NIGERIA TRADE, INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS POLICY FRAMEWORK 1 T H E 1 8 TH N I G E R I A N E C O N O M I C S U M M I T T H E M E : D E R E G U L AT I O N , C O S T O F G O V E R N A N C E A N D N I G E R I A ’ S ECONOMIC PROSPECTS T R A N S C O R P H I LT O N , A B U J A DECEMBER 3 -5, 2012 DR KEN IFE L E A D C O N S U LTA N T, E C O W A S C O M M I S S I O N ( P R I VAT E S E C TO R D E V E L O P M E N T ) C H A I R M A N , W O R K I N G G R O U P O N T R A D E F A C I L I TAT I O N (MINISTERIAL COMMITTEE ON TRADE POLICY REVIEW ) Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) NIGERIA TRADE, INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS POLICY FRAMEWORK: APPROACH PAPER TRADE & COMPETITIVENESS THE STRATEGIC CONTEXT 1) KEY TRADE ISSUES & CHALLENGES 2) TRADE PERFORMANCE & COMPETITIVENESS: TRADE FACILITATION 3) TRADE FACILITATION & THE ROLE OF CUSTOM 4)TRADE POLICY PERSPECTIVES NIGERIA TRADE POLICY & WTO TRADE POLICY REVIEW 5) NIGERIA TRADE STRATEGY INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS 1) KEY INVESTMENT ISSUES & CHALLENGES 2) TYPES OF INVESTMENT 3) QUALITY OF INVESTMENT Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 2 4) INVESTMENT: LINK TO GROWTH, VALUE ADDITION, EMPLOYMENT & POVERTY REDUCTION 5)THE INFRASTRUCTURE CHALLENGE & THE ROLE OF PPPs 6) INVESTMENT & SUSTAINABILITY INCLUDING LOCAL CONTENT 7) INVESTMENT CLIMATE, REFORMS & COMPETITIVENESS 8) NIGERIA INVESTMENT POLICY PERSPECTIVES 9) NIGERIA INVESTMENT STRATEGY 10)THE ECOWAS REGIONAL DIMENSION THE STRATEGIC CONTEXT 3 INTRODUCTION Trade openings are created by bilateral, multilateral, regional and domestic economic opportunities. To exploit these would require investment in hard, soft and trade related infrastructure. You will also need to invest in the productive capacity and the service delivery platform. To break into the market and grow, you need to be competitive. Hence we need a policy framework, competitive strategy, and a plan of action/road map, and then, a implementable action plan. 1) Employment a key macro-economic objective. Has received the least attention as quality of investment is hardly considered 2) Other macro-economic objectives seem to head in opposite directions – high growth but not embedded in employment intensive industries, Monetary policies including exchange rates & interest rates, balance of trade etc not supportive of growth in non-oil export sector Fiscal policies, border and port controls hurting trade and pushing up costs NET RESULT OF INEFFECTIVE TRADE RELATED GOVERNANCE Restrictive trade policies Repressive investment and business environment Prohibitive production cost and transportation/logistics costs Uncompetitive export economy Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) TRADE & COMPETITIVENESS 1) KEY TRADE ISSUES & CHALLENGES Security challenges Dominance of the Oil sector – 93 % of the export revenue but 15.85% of the GDP Decline in non-oil export – which has dropped from 2.5%(1981) to 0.2%(2005) Contracting manufacturing capacity and declining national competitiveness. 8.4% of GDP(1980) to 4.16% of GDP(2010) Shortage of Energy No industrial cluster- energy strategy nor energy efficiency programmes Restrictive, repressive and oppressive trade, investment and business environment Prohibitive production cost and transportation/logistics costs Low level of educated and technically skilled workforce (of the 1m construction workforce, 300,000 are immigrant labour) Capital flight . Improved business climate will encourage repatriation of Nigerian capital Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 4 2) TRADE PERFORMANCE & COMPETITIVENESS Improving Customs revenue collection efficiency can drastically reduce transaction costs on import/export and hence the competitiveness Nigeria’s persistent poor trade performance indicators provides evidence that Nigeria’s trade is performing far below her economic potential and customs revenue potential. These are characterised by poor, underdeveloped and degraded trade related infrastructure and information asymmetry. TRADE & COMPETITIVENESS(Contd) 3) TRADE FACILITATION & THE ROLE OF CUSTOM Defined “the simplification and harmonization of international trade procedures” TF framework: GATT Article V – (Freedom of Transit- which includes transport, transit and infrastructure); GATT Article VIII – Fees and Formalities connected with importation and exportation and; GATT Article X – (Transparency – require all trade regulations to be clearly published and fairly administered). 