MINISTRY of ECONOMY ECONOMIC OUTLOOK MARCH 2015 Recent Update: 24/03/2015 OUTLINE A- MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK…………………………………………………… 4 B- FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK…………………………………………………….. 19 1) MERCHANDISE…………………………………………………………... 20 2) SERVICES…………………………………………………………………….. 33 C- INVESTMENTS , FOREIGN CAPITAL and INCENTIVES…………………. 38 D- FREE ZONES in TURKEY…………………………………………………………… 44 E- BILATERAL, REGIONAL, PLURILATERAL and MULTILATERAL TRADE 49 March 2015 Ministry of Economy 2 A- MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK March 2015 Ministry of Economy 3 Growth Forecasts for Selected Countries/Country Groups (%) Growth Forecast for Selected Countries/Country Groups(%) Euro World Turkey Area US Brazil Russia India China IMF OECD WB 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 3,3 3,5 3,3 4 2,6 3,0 3,0 3,4 3,0 3,2 3,1 3,5 0,8 1,2 0,8 1,4 0,8 1,1 2,4 3,6 2,2 3,1 2,4 3,2 0,1 0,3 0,3 -0,5 0,1 1,0 0,6 -3,0 0,3 0,0 0,7 -2,9 5,8 6,3 5,4 7,7 5,6 6,4 7,4 6,8 7,3 7,0 7,4 7,1 Source: IMF, OECD, WB In 2013, Turkish economy grew by 4,1%. According to the IMF, Turkish Economy is expected to grow by 3% in 2014 and %3,4 in 2015. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 4 Forecasts for Merchandise Trade Growth (%) Years IMF WTO 2014 2015 2014 2015 Forecasts for Merchandise Trade Growth(%) Exports Imports World Trade Advanced Emerging Advanced Emerging Volume Economies Economies Economies Economies 3,6 3,9 3,4 4,5 3,1 4,6 5,6 4,5 6,2 3,8 2,5 4,0 3,4 2,6 3,1 3,8 4,5 3,7 4,5 4,0 Source: IMF and WTO According to the IMF estimates, global trade volume of merchandise and services is expected to increase by 3,1% in 2014 and 3,8% in 2015. According to the WTO estimates, global trade volume of merchandise and services is expected to increase by 3.1% in 2014 and 4% in 2015. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 5 Top 20 Economies (Current, PPP) Source: World Bank Turkey ranks as the 17th largest economy in the World and 6th in Europe. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 6 Economic Targets of 2015-2017 Medium Term Program 2013* 2014 2015 2016 2017 GDP (Billion $, Current Prices) 822 810 850 907 971 GDP Per Capita($) 10.807 10.537 10.936 11.541 12.229 Real GDP Growth 4,1 3,3 4,0 5,0 5,0 Unemployment Rate(%) 9,0 9,6 9,5 9,2 9,1 Tourism Income (Billion $) 28,0 29,5 31,5 33,5 35,5 Current Account Balance (Billion $) -65,1 -46,0 -46,0 -49,2 -50,7 Current Account Balance/GDP(%) -7,9 -5,7 -5,4 -5,4 -5,2 *Actual (Medium Term Program, Ministry of Development – October 8, 2014 Medium Term Program which covers 2015-2017 period aims to increasing growth performance while continuing to reduce the current account deficit gradually and reaching the inflation target and thus strengthen macroeconomic and financial stability March 2015 Ministry of Economy 7 Real GDP Growth of Selected Countries/Country Groups (2013) Source: TURKSTAT, IMF Turkish Economy expanded by 4.1% in 2013 and 2.8% in the first nine months of 2014. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 8 Annual Economic Growth Rates (2002-2013) Source:TURKSTAT Mean annual growth rate between 2003 and 2013 was 5%. Real GDP growth for 2013 realized as 4,1% and 2.8 in first 9 months of 2014. