PENGANTAR ILMU EKONOMI MAKRO CHAPTER 2 MARKET AND GOVERNMENT IN A MODERN ECONOMY (Pasar dan Peranan Pemerintah dalam Perekonomian) 1 INTRODUCTION • Pada tahun 1900an muncul doktrin “Laissez-faire”, artinya: leave us alone (biarkan aku sendiri), atau:”hold that government interfere as little as possible in economic”. Ini adalah doktrin kebebasan ekonomi (sistem ekonomi pasar) • Sistem ekonomi pasar melahirkan kegagalan pasar (market failure), seperti: inefficiency, inequality, macroeconomic problem, etc) • Karena terjadi kegagalan pasar, maka setelah tahun 1900an muncul “welfare state”, yaitu sebuah doktrin yang menghendaki perlunya campur tangan pemerintah dalam perekonomian. Misalnya: pajak, subsidi, JPS, pensiun, dst 2 2.1. PASAR DAN PEREKONOMIAN a. Pasar (market): “market is a mechanism through which buyers and sellers interact to set prices and exchange goods and services” b. Market Equilibrium QD =QS, menghasilkan harga dan jumlah keseimbangan c. Jenis-jenis pasar (bisa dilihat dari beberapa sisi, misalnya: derajat persaingan, jenis barang, dst) d. Pasar dapat menyelesaikan 3 masalah ekonomi: What, how, and for whom e. Penentuan harga dalam sistem ekonomi pasar (lihat bagan berikut): Mekanisme pasar adalah bentuk organisasi ekonomi di mana pembeli dan penjual bertemu dan berinteraksi melalui pasar untuk memecahkan tiga masalah ekonomi yang mendaar 3 Supply of factors: Labour, land, capital Price on factor markets (wages, rents, interest) Demand for factors What CONSUMERS How BUSINESSES (firms) For whom Demand for goods Price on product markets Supply of goods 4 2.2. TRADE, MONEY, AND CAPITAL a. Trade (Perdagangan) Kenapa ada perdagangan: untuk apa: apa manfaat perdagngan (gain from trade, specialization and division of labor); b. Money: Lubricant of exchange What is money? Fungsi uang: 1. The means of exchange/ a medium of exchange 2. Unit of account 3. Store of value (wealth) 4. Standard of defered payment c. Capital • Jenis-jenis modal: bangunan, mesin dsb • Capital formation •Human capital •Fungsi modal • Perbedaan modal dengan investasi 5 2.3. THE ECONOMIC ROLE OF GOVERNMENT a. b. c. To increase efficiency Sistem ekonomi pasar pada pelaksanaannya mengalami kegagalan (market failure) oleh karena itu pemerintah perlu campur tangan dalam perekonomian To promote equity Pasar tidak selalu melakukan distribusi sumberdaya secara adil, maka perlu campur tangan pemerintah. Bentuk campur tangan misalnya dalam penarikan pajak, subsidi To foster macroeconomic growth and stability 1) Growth: sumber pertumbuhan, LPE, pertumbuhan dan kualitas pembangunan, kebijakan fiskal dan moneter 2) Stability of economic: indikator stabilitas, kebijakan pemerintah untuk stabilitas ekonomi, dst. 6 Government Can Remedy The Shortcoming of The Market Market Failure Government Intervention Examples of Govt Policy 1. Inefficiency: • monopoly • externalitas • public goods Encourge competition Intervene in markets Encourge beneficial activities Antitrust laws, deregulation,… Antipolution laws, ect. Build ligthouse, public ed. 2. Inequality (ketidakmerataan) Redistribution income Progressive tax, transfer programs 3. Macroeconomic Problems: • high inflation and employment • slow of economic growth Macroeconomic policies Stimulate growth Fiscal & Monetary policy • Investment in education • Raise national saving 7 CHAPTER 20 OBJECTIVES AND INSTRUMENT OF MACROECONOMIC (THE GOALS OF MACROECONOMIC POLICIES) 8 INTRODUCTION The birth of macroeconomics (ME) 1. Founded by John Maynard Keynes 1930an 2. Central ME questions: (a). Why do output and employment sometimes fall, and how can employment be reduced (b) What are the sources of inflation , and how can it be keft under control; and (3) How can a nation increase its rate of economic growth 9 OBJECTIVES AND INSTRUMENTS OF MACROECONOMIC No. Objectives of MEP Instruments/Tools 1 Output: rapid growth of output Monetary policy 2 Employment Fiscal policy 3 Price level stability Monetary policy 4 Exchange rates stability Monetary policy 10 INTERNATIONAL LINKAGES 1. All nation participate in the world economy: trade and finance (export and import) 2. Trade policies: tariffs, quotas, etc 3. International financial management (foreign exchange rates) 4. Exchange rates represents the price of its own currency in terms of the currencies of other nations 11 AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND DEMAND (AS AND AD) 1. AS refers to the total amount/quantity of goods and services that the nation’s business willingly produce and sell in given period AS = f(Price, Level, Prod Capacity of the ec, costs level) AS dan P memiliki hubungan positif 2. AD refers to the total amount that different sector in economy