International organisation Lecture 2 a global puzzle of many pieces Benjamin Bowman b.c.bowman@bath.ac.uk PL20721 Lec #2 9/10/2015 Last time, unless we find the clicker… Clicker Compliance Regime 1) Initial the register 2) Take 1 paper 1 clicker SQs: A global puzzle with many pieces What pieces of international organization allow emerging powers to balance against the US as incumbent global superpower? Did the US suffer a “catastrophic success” in its relations with international organizations after the Cold War? What parts and practices of global governance might lead to norm diffusion from the international sphere to participating states? What benefits to international actors does ‘soft law’ have over ‘hard law’? PL20721 Lec #2 9/10/2015 International organisation Lecture 2 a global puzzle of many pieces Benjamin Bowman b.c.bowman@bath.ac.uk PL20721 Lec #2 9/10/2015 NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 2) Put it on your desk NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 3) Put your clicker on it 2) Put it on your desk 4) Look left and right NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 3) Put your clicker on it 2) Put it on your desk 4) Look left and right Last week We… • Introduced International Organization • Talked about the Concert of Europe and League of Nations • Linked that history to institutional development of the UN • Defined the UN as the formal institutional centerpiece of our modern world view… • that is: international organization PL20721 Lec #2 9/10/2015 Today’s aims I want you to be able to: • Recall the main institutions of global governance • Outline the non-institutional and informal pieces of the GG puzzle • Move from the dead “classification” of pieces – to a live, more involved theoretical deconstruction • Prepare your own predictions about where our system is going PL20721 Lec #2 9/10/2015 Defining terms: • Global Governance Management of common global affairs “backed by shared goals, but not necessarily formal authority or police powers” (Rosenau, 1992) • Global Governance in 2015 Decoupling of force from legitimate rule (Adler & Bernstein 2005) • Global Governance = landscape of multi-level, formal, informal, legal, normative and non-state arrangements and activities for dealing with issues PL20721 Lec #2 9/10/2015 Quiz: Name the academic paper Probably on every IR unit in Bath Probably you think it is the most useless paper in all history Published in 1992… 11 12 13 My argument to you…! 1990s Event The USA International Organization 1990s Ideology & empirical prediction: Global hegemony Numerous, influential Explosion in NGOs… but essentially dependent Example: Kosovo Still the boss in Europe and guarantor of democracy (& NATO still US dependent) EU failure (as you know) But also: 1st UN mission designed with other IGOs as full partners 2000s – a Jacksonian presidency Event The USA International Organization 2000s Bush (Dubya) doctrine “Fukuyama plus force” (Gaddis ’04) “Transformative” grand strategy (Nye ’06) - Presumed to be obsolete - US muscular rejection of international organization - “Let’s Roll” Doctrine of unilateralism Big failures: “catastrophic success” Rather than securing hegemony, created a gap for other actors (state and non-state) to step in (& obviously 9/11/01) “War on Terruh” Why there’s no PL20721 – US global leadership… Event The USA International Organization 2010s (& 2008 crisis) Obama doctrine: “We’re back” … but left with too much to do? Global power shift New Int Org networks And now…? Challenge: US Exceptionalism in a less “end of history” world? New History: Int Org? If so – why? and – how? Above: Signatories to the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (Yunbi / China Daily 2015) Why there’s no PL20721 – US global leadership… Event The USA International Organization 2010s (& 2008 crisis) Obama doctrine: “We’re back” … but left with too much to do? Global power shift New Int Org networks And now…? Challenge: US Exceptionalism in a less “end of history” world? New History: Int Org? If so – why? and – how? Above: Signatories to the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (Yunbi / China Daily 2015) US president during NATO bombing in the Kosovo War, Former Yugoslavia? 0% Ge or ge W Bu sh in to n 0% Cl Bu sh (S r .) 0% Ge or ge Re ag an 0% Bi ll Ronald Reagan George Bush (Sr.) Bill Clinton George W Bush Ro na ld A. B. C. D. 18 Can you guess what scholars like Johnstone “The End of the World Order as we Know It?” (Johnstone 2004) were worried about in 2004, after the Iraq war? A. Iran is now the regional hegemon B. The US has broken international organization by ignoring the UN C. The Right to Protect has gone too far and now causes wars D. Iraq will eventually get nuclear weapons 0% 0% n in te rn at i. .. Pr o te Ira ct q ha w ill sg ev on en ... tu al ly ge tn uc l.. . 