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 9 GDP Per Capita Source: Dollar value is from TURKSTAT, PPP GNI value from World Bank Since 2002 GDP per capita has tripled from 3,492 USD to 10,807 USD in 2013. According to Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) GNI per capita reached 19 thousand USD in 2013. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 10 Capacity Utilization Ratio (%) Source: CBRT Capacity utilization ratio in February 2015, down percentage points, realized as 72.8% March 2015 Ministry of Economy 0.9 11 Industrial Production Index (2010=100) Source: TURKSTAT Industrial production index decreased by 1.8% year-over-year to 112.3 (2010=100) in January 2015. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 12 PMI PMI decreased to 49.6 in February 2015, and fall below the previous month. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 13 Inflation (Annual Percent Change) Source: TURKSTAT Inflation in February 2015 was realized as 7.6% and 3.1% according to CPI and PPI, respectively. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 14 Unemployment Rates (%) Source: TURKSTAT In December 2014, unemployment rate was 10.9% . In 2014, unemployment rate was 9.9%. Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Euro Area was 11.2% and 9.8% in (EU28) in January 2015. In terms of unemployment ratio Turkey outperformed 7 EU members according to current data. After Russia, Germany, England and France, Turkey has the 5th largest labor force among the European countries. (2013, World Bank) March 2015 Ministry of Economy 15 CDS Premiums (March 23rd, 2015) Source: DB Research * Higher CDS premiums indicate higher risk levels. CDS premium of Turkey indicates a medium level of risk. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 16 Central Government Budget Deficit/ GDP (%) Source: Eurostat,TUİK Central government budget deficit/GDP ratio was 1.2% in Turkey in 2013 and Turkey satisfied the Maastricht criteria of 3%. Turkey also outperformed 22 EU Countries. In January-February 2015 period, central government budget surplus is 1,4 billion TL compared to 3,6 billion TL surplus in the same period of 2014. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 17 Government Debt / GDP (%) Source: Eurostat Debt/GDP ratio of Turkey was 36.2% in 2013 which was below the level in the Maastricht Criterion (60%). Turkey also outperformed 25 EU countries. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 18 B- FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK March 2015 Ministry of Economy 19 I) MERCHANDISE March 2015 Ministry of Economy 20 Targets in Merchandise Trade (Billion $) Exports Imports Volume of trade Balance of trade Exports/Imports (%) 2013* 151.8 251.7 403.5 -99.9 60.3 2014* 2015** 2016** 2017** 157.6 173.0 187.4 203.4 242.2 258.0 276.8 297.5 399.8 431.0 464.2 500.9 -84.5 -85.0 -89.4 -94.1 65.1 67.1 67.7 68.4 2023*** 500.0 625.0 1125.0 -125.0 80.0 * Actual (Source: TURKSTAT) **Forecast: Medium Term Programme, Ministry of Development, 2015-2017) ***The Exports Strategy of Turkey For 2023 March 2015 Ministry of Economy 21 Turkey's Share in Global Merchandise Exports (%) Turkey’s share in global merchandise exports was %0.81 in 2013. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 22 Turkey's Share in Global Merchandise Imports (%) Turkey’s share in global merchandise imports was %1.33 in 2013. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 23 Foreign Trade Developments 2013 - 2014 / January 2014 - 2015 Annual (Billion $) Export Energy Export* Gold Export Import Energy Import* Gold Import Foreign Trade Volume Foreign Trade Balance Balance excl. Energy Export/Import (%) Periodic (Billion Dollar) 2013 2014 2014 / JAN 2015 / JAN 151.8 6.7 3.3 251.7 55.9 15.1 403.5 -99.9 -50.7 60.3 157.6 6.1 3.2 242.2 54.9 7.1 399.8 -84.5 -35.8 65.1 12.4 0.5 0.2 19.3 4.9 0.4 31.7 -6.9 -2.5 64.3 12.3 0.4 1.3 16.6 3.7 0.2 29.0 -4.3 -1.0 74.1 Change (%) 2014/2015 -0.6 -23.9 513.1 -13.7 -24.5 -42.6 -8.6 -37.5 -60.6 15.3 * Energy corresponds to Chapter 27. Source: Ministry of Economy In January 2015, compared to same month of 2014, exports decreased by 0.6% and imports decreased by 13.7% respectively. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 24 Monthly Exports/Imports In January 2015 compared to same month of 2014, exports have decreased by 0.6% and realized as 12.3 billion dollars and imports have decreased by 13.7% down to the level of 16.6 billion dollars. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 25 Distribution of Foreign Trade in Broad Economic Categories EXPORT (Million $) Investment Goods Intermediate Goods Consumption Goods Others TOTAL Annual 2013/2014 Monthly (January) Share (%, 2014/2015 Jan. 2013 2014 Change% 2014 2015 2015 Jan.) Change % 15.592 16.109 3,3 1.059 1.145 9,3 8,2 74.817 75.188 0,5 6.221 6.213 50,4 -0,1 60.732 65.102 7,2 5.068 4.922 39,9 -2,9 661 1.244 88,2 52 50 0,4 -4,8 151.803 157.642 3,8 12.400 12.331 100,0 -0,6 IMPORT (Million $) Investment Goods Intermediate Goods Consumption Goods Others TOTAL March 2015 Annual 2013/2014 Monthly (January) Share (%, 2014/2015 Jan. 2013 2014 Change% 2014 2015 2015 Jan.) Change % 36.771 35.996 -2,1 2.564 2.536 15,2 -1,1 183.811 176.721 -3,9 14.665 12.265 73,7 -16,4 30.416 29.012 -4,6 2.028 1.803 10,8 -11,1 663 453 -31,6 29 31 0,2 7,6 251.661 242.183 -3,8 19.286 16.636 100 -13,7 Ministry of Economy 26 Main Export Items Periodic (January) Million Dollar Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Code 71 87 84 61 72 85 62 73 39 08 Description of Chapter PRECIOUS STONES, PRECIOUS METALS, PEARLS AND ARTICLES THEREOF VEHICLES OTHER THAN RAILWAY OR TRAMWAY ROLLING-STOCK, PARTS THEREOF BOILERS, MACHINERIES AND MECHANICAL APPLIANCES, PARTS THEREOF KNITTED AND CROCHETED GOODS AND ARTICLES THEREOF IRON AND STEEL ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT, PARTS THEREOF ARTICLES OF IRON AND STEEL NON KNITTED AND CROCHETED GOODS AND ARTICLES THEREOF PLASTIC AND ARTICLES THEREOF EDIBLE FRUITS, NUTS, PEEL OF CITRUS FRUIT LIST TOTAL TOTAL EXPORT 2014 2015 537 1.707 1.213 1.437 1.041 935 825 727 795 599 742 589 523 494 530 449 460 417 331 389 6.997 7.743 12.400 12.331 IMPORT BALANCE 2014 2015 2014 2015 454 288 84 1.419 765 813 447 624 2.200 1.909 -1.160 -974 82 69 742 658 1.650 1.233 -855 -634 1.458 1.501 -716 -912 171 153 353 342 210 189 321 260 1.217 966 -757 -549 38 44 292 345 8.246 7.165 -1.248 578 19.286 16.636 -6.886 -4.305 CHANGE % 2014/2015 217,8 18,5 -10,2 -11,8 -24,7 -20,7 -5,5 -15,3 -9,5 17,5 10,7 -0,6 * Percent change is related to