Data, Information and Knowledge The Unfinished Foundation for Sustainable Development : The example of Natural Capital Accounting Earth Observations for the SDGs GEO - Mexico City, 10 November 2015 John M Matuszak Bureau of Oceans, international Environmental and Scientific Affairs United States Department of State Sustainable Development and Wealth We don’t judge a company solely on the basis of its income statement—look at both income and balance sheet. • Increasing assets (wealth) support long-term growth. • In the short term, income can appear to grow by liquidating assets, but this undermines long-term growth. Why do we assess country economic progress on the basis of national income, GDP alone? (J. Stiglitz,, WB Nobel prize, economics former Chair President's Council of Economic Advisors, former WB Chief Economist ) The source of income and well-being is wealth, broadly defined to include – Tangible/Manufactured capital (land, physical equipment infrastructure, Natural capital, ‘Intangible’ capital (human capital and social capital) What is the methodology for NCA? SEEA responds to complex policy questions such as • How can natural resources be used sustainably? What is the impact of regulatory environmental measures on different economic sectors and households? • How do ecosystems contribute to the well-being of people and to the economy? • Which are the most cost-efficient measures to improve the state of the environment? • What are the effects of environmental taxes on the environment and on the economy? • Etc. Where has Natural Capital Accounting been most useful? 1. Indicators for monitoring sustainable development 2. Water accounting: managing a scarce resource 3. Energy and air pollution: cleaner, more efficient production 4. Stocks of minerals & energy: fiscal rules, managing mineral revenues for long term growth 5. Land and ecosystems: balancing the needs of tourism, commercial and subsistence agriculture, water supply, soil erosion, and other uses From Statistics to Accounts SEEA integrates environment and economic statistics by following the same statistical principles (those of the System of National Accounts) Statistics Accounts Source: United Nations Statistics Division Audiences for information Public Politicians Indicators Accounting (SNA, SEEA-CF) Basic Statistics (environment, business, labor,…) Researchers Micro data Policy Makers Strategic planners Water issues and policy objectives: A broad grouping Policy objectives • • Limited access Unequal distribution I. Improving water supply and sanitation services II. Managing water supply and demand Water security • Reduced quality and pollution Allocating water among competing users: contribution to GDP, employment, social wellbeing • III. Improving the state of the environment and water resources Adapting to extreme hydro-meteorological events Managing for increased floods/droughts BOSTWANA Are scarce water resources allocated efficiently? % share in GDP, employment & water use, 2011 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% % of GDP 15% % of formal employment 10% % of water consumption 5% 0% Source: DWA Example Norway: «Profile» with output and GHG emissions by industry – who contributes the most 10 The framework Land cover types Forest land Scope of the ecosystem based forest account Scope of the resource based forest account Shared area of analysis Urban land Agricultural land Individual resources Ecosistema Ecosistema forestal forestal (Mangle) Forest land Urban land Agricultural land WAVES © 2014 Ecosystems Ecosistema urbano Ecosistema agricola 11 11 Mapping of the forest area & ecosystems Steps proposed by the EEA to define units to account for forest assets • Basic Statistical Units BSUs: Basic Statistical Units Min grid resolution info LCEUs Closest to ecosystems Broadleaved primary forest Broadleaved secondary forest EAUs Long-term monitoring Not protected forest Natural park (protected forest) WAVES © 2014 12 12 Indicators to characterize the forest ASSET Forest land Standing timber Condition of forest ecosystems WAVES © 2014 13 13 General structure of the forest accounts – ASSET ACCOUNTS resource by resource Opening stock of timber resources Additions to stock Natural growth Reclassifications Total additions to stock Reductions in stock Removals Natural losses Catastrophic losses Reclassifications Total reductions in stock Closing stock of timber resources Type of timber resource Natural timber resources Cultivated Available Not available timber resources for wood for wood supply supply Monetary units Type of timber resources Natural timber Cultivated timber resources Available resources for wood supply Cultivated: management practices constitute a process of economic production Natural: where the previous doesn’t apply. Not AFWS: due to physical, economic or regulatory reasons Monetary units forest asset (forest ecosystem unit) Vegetation Opening condition Improvements in conditions Reduction in condition Closing condition WAVES © 2014 Changes of ecosystem condition Biodiversity Soil Water EAU or LCEU Carbon Opening stock Additions to stock Regeneration-natural Regeneration. human Total additions to stock Reductions in stock Extraction and harvest Catastrophic losses Total reductions in stock Revaluations Closing stock of ecosystem assets 14 Indicators to characterize the forest FLOWS Provisioning services Regulating services Cultural services WAVES © 2014 15 15 General structure of the forest accounts – FLOW ACCOUNTS Products Economic activities: suppliers PHYSICAL UNITS: flow of materials and products / flow of ES MONETARY UNITS: aggregated value . Products Economic activities: intermediate and final consumers Enterprises Generation of ecosystem services Suppliers Rest of the world Households Government Total Enterprises Use of ecosystem services ConsumersRest of the world Households Government Total Type of ecosystem services (by CICES) Provisioning services Regulating services Cultural services Services Provisioning services Regulating services 20.8.2004 WAVES © 2014 Cultural services 16 16 Where do we get the data from? Spaceborne remote sensing Why remote sensing? Dynamic data source of area covered by vegetation Identification of different vegetation types Upgrade forest inventories Information forest condition Geographical reference Constant technological development Example: Land cover classification based on Landsat 8 imagery. Pacific coast; Guatemala WAVES © 2014 17 Forest Modeling Why modeling ? Various indicators of forest assets and flows can not be measured directly. Particularly useful for deriving indicators of environmental services. Some examples are: •Wild fauna population •Erosion protection •Surface discharge •Carbon sequestration •Green area deficit in urban areas WAVES © 2014 18 18 Other sources Livelihood surveys Population census Other statistics, reports, spatial databases etc. SNA validate Global forest watch (?) Source: Mustonen, S.; Raiko, R.; Luukkanen, J. Bionergy consumption and biogas potential in Cambodian households. Sustainability. 2013 (5) 19 1875-1892 doi:10.3390/su5051875 WAVES © 2014 19 track and respond to change High temporal resolution High spatial resolution for near real-time monitoring and response for accurate measurement of annual deforestation WAVES © 2014 20