59 WTO Trade Facilitation Standards The transaction costs of the type amenable to improvements in trade facilitation programmes represent between 3 and 15 percent of total transaction value, worldwide. Nigeria is among the highest. A reduction of 10 percent in transaction costs (import and export) could save Nigeria an estimated $17 billion per year! (Nigeria CIA-Handbook [2011 estimated]: Export $101billion, Imports $67billion) Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 5 Strategic Management Issues - Adequacy of hard, soft, quality infrastructure to support efficient & effective Customs Service and ensure greater stakeholder engagement. Resources - Adequacy of necessary human, financial & technical resources to implement customs transparent clearance procedures Legal Framework – domestication of appropriate international instrument. Systems and Procedures – Harmonising customs policies, systems and procedures that reduce the high cost and length of time of transit/reduce fraudulent and high risk goods. Information and Communication Technologies - The increased use and application of ICT – National Single Window, e-trade portal and web based resources. Integrity - Implementation status of revised Arusha Declaration with code of conduct, performance standards, client charter and properly trained staff etc External Cooperation - Problems of availability of information to interested parties on multi-lateral, bilateral trade and regional agreements. TRADE PERFORMANCE – A MATTER OF GRAVE CONCERN 6````````````` `````````````` `````````````` `````````````` `````````````` ````````````` Nigeria is consistently at the bottom quarter (and worsening) of all known trade performance indicators Some Key Performance Indicators – why Govt must take urgent action 9 Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 3 Nigeria's index of economic freedom[1] score is 56.3, making its economy the 116th freest in the 2012 index. its score is 0.4 point lower than last year, reflecting declines. These consistent under performance shows Nigeria trade as performing far below her economic potential and clearly underline the grossly under-developed trade related infrastructure and information asymmetry between the trade governance community and other stakeholders. www.heritage.org/index/country/nigeria Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Some Key Performance Indicators – Just look at Nigeria ! 7 Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Comparison of Customs Revenues Collected per Staff 8 •The table below on customs efficiency shows just how much Nigeria lags behind in terms of revenue collection per staff (see Table below). •Table 1: A Comparison of Customs Revenues Collected per Staff Country Kenya Romania FYROM Russia Armenia Tajikistan Bulgaria Thailand Bosnia-Herzegovina Albania Iran Indonesia Pakistan Cameroon Philippines Tunisia Vietnam Kazakhstan Serbia Nigeria Georgia Moldova Customs revenue collected per staff 954,181 838,587 646,282 644,134 603,925 520,545 497,917 474,051 466,306 420,952 407,122 392,067 378,169 370,370 356,739 342,216 340,460 321,695 288,112 153,846 153,530 145,257 Sources: Data from Trade and Transportation Facilitation in Southeast Europe Project, and various sources for other African countries. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Year 2003 2003 2004 2004 2006 2002 2002 2004 2003 2003 2003 2003 2006 2006 2003 2005 2004 2004 2004 2006 2003 2003 4) THE NIGERIA TRADE POLICY PERSPECTIVES 9 The Goal - The goal of Nigeria Trade Policy is to promote the development of a private sector led growth, diversification of our economy and encourage investment in productive capacity /(value addition) and the distribution of goods and services for domestic, regional and international markets Import Policy - Nigeria is committed to honouring all international trade agreements it entered into and progressively liberalising with due regards to promoting investment in the productive efficiency and competitiveness of our local industries, particularly in areas where we have comparative advantages. Nigeria is also committed to the reduction and