the annual change in exports in 2013. Source: TURKSTAT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 27 Main Import Items Periodic (January) Million Dollar EXPORT IMPORT 2015 2015 2014 2014 Description of Chapter Rank Code 355 467 3.690 4.885 27 MINERAL FUELS, OILS, DISTILLATION PRODUCTS, ETC 1 935 1.909 1.041 2.200 84 MACHINERY, NUCLEAR REACTORS, BOILERS, ETC 2 589 742 1.501 1.458 85 IRON AND STEEL 3 599 795 1.233 1.650 72 ELECTRICAL, ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT 4 417 460 966 1.217 39 PLASTICS AND ARTICLES THEREOF 5 1.213 1.437 813 765 87 VEHICLES OTHER THAN RAILWAY, TRAMWAY 6 33 44 393 447 29 ORGANIC CHEMICALS 7 54 52 364 365 90 OPTICAL, PHOTO, TECHNICAL, MEDICAL, ETC APPARATUS 8 61 54 329 285 30 PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS 9 1.707 537 288 454 71 PEARLS, PRECİOUS STONES, METALS, COİNS, ETC 10 13.726 11.486 5.404 6.187 LIST TOTAL 19.286 16.636 12.400 12.331 TOTAL BALANCE 2015 2014 -4.419 -3.334 -974 -1.160 -912 -716 -634 -855 -549 -757 624 447 -360 -403 -310 -313 -268 -231 1.419 84 -8.322 -5.299 -6.886 -4.305 CHANGE % 2014/2015 -24,5 -13,2 2,9 -25,3 -20,6 6,2 -12,1 -0,1 15,7 -36,5 -16,3 -13,7 * Percent change is related to the annual change in imports in 2013. Source: TURKSTAT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 28 Main Export Items (Annual) Annual (Million Dolar) Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Code 87 84 61 85 72 71 73 62 27 39 Description of Chapter VEHICLES OTHER THAN RAILWAY, TRAMWAY MACHINERY, NUCLEAR REACTORS, BOILERS, ETC KNITTED AND CROCHETED GOODS AND ARTICLES THEREOF ELECTRICAL, ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT IRON AND STEEL PEARLS, PRECİOUS STONES, METALS, COİNS, ETC ARTICLES OF IRON AND STEEL NON KNITTED AND CROCHETED GOODS AND ARTICLES THEREOF MINERAL FUELS, OILS, DISTILLATION PRODUCTS, ETC PLASTICS AND ARTICLES THEREOF LIST TOTAL TOTAL EXPORT IMPORT 2013 2014 2013 2014 17.000 18.064 16.808 15.736 12.989 13.595 30.157 28.104 9.245 10.029 941 985 9.544 9.693 17.759 17.949 9.919 9.246 18.691 17.576 6.999 7.717 16.234 8.121 6.148 6.356 2.758 2.618 5.714 6.234 1.863 1.883 6.725 6.112 55.917 54.895 5.609 6.098 13.881 14.151 89.892 93.145 175.009 162.016 151.803 157.642 251.661 242.183 BALANCE CHANGE % 2013 2014 2013/2014 192 2.328 6,3 -17.167 -14.509 4,7 8.304 9.044 8,5 -8.214 -8.255 1,6 -8.772 -8.330 -6,8 -9.236 -404 10,3 3.390 3.738 3,4 3.851 4.351 9,1 -49.193 -48.783 -9,1 -8.272 -8.052 8,7 -85.117 -68.871 3,6 -99.859 -84.541 3,8 Source: TURKSTAT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 29 Main Import Items (Annual) Annual (Million Dollar) Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Code Description of Chapter 27 MINERAL FUELS, MINERALS OILS AND PRODUCT OF THEIR DISTILLATION 84 BOILERS, MACHINERY AND MECHANICAL APPLIANCES, PARTS THEREOF 85 ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT, PARTS THEREOF 72 IRON AND STEEL 87 VEHICLE OTHER THAN RAILWAY OR TRAMWAY ROLLING-STOCK, PARTS THEREOF 39 PLASTIC AND ARTICLES THEREOF 71 PEARLS, PRECIOUS STONES, PRECIOUS METALS AND ARTICLES THEREOF 29 ORGANIC CHEMICALS 90 OPTICAL, PHOTOGRAPHIC, CINEMATOGRAPHIC, MEASURING CHECKING, PRECISION 30 PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS LIST TOTAL TOTAL IMPORT 2013 2014 55.917 54.895 