www.unido.org Biofuels for Industrial Development and Poverty Reduction in Africa Heinz Leuenberger Director, Energy and Cleaner Production Branch. United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) www.unido.org Outline 1. Global Energy Trends 2. Global and local drivers 3. Potential and opportunities for Africa 4. Key issues, potential risks and trade-offs 5. UNIDO’s biofuels activities 6. Way forward 7. Conclusions www.unido.org 1. Global Energy Trends Climate Change and peak oil shaping future energy agenda Renewables account for about 17% of Global Primary Energy (Traditional Biomass 9%, Large Hydro 5.7% and Other Renewables 2%) Renewables Power capacity excluding large hydro-power touched 182 GW in 2005 Investments in New Renewable Capacity touched $ 70 Billion in 2006 Fastest growth taking place in the field of liquid Biofuels – Ethanol and Biodiesel www.unido.org Rising population & increase in energy demand Primary Energy Demand (Indexed) 24000 21000 Developed (GDP/cap > $US 12,000) Emerging (GDP/cap < $US 12,000) Developing (GDP/cap <$US 5,000) 18000 Poorest (GDP/cap < $US 1,500) 15000 Population [1,000,000 cap] 12000 9000 6000 3000 0 2000 Base case Low poverty Prosperous world 2050 Source: Basic Facts - Trends 2050 - WBCSD www.unido.org Global energy use per capita 2000 400 North America Per capita energy use (GJ/cap) 350 300 Australia & NZ 250 200 Japan EU-25 150 100 FSU Middle East Latin America 50 Asia & China Africa India 0 0 1 2 3 Population (billion) Source: World development indicators, 2003 4 5 6 www.unido.org World Electricity Demand by Region in the WEO 2006 Reference Scenario Source: IEA www.unido.org World Primary Energy Consumption 2000 vs A1 & B2 Scenario Projections for 2030 (EJ) AGRICULTURE 3% TRANSPORT 22% A1 INDUSTRIAL 36% BUILDINGS 39% Total 384 EJ 2000 A1 - High Growth Scenario B2 - Low Growth Scenario TRANSPORT 23% B2 BUILDINGS 35% TRANSPORT 25% INDUSTRIAL 39% BUILDINGS 37% INDUSTRIAL 39% Total 892 EJ 2030 Total 648 EJ Source: IPCC www.unido.org 2. Drivers of Biofuels Development – Transport Fuels Incremental Oil Demand 2002-2030; figures from IEA (2004) www.unido.org 2. Drivers of Biofuels Development – Global Context • High and volatile oil prices • rising demand (India, China); • instability in major oil producing regions; • higher exploration costs; and • finite nature of global oil resources. • Climate change agenda • Agriculture and trade policies • Sustainability issues • Technological advances and emerging more efficient conversion technologies. www.unido.org 2. Drivers of Biofuels Development - Global Energy Region Africa Latin America Asia China Non-OECD Europe Former USSR Middle East OECD World Primary Energy, in ExaJoules (EJ) total renewables biomass 21,5 10,8 10,5 18,8 5,2 3,3 48,2 16,1 15,0 48,4 10,0 9,0 4,2 0,4 0,2 39,5 1,2 0,4 16,3 0,1 0,0 223,3 12,7 6,8 420,3 56,6 45,2 Global Resources (EJ/a) Current Use Technical Potential hydro 0,3 1,9 0,6 1,0 0,2 0,9 0,1 4,4 9,3 Eco-potential Hydro 10 50 20 Biomass 45 >1,000 100-500 Solar 0.2 >1,000 200 Wind 0.2 600 150 Geothermal 1.2 >1,500 200 Ocean 0 ? ? TOTAL 56.6 >4,000 +/- 1000 RE share 50% 28% 33% 21% 9% 3% 1% 6% 13% www.unido.org 2. Global Pattern 2030 =Oil export = oil & bio domestic Source: IEA (2005) = bio-export = bio domestic www.unido.org 2. Export potential of Biofuels Targets EU % Bio-fuels in Transport fuels Targets Germany % Bio-fuels in Transport fuels 2005 2010 2015 2020 2% 5.75 % 8% 10 % 2010 2015 2020 6.75 % 8% 17 % Conclusion: To achieve these targets EU and Germany must import Biofuels from outside Europe Sustainability of Biofuels will be crucial for the future international market www.unido.org 2. Alternative use of Biomass 1. Biomass used for Energy production Solid Gas Liquid Combined Power-heat coupling Transport fuel Industrial applications for process heat 2. Biomass used as Raw Material for industrial activities Cosmetic, washing powder, fertilizer, plastic, packing materials, Textiles, Cellulose, raw materials for pharma products, etc. www.unido.org 2. Drivers of Biofuels Development – African Context Africa has 13% of global population yet uses 3% of