Chapter 9 Dynamic Pricing: Auctions and More Prentice Hall, 2002 1 Learning Objectives Define the various types of auctions and list their characteristics Describe the process of conducting forward and reverse auctions Describe the benefits and limitations of auctions Describe the various services that support auctions Describe the hazards of e-auction fraud and countermeasures Describe bartering and negotiating Analyze future directions and the role of mcommerce Prentice Hall, 2002 2 Electronic Auctions in Action Illustrative examples: C2B reverse auctions: DM&S B2C and C2C forward auctions: Dell Computers C2C forward auctions: all of us at eBay Prentice Hall, 2002 3 Figure 9-1 A Dell Product in an Auction Prentice Hall, 2002 4 Fundamentals of Dynamic Pricing and Auctions Fundamentals Traditional auctions Last only a few minutes (short decision making time) and sellers may not get highest price Bidders may not get what they want Electronic auctions Like offline auctions, performed on PC Host sites act like brokers Buyers may solicit offers from potential sellers Prentice Hall, 2002 5 Fundamentals Dynamic pricing refers to a commerce transaction in which prices are not fixed Forms of dynamic pricing: Negotiation Bargaining Four major configurations depending upon how many buyers and sellers are involved: One buyer, one seller One buyer, many potential buyers One seller, one buyer One seller, many potential buyers Prentice Hall, 2002 6 Figure 9-2 Types of Dynamic Pricing Prentice Hall, 2002 7 Fundamentals Dynamic pricing and auctions (cont.) English auctions (sequentially one item at a time) Prentice Hall, 2002 8 Figure 9-3 English Auction, Ascending Price Prentice Hall, 2002 9 Fundamentals (cont.) Dynamic pricing and auctions (cont.) Yankee auctions—multiple identical items with a minimum bid Dutch auctions—multiple identical items starting at high price and moving lower Prentice Hall, 2002 10 Figure 9-4 Computerized Auction Clock for Dutch Flower Auctions Source: Used with permission of aquarius-flora.com. Prentice Hall, 2002 11 Fundamentals (cont.) Dynamic pricing and auctions (cont.) Free fall (declining price) auction One item auctioned at a time Price starts high and is reduced at fixed time intervals One buyer, many potential sellers Many sellers, many buyers Prentice Hall, 2002 12 Fundamentals (cont.) Dynamic pricing and auctions (cont.) Sealed-bid first-price auction—silent auction, only one bid; item goes to highest bidder Sealed-bid second-price auction—item awarded to highest bidder, but at second bid (Vickrey auction) Prentice Hall, 2002 13 Benefits Benefits to sellers: Increase revenues by broadening customer base and shortening cycle time Optimal price setting Disintermediation—sellers gain more customer dollars by offering items directly Better customer relationships—buyers and sellers have more time to interact, creating customer loyalty Liquidation—sellers liquidate large quantities of obsolete items very quickly Prentice Hall, 2002 14 Benefits (cont.) Benefits to buyers: Opportunities to find unique items and collectibles Chance to bargain—buyers can bid with seller for desired prices Entertainment—interaction in auction can be entertaining and exciting Anonymity—3rd party allows buyer anonymity Convenience—buyers trade from anywhere (even cell phone) Prentice Hall, 2002 15 Benefits (cont.) Benefits to auctioneers: Higher repeat purchase—auction sites garner higher repeat-purchase rates than e-commerce B2C sites More “sticky” Web site (tendency of customers to stay at site longer and come back more often) Expansion of auction business—Manheim Auctions Sell program cars as response to Japanese efforts to penetrate U.S. car auction business 80,000 car dealers involved Provide services to customers Prentice Hall, 2002 16 Limitations Security Possibility of fraud May purchase a defective product buying sight unseen Fraud rate is very high Limited participation C2C auctions not necessarily secure B2B auctions conducted on highly secure private lines Software Invitation only Open to dealers only Prentice Hall, 2002 Few off-the-shelf packages that can handle auctions “Best practices” still being defined 17 Economic Impacts Strategic uses of auctions and pricing mechanisms Customers are attracted to e-auction markets because they provide greater liquidity than traditional ones Efficient way to find best price at electronic auctions Low cost provision of exceptional levels of transparency of market to operation and product quality Prentice Hall, 2002 18 Economic Impacts (cont.) Strategic uses of auctions and pricing mechanisms (cont.) E-auction markets are more efficient than traditional markets E-auctions can provide services at low transaction cost Customers abandon a market that is not perceived as fair Must manage all aspects of trading activities from initiation to settlement and delivery Prentice Hall, 2002 19 Economic Impacts (cont.) Strategic uses of auctions and pricing mechanisms (cont.) E-auction system must manage all aspect of trading activity Delay in price response causes greater potential for feedback loops and instabilities Order-driven e-auction markets demand that markets clearly define when a sale has been made Prentice Hall, 2002 20 Economic Impacts (cont.) Impacts Auctions as a coordination mechanism—establish equilibrium in price Auctions as a social mechanism to determine a price Offer special items at a single time Attract considerable attention Auctions provide exposure of purchase and sale orders—liquidity Prentice Hall, 2002 21 Economic Impacts (cont.) Auctions as a highly visible distribution mechanism Deals with special offers Use the mechanism to attract customers Bargain hunters Have preference for gambling dimension of auction process Auction as a component