20 Learning curve 0.15 0.10 Learning period Standard time 0.05 0,00 0 50 100 150 200 Cumulative units produced 250 300 average cost AC2 AC1 MES2 USA A MES1 Japan Economies of Scale EU output/ time Scale economies and global competition (1) • Firms expand abroad when MES is larger than domestic market • plant-level scale economies = exports • firm-level scale economies = foreign production and/or exports • When MES is large relative to the size of the domestic market, expanding abroad lower costs Scale economies and global competition (2) • A firm should sell abroad if its MES is large relative to its domestic market • a firm can be large but remain domestic if its home market is large • a firm can be small but international if it operates in a niche market Scale economies and global competition (3) • A firm’s level of globalization results from the interplay between its scale economies and the barriers to their exploitation Keeping barriers to exploitation constant… • Small plant and/or firm scale economies: local • Medium plant and/or firm scale economies: multidomestic • High plant and/or firm scale economies: global Local Industries: beauty salons • Factors pushing for replication-based globalization are low • Very low plant-level scale economies • Very low firm-level scale economies • Factors hindering replication-based globalization are high • Heterogeneous tastes • High transportation costs Multidomestic industries: coffee • Factors pushing for replication-based globalization are medium low • Low firm-level scale economies • Low plant-level scale economies • Factors hindering replication-based globalization are medium high • Heterogeneous tastes • High transportation costs Kraft Coffee Brands • • • • • • • • United States Canada France Scandinavia Italy Germany U.K. Japan • • • • • • • • Maxwell House, Sanka, Yuban Maxwell House, Sanka, Nabob J.Vabre, Grand’Mere, Carte Noire Gevalia Splendid Jacobs, Jacobs Kronung, Onko, HAG Maxwell House, Kenco, HAG Blendy, Maxim Global industries: airframes (1) • Factors pushing for replication-based globalization are very high • High plant-level economies of scale • High firm level economies of scale • Steep experience curve • Benefits to global reputation • Need for worldwide service Global industries: airframes (2) • Factors hindering replication-based globalization are low • Homogeneous tastes • Low transportation costs • Low government barriers Scale economies and global competition (4) • Plant-level and firm-level scale economies are drivers of globalization • plant- level scale economies lead to tight configuration (few plants export worldwide) • Firm-level scale economies lead to tight coordination (many plants but coordinated strategy) • Tight configuration maximizes plant-level scale economies (e.g. Boeing) • Tight coordination maximizes firm-level scale economies • speed of introduction to recoup R&D • global coverage to discourage imitation • to safeguard reputation (consistency in quality and marketing) Types of International Strategies Firm-level economies of scale High = Need for coordination Global (Multiplant) Global Multidomestic Global (export-based) Low Low High Plant-level Economies of scale = Need for configuration History of globalization (1) • US: 1860-1910: from regional to national • railroads and telegraph: transportation and communication costs fall, tastes homogenized • no government barriers • larger markets = higher fixed costs = higher MES = larger firms, expand abroad Scale economies in oil refining, 1880-1900 Before After rationalization rationalization Refinery Throughput 1500-2000 5000-6500 Price (c/gallon) 1.5 0.45 History of globalization (2) • The Great Depression • Post WWII: from national to global • Jet airplane, telephone, TV, global media = lower communication costs, homogenized tastes • containers, megaships = lower transportation costs • lower tariffs Transport and communication costs 1930=100, 1990 dollars 120 100 80 Average ocean-freight and port charges per short ton of cargo 60 Average air-transport cost per passenger mile 40 Cost of three-minute telephone call New York to London 20 0 1930 40 50 60 70 Source: Institute for International Economics 80 90 Post WWII • Increased plant MES • (MES of cars x 3 between 1960 and 1975) • Increased scale of innovation • (average cost of developing drug x 4) • Result: globalization of firms through exports and foreign production Transport costs Revenue per ton mile, cents* 10 100 8 80 Air freight Rail 6 60 4 40 2 Barge (inland waterways) 20 0 0 1980 85 *Revenue used as a proxy for prices; adjusted for inflation Source: McKinsey Global Institute 90 95 99 Telecom costs $’000 per year† for two Mbps fibre leased line, half circuit‡ 1.000 750 India 500 Philippines 250 United States Ireland 0 1996 1997 †January 1998 1999 figures ‡International leased line for India; long-distance domestic leased line in the US Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2000 2001 Decline in industrial tariff rates Countries’ tariffs Average tariffs, % 50 40 30 20 10 0 1940 50 60 Sources: Centre for International Economics; GATT; IMF 70 80 90 2000 Future of Arbitrage Reduction in transportation costs dissociates locus of production from that of consumption Reduction in telecom costs will lead to dramatic increase in outsourcing of services Future of Replication • • • • • • • • Factors pushing for globalization Plant level scale economies Firm level scale economies Factors hindering globalization Communication costs Transportation costs Government barriers Globalization backlash Replication Strategies (1) • Increase plant and firm-level scale economies • Decrease factors that hinder globalization • transportation cost • taste differences • government barriers Replication Strategies (2) • • • • Caterpillar L. M. Ericsson Honda Motorcycles Ikea IKEA’s Strategy of Replication • Factors Impeding Globalization • IKEA’s Response – labour intensive production process – capital intensive production of standard components assembled by customer – high transportation costs of assembled furniture – ship components in flat packs carried and assembled by customer – heterogeneous tastes – modern design; low cost Destruction of Replication • Demand increases caused by MNE sales of standard products makes it economical to produce local variants • Local producers are better able to produce these variants Arbitrage strategies Discover and exploit international differences in culture, administrative infrastructure, and factor costs Most firms marry arbitrage and replication Create global brand and source from lowest cost location e.g. Acer, Dell Conclusions (1) • Level of globalization is net result of factors pushing for and factors hindering it • Varies across industries • Given the added cost of operating abroad, not all firms should be global Conclusions (2) • International activities are based on arbitrage and replication • Arbitrage benefits from international heterogeneity • Replication benefits from international homogeneity Conclusions (3) • A firm can pursue successful replication by increasing firm and plant scale economies and decreasing the factors hindering globalization • There is often a high payoff from being the first entrant in a new global industry