simplification of tariff bands(as in ECOWAS CET), which no doubt, will increase the efficiency of customs operation Export Policy - Nigeria is committed to increased export and diversification to non-oil sector through investment in value addition and the establishment and promotion of Export Processing Zones with significant incentives for the investors. We will build sustainable export capacity through investment in quality infrastructure and strengthening institutional, technical and organisational capacities to meet international quality standards and conformity assessment requirements. Investment - Nigeria is committed to strengthening the Nigeria Investment Promotion Commission, the establishment of One Stop Shops for investors and to the modernisation of our retail, distributive trade and other service sectors. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) TRADE & COMPETITIVENESS (Contd) 5) NIGERIA TRADE STRATEGY Trade Strategy Objectives To increase value addition and diversify to non-oil export sectors and increase its contribution to GDP To encourage investment in petroleum and gas down-stream industries To increase existing trade volumes in traditional export markets and explore new markets To reduce the cost, time and documentation requirement for export and import and other non-tariff barriers To promote investment in trade and trade related infrastructure and create sustainable employment and reduce poverty To encourage partnership and synergy with the Trade Facilitation stakeholders Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 10 TRADE STRATEGY : 5 – PILLAR FRAMEWORK PILLAR 1 : REGULATORY REFORMS (ENABLING INVESTMENT CLIMATE) Investment friendly environment A dynamic and entrepreneurial National Trade Policy Package of fiscal incentives and longer term planning and fiscal horizon Sectoral intervention funding and support for trade related infrastructure Strategic use of Export Expansion Grant and other instruments Effective Competition Law and other enabling laws such as the modernised Customs (CEMA) Act 2011 Greater PPP and private sector engagement in trade policy formulation and service delivery Strategic framework(contd) PILLAR 2: COMPETITIVE STRATEGY Product selection strategy – (product of comparative 11 advantages)- cocoa, hydes & skin, oil seed, rubber, seseme seeds, cotton, cashew nuts, shea nuts, mangoes, pineapple, herbs, ginger, starch Lowering the entry and exit barriers Integrated value chain approach(vertical horizontal integration) based in the export processing zones accessing export expansion grant Increasing access to industrial cluster premises in EPZ Building competitive capacity (quality standards, conformity assessment around SPS, TBT and NTBs etc) Access to Cluster & sectoral intervention funds. Creating knowledge assets & e-trade portal Economic diplomacy & trade reciprocity Subsidies on areas of market failure Asymmetric trade liberalisation in EPA context Offensive strategies that exploit temporary windows within WTO rules without invoking import ban and import licence or high levy Defensive strategies & early warning systems Nigeria foreign trade desks & investment centres (PPPs) in key target oversea markets for state govts and federal govt Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) PILLAR 3: INFRASTRUCTURE(HARD & SOFT) Quality infrastructure (product /market assessment, product testing, standards, metrology, certification & inspection) Cold chain & export conditioning centres ( network of 6 export conditioning centres, plus integrated cold chain/supply chain and logistics management) Fresh produce ports (required at the sea ports and international airports with loading bays and docking stations) to increase backhaul capacity Power (industrial processing clusters in export processing zones and elsewhere) Access feeder roads to farmlands Water / dams/ irrigation (for commercial agriculture and out-growers scheme) Export Processing Zones & Free Trade areas Strategic framework(contd) 12 PILLAR 4: TRADE FACILITATION Trade Facilitation Task Force Reducing clearance times, costs and number of documents required Urgent implementation of National Single Window & Regional Single Window Trade performance indicators ( very poor on all indicators) Suppressing non-tariff barriers; meeting standards; labelling, traceability and