Next up… You will examine how changes in the landscape affect: • (i) ecosystem diversity, • (ii) species diversity, • (iii) ecosystem function in terms of carbon sequestration, • (iv) population viability of a large herding mammal, • (v) foraging energetics of wide-ranging birds, • (vi) genetic drift in a canopy tree. You will generate three landscapes: • (i) the original landscape, • (ii) the landscape subjected to uncontrolled fragmentation, • (iii) the landscape subject to fragmentation guided by some simple land use regulations and alternatives. Goal • Contrast biological indicators in 3 landscapes fragmented in different ways you will get a good sense of: – how fragmentation affects biodiversity – how we can mitigate some of its negative effects of human population growth and forest conversion through • Regulation • Planning • Incentives Each grid square is 100m on a side or 1 hectare First scenario: Original landscape • Scattered disturbances are typical : lightning strikes, fires, or small, shifting garden plots – 2% of the area and well dispersed. • To mimic randomly choose 2% of the grid squares ( = 8) – convert them to early successional vegetation (filled grid squares) – change the grid squares surrounding these to edge environments (cross-hatched grid squares). • What is the human population being supported within the landscape? – Each family (average of 5 people per family) needs exclusive access to 3 hectares of cleared land for cultivation to meet their needs or 50 hectares of forestland (upland or inundated and not necessarily contiguous) Second scenario: Uncontrolled fragmentation • New map • Add a road bisecting the landscape (government initiative). • The road width is negligible but it provides immediate access to the grid squares traversed and those immediately adjacent to them (150m back from the road). These are converted to agriculture. • Convert adjacent forests to edge habitat (100m into a stand) • Further settlement: add two more roads in perpendicular fashion • Repeat the process of demarking converted lands 150m from the roadsides and then the edge habitats adjacent to them. • What is the human population being supported within the landscape? – Each family (average of 5 people per family) needs exclusive access to 3 hectares of cleared land for cultivation to meet their needs or 50 hectares of forestland (upland or inundated and not necessarily contiguous) Third scenario: Regulated fragmentation with livelihood alternatives • New map • Place roads anywhere you want to minimize fragmentation while supporting the same number of people as in Scenario II and: – Tripling the production rates on cultivated land through provision of fertilizer and perhaps alternative crops so that local people now need to clear only a third as much forest to meet their needs. • In other words, each family can meet its needs on just one hectare of cultivated land because productivity has been tripled. • you only need to convert the lands up to 50m from roadsides, so fill in only the blocks directly intersected by the road. – Prohibit forest clearing of any habitat block that contains a watercourse (roads can traverse watercourses but the forest blocks that include watercourses are not cleared) – Protect all rare ecosystems – no conversion of inundated forests! • Need same human population as scenario II! Next class…how to calculate: • (i) ecosystem diversity, • (ii) species diversity, • (iii) ecosystem function in terms of carbon sequestration, • (iv) population viability of a large herding mammal, • (v) foraging energetics of wide-ranging birds, • (vi) genetic drift in a canopy tree. How to calculate: • (i) ecosystem diversity, • (ii) species diversity, • (iii) ecosystem function in terms of carbon sequestration, • (iv) population viability of a large herding mammal, • (v) foraging energetics of wide-ranging birds, • (vi) genetic drift in a canopy tree. What is the human population being supported within the landscape? • Each family (average of 5 people per family) needs exclusive access to 3 hectares of cleared land for cultivation to meet their needs or 50 hectares of forestland (upland or inundated and not necessarily contiguous) – Scenario I: ~45 people – Scenario II: ~285 people – Scenario III: ~255 people Landscape analysis of ecosystem diversity Maximized where there is (1) more ecosystem types and (2) an even representation of ecosystem types Landscape-Level Carbon Sequestration • Forest biomass averages 300 tons/ha • Carbon comprises 50% of that. • Forest clearing commits 95%of forest biomass to carbon emissions – 5% remains as relict living trees in pastures or inert as charcoal in the soil. • Forest edges lose 10% of their biomass because mortality of trees is higher on the edges. • Do not distinguish inundated forests from upland forests for this exercise. Faunal diversity • 123 bird species: – 31 use the matrix (converted lands) – 92 use the forest edge – 92 use forest interior. • 62 frog species: – 16 use the matrix, – 52 use the forest interior – 51 use the forest edge • Sum of the weights*values divided by sum of the weights. In this case weights = extent of a given ecosystem type and values = faunal diversity for a particular type 15 mammal species: – 4 use the matrix only – 15 use the forest interior, – 10 use the forest edge • Use a weighted average! 127 ant species – 32 use the matrix only – 104 use the primary forest – 44 use the forest edge For example, if the landscape was composed of 1 000 grid squares, of which 500 were primary forest, 250 were forest edge, and 250 were matrix, then ant diversity on average in that landscape would equal: • 123 bird species: – 31 use the matrix (converted lands) – 92 use the forest edge – 92 use forest interior. • 62 frog species: – 16 use the matrix, – 52 use the forest interior – 51 use the forest edge • 15 mammal species: – 4 use the matrix only – 15 use the forest interior, – 10 use the forest edge • 127 ant species – 32 use the matrix only – 104 use the primary forest – 44 use the forest edge Simple Population Viability of a Herding Species with a Large HomeRange Simple Population Viability of a Herding Species with a Large Home-Range • Assume – > 1 km2 required to support a herd of white-lipped peccaries at densities of five peccaries per km2 – peccaries are reluctant to cross roads and cleared areas • Two questions: – How many peccaries can each of the remaining forest patches support? – What fraction of patches contains both the upland and wetland forest that are required to meet the annual needs of these animals during the wet and dry seasons? • Note that if at least one hectare of both wetland and upland forest are not available within a forest patch, then a population cannot be supported Energetics of foraging Energetics of foraging • wide-ranging, large-bodied frugivorous bird • must visit many sites every day to harvest newly ripened fruit. • Assume – the fruit tree species occurs only in inundated forests – a pair of these birds must visit 5 such patches per day • How far must these birds travel on average each day to meet their daily needs in each scenario? – trace the shortest path possible between all patches of inundated forest in the landscape. – Start with an isolated patch in one of the corners of the landscape. – try to link all patches together as might a foraging bird that was trying to save energy flying between all the patches. – As you move sum up the distance of each sequential move. – The total distance traveled divided by the total number of patches visited equals the average cost of accessing a foraging site. – Recall that the birds must visit 5 patches per day to meet their needs (X 5 above to meet daily needs) Genetic diversity Pithecellobium elegans • “rare” tree species • mature individuals distributed evenly through the upland forest at a density of only one per hectare. • Any trees within 250m of any other trees represent part of the same breeding population • Demarcate collections of individuals linked through potential gene flow • Need same human population as scenario II! What is the least amount of genetic diversity lost by any single population under each scenario over 100 generations? • Amount of diversity lost is inversely proportional to the size of the population. • [1 - (1/(2*Ne))]t with t = 100 • Go with largest population in each scenario Abstract • • • • • • The is one of the more “sprawling” exercises… What is your objective? What is your justification? What is your general approach? Critical findings? General conclusion