in e-commerce Prentice Hall, 2002 22 Figure 9-6 The Components of Auctions Source: Modified from Klein (1997), p. 4. Prentice Hall, 2002 23 “Name-Your-Own-Price” C2B Model Priceline model (priceline.com) Enables consumers to achieve significant savings by naming their own price for goods and services (C2B) Presents consumer offers to sellers who can fill the demand—if no success, customer ups the bid (type of reverse auction) Priceline uses its database of vendors’ minimum prices to match supply against requests C2B reverse auction—vendors submit offers and lowest-priced vendor gets the job Prentice Hall, 2002 24 “Name-Your-Own-Price” C2B Model (cont.) Other models Savvio.com—model for travelers Real-time declining-price auction Full disclosure of itinerary details Discounted international and domestic air travel and cruise tickets Asiatravel.com allows travelers to place an RFQ, then asks vendors to bid on it Prentice Hall, 2002 25 Auction Process and Software Support Phase 1: Searching and comparing auctions and their prices Mega-searching and comparisons AuctionWatch.com—directory of auction sites Internetauctionlist.com—news about e-auctions and specialty auctions worldwide Yahoo!’s auction list—400 auction-related links Bidder’s Edge—searches eBay, Yahoo, Amazon for specific items Turbobid—provides mega-search series that helps local bidders find items from a pool of e-action sites Prentice Hall, 2002 26 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Automated search services Notify buyers when items they are interested in are available Buyers complete a simple form about the item Browsing site categories Directory of categories for buyers to browse—narrows their search May allow sorts by times auctions are held DBasic and advanced searching Buyers use search engines to look for a single term, multiple terms, key words Advanced search requires a form to be filled out Prentice Hall, 2002 27 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Phase 2: Getting started at an auction Registration and profiling Sellers and buyers register before entering the auction Names User Ids Passwords Buyers can check seller’s profile Listing and promoting Prentice Hall, 2002 28 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Advertising wizard— helps users create attractive ads and auction postings Auction assistant—helps create attractive auction listings Auction eposter98— makes it simple to add pictures, program interacts with eBay Auction wizard—auctionposting tool that saves cutting and pasting when uploading items for sale Mister Lister on eBay— allows sellers to upload many items at a time Bulk Loader—seller can load several auctions into spreadsheet programs Prentice Hall, 2002 29 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Pricing To post an item for bidding, sellers must decide on: Minimum bid amount Bid increment Reserve price (lowest price seller is willing to accept) Search past auctions and the transacted prices to provide a benchmark for buyer’s bidding strategy Prentice Hall, 2002 30 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Phase 3: The actual bidding Bid watching and multiple biddings Buyers visit the user page of an e-auction Web site at any time to check status of an auction They can review bids and auctions Tools provided in the U.S. to view bids across several auction sites BidWatch Bid Monitor EasyScreen Layout Prentice Hall, 2002 31 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Auto-snipping–the act of entering a bid during the very last seconds of an auction and outbidding the highest bidder E-proxy bidding— software system bids on behalf of the buyers Prentice Hall, 2002 Buyer determines the maximum bid Place first bid manually Proxy executes the bids keeping bids as low as possible 32 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Phase 4: Post-auction follow-up Post auction notifications Bidding notifications End-of-auction notices Seller notices Postcards and thank-you notes User communication Chat groups Mailing lists Message boards Feedback and rating Prentice Hall, 2002 33 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Phase 4: Post-auction follow-up (cont.) Pricing and billing Payment methods Electronic transfer service Escrow service Credit-card payment Shipping and postage Internet shippers Internet postage Prentice Hall, 2002 34 Figure 9-7 The Process of E-Auctions Prentice Hall, 2002 35 Auction Process and Software Support (cont.) Additional terms and rules Reverse price auction— lowest price a seller is willing to accept Vertical auction— specialized auctions know as “auction vortals” Used in B2B Many auction sites specialize in one area Bid retraction Cancellation of a bid by a bidder, used only in special circumstances Bids are usually considered to be binding Featured auctions Prentice Hall, 2002 Extra exposure when listed on Web sites Sellers pay extra for this service 36 Auctions on Private Networks Pigs in Singapore and Taiwan Conducted on private networks more than 10 years Forward auction of pigs that are brought to a physical site while data is displayed to bidders Computers monitor bidder’s financial capability Prentice Hall, 2002 37 Auctions on Private Networks (cont.) Cars in Japan’s Aucnet Auctioned used cars to dealers on television Moved to private network, then on to Internet and into the U.S. but closed in 1998 Today in Japan these auctions sell: Computer hardware Software Services like insurance and leasing Livestock in Australia—electronic online system for trading cattle and sheep Prentice Hall, 2002 38 Double Auctions, Bundle Trading, and Pricing Issues Double auctions Single auction Item is offered for sale with multiple buyers making bids on the item Multiple sellers make offers to sell an item Double