electricity used globally. Only 1 in 4 people in Africa has access to electricity. Under exploitation of available resources : 6% of hydroelectricity and 0.6% of geothermal potential exploited. Abundance and decentralized availability of biomass resources Need to raise GDP growth rate from 3.5% to 8% if Africa is to meet the MDGs & means a corresponding increase in energy demand. www.unido.org 3. Africa’s Biofuels Potential. Africa has ‘vast’ land resources and conducive climates. Estimating exact potential is complex –many variables. Several studies undertaken and converge on the following: 1. Africa has a very large potential to produce biofuels. 2. Under a high productivity scenario Sub Saharan Africa can produce biofuels with energy content up to 410 Exa J compared to global energy consumption of 440 Exa J (very optimistic!) www.unido.org 3. Opportunities and Benefits of Biofuels in Africa Sustainable use of Biofuels can lead to - Reduction in oil importation bill. - Revitalization of rural economies through higher farm incomes, creating jobs and enhance local energy security. - Increased availability of cleaner burning fuel with both global and local environmental benefits. - Reclaiming of degraded and marginal lands and opportunities for carbon sequestration. www.unido.org 4. Key issues, challenges and risks of biofuels include.. Environmental Challenges. Production chain and application should have positive energy and GHG balances. Sustainable water use and no additional water contamination Environmental responsibility and conservation of natural resources and biodiversity. Minimize soil erosion and degradation Minimum environmental emission from Bio fuels production technologies Socio-Economic Challenges Reduce competition and strengthen synergies with food sector/land. Balancing between large-scale and small-scale production Production should lead to local and shared prosperity Technology Challenges Identifying appropriate plants for specific regions. Appropriate technologies for communities and businesses. Increasing production efficiency www.unido.org 4. Example : LCA for Bio-fuels, Indicators www.unido.org 4. Example: LCA for Bio-fuels www.unido.org 4. Example: LCA for Bio-fuels www.unido.org 5. UNIDO’s Biofuels Activities : Objectives Increase security of energy supply through diversification of supply and reduce reliance on fossil oil. Increasing access to energy for poor for productive uses reducing risks and uncertainties in investments in technologies. promote transfer and commercialization of appropriate technologies. demonstrating the biofuels value chain. Stimulate debate and ideas on key issues such as sustainability standards etc. www.unido.org 5. UNIDO’s Role Biofuels Value Chain Biomass Resource Agricultural crops and residues Woody biomass Supply Systems Harvesting. Collection. Oil bearing plants Industrial waste. Handling. Municipal waste. Biochemical Transport fuels. Thermochemical . Heat Physical/chemic al processes. e.g. Solid fuels Deoxygenation Depolymerisatio n. Delivery Pyrolysis; Gasification; Storage End Use Conversion Hydrolysis; Fermentation. Electricity Construction materials Plant based pharmaceutical s Renewable chemicals including polymers www.unido.org 5. UNIDO’s Biofuels Activities : Draft Strategy UNIDO’s biofuels strategy seeks to assist developing countries in realizing the potential benefits of biofuels, especially by linking technology, investment, trade and sustainability issues, to assist countries to formulate adequate RE policies and define/adopt recognized sustainability indicators; reduce uncertainties regarding investment opportunities; provide tailor-made technical assistance programmes; strengthen SME capacities to meet international biofuels standards. For this, UNIDO will work with networks of experts, research institutes, industrial associations, and cooperate with UN partners, multi / bilateral agencies and regional initiatives. www.unido.org 5. UNIDO’s Biofuels Activities : Focal Areas Profiling Bio-fuels (BAT, BEP, Sustainability, Employment, Costs, efficiency, emissions, maintenance requirement, specification data, south-south