rules of origin Meeting sanitary & phyto-sanitory requirements Overcoming technical barriers & specifications Customs facilitation AEO & expedited clearance Transit goods & ECOWAS trade liberalization scheme Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) PILLAR 5: MARKET PENETRATION STRATEGIES INTERNATIONAL MARKET Value addition, manufacturing partnerships & packhouses in foreign markets Targeting existing products (Cocoa, Hydes & Skin, Oil Seed, Rubber, Seseme, Cotton, Cashew nuts) and diversifying to new markets such as China, Japan, India, UK and Brazil Targeted markets(Netherlands [34%], Germany [10%], Italy [8%], Spain [5%], Japan [4%], Turkey [4%], China [4%], Canada [3%], Belgium [2%], UK [2%] ) Establishment in Nigeria of foreign Supermarket & Retail Chains and extension of Shoprite Establishment by foreign Retail Chains of Commercial Agriculture, Out-growers Scheme and value addition facilities in the Export Processing Zones/Free Trade Areas Other products to target for introduction (Shea nuts, Mangoes, Pineapple, Herbs, Ginger, Starch ) International Exhibition and Foreign Direct Investment promotion Strategic framework(contd) 13 REGIONAL MARKET Targeted products (Aluminium products, Metals/Mining products, Plastics/Rubber, Textile/Clothing, Tobacco products, Acacia Gums, Fish) Targeted markets (Ghana [41%], Niger [20%], Togo [15%], Burkina Faso [8%], Benin [8%] & Cote D’ Ivoire [5%]) Establishment of regional value chains (Pineapple, Mangoes, Yam, Cassava, Potatoes, Millet, Sorghum ) Regional Exhibition and Investment Promotion Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) DOMESTIC MARKET Domestic market (Focus on Trade, Domestic Investment Mobilisation & Employment Generation) Commercial Agri-business and out-growers scheme Retail in Motion (conversion of 10million informal retailers) – high growth sector Value addition, improved compliance on Health, Nutrition, Food safety and quality standards and quality assurance Supermarket revolution and impact of food quality and food local content Fast food franchise (grows at 40% per annum) Supply Chain Development INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS 1) KEY INVESTMENT ISSUES & CHALLENGES Lack of investment policy framework for attracting and regulating the activities of investors (both domestic and foreign) over the years, though a myriad of incentives are offered ranging from tax holidays to government credits; The limited efficacy of incentive policies in attracting investment; Lack of clear procedures and establishment conditions for investments as well as bureaucratic bottlenecks and a monitoring framework Slow removal of high import tariffs /restrictive trade and industrial policies which has led FDI to concentrate only on tariff-jumping; Inadequate infrastructure/skilled human resources Lack of or limited information about changes in the investment climate An unstable political and social environment; cumbersome legislation and procedures, rules and regulations etc.; Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 14 2) TYPES OF INVESTMENT Domestic Investment(Portfolio – volatile; public, private etc) Foreign Direct Investment Sources: UK, USA, EU, China, India, Asia Net flow of capital: unremitted profits; changes in foreign share capital; trade and suppliers’ credit; other foreign liabilities; and liabilities to the head offices of foreign investors Diaspora remittance 3) QUALITY OF INVESTMENT 4) INVESTMENT: LINKED TO GROWTH, VALUE ADDITION, EMPLOYMENT & POVERTY REDUCTION INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS(Contd) 15 5)THE INFRASTRUCTURE CHALLENGE & THE ROLE OF PPPs Nigeria Vision 20:2020, needs N35trillion ($230b) for the infrastructure investment: Federal Govt N11trillion($70b), State Govts N9trillion ($60b) and the Private sector N15trillion ($100b). With large budget deficit, minimum wage burden and increasing foreign debt, it is difficult to see where the two tiers of Govts will find the N20trillion. That leaves the burden of infrastructure financing to the private sector Private and public(states and federal govt) infrastructure bonds and financing, greater use of PPP models in infrastructure design, implementation and management are more commonly in use in the Tripartite regions. Some of these infrastructure in Nigeria and ECOWAS are trade related infrastructure and could have regional impact and as such could be eligible for Aid for Trade financing and other financing options such as CDM (for clean energy). Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 6) INVESTMENT & SUSTAINABILITY INCLUDING LOCAL CONTENT Social Economic, and Environmental Sustainability (local content, supply chain linkages, supplier Diversity and Procurement Development Programme) INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS(Contd): 7) INVESTMENT CLIMATE, REFORMS & COMPETITIVENESS 16 RANKINGS DB 2013 Rank DB 2012 Rank Change in Rank 1 STARTING A BUSINESS 119 119 No change 2 DEALING WITH CONSTRUCTION PERMIT 88 86 -2 3 GETTING ELECTRICITY 178 177 -1 4 REGISTERING PROPERTY 182 182 No change 5 GETTING CREDIT 23 38 15 6 PROTECTING INVESTORS 70 66 -4 7 PAYING TAXES 155 139 -16 8 TRADING ACROSS BORDERS 154 153 -1 9 ENFORCING CONTRACTS 98 97 -1 10 RESOLVING INSOLVENCY 105 104 -1 Analysis of Nigeria 132 – position in the World Bank 2012 Ease of Doing Business Ranking Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) ….Comparing DBI at State Level 17 Where is it easier to do business in Nigeria—and where not? 1 Jigawa (easiest) 2 Gombe 3 Borno 4 Kebbi 5 Kogi 6 Yobe 7 Katsina 8 Kano* 9 Zamfara 10 Bauchi* 11 Taraba 12 Sokoto* 13 Benue 14 Kwara 15 Plateau 16 Niger 17 Abuja, FCT* 18 Nasarawa 19 Adamawa 20 Akwa Ibom 21 Edo 22 Kaduna* 23 Osun 24 Ondo 25 Lagos* 26 Oyo 27 Rivers 28 Bayelsa 29 Delta 30 Enugu* *State included in Doing Business in Nigeria 2008 report. Source: Doing Business database. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 31 Ebonyi 32 Abia* 33 Cross River* 34 Ekiti 35 Anambra* 36 Imo 37 Ogun* Where is it easy to start a business—and where not? 18 1 Abuja, FCT (easiest) 11 Borno 14 Kaduna 15 Zamfara 16 Edo 17 Jigawa 18 Abia 19 Kwara 20 Adamawa 21 Bauchi 21 Enugu 23 Sokoto 24 Oyo 12 Nasarawa 13 Yobe 25 Katsina 26 Kano 2 Kogi 3 Kebbi 4 Gombe 4 Plateau 6 Taraba 7 Akwa Ibom 8 Lagos 9 Niger 10 Benue 27 Anambra 28 Ebonyi 29 Rivers 30 Osun 31 Delta 32 Ekiti 33 Imo 33 Ondo 35 Cross River 36 Ogun 37 Bayelsa (most difficult) Note: The ease of starting a business is a simple average of the state rankings on the number of procedures, and the associated time and cost required to start a business. See the Data notes for details. Source: Doing Business database. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Where is it easy to deal with construction permits—and where not? 19 1 Jigawa (easiest) 2 Sokoto 3 Kano 4 Adamawa 5 Kwara 6 Kogi 7 Bauchi 8 Kebbi 9 Osun 10 Niger 11 Benue 12 Ekiti 13 Gombe 14 Borno 15 Katsina 15 Rivers 17 Cross River 18 Zamfara 19 Ondo 20 Delta 21 Taraba 22 Yobe 23 Oyo 24 Plateau 25 Bayelsa 26 Edo 27 Nasarawa 28 Ebonyi 29 Akwa Ibom 30 Abia 31 Anambra 32 Imo 33 Kaduna 34 Enugu 35 Abuja, FCT 35 Lagos 37 Ogun (most difficult) Note: The ease of dealing with construction permits is a simple average of the state rankings on the number of procedures, and the associated time and cost required to build a warehouse. See the Data notes for details. Source: Doing Business databaseNote: Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Where is it easy to register property —and where not? 20 1 Gombe (easiest) 2 Borno 3 Zamfara 4 Kano 5 Jigawa 5 Taraba 5 Yobe 8 Katsina 9 Abuja, FCT 10 Kogi 11 Benue 12 Bauchi 14 Enugu 15 Kwara 16 Kebbi 17 Akwa Ibom 18 Nasarawa 19 Niger 20 Cross River 21 Ebonyi 21 Sokoto 23 Bayelsa 23 Kaduna 25 Adamawa 25 Imo 27 Lagos 28 Delta 29 Ekiti 30 Abia 30 Anambra 32 Edo 33 Oyo 34 Ondo 35 Ogun 36 Osun 37 Rivers (most difficult) 13 Plateau Note: The ease of registering property is a simple average of state rankings on the number of procedures, associated time and cost (measured as a percentage of the property value) required to register a property. See Data notes for details. Source: Doing Business database. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Where is it easy to enforce a contract — and where not? 21 1 Katsina (easiest) 2 Yobe 3 Kebbi 4 Jigawa 5 Borno 6 Edo 7 Kaduna 8 Nasarawa 9 Ondo 10 Bauchi 11 Osun 12 Gombe 14 Bayelsa 15 Lagos 16 Sokoto 17 Abuja, FCT 18 Ogun 18 Taraba 20 Oyo 20 Plateau 22 Rivers 23 Kano 23 Niger 25 Kogi 25 Kwara 27 Delta 28 Akwa Ibom 29 Benue 30 Abia 31 Anambra 32 Adamawa 32 Ebonyi 34 Imo 35 Ekiti 36 Enugu 37 Cross River (most difficult) 13 Zamfara Note: The ease of enforcing contracts is a simple average of the state rankings on the procedures, time and cost to resolve a commercial dispute through the courts. See the Data notes for details. Source: Doing Business database. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Disaggregation to State Level: e.g. ABIA STATE 22 Abia, Aba Aggregate ranking 32 Starting a business (rank) 18 Procedures (number) 9 Time (days) 33 Cost (% of income per capita) 67.8 Minimum capital (% of income per capita) 0 Registering property (rank) 30 Procedures (number) 13 Time (days) 106 Cost (% of the property value) 18.5 Dealing with construction permits (rank) 30 Procedures (number) 16 Time (days) 79 Cost (% of income per capita) 718.1 Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Enforcing contracts (rank) Procedures (number) Time (days) Cost (% of claim) 30 40 464 47.6 States implementing reform: 23 Eight of the eleven states measured since 2008 implemented reforms in at least one area State Dealing with Registering Enforcing construction permits property contracts Kano* Anambra Ogun Enugu Abuja, FCT Kaduna √ Sokoto Abia √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √X X √ √ √X *Top reformer. A top reformer is a state that implemented reforms since Doing Business in Nigeria 2008 that made it easier to do business in two or more of the Doing Business indicators, and also achieved the largest increase in the aggregate ranking from the previous report. indicates a negative reform Note: This table records reforms that occurred between June 2008 and January 2010. Source: Doing Business database. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) The Nigerian States on World Stage-comparing internationally Best practices in Nigeria compared internationally - Nigeria in DB 2010 (represented by Lagos) Nigeria best practice Indicator 24 Performance Global rank Best-performing Performance (183 economies) state within Nigeria (183 economies) How Nigerian states would compare globally ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Days to deal with construction permits 350 days 167 Jigawa 47 days Global rank 6 Number of procedures to deal with construction permits 18 procedures 101 Jigawa Days to enforce a contract 457 days 64 Jigawa Number of procedures to start a business 8 procedures 94 Abuja, FCT Days to register property 82 days 140 Borno Cost to deal with construction permits 580.3%(income/capita1) 143 Kano Cost to enforce a contract 32% of the claim value 120 Katsina Days to start a business 31 days 117 Abuja, FCT Cost to register property 20.9% of property value 178 Yobe Number of procedures to register property 13 procedures 177 Borno, Gombe, Kwara Cost to start a business 77.0% of income/capita2) 153 Abuja, FCT 10 procedures 261 days 5 procedures 14 days 94.6% of income/capita 26% of the claim value 22 days 5.2% of property value 8 procedures 58.5% of income/capita 1. At the time of publication of Doing Business 2010: Reforming through Difficult Times the cost was 573.4% of income per capita. 2. At the time of publication of Doing Business 2010: Reforming through Difficult Times the cost was 76.7% of income per capita. Source: Doing Business database. Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 9 10 25 26 67 86 92 104 136 148 Nigeria Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom 50 53 47 49 HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI) FOR STATES Adult Literacy Rate Combined Gross Enrolment GDP Per Capital Life Expectancy Index Education Index (% aged 15 & Ratio for Primary & Secondary (US$) above) 64.2 85.4 1156.82 0.419 0.712 79.2 110.4 407.75 0.458 0.896 54.6 88.6 209.34 0.358 0.659 80.0 102.0 3813.01 0.392 0.873 Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River 47 50 50 48 53 54 77.0 38.7 64.3 65.4 26.9 74.6 110.8 49.2 100.6 110.0 43.0 111.1 163.14 166.82 5388.02 1434.43 529.52 604.58 0.358 0.408 0.408 0.375 0.458 0.483 0.883 0.422 0.764 0.803 0.322 0.867 0.082 0.085 0.665 0.445 0.278 0.300 0.441 0.305 0.613 0.541 0.353 0.550 72.9 56.6 76.2 74.4 74.6 51.7 75.4 38.7 62.3 57.5 36.5 48.6 63.5 55.6 89.4 51.1 41.7 68.5 75.8 73.8 72.6 60.6 80.5 67.4 52.1 24.3 109.5 114.0 111.4 118.8 111.1 41.6 112.1 33.2 90.6 61.4 50.7 40.5 118.9 96.4 105.5 101.2 66.7 101.4 114.4 109.4 103.5 108.4 116.1 42.3 89.1 44.0 2325.23 197.68 327.62 316.56 307.67 352.35 412.32 996.01 707.00 