30.157 28.104 17.759 17.949 18.691 17.576 16.808 15.736 13.881 14.151 16.234 8.121 5.314 5.833 4.559 4.878 4.151 4.428 183.471 171.671 251.661 242.183 EXPORT 2013 2014 6.725 6.112 12.989 13.595 9.544 9.693 9.919 9.246 17.000 18.064 5.609 6.098 6.999 7.717 598 534 661 716 754 806 70.798 72.582 151.803 157.642 BALANCE CHANGE % 2013 2014 2013/2014 -49.193 -48.783 -1,8 -17.167 -14.509 -6,8 -8.214 -8.255 1,1 -8.772 -8.330 -6,0 192 2.328 -6,4 -8.272 -8.052 1,9 -9.236 -404 -50,0 -4.716 -5.299 9,8 -3.898 -4.162 7,0 -3.397 -3.622 6,7 -112.673 -99.088 -6,4 -99.859 -84.541 -3,8 Source: TURKSTAT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 30 Main Trade Partners (January 2015) Main Export Partners (Share,%) Main Import Partners (Share,%) Source: TURKSTAT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 31 Exports by Regions January (Million $) 2014 A- EU (28) B- FREE ZONES IN TURKEY C- OTHER COUNTRIES 1- OTHER EUROPE 2- AFRICA North Africa Other Africa 3- AMERICA North America Central America And Caraips South America 4- ASIA Near And Middle Eastern Other Asia 5- AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 6- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS TOTAL Share (%) 5,456 177 6,767 1,126 1,148 817 331 726 537 71 118 3,725 2,815 910 39 3 12,400 44.0 1.4 54.6 9.1 9.3 6.6 2.7 5.9 4.3 0.6 1.0 30.0 22.7 7.3 0.3 0.0 100 2015 5,271 151 6,909 1,721 934 638 296 757 552 63 142 3,444 2,743 701 47 6 12,331 Share (%) Change (%) 42.7 1.2 56.0 14.0 7.6 5.2 2.4 6.1 4.5 0.5 1.2 27.9 22.2 5.7 0.4 0.1 100 -3.4 -15.1 2.1 52.8 -18.6 -21.9 -10.4 4.2 2.8 -11.2 19.8 -7.5 -2.6 -23.0 19.9 92.8 -0.6 Source: TURKSTAT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 32 Imports by Regions January (Million $) 2014 A- EU (28) B- FREE ZONES IN TURKEY C- OTHER COUNTRIES 1- OTHER EUROPE 2- AFRICA North Africa Other Africa 3- AMERICA North America Central America And Caraips South America 4- ASIA Near And Middle Eastern Other Asia 5- AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 6- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS TOTAL Share (%) 6,549 88 12,650 3,318 459 287 172 1,464 1,126 66 273 6,159 1,631 4,528 56 1,194 19,286 34.0 0.5 65.6 17.2 2.4 1.5 0.9 7.6 5.8 0.3 1.4 31.9 8.5 23.5 0.3 6.2 100 2015 5,741 96 10,799 2,494 398 195 203 1,199 856 67 275 5,740 1,293 4,447 20 949 16,636 Share (%) Change (%) 34.5 0.6 64.9 15.0 2.4 1.2 1.2 7.2 5.1 0.4 1.7 34.5 7.8 26.7 0.1 5.7 100 -12.3 8.6 -14.6 -24.8 -13.4 -32.2 18.2 -18.1 -24.0 2.8 1.0 -6.8 -20.7 -1.8 -64.4 -20.6 -13.7 Source: TURKSTAT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 33 2) SERVICES March 2015 Ministry of Economy 34 Targets in Services March 2015 Ministry of Economy 35 Turkey's Share in Global Services Exports (%) Source: WTO Turkey’s share in global exports of services was 0.95% in 2013. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 36 Turkey's Share in Global Services Imports (%) Source: WTO Turkey’s share in global imports of services was 0.51% in 2013. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 37 Contracting Services Abroad Contributions to the overall economic performance: Creating foreign exchange inflow, exports, employment, technology transfer; adding to the machinery stock, facilitating internationalization Regional Breakdown of Projects(%) 42 out of the world’s top 250 contracting companies are Turkish. Turkey ranks as the 2nd country (following China) in terms of the number of top contracting companies. