Statistics for Journalism Test 3A PROBLEM 1. A statistical institute has carried out a survey to predict the voting habits of first time voters, currently of ages 18 to 20 in the next elections in the UK. The number of people sampled was 3000. It is wished to study the relationship between the intention to vote and age. Let X = Political party and Y = age of the respondent: Conservative Labour Liberal Nationalist groups Independents 18 450 250 145 19 300 270 170 20 210 330 200 95 50 150 115 180 85 Which one of the following options is correct? a) b) c) d) Solution a) 33.5% of the people sampled are under 20 years old. 5.67% of the people sampled are 19 year old Liberal voters. 10% of the people sampled are Independents. 10% of 19 year olds are Conservative voters. b) c) d) PROBLEM 2. Following from the previous question, signal the correct answer. a) b) c) d) Solution a) 31.76% of the people who intend to vote Labour are 20 years old. 29.41% of the prospective Labour voters are 19 years old. 29.41% of the prospective Labour voters are 18 years old. 38.82% of the people who intend to vote Labour are 19 years old. b) c) d) PROBLEM 3. The table shows the Gross National Product per head in US dollars in 2008 and 2009 for the G8 countries. Country Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia UK USA GNP 2008 x 42030 45981 44471 38309 38443 11339 43088 46716 GNP 2009 y 39217 42091 39442 34955 39573 8874 35728 46443 The covariance between the two variables is 116000000 and the correlation is 0,974. The Libyans prefer to measure GNP in Libyan dinars. The dollar dinar Exchange rate is (approximately) 1 dollar = 2 dinars. Measuring the GNP per head in Libyan dinars, which of the following options is correct? a) b) c) d) Solution a) Both the covariance and the correlation do not change. The correlation is 0.2475 and the covariance does not change. The covariance is 464000000 and the correlation doesn’t change. Both the covariance and the correlation change to a quarter of their previous values. b) c) d) PROBLEM 4. The following table shows information about the daily sales of newspapers for each 1000 inhabitants of 8 Spanish Communities and the economic production of the community based on the PIB (Producto Interiór Bruto) per resident. PIB 8.3 9.7 10.7 Sales 57’4 106’8 104’4 Fuente: INE. Anuario Estadístico. 11.7 131’9 12.4 144’6 15.4 146’4 16.3 177’4 17.2 186’9 Supposing a linear relation between these variables, we obtain the following regression line which explains the number of papers sold per 1000 inhabitants in terms of the PIB per resident in 1000’s of euros: y= −23.55 + 12.23x What would be the predicted sales in a community with PIB per resident equal to 15.000 euros? a) b) c) d) 159.9 examples 159.9 examples for each 1000 inhabitants 183.430 examples 183.430 examples for each 1000 residents Solution a) b) c) d) PROBLEM 5. A US newspaper is carrying out a study on racism in the US army. They have calculated the following scatterplot shows the percentages of coloured military recruits (y) against the general population size (x) for various US states. Which of the following regression lines is correct? a) b) c) d) Solution a) y = 1.08x y=9.55-1,08x y=9.55+1,08x y=-9.55-1,08x b) c) d) CHULETARIO OFICIAL n X xi i 1 n n 2 xi S2x i1 ( x ) 2 n n x y i i ( x y) Cov(X, Y) i1 n Cov(X, Y) r (X, Y) Sx S y b Sy Cov(X, Y) r ( X , Y ) Sx S2x a y (b x ) Espacio reservado para cálculos