auction Multiple units of a product may be auctioned off at the same time Buyers and sellers can make bids during trading periods Prices in double auctions—multiple buyers and sellers Prentice Hall, 2002 39 Double Auctions, Bundle Trading, and Pricing Issues (cont.) Bundle trading—personalization and customization of products and services Collection of complementary goods and services (e.g., airline tickets, hotel reservations, rental cars) Simplified, efficient alternative solution to purchasing from multiple sellers Management and operation of bundle markets is complex and differs considerably from single or double auction markets Prentice Hall, 2002 40 Double Auctions, Bundle Trading, and Pricing Issues (cont.) Prices in auctions: higher or lower? Prices tend to be higher when there is only one seller Auctioneer has a better position to maximize revenues Prices are lower in cases of liquidation Seller’s objective is to sell as quickly as possible Prentice Hall, 2002 41 Double Auctions, Bundle Trading, and Pricing Issues (cont.) Pricing strategies in online auctions Both sellers and buyers may develop strategies for auctions Sellers have option to use different mechanisms Buyers need to develop strategy regarding increases in bids and when to stop bidding Prentice Hall, 2002 42 Fraud in Auctions and Its Prevention Types of e-auction fraud Bid shielding—the use of phantom bidders to bid at a very high price when an auction begins Shilling—sellers arrange to have fake bids placed on their items to artificially jack up prices Fake photos and misleading descriptions—sellers distort items (e.g., borrowing images, ambiguous descriptions) Improper grading techniques—description of the condition of an item may be interpreted differently between seller and buyer Prentice Hall, 2002 43 Fraud in Auctions and Its Prevention (cont.) Selling reproductions High shipping cost and handling fees—selling a reproduction described as an original Failure to ship merchandise—money is paid out but merchandise never arrives Loss and damage claims—buyers claim they never received an item or received it in damaged condition, request a refund Switch and return—seller accepts a return, but receives broken or mangled objects Prentice Hall, 2002 44 Fraud in Auctions and Its Prevention (cont.) Protecting against e-auction fraud User identity verification—voluntary program encourages users to supply eBay with information for online verification—qualifies them for highest level of verification Authentication service—determines whether an item is genuine and described appropriately Grading services—determines physical condition of an item Feedback forum—provides users with ability to comment on their experiences with other individuals Prentice Hall, 2002 45 Fraud in Auctions and Its Prevention (cont.) Insurance policy—eBay offers insurance underwritten by Lloyd’s of London at no cost to eBay users Escrow services—items valued at more than $200, eBay recommends escrow services (for a fee) Non-payment punishment—1st-time nonpayment warning, 4th offense is cause for suspension from auction Prentice Hall, 2002 46 Fraud in Auctions and Its Prevention (cont.) Appraisal services—use a variety of methods to appraise items Assessment of authenticity and condition Review of what comparable items have sold for in recent months Verifications—a way of confirming the identity and evaluating the condition of an item Prentice Hall, 2002 47 Bartering Online Bartering—exchange of goods and services Bartering exchanges Give your offer to intermediary Intermediary asses value of your product or service in”points” Use “points” to buy what you need Bartering sites must be financially secure Alternative to bartering is to auction surplus and then use the money collected to buy items needed Prentice Hall, 2002 48 Negotiating and Bargaining Online Dynamic prices can be determined by negotiation Negotiated prices result from interactions and bargaining among sellers and buyers Expensive items like cars and real estate Deal with nonpricing terms like payment method and credit Prentice Hall, 2002 49 Negotiating and Bargaining Online Three factors that facilitate negotiated prices Intelligent agents that perform searches and comparisons Computer technology that facilitates negotiation process Products and services that are bundled and customized Prentice Hall, 2002 50 Negotiating and Bargaining Online (cont.) Technologies for bargaining Search—gathering information about products, services, potential vendors and customers Selection—processing and filtering information in order to select a product and trading partner Negotiation—interactions with bids, offers, agreements, and contracts Continuing selection and negotiation—repeated sequentially until an agreement is reached Transaction completion—payment and delivery Prentice Hall, 2002 51 Mobile Auctions Benefits of online auctions Convenience and ubiquity Simpler and faster Privacy Limitations of online auctions Visual quality Memory capacity Security Prentice Hall, 2002 52 Future of Auctions General auctions—face regular problems of selling online in international environment Selling art online in real-time auctions— allows real-time auction bidding and partners with eBay Strategic alliances—major impact on competition and industry structure Prentice Hall, 2002 53 Managerial Issues Your own auction site vs. a third-party site Cost benefit analysis Auction strategies Support services Payment Prentice Hall, 2002 54 Managerial Issues (cont.) Controlling what is auctioned Change agent Building auction applications Bartering Building auction sites Prentice Hall, 2002 55 Figure 9-9 Components of a Comprehensive Auction Site Prentice Hall, 2002 56 Figure 9-10 Integrated Auction Business Model Prentice Hall, 2002 57