willingly spend in given period (sektor perekonomian: consumers, business, government, foreigners), AD = f(Price level, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, etc) AD dan P memiliki hubungan negatif 12 3. Macroeconomic Equilibrium P Equilibrium consequences: -. Terjadi output dan harga keseimbangan -. Terdapat employment -. Terjadi international trade AS B C P1 E PE AD Q QB QE QC 13 3. The causes of Shifting in AD P The causes of shipfting in AD: Increase aggregate spending Exp: increase in military spending, etc AS F PF E AD1 PE AD Q QE QF 14 4. The causes of shipting in AS AS1 P AS PG G E PE AD The causes shifting in AS. The cost of production increase Increase of the world price of crude oil, rate of electricity, etc. The consequences of it is decline of output, employment, inflation, etc. it lead to determination of macroeconomic goals Q QG QE 15 5. Long-run Economic Performance P The causes of price increase in the long run (P1900-P2000): AS P-2000 AD AS P-1900 AD Q Q-1900 Q-2000 2T 20 T 16 CHAPTER 21 MEASURING ECONOMIC ACTIVITY (NATIONAL PRODUCT/INCOME) 17 1. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) • Definition:’it is the sum of the dollar values of consumption ( C ), gross investment ( I ), government purchases of goo and services ( G ), and net export (X-M) produced within a nation during a given year” (Samuelson), 2002:434). GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) • The purpose of measuring GDP is to measure the overall performance of an economy 18 2. THE METHOD OF MEASURING GDP a. Production Approach (value added approach) value added is the different between a firmsales and its purchases of materials (cost of intermediate product) from after firms. State of Production Sales Receipts (1) Cost of interProduction (2) Wheat 23 0 23 Flour 53 23 30 Baked dough 110 53 57 Final product (Bread) 190 110 80 Total Value added (Wages, Profit, ets) (3) = (1-2) 190 19 b. Expenditure approach, and ( C ) Earning/cost approach Expenditure Approach Earning Approach Components of GDP Earning or costs as soyrces of GDP Consumption ( C ) + Gross Private Domestic Investment ( I ) + Government Purchases ( G ) + Net Export (X-M) Wages, salaries, & other labor Income + Interest, rent, & other property Income + Indirect taxes + Depreciation + Profits Equals: Gross Dom Product Equals: Gross Dom Product 20 3. THE PROBLEM OF DOUBLE COUNTING We defined GDP as the total production of final goods and services. A final product (goods) is one that is produced and sold for consumption or investment. GDP excludes intermediate goods (i.e. goods that are used up to produced other goods). GDP therefore includes bread but not wheat, and home computers but not computer chips. If bread and wheat sumed in the economic activity, the double counting is happened. 21 4. DETAILS OF THE NATIONAL ACCOUNTS 1. 2. 3. Nominal GDP (GDP at market prices/current prices) Real GDP (GDP at constant prices): is multiplying the quantities of goods by fixed set of prices, or Q = real GDP = Nominal GDP divided by GDP deflator = PQ/P GDP deflator = (Nominal GDP/real GDP) = general prices = index number of prices The kinds of price indexes: - Consumers price index (CPI), atau IHK - Producers price index (PPI or IHP) is the price index of goods sold at the wholesale level (such as steel, wheat, oil, ect) (Samuelson, 2002:774) - GDP deflator 22 5. COMPONENT OF GDP 1. 2. 3. 4. Consumption ( C ) • durable goods: automobiles, motorcycles, etc • nondurable goods: food, drink, etc • services (medical care, bank, etc Investment and capital formation ( I ) • physical investment (additional capital stock) • financial investment (using money to buy stock, or to open saving account Government expenditure ( G ) • payroll expenditures on its employees • gross investment/public goods • office equipment, etc. (excluded; transfer payment Net exports ( X-M): it is measurement of inter linkages 23 6. FROM GDP TO DISPOSIBLE INCOME (DI) GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) NI = National Income = GDP – (Depreciation + Indirect Taxes) DI = Disposible Income = NI – (Direct Taxes + Net Business Saving) + Tr Or: NI = w + r + i + π GDP = NI + Depreciation + Indirect Taxes Notes: w = wages, r = rent, i = interest, π = profit See diagram below 24 Net Export Government Expenditure Depreciation Indirect Taxes Direct Taxes Investment Net business saving Transfer payment National Income DI Consumption GDP National Income ( NI ) Disposible Income ( DI ) 25 7. BEYOND THE NATIONAL ACCOUNT 1. Omitted non market activities: meals, loundering, child care services, ect 2. Omitted environment demages 3. Calculation is normally in averages, ect 26 27 28 29 30 31