683.76 994.28 508.50 147.01 320.21 2554.98 1226.65 1687.79 247.28 1688.34 183.07 280.29 194.57 5210.69 1488.98 141.78 261.00 0.417 0.383 0.367 0.500 0.458 0.400 0.425 0.375 0.367 0.433 0.458 0.433 0.383 0.433 0.375 0.433 0.483 0.467 0.425 0.483 0.450 0.333 0.333 0.425 0.392 0.408 0.851 0.757 0.879 0.892 0.868 0.483 0.876 0.368 0.717 0.588 0.412 0.459 0.820 0.692 0.948 0.678 0.500 0.795 0.887 0.857 0.829 0.765 0.924 0.590 0.644 0.308 0.525 0.114 0.198 0.192 0.188 0.210 0.236 0.384 0.326 0.321 0.383 0.271 0.064 0.194 0.541 0.418 0.472 0.151 0.472 0.101 0.172 0.111 0.660 0.451 0.058 0.160 0.598 0.418 0.481 0.528 0.505 0.364 0.512 0.376 0.470 0.447 0.418 0.388 0.422 0.440 0.621 0.510 0.485 0.471 0.594 0.480 0.484 0.403 0.639 0.489 0.365 0.292 Life Expectancy at Birth (years) Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Ken Ife Taraba Yobe 50 48 47 55 53 49 51 48 47 51 53 51 48 51 48 51 54 53 51 54 52 45 45 51 (kenife@aol.com) 49 50 25 GDP Index Human Development Index (HDI) Value 0.409 0.235 0.123 0.608 0.513 0.530 0.380 0.624 BUILDING THE SOLUTIONS: Government must understand that: 26 Jobs are created largely by SMEs (and not by Govt nor “big business”/multinationals) To reposition the nation on a sustainable growth trajectory we should Build COMPETITIVE capacity for our productive sectors in the value chains where we have COMPARATIVE international advantages Build on clusters and pockets of growth that could pull the rest of the economy Federal Govt should support State and Local Govts to lead on Job Creation. Efficiency of the public service defines and informs the efficiency of all sectors of the economy. More performance management and performance contracting are required in economic , corporate and trade related governance. So, to tackle the obstacles to higher performance, We just need to re-organise and re-engineer governance machinery to achieve higher levels of competence, transparency, accountability and to minimise waste to keep ahead of growing public demand for better services Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) Performance Management & Contracting – delivering a culture and reputation of high performing States 27 Efficiency of the public service defines and informs the efficiency of all sectors of the economy, So, what are the obstacles to higher performance? It is : NOT a disadvantage in resource endowment; NOT insufficient allocation And NOT funding deficit…. You will produce outstanding results when we recognize that we do produce outputs and that what we do can be measured, managed and improved. We just need to re-organise and re-engineer governance machinery to achieve higher levels of competence, transparency, accountability and to minimise waste to keep ahead of growing public demand for better services Reposition the state on a growth trajectory Create COMPETITIVE advantage for the states in their areas of COMPARATIVE advantages Restore trust in government and dignity of the public service Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) BUILDING THE SOLUTIONS: 1st approach. The Key Elements of the solution – The Flow Chart 28 The Public Service Political Buy-in to the vision of building a new Performance Management System 5 Year Strategic Plan Performance Contracting & Service Level Agreement (a freely negotiated performance agreement between Govt and the management of an MDA, staff or PPP specifying what needs to be achieved, expected levels of achievement, timeliness, evaluation and reporting methodologies) Monitoring and Evaluation (a)Finance & Stewardship, b)Service Delivery, c)Non-Financial, d)Operations, e)Dynamic/Qualitative, and f) Corruption Eradication) Customer Service Charter (Empowering Citizens to demand excellent services as an entitlement) Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) The General Public The Results – (From Kenya, with multiple global awards) 29 REAL GDP GROWTH(’02/’03’09/’10) Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) PERFORMANCE OF MINISTRIES (‘05/’06-’09/’10) The Results 30 PERFORMANCE OF STATE CORPORATIONS(‘04/05-’09/’10) Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) PERFORMANCE OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES(‘06/’07 – ‘09/’10) 31 PERFORMANCE OF TERTIARY INSTITUTIONS(‘08/’09-’09/10) Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) BUILDING THE SOLUTIONS : 2nd approach - Leveraging your annual budget with Public-Private Partnerships in Infrastructure delivery and in Service Delivery? Which Model of PPP to apply where? 