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 38 C- INVESTMENTS, FOREIGN CAPITAL and INCENTIVES March 2015 Ministry of Economy 39 Foreign Direct Investment Source: CBRT FDI reached to 149.3 billion USD in 2003-2014 period, while it was 14.6 billion USD in 1984-2002 period. FDI increased 1.7 % in 2015 January with respect to previous period and reached to 1.8 billion USD. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 40 The Sectoral Breakdown of Foreign Investments (Million $) AGRICULTURE INDUSTRIAL SECTORS Mining and Quarrying Manifacturing Production and Distribution of Electricity, Gas, SERVICES SECTOR TOTAL 2013 47 4,819 242 2,207 2,334 5,000 9,866 2014 2014* 61 0 4,666 178 449 48 2,891 93 1,323 37 3,972 117 8,699 295 2015* 0 132 118 13 1 40 172 *January Breakdown of Investments in Manufacturing Industry (%) 7.7 7.7 0.0 Food, Beverage, Tobacco 7.7 Textile Refined Petroleum 0.0 0.0 7.7 Chemicals and Man-made Fibers Plastics and Rubber Minerals other than Metallics Basic and Fabricated Metals 46.2 Machinery and Equipment Electrical and Optical Equipment Vehicles 0.0 Others Source: CBRT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 41 Breakdown of Foreign Investments by Country 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million $ Netherlands England Russia Azerbaijan Germany Luxembourg Italy USA France Kuwait Japan Norway Singapore Swiss United Arab Emirates Greece Hong Kong Spain Ireland Austria LIST TOTAL TOTAL 2012 1.381 2.044 11 338 491 1.186 154 439 86 271 106 136 64 454 52 58 38 193 22 1.519 9.043 10.759 2013 918 300 875 803 1.968 278 146 326 217 185 439 30 22 204 176 68 13 506 7 656 8.137 9.866 2014 2.017 1.046 730 718 693 555 490 325 280 234 212 170 165 154 115 101 88 74 56 48 8.271 8.699 2015* 221 3 735 73 20 115 14 1 4 3 9 0 2 26 0 8 0 0 8 11 1.253 1.599 *January Source: CBRT March 2015 Ministry of Economy 42 Investment Incentive System The current investment incentive system of Turkey is structured in four sub systems: General Investment Incentive System Regional Investment Incentive System Investment Incentive System for Big Scale Projects Encouraging the Strategic Investments March 2015 Ministry of Economy 43 Investment Incentives Certificates Amount of Fixed Issued Investments (Million TL) 2012 2013 2014 2015* Total 4.253 4.927 3.623 344 Total 57.889 96.059 61.779 26.880 Potential Employment (People) Total 148.795 191.845 143.763 10.449 CERTIFICATES ISSUED 2012 2013 2014 2015* Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Various 1.546 740 694 490 335 438 10 1.768 803 695 516 484 635 26 1.460 716 594 447 367 461 17 111 63 41 28 33 67 1 TOTAL 4.253 4.927 4.062 344 *January Source: General Directorate of Incentive Implementation and Foreign Investment March 2015 Ministry of Economy 44 D - FREE ZONES IN TURKEY March 2015 Ministry of Economy 45 The Advantages of Free Zones for Users Tax advantages for manufacturers Medium-and long-term investment view Availability to transfer profits Commercial facilities Exemption from customs duties Acquisition of the documents relating to the free movement of goods under the scope of Customs Union with the EU Principle of equality No time restrictions Flexibility to adjust to the market needs and conditions Reliable inflation accounting Market access to domestic and foreign markets Reduced bureaucratic procedures and dynamic business management Strategic advantages Affordable and compatible infrastructure Supply chain opportunities March 2015 Ministry of Economy 46 Free Zones in Turkey 61,505 people have been employed in Free Zones of Turkey in 2014. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 47 Trade Flows of Free Zones Million Dollar From Domestic Market to Free Zones From Free Zones to Abroad From Abroad to Free Zones From Free Zones to Domestic Markets TOTAL TRADE VOLUME 2008 3,195 5,874 8,248 7,262 24,579 2009 2,177 4,913 5,493 5,173 17,756 2010 2,295 4,361 6,625 5,291 18,572 2011 2,668 6,924 7,253 5,801 22,646 2012 2,971 7,071 7,257 5,754 23,053 2013 2,887 7,701 7,490 5,162 23,240 2014 2,732 7,958 7,059 4,683 22,432 Source: General Directorate of Free Zones, Foreign Investments and Services In 2014 total trade volume of the Free Zones reached to 22,4 billion dollars, decreasing 3.5% annually. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 48 Concentration in Free Zones by Industries Istanbul Ataturk Airport FZ Antalya FZ Kocaeli FZ Avrupa FZ Mersin FZ Bursa FZ Izmir FZ TUBITAK-MAM FZ Adana-Yumurtalik FZ Services and Software Yacht-building, Medical Equipment Ship-building Ready-Wear Ready-Wear Automotive sub-industries Leather R&D Activities Ship Repair and Maintenance Source: General Directorate of Free Zones, Foreign Investments and Services March 2015 Ministry of Economy 49 E - BILATERAL, REGIONAL, PLURILATERAL and MULTILATERAL TRADE March 2015 Ministry of Economy 50 Trade Relationships of Turkey with Others Bilateral Trade Relationships of Turkey Europe, Asia-Pacific, Eurasia, Middle East and North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Americas Regional and Multiple Trade Relationships of Turkey EU, ECO, D8, BSEC, OIC, COMCEC Multilateral Trade Relationships of Turkey WTO, OECD, G20 March 2015 Ministry of Economy 51 FTA Countries 1. EFTA (Norway, Switzerland, Iceland, Liechtenstein) 2. Israel 3. Macedonia 4. Bosnia and Herzegovina 5. Palestine 6. Tunisia 7. Morocco 8. Syria (**) 9. Egypt 11. Georgia 12. Montenegro 13. Serbia 14. Chile 15. Jordan 16. South Korea 17. Mauritius 18. Lebanon* 19. Kosovo* 20.Malaysia* 10. Albania (*) Agreements that are in the approval process (**) Pending March 2015 Ministry of Economy 52 FTA Countries(On-going Negotiations) 1. Moldova* 9. Gulf Cooperation Council 2. Ghana* 10. Libya 3. Ukraine 11. MERCOSUR 4. Colombia 12. Faroe Islands 5. Ecuador 6. Democratic Republic of the Congo 13. Japan 14. Singapore 7. Cameroon 15. Peru 8. Seychelles 16. Mexico * Negotiations completed. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 53 Multilateral Trade Relationships Trade in Services Aggrement (TISA) Due to the stumble of Doha Development Round and ambitious targets of top services exporters, TISA negotiations which continue between countries, who makes up 70% of total world services, in order to increase liberalisation in services trade while Turkey is included in the negotiations. Non Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) NAMA refering to all products not covered by the WTO-Agreement on Agriculture (manufacturing products, fuels and mining products, fish and fish products, and forestry products) targets to further liberalization on these product by both reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers. G-20 Presidency The G-20 economies consisting of USA, Germany, Argentina, the European Union Australia, Brazil, China, Indonesia, France, South Africa, South Korea, India, Britain, Italy, Japan, Canada, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Turkey represent approximately 90% of the World GDP, 80% of the world trade, and two-thirds of the world population. The presidency of the G-20 rotates annually and Turkey will assume the presidency of the G20 in 2015. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 54 Regional Breakdown of Exports (Million $) EU-28 CIS EFTA Economic Cooperation Organisation Organisation of Islamic Cooperation Black Sea Economic Cooperation FTA Countries OECD Turkic Republics TOTAL Change Share (%) (%) (2014) 2013 2014 2014* 2015* 63.040 16.924 1.662 68.530 15.621 3.796 8,7 -7,7 128,4 43,5 9,9 2,4 5.456 1.189 265 5.271 878 1.112 11.898 11.720 -1,5 7,4 798 881 49.371 48.634 -1,5 30,9 3.824 3.596 20.368 19.691 -3,3 12,5 14.942 68.684 6.908 17.633 76.692 7.110 18,0 11,7 2,9 11,2 48,6 4,5 157.642 3,8 100 1.490 1.310 6.091 505 12.400 1.185 1.946 6.762 428 12.330 151.803 Change Share (%) (%) (2015*) -3,4 -26,2 319,7 42,8 7,1 9,0 10,5 7,1 -6,0 29,2 -20,5 9,6 48,6 11,0 -15,2 15,8 54,8 3,5 -0,6 100 * January Source: TURKSTAT *January ** Except Lebanon and Kosovo In January 2015, our exports to EFTA countries increased by 319.7% annually and EFTA became the fastest growing export destination of the regions above. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 55 Trade Representatives Abroad 179 trade representatives from the Ministry are serving in 110 countries, 160 locations and 5 trade offices abroad. March 2015 Ministry of Economy 56 Locations of Trade Representatives AMERİKA Buenos Aires New York Karakas Sao Paulo Mexico City Şikago Ottava Toronto Santiago Miami Vaşington San Francisco Houston Seattle Los Angeles AFRİKA Abuja Addis Ababa Akra Cezayir Dakar Darüsselam Hartum İskenderiye Kahire Nairobi Pretoria Rabat Trablus Tunus Kazablanka ASYA Astana Aşkabat Bangkok Bişkek Cakarta Duşanbe Hanoi İslamabad Kabil Kuala Lumpur Manila Pekin Seul Singapur GEORGETOWN Taşkent Tokyo Ulan Bator Yeni Delhi Almatı Guangzhou Hong Kong Karaçi Mumbai Şangay Georgetown AVRUPA/KAFKASYA AB DTÖ OECD Atina Bakü Belgrad Berlin Bern Bratislava Brüksel Budapeşte Bükreş Dublin Helsinki Kiev Kişinev Kopenhag Lahey Lizbon Lefkoşa Londra Lubliyana Madrid Minsk Moskova Oslo Paris Podgorica Prag Priştine Roma Saraybosna Sofya Stokholm Tiflis Tiran Üsküp Varşova Viyana Zagreb Barselona Batum Düsseldorf Hamburg Hannover Kazan Marsilya Milano Münih Novorossisk Odessa Rotterdam Selanik St. Petersburg Stutgart Birmingham Krasnodar Novosibirsk Yekaterinbur g ORTA DOĞU Abu Dhabi Amman Bağdat Beyrut Doha Kuveyt Manama Muskat Riyad Sana Şam Tahran Tel Aviv Basra Cidde Dubai Erbil Halep Kudüs Musul Tebriz March 2015 Daimi Temsilci Yardımcılığı Ticaret Müşavirliği AVUSTRALYA Ticaret Ataşeliği Sidney Melbourne İrtibat Büroları Ministry of Economy 57