cooperation for program implementation etc.) Solid biofuels: South-South technology transfer, and commercialization (technology transfer, south-south cooperation, cogeneration) Liquid biofuels: Ethanol from residues and wastes – demonstrating the value chain (technology assessments on all biofuel pathways) Liquid biofuels: Biodiesel – building the local-global bridge for SMEs (foster decentralized production, feedstock availability, costs quality, labor safety, environmental performance, technology and human skills requirements etc.) Gaseous Biofuels (biogas for industrial and transport applications) Biorefineries: (providing clearinghouse services) in cooperation with ICS-Trieste www.unido.org 5. Proposed Biofuels Strategy: Key Projects Biofuels projects in: Cuba, Zambia, India, Sri Lanka, and Croatia Centre of Excellence for Biomass Gasification Technologies proposed at Indian Institute of Sciences, Bangalore, India Applications: – Biomass gasification for power generation & process heat in industries – Bio-diesel and Bio-ethanol: Feasibility studies & applications – Biogas: residential & industrial energy, motive power for small industry – Bio-refineries: Awareness raising Biomass Conversion Technologies on-line Information Forum (BIOTIF) Bio-fuels Capacity Building Programme (BIOCAB) Bio-refineries: providing clearinghouse services (ICS Trieste) www.unido.org 5. UNIDO’s Bioenergy Activities : Global Forum Activities • International Conference on Biodiesel in Malaysia (July 2007) • The First High-Level AU-Brazil- UNIDO Biofuels Seminar in Africa. • Regional Workshop on Promoting Sustainable Biofuels Production and Use in Central & Eastern Europe. (Nov. 2007) • Energy for Development: The Importance of South-South and North-South Technology Exchange for Promoting Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in Senegal, (Feb. 2008) • Global Renewable Energy Forum in Brazil, (Mai 2008) • Follow-up of our Seminar : Sub-Regional workshops in Africa, (2008) www.unido.org 6. Way forward Design and implement Regional Action programs and pilot projects to: Develop appropriate policies, strategies and investment plans to promote biofuels development (Renewable Energy) within a sustainable development framework i.e energy self sufficiency should be priority. Provide and measure datas for the discussion and verification of sustainability standards for biofuels Create investment vehicles/funds to mobilize financial resources to invest in national priority biofuels projects. Mainstream use of biofuels in Country Assistance Strategies ( PRSPs and CSPs) Forster market-oriented partnerships between governments, the private sector, civil society and international development partners. Promote engagement on North-South and South-South basis and between public and private sectors. Encourage multi-disciplinary approaches, Support biofuels research and development in Africa. Concentrate our focus on regional initiatives for scale and markets within existing RECs, SADC, ECOWAS, IGAD www.unido.org 7. Conclusions Biofuels can play a significant role for the development in Africa Policies, research cooperations, partnerships and technology transfer should be the basis for future biofuels program in Africa. Sustainability (GHG-Reduction, Competition with food and local applications, Biodiversity, Environment, Prosperity and Social well being) is critical to its success Initial focus of biofuels programs should be self-sufficiency in energy with national, sub-regional, regional and global linkages. This seminar should result in a common plan/program of action on how Africa can exploit its biofuels potential in a sustainable manner. Follow-up action is required at the national / sub-regional level for ensuring an consistent, integrated and multi- disciplinary approach to develop biofuels projects in a sustainable manner for improved access, increased use in industrial / transport sectors and enhancing energy security in Africa. www.unido.org Thank you for your attention Heinz Leuenberger United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) Director, ECB E-mail: h.leuenberger@unido.org