Section 3.4 Valid Arguments and Fallacies HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Objectives o Identify common fallacies in arguments HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Argument Argument An argument consists of a series of logical statements. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Premise Premise A premise is a statement at the beginning of an argument used to support the conclusion. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Argument, Premise and Conclusion Conclusion A conclusion is the ending statement of an argument. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Premise and Conclusion Indicators The terms premise and conclusion are relative terms. They infer a position in an argument. No statement taken out of the context of the argument can be either a premise or a conclusion on its own; they work together. There are particular words that often indicate conclusions or premises are to follow. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Premise and Conclusion Indicators Table 1: Premise and Conclusion Indicators Premise Indicators Conclusion Indicators as as indicated by because due to the fact that for for the reason that given that if in as much as in that may be concluded from may be inferred from seeing that since the reason that accordingly consequently entails that hence implies that it must be that it follows that so then therefore thus we may conclude that we may infer that whence Wherefore HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #1 Skill Check #1 Identify the premise and conclusion in each of the following. a. Our technology will deliver a better product, so you will have fewer complaints. b. Your employees will feel better and be more productive if you build in communal break times to the work day. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #1 Answer: a. Premise: our technology will deliver a better product; Conclusion: you will have fewer complaints b. Premise: you build in communal break times to the work day; Conclusion: your employees will feel better and be more productive HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Inductive Reasoning Inductive Reasoning Inductive reasoning is a line of argument that takes specific examples as its premise and then draws a general conclusion from these. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Deductive Reasoning Deductive Reasoning Deductive reasoning uses statements that are commonly accepted as facts to make a case for a certain conclusion. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Valid Arguments Valid Argument A valid argument is a deductive argument where the conclusion is guaranteed from the premises. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Examples of Valid Arguments Here are some examples of valid arguments. 1. All men are mortal. Socrates is a man. Therefore, Socrates is mortal. 2. Taylor Swift makes great music. Her new CD was just released. It must be great! 3. Cutting out sweets from your diet makes you lose weight. He hasn’t eaten sweets in months, so he must be losing weight. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 1: Determining the Validity of an Argument Show that the following argument is valid. All men are mortal. Socrates is a man. Therefore, Socrates is mortal. Solution The first line of the argument, “All men are mortal,” can be read as the conditional statement “if one is a man, then he is mortal,” which can be expressed with notation as p ⇒ q. This means that we have the following simple statements. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 1: Determining the Validity of an Argument (cont.) p: One is a man. q: One is mortal. If we assume p ⇒ q is true, we can consider the case for Socrates. Since we know that Socrates is a man, we know that Socrates satisfies p. Consider the truth table for p ⇒ q. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 1: Determining the Validity of an Argument (cont.) Table 3 : Truth Table p q p⇒q T T T T F F F T T F F T We are assuming that both p and p ⇒ q are true. According to the truth table, if these two statements are true, then q must also be true. Consequently, we conclude that q is true of Socrates, and so Socrates must indeed be mortal. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #2 Skill Check #2 Show that arguments 2. and 3. are valid by using the same method given in Example 1. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #2 Answer: Argument 2: The first line can be expressed as p ⇒ q (If it was made by Taylor Swift, then it is good music). Since we know that Taylor Swift made her new CD, p is satisfied. If we take p ⇒ q to be true, the truth table of p ⇒ q ensures that when p is true, q is true. Consequently, we can conclude that q is true of Taylor Swift’s new album, and that it is great. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #2 Argument 3: The first line can be expressed as p ⇒ q (If you cut sweets out of your diet, then you will lose weight). Since we know that he has not eaten any sweets (that is, he has cut out sweets), p is satisfied. If we take p ⇒ q to be true, the truth table of p ⇒ q ensures that when p is true, q is true. Consequently, we can conclude that q is also true, and that he is losing weight. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Invalid Argument Invalid Argument An invalid argument is an argument where the conclusion is not always guaranteed from the premises. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 2: Determining the Validity of an Argument Let’s change argument 3. from the valid examples given previously. The original argument was Cutting out sweets makes you lose weight. He hasn’t eaten sweets in months, so he must be losing weight. Switch the last two portions so that the argument becomes Cutting out sweets makes you lose weight. He’s losing weight, so he must be cutting out sweets. Show that the modified argument is invalid. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 2: Determining the Validity of an Argument (cont.) Solution Despite the fact that we often hear people say things like this, the argument is invalid because the conclusion (although it might be true) does not necessarily follow from the premises stated. Let’s see why the conclusion does not follow directly from the premises. Identifying the premises and conclusion is always a good place to start. In this case, it’s easy to spot the conclusion because it follows “so” in the argument. The conclusion is “he must be cutting out sweets.” Thus, “he is losing weight” must be the premise. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 2: Determining the Validity of an Argument (cont.) Let a and b be the following. a: He is cutting out sweets. b: He is losing weight. You can think of the first part of the new argument as “if you cut out sweets, then you lose weight.” This can be expressed symbolically as a ⇒ b. Assume a ⇒ b is true. The argument also asserts b is true; he is losing weight. Next, we consult the truth table for a ⇒ b to find the rows where both are true. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 2: Determining the Validity of an Argument (cont.) Table 4 : Truth Table a b a⇒b T T T T F F F T T F F T Unlike our previous example, notice that there are two combinations where both a ⇒ b and b are true: the first and third rows. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 2: Determining the Validity of an Argument (cont.) The first row has a true value for statement a and the third row has a false value for statement a. Since there is more than one possible truth value for statement a when both a ⇒ b and b are true, we cannot conclude that a is in fact true always. It does not follow logically from the truth table. The weight loss might be a result of some dietary restriction, exercise, or any number of things. So this argument is invalid, even if the conclusion is true. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #3 Skill Check #3 Consider whether the following is a valid argument. All organisms with wings can fly. Since penguins have wings, they must be able to fly. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #3 Answer: If we represent “the organism has wings” as p and “the organism can fly” as q, then the first sentence can be expressed as p ⇒ q. Since we know that penguins do have wings, p is true of penguins. If we take p ⇒ q to be true, the truth table of p ⇒ q ensures that when p is true, q is true. Consequently, we can conclude that q is true of penguins, and that they can fly. Of course, this conclusion is not true. However, because we assume the first conditional statement to be true, and because our premise p is true of penguins, this argument is logically valid. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Sound Argument Sound Argument A sound argument is a valid argument using true premises. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 3: Determining Sound Arguments Use a truth table to show that the following is a sound argument. If the President of the United States is unable to carry out his or her constitutional role, then the Vice President becomes the President of the United States. In November 1963, President John F. Kennedy was fatally shot. Therefore, without an election, Lyndon Johnson became President of the United States. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 3: Determining Sound Arguments (cont.) Solution Begin by identifying the simple statements within the compound statement. p: The President of the United States is unable to carry out his or her constitutional role q: The Vice President becomes the President of the United States. The truth table for a conditional compound statement is given in Table 5. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 3: Determining Sound Arguments (cont.) Table 5 : Truth Table p q p⇒q T T T T F F F T T F F T You can see that the implication is true on the first, third, and fourth lines. For a sound argument, we must start with a true statement. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 3: Determining Sound Arguments (cont.) Therefore, we’ll only consider the first two rows of the table. We are told that in 1963, President John F. Kennedy was fatally shot. In other words, statement p is true. We also are told that statement q is true in this argument because the Vice President at the time, Lyndon Johnson, became President of the United States. From the truth table, we know that given statements p and q, which are true, the implication p ⇒ q is also true. So we know that this argument is both valid and sound. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 4: Determining Sound Arguments Determine if the following argument is sound. We’ll go skiing this weekend if it snows at least 2 inches, and if we go skiing I’ll get some new boots. It snowed 3 inches, so I must have new boots! Solution Let’s begin by identifying the simple statements within the compound statement. We can write our statements symbolically as follows. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 4: Determining Sound Arguments (cont.) p: It snows at least 2 inches. q: We go skiing. r: I get new boots. This argument is actually a double implication. Ultimately, we want to show that p ⇒ r, by showing that p ⇒ q and q ⇒ r. The truth table for this compound implication is given in Table 6. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 4: Determining Sound Arguments (cont.) Table 6: Truth Table p q r p⇒q q⇒r p⇒r T T T T T T T T F T F F T F T F T T T F F F T F F T T T T T F T F T F T F F T T T T F F F T T T HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 4: Determining Sound Arguments (cont.) We begin with the premise that it snowed 3 inches, which ensures the truth of p. We know from the truth table for implications that if we have a true p and a true p ⇒ q, we can conclude q, that we do indeed go skiing. Then going one more step, it also allows us to combine this new conclusion, q, with q ⇒ r, to conclude r and ensure that I get new boots. Therefore the argument is sound. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #4 Skill Check #4 Use a truth table to show that the following is a sound argument. Speeding is a crime. I occasionally drive over the speed limit. I am a criminal. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #4 Answer: Speeding is a crime can be expressed as p ⇒ q, where p: One drives above the speed limit. q: One commits a crime. Speeding is a crime can be expressed as p ⇒ q, and the truth table is as follows. Truth Table HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. p q p⇒q T T T T F F F T T F F T Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #4 For a sound argument, we must start with a true statement. Therefore, we’ll only consider the first two rows of the table. We are told that “I occasionally drive over the speed limit.” In other words, statement p is true. We also are told that statement q is true in this argument because “I am a criminal.” From the truth table, we know that given true statements p and q, the implication p ⇒ q is also true. So we know that this argument is both valid and sound. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Fallacy Fallacy A fallacy is an error in reasoning that leads to an invalid argument. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Common Fallacies 1. Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc (After This, Therefore Because of This) 2. Dicto Simpliciter (Hasty Generalization) 3. Ad Hominem (Personal Attack) 4. Petitio Principii (Circular Reasoning) 5. Non Sequitur (It Does Not Follow) 6. Straw Man (Exaggerated or Distorted View of the Opponent) 7. False Dilemma (Illusion of Limited Choice) 8. Argumentum ad Populum (Appeal to the People) HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 5: Identifying Fallacies Identify the type of fallacy used in each of the following statements. a: If public spending is not reduced, our economy will collapse. b: Heather just had a new fuel pump put in her car. Forty-eight hours later, her car won’t start. Heather’s father thinks the mechanic must not have installed the fuel pump correctly. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 5: Identifying Fallacies (cont.) Solution a: False dilemma; it is possible that both can be true at the same time, that is, the economy can be strong and public spending remain the same. b: Post hoc, ergo propter hoc; there are many other things that could cause Heather’s car to not start, including a lack of fuel! HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Skill Check #5 Skill Check #5 Name the fallacy in the following statement: Chloë drives an expensive car. She must have money to spare! Answer: Non sequitur HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Summary of Fallacies Table 7: Summary of Fallacies Name (Latin) Name (Translated) Description Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc After This, Therefore Because of This Because one thing happened My favorite baseball team won first, it caused the other to because I wore my lucky cap to the happen. game. Dicto Simpliciter Hasty Generalization Making broad, sweeping generalizations based on a few specific occurrences. My state senator was caught in a scandal. This just proves that all politicians are untrustworthy. Ad Hominem Personal Attack Attacking someone’s person, character, or motives instead of addressing the premise of the argument. Robert said that the car accident wasn’t his fault, but I’m sure he is lying; he stole money from me once. Petitio Principii Circular Reasoning The premise and conclusion state the same thing. Government-run health insurance is dangerous because it is socialistic. HAWKES LEARNING Students Count. Success Matters. Example Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes Learning/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Summary of Fallacies (cont.) Table 7: Summary of Fallacies (cont.) Name (Latin) Name (Translated) Description Example Non Sequitur It Does Not Follow The conclusion has nothing to do with the premise. Tens of thousands of Americans have seen lights in the night sky that they could not identify. The existence of life on other planets is fast becoming certainty. Straw Man Exaggerated or Distorted View of the Opponent The buildup of a distortion of someone’s ideas or beliefs so that they can easily be knocked down. People who accept evolution believe that humans and monkeys are the same. This is clearly not true. False Dilemma Illusion of Limited Choice Argument that rests on the assumption that there are only two choices as a solution. We can do this the easy way or the hard way. Argumentum ad Populum Appeal to the People Stating that the majority, or even just a large number, of people are doing something as HAWKES LEARNING the basis for supporting a conclusion. Students Count. Success Matters. Two out of the three people in my car think that turning right at the stop sign is the way to get to the Copyright © 2015 by Hawkes concert. So a right turn isInc. the Learning/Quant Systems, correct way to go. All rights reserved.