32 INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICE DELIVERY Transport – Air, Sea, Ancillary Services, Opening up Government Services and Commuter, rail, intra & inter – city transport Road – Design/Develop/Build/Operate/Lease/Tran sfer Energy – Generation/Transmission/Distribution; Power pool and sharing PS over-capacity Renewable Energy Could S-East be Centre of Excellence for Solar, Bio-fuel, Bio-ethanol, Wind, Hydro, Bio-mass(waste to energy)etc!! ICT- Where is S-East in this fastest growing triple digit micro-economy ? 3rd Gateway ? Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) leveraging PS investment. Health (Mobile clinic, Ambulance, Health Screening, Health schemes to reduce maternal/infant mortality) E-Governance & Information Services Revenue & Tax Collection Education(School meals. E-Learning etc) Waste Management & environmental control Digital Judiciary Services Motor Licencing Water(Rural and Sub-urban water supply) Procurement Key Sector Growth Rates needing urgent attention 33 Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS(Contd) 8) NIGERIA INVESTMENT POLICY PERSPECTIVES Market: 165 million people linked to 300million ECOWAS regional economy Materials(comparative advantages): 37 billion barrels of crude oil(worlds largest) 160 trillion cubic metres of gas 84million hectares of arable land(40% utilised) 34 commercially exploitable minerals Exploitation hindered by Poor infrastructure Low level of productive activities Poor global competitiveness Poor Doing Business Indicator ranking Poor skills profile High unemployment and poverty Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 34 9) NIGERIA INVESTMENT STRATEGY Strategic Goals: Attract quality FDI(linked to employability), Diaspora investment and domestic investment to the priority areas of natural comparative advantages Deliver viable solutions to improve Nigeria’s competitiveness as measured by the Doing Business Indicator rankings and other key performance indicators Lower entry and exit barriers and aim to 24hr company registration and deepen One Stop Shop investment facilitation at State /local level Strategies: Strengthen institutional and technical capacity of MDAs involved Implement Investment Climate reforms with Stakeholders & Development Partners Strengthen and establish One Stop Shop at State/ Local level and link to Free zones in destination marketing Implement Corporate Governance Codes and more Professional registrations INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS(Contd) Strategies (Contd) Review and more closely target fiscal incentives to technical skills development and technology transfer and infrastructure development Strengthen Economic Governance in: Competition Deregulation Privatisation PPP framework Procurement Monopolies, Mergers & Take-overs State Aid Rules IPR Build Investor Confidence with greater attention to: Corruption and transparency Security Peace and Conflict Resolution Fight against Organised Economic & Financial Crime Addressing Perception and Image issues Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 35 Strategies (Contd) Develop strong investment destination branding MUST link promotion to specific investment destination such as : Export Free Zones(targetted sector) and Clusters Agro-Industrial Park/Zone or Corridor Knowledge Park/Zone /Corridor Science Park/Zone/Corridor Nollywood Park/Zone/Corridor Technology Park/Zone and Corridor Oil/Gas Processing Park/Zone/Corridor Fresh Produce Cluster/Zone/Corridor China Town, Malaysian City, Diaspora Estate, Grand Square, Millenium Park, Immigration Plaza(mega, midi and mini plaza) INVESTMENT & COMPETITIVENESS(Contd) 10) THE ECOWAS REGIONAL DIMENSION Implement the Strategic Framework for ECOWAS Private Sector Development Transnational Markets Investment in Regional Value Chains Transit Highway Corridor Coastal Sea Link and Ferry Services Regional Aviation Commuters and Charter Services Coastal Tourism Regional Power Pool and gas pipeline Agro-industrial corridor Regional Business Associations and Networks Strengthen Investment Promotion Agencies for West Africa (IPAWAS) Ken Ife (kenife@aol.com) 36 THANK YOU