0% o gh tt Ri Th e US Th e Ira n is no w th e ha sb ro ke re gi on al he . .. 0% 19 A. Poor leadership in 2000s B. Challenge of other states – (Japan, India, Brazil, China) C. US still strongest, but other states & non-state actors co-operate effectively No correct answer… just your opinion! Biggest factor in US decline? 0% D. US hasn’t fallen: global democracy, education & equality bringing others up E. US decline is temporary, they’ll be back F. US late-capitalist system approaching inevitable Communist revolution 20 Classification (1) - IGOs • Intergovernmental Organizations States (at least 3, obviously) Formal treaty / charter / etc Activities in several states Recognized by international law as separate subjects • 20th Century explosion in IGOs - wars / tech… also increase in no. of states – Examples UN WHO WTO (Global) ASEAN EU AU (Regional) Nordic Council ECOWAS (Sub-reg) – – – – Classification (1) - IGOs • Intergovernmental Organizations – What’s the Point? Normative: process of agreeing on - and habit-making in - good & bad behaviour Forum: exchange views, share in decisions Rulemaking: legislating, monitoring and adjudicating the organization’s rules Operations: from allocating resources to central deployment of forces Information: Gathering, analysing, sharing data Bottom line: they restrain states – but create opportunities (Hope you’re already thinking… I wonder what a realist would think of this…?) Classification (1) - IGOs Programme IGOs - set rules & build norms Operational IGOs - implement rules & ensure compliance - capacity building UN General Assembly IAEA (Intl Atomic Energy Agency) ILO International Labour Conference World Bank WTO Ministerial Conference IMF Intergovernmental IGOs - Authority isn’t pooled or delegated - Focus on coordinating ntl efforts States sovereign – consensus required Supranational IGOs - States give up some sovereignty - Authority delegated to and coordinated at IGO level NATO European Union OSCE (Org for Sec & Coop in Europe) UN Security Council International Coffee Organization World Bank IMF Definitions: Rittberger et al. 2012 Classification (2) – NGOs • Nongovernmental Organizations – Private and voluntary – Non-state (but some are Government organized) – Typically issue-led – The love affair has started to wane? (Wapner 2007) • Important role: – “Transmission belt” between levels of governance (K&M9) e.g. Individual/Local >NGO > Intl Classification (3) – International Law • There is no world Government – so lawmaking is different • Commonly accepted definition of International Law is found in Article 38 of the Statute of the International Court of Justice “The Court, in deciding disputes, shall apply:” four sources Classification (3) – International Law 1. 2. 3. 4. international conventions / rules that are recognized by the contesting states (in plain English: treaties) international custom (behaviour as if there was a law) the general principles of law (>> comparative domestic law) decisions and teachings of the most highly qualified publicists (a secondary source: academics & experts who confirm above sources) “Soft” law (yes, it’s a residual category) Looks like law, sounds like law, but is not legally binding “Best understood as a spectrum between fully binding treaties and fully political statements” (Guzman and Meyer 2010, 173) (Example? SALT II: Unratified US promise to voluntarily disarm) “Soft” law – why is there a grey area? • To allow for a change in circumstances & renegotiation • To avoid having to punish violations – if stakes are low… or high (Co-operation bonus - sanctions hurt everyone) • When agreement is strong enough to ensure compliance • For eg. IGOs to make pronouncements on existing laws Provides a dizzying variety of ways to “agree” Tends to annoy legal scholars – (politics happens!) International Regimes (regime theory later) • “Finding ways to cooperate to solve problems” • Identifying features: – Specific issue area – Web of norms, rules and procedures – Not IGOs:“no office” • Compliance based on convergence on & acceptance of underlying norms and rules eg. Regime for nuclear non-prolif (Kuno 2013) Informal: Ad-hoc groups / Gatherings • Global Governance through multilateral meetings without formal legal basis • Include: – UN-sponsored global conferences – Leaders’ summits – Commissions, panels and fora • More since 1970s • Can include non-state actors Private governance • Cutting edge and slightly contentious field of theory • Where private actors directly involved in intl regulation • Not market interactions, but rules and regulation (Pattberg 2006) • Main challenges: – Establishing legitimacy (not by force… ) – Accountability e.g. Roundtable for Sustainable Palm Oil “Soft law” is one way to describe why the SALT II treaty: a Be ca m e 0% no pa tp rt re of ve ... nt nu cle ar w ar ... So vie t th e to 0% su bs id ia ry .. pr ac tic e, . n Fa ile d, du e sfu li uc ce s as s W 0% in ... 0% Di d A. Was successful in practice, even though it was never signed into law B. Failed, due to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan C. Became a subsidiary part of the UN D. Did not prevent nuclear war between the USA and the USSR 34 International Regimes are made up of: 0% 0% 0% 0% In te rc on ne ct ed pi Le ec ga es lly of bi go nd ... in gr ul es fro m th ... Pr iv Us at e ua ac lly to a rs di on ct ly at or or to ta lit ar i.. A. Interconnected pieces of governance in a specific issue area B. Legally binding rules from the ICC C. Private actors only D. Usually a dictator or totalitarian govt 35 Which of the following is not a way in which private governance initiatives can maximise compliance with their rules? 0% 0% 0% 0% ke ho ld er sa gr ee on lu de sh ar st ak e. .. eh ol de rs gi tim lik e ac g. y .. th ro ug h in de pe ... St at ele d sa nc t io ns A. Stakeholders agree on shared values B. Include stakeholders like grower’s unions and NGOs C. Legitimacy through independent, thirdparty monitoring D. State-led sanctions 36 How do Margaret Karns and Karen Mingst describe the role of NGOs in Int Org? si NG O Th ey do n’ t – th ey av oi d A. They don’t – they avoid mentioning them B. NGOs implement policy made by International Governmental Orgs C. NGOS serve as transmission belts across multi-level governance D. NGOs are active at local levels but not influential at international level m m en pl em ... en NG tp O ol Ss icy er m ve a. as . tra NG ns m O iss sa io re n ac ... tiv e at lo ca ll ev e. . 25% 25% 25% 25% 37 NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 2) Put it on your desk NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 3) Put your clicker on it 2) Put it on your desk 4) Look left and right NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 3) Put your clicker on it 2) Put it on your desk 4) Look left and right Fitting the puzzle together Case studies: some ways that these pieces work together 1) Input&Output Women’s rights in global governance 2) Complex systems China as a global leader 41 Global Governance – input and output “They totally do stuff, dude” Conversion Input PRESSURE TO ACT COMES IN FROM VARIOUS ACTORS & INSTITUTIONS A LOAD OF STUFF HAPPENS INSIDE THESE VARIOUS Output GOVERNANCE COMES OUT IN VARIOUS POLICY FORMS PARTS OF GLOBAL GOVERNANCE Schubert 1991: 28-34 Global Governance – input and output “They totally do stuff, dude” Conversion Input Member states Org staff Interest groups Experts Intergovernmental negotiations Majority voting Centralized rational choice Standard operating procedure Output Policy programmes Information activities Operational activities Bureaucratic politics Schubert 1991: 28-34 Global Governance – input and output Input - Member states - Transnational Advocacy Networks - Org staff - Experts Global Governance – input and output Vital contributions of State governments – esp. Scandinavian states, Netherlands, Canada Input - Member states - Transnational Advocacy Networks - Org staff - Experts • Hosting conferences • Unilateral equality measures • Holding UN agencies accountable (UNDP ’80s–’90s) Global Governance – input and output Vital contributions of State governments – esp. Scandinavian states, Netherlands, Canada Input - Member states - Transnational Advocacy Networks - Org staff - Experts • Hosting conferences • Unilateral equality measures • Holding UN agencies accountable (UNDP ’80s–’90s) • Powerful expertise and effective Lobbying and advocacy action in fields from conflict and TANs today: “Ideational and security to economic ethical motivations… [but also] development (esp feminists) class, inequality and economic • Your book on this: issues” (Moghadam 2012 414) (Keck and Sikkink’s “Activists beyond borders” – e.g. 2014) Global Governance – input and output Vital contributions of State governments – esp. Scandinavian states, Netherlands, Canada Input - Member states - Transnational Advocacy Networks - Org staff - Experts • Hosting conferences • Unilateral equality measures • Holding UN agencies accountable (UNDP ’80s–’90s) • Powerful expertise and effective Lobbying and advocacy action in fields from conflict and TANs today: “Ideational and security to economic ethical motivations… [but also] development (esp feminists) class, inequality and economic • Your book on this: issues” (Moghadam 2012 414) (Keck and Sikkink’s “Activists beyond borders” – e.g. 2014) Don’t underestimate the power of people within organizations - Organizational structure and leadership can provide opportunities for the above… At the heart of agenda setting - Example: Kofi Annan-led UN and decision making process Global Compact (Rittberger et al p. 95) -> UNIFEM uses to showcase Access to information private companies “best practice” Conversion Windows of opportunity in international organization (blue table) Powerful mobilizing structures Entrepreneurial supporting actors Framing mechanisms linked to operating procedures (green table) Case: Converting the World Bank WID GAD Focus Women in development Gender and development Approach Women are a problem Development is a problem Problem Exclusion of half of our human resource from resource base Unequal relations of power prevent equitable development Add more women to existing development process Identify practical inequalities in development process; address strategic needs of the less equal Solution Bosnia & Herz. Problem Militarized, gendered and ‘invisible women’ perspective on Bosnian peace Long term inequality of women Policy process Strategic ‘feminizing’ and ‘non-politicking’ by local NGOS Magnetism of EU (Juncos 2005, Jenichen 2015) Policy Conversion? Policy output Seizing opportunity for regional and international involvement & funding e.g. OSCE linkages, UNHCR Bosnian Women’s Initiative (Helms 2003) Framing political demands as European obligations (& taking advantage of local authorities “lacking knowledge” Jenichen) - 2003 Law of Gender Equality - Mandatory electoral quota Which is not a way States historically support NGOs seeking intl. policy outputs t.. . ng m em be rs hi p yu ni la t.. . By ca nc el li th e po lic to ne tw or ks a NG O ho st in g By :10 p. .. n. .. D. By cancelling membership to IGOs that do not implement outputs in st at in g By instating the policy unilaterally, to increase international pressure By C. m em be rs hi p Using IGO membership to propose, support and implement policy GO B. 25% 25% 25% 25% in gI By hosting NGO networks and conferences Us A. 50 Which of the following is not a strategy which has helped women’s transnational advocacy networks become successful? ne ol i. th e n clo se ly to ti ize .. .. in te rn a. of e id ea s ,i Op er at io na l of ex pe rti se le ve l Hi gh ne d Aligned closely to the neoliberal economic model Al ig D. up po r Historical support in international organization by influential states al s C. Hi st or ic Operationalize ideas of equality to practical matters of global governance . B. s.. High level of expertise, in strong, internationally organized networks n A. qu a. .. 25% 25% 25% 25% :1051 Influential scholarship on Transnational Activism – “Activists Beyond Borders”? PL20721 - Lec1 - et M ill Ka te A. Margaret Keck and Kathryn Sikkink B. Robert Keohane and Joseph Nye C. John Mearsheimer D. Kate Millet M ar ga re tK ec ka nd Ro Ka be rt th ry Ke n oh S. an .. e an d Jo se ph ... Jo hn M ea rs he im er 25% 25% 25% 25% 52 China: A Case Study in Intl Org’n 1980s - 1990s 韬光养晦 • A least likely case for international leadership • (& facing isolation after Tiananmen Square ‘89) 1990s • Forced by own ‘rise’ to think about external threat perception • reluctant avoidance of “great power balancing” China: A Case Study in Intl Org’n 2000s – 2010s • Asian economic crash & other new challenges • Unfree & brutal; scandals eg Tibet International Organization: – Dissatisfaction with US hegemony… and democratic principles like civil society – Globalization = unilateral is weak – Shifting economic balance = “south-south” is profitable China’s four identities (Zonglei & Fu 2011) Identity Aims Developing state • Deep socio-economic problems… and poverty • Suffered colonial hardship • Needs economic security • Lacks the power and influence to steer • Demands right to grow Emerging power • Seeks redistribution of power from existing leaders • India, Brazil… (… Russia, S.Af, G20) Example Intl Org policy 2001 Shanghai Cooperation Org (SCO - 上海合作组织) • Market expansion • Oil and Gas connections • “Crossing the river by feeling for stones along the way” – (Qingguo 2011, Cruz del Rosario 2014) • Seeks global reform • Wants to join the top table • Enjoying emergence, not seeking to overturn table “Experience in IGOs” • YES: State-centred IGO mechanisms like the WTO • DISTRUSTS: NGOs • NO: Unilaterality “Process of delegitimizing strategies of US hegemony” (Kahler 2013) The “New Multipolarity” Theory The “New Multipolarity” Theory The “New Multipolarity” Theory The “China Threat Thesis” The “China Threat Thesis” The “China Threat Thesis” The “China Threat Thesis” The “China Threat Thesis” 中国和平崛起 “Peaceful Rise Policy” 中国和平崛起 “Peaceful Rise Policy” 中国和平崛起 “Peaceful Rise Policy” 中国和平崛起 “Peaceful Rise Policy” China’s four identities (Zonglei & Fu 2011) Identity Perceived ‘Rising Giant’ • Seat on the Sec Council • Military power (with contested regions!) Aims • With great power comes great responsibility • “China Threat Thesis” • Fears of revisionism Regional great power • Huge economic giant • Partners ready to do business • Perceived as the future G2 superpower with the USA • Looked to for leadership (even if reluctant) Intl Organization policy 中国和平崛起 “Peaceful Rise” Still shy about own status (Breslin 2013) No to G8: A developing state not a junior great power (Ren 2012) Yes to UN & G20: although promotes ‘developing states’ NGOs growing amid political opportunities… (eg: Zhan & Tang 2011, Gomez & Harris 2015, Tam & Hasmath 2015) China: a case for norm diffusion? Input Right to Protect: i.e. States should intervene Norm diffusion? (1990s – China opposes intervention and fears intervention in China) BENEFIT: major stakeholder in global economy – wants stability, especially in profitable regions HABITS: “Exposure of foreign policy elites to international forums for discussing normative framework” (Carlson 2006) Policy output Now the SC5’s largest contributor of troops & police Intervention leader in eg. UNAMID in Sudan (Prantl & Nakano 2011 China: a case for norm diffusion? Input Equality is human reality: democracy works Norm diffusion? Policy output (Communist Party: Refuses to share power) BENEFIT: NGOs WORK! Expertise, resources, information & strong networks “Transmission belt” between national and regional devolved power (Zhan & Tang 2013) Nascent civil society HABITS: Exposure of society to international forums (China = market) (Mertha 2009) and neighbourhood associations (Heberer 2009)… NGO networks useful (Tam & Hasmath 2015) But growing influence of NGOs, especially at local and regional level (Hsu 2012) Corporatist – profit led – and distrustful (Hasmath & Hsu 2014) Where now? Gradual democracy? Sudden democracy? Crack down? Full corporatism? Chinese Communist Party’s official policy on its development, includes joining existing intl organization system PL20721 - Lec1 - ed ” .. ti Ea s “T he ,R sR et re a. ” ise 36 St ra te gi es ea ce fu lR Th es i Th re at “P “O fT he :10 “C hi na A. “China Threat Thesis” B. “Peaceful Rise” C. “Of The 36 Strategies, Retreat is Best” D. “The East is Red” s” 25% 25% 25% 25% 71 Which is not a reason Breslin (2013) argues China is a proponent of international organization Chinese officials now have a lot of experience in (and the habit of) working with IGOs like the UN and WTO D. Regional organizations help China co-operate with other developing state neighbours ca n Ch in a :10 ta w bl an e ts ... in te Ch rn at in io es na e of l. fic .. ia ls no Re w gi ha on ve al or a ... ga ni za t io ns he lp ... C. to p China wants international NGOs to help improve human wellbeing in China th e B. Ch in a China can join the top table without threatening to fight the US jo in A. 25% 25% 25% 25% 72 IGOs that China values, like the UN, involve NGOs in their practice B. International NGOs are experts in important fields like fight against AIDS C. NGOs can decrease the influence of the UN Security Council D. Democratic civil society does a good job at very important things IG :10 Os th at Ch in a A. va In lu te es rn ,l at ike io na t .. lN GO NG sa O re sc ex an pe de r.. cr ea se De th m oc e in ra fl. tic .. civ il so cie ty do es .. Which is not a reason NGOs might become more acceptable to the Chinese 25% 25% 25% 25% Communist Party? 73 What do you think is the future of civil society in China? (No wrong answers) 0% A. I think Chinese society will gradually become more democratic 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 20% 20% B. I think Chinese society will have a sudden democratic revolution C. I think China will keep civil society under strict Party controls 20% D. I think China will go corporate: force all civil society groups to become profit making businesses 20% 20% E. No idea, but I like pressing buttons 74 CLICKER COMPLIANCE REGIME There are more slides NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 2) Put it on your desk NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 3) Put your clicker on it 2) Put it on your desk 4) Look left and right NEW CLICKER REGIME 1) Take your piece of paper 3) Put your clicker on it 2) Put it on your desk 4) Look left and right SQs: A global puzzle with many pieces What pieces of international organization allow emerging powers to balance against the US as incumbent global superpower? Did the US suffer a “catastrophic success” in its relations with international organizations after the Cold War? What parts and practices of global governance might lead to norm diffusion from the international sphere to participating states? What benefits to international actors does ‘soft law’ have over ‘hard law’? PL